Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 16th.

Market Overview:

Global markets are showing a moderately bullish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, and this sentiment is reflected in our local market as well. Moreover, today’s market is expected to open with a gap-up, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive move of around +50 points as of 8 AM.

Nifty:

Current View:

There haven't been any major changes to the market sentiment since the previous session, as Nifty closed with consolidation. Structurally, this suggests we could be in the 4th wave. Now, if the market opens with a gap-up and sustains it, we can expect a 5th impulse wave. The targets for this wave are likely between 25,452 and 25,587.

> It’s important to note that the 5th wave is typically a distribution wave. So, if the market breaks the immediate resistance with a strong candle or after some minor consolidation, the rally could extend further, potentially reaching 25,587. On the other hand, if the market reaches the resistance gradually, it may not gain as much momentum, and the maximum level to expect would be 25,492.

Alternate View:

If the gap-up doesn’t hold or the market declines initially, we may see a correction of around 23% to 38%. Following this, if the market finds support near the 38% Fibonacci level, it could consolidate between this level and the previous high. However, if the market breaks below the 38% level, the next target would be at the 50% Fibonacci level. Still, further correction will only continue if the market decisively breaks below the 50% Fibonacci level.
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