NZDUSD: As Scary As It Looks

Jul 29, 2016

As scary as it looks; its about time to short and ride this down.

This is the last trade of the month. Next week, I will be traveling, but posting charts along the way in this journal.

Aug 1, 2016

Trade active

Fully Loaded on NZDUSD now. Time for mission control to resume its flight down. I am diversified in other currencies should this trade not work out. I won't lose too much.

Aug 1, 2016

Note

Aug 2, 2016

Note

Holding on to the short:

Aug 9, 2016

Trade active

Added to my short position from a higher level. I believe that the New Zealand central bank will lower rates:

Aug 9, 2016

Note

Wednesday at 5pm New York time is the central bank decision that I will been watching.

Aug 9, 2016

Note

In addition to this added position, I have placed another limit order around 0.7170. My mini-target is 0.7000 by August 10th.- 13th, and 0.68 or 0.67 by September 2016.

Aug 9, 2016

Note

NZ Rate Cute:
What to look for:
(1) Dovish Tone and a Rate Cut
(2) Hint from the central bank of further easing and further cuts. The New Zealand central bank could not do it before for fear of fueling and already housing bubble. A strong NZD would hurt demand and knock down tradable goods inflation. Thus, a decline in the New Zealand dollars necessary to keep the economy afloat.