The QQQ stock has surged more than 8% from last Monday's lows, which were marred by panic selling due to the collapse of the Japanese stock market and fears of a U.S. recession. Does this rally signal that the fears have dissipated? Not necessarily.

Currently, the price is hovering near a resistance zone formed by the median line of the channel (indicated in yellow) and the descending fan line. It's no surprise that the market is showing signs of uncertainty—it's not just about the release of inflation data; the actual CPI numbers came in close to analysts' expectations.

Take a closer look at the April 1st candle—price dropped with little to no support, forming a wide-ranging candle with a close near the lows, a clear indication of weak demand at levels above $460.

snapshot

Analyzing the profile, it's evident that sellers were in control on April 1st, particularly around the $464.85 area. Today, QQQ found resistance at this very level.

After the rally of over 8% from last Monday's lows, I anticipate that QQQ might experience a short-term correction. The low from Tuesday, which formed after a bullish gap relative to Monday's close on August 12th, is expected to act as a support level.

Forecasts

Analysts' forecasts for QQQ stock are varied. Some predict continued strength if the broader market stabilizes, while others expect potential pullbacks given the recent volatility and economic uncertainty. The consensus price targets range, with some seeing further upside potential and others cautioning about near-term resistance.
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