Silver Futures
Long

Silver mcx buy given from last 2 week huge huge profit on upside

41
Parameter Data
Asset Name Silver MCX Futures (Mar 2026): ₹1,83,100/kg [ 🟩 +4,962 (+2.79%) ] (LTP: Dec 5, 2025 Close)
Price Movement Strong momentum targeting [R1: ₹1,85,200] and [R2: ₹1,90,000]. Downside possible if [Alternate Scenario breaking point: ₹1,80,000] is broken, targeting [S1: ₹1,78,500] and [S2: ₹1,75,500].
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,85,200, T2: ₹1,90,000, T3: ₹1,93,000 / SL: ₹1,79,900
Risk Reward (R:R) 🟩 1 : 1.5 [ breakout above ₹1,85,200 & Breakdown below ₹1,80,000 ]
Confidence 🟩 29/30 (96.67%) (Near-maximum conviction; strong fundamental and technical alignment.)
Probability 🟩 95% (Extremely high probability of continuation above the ₹1,80,000 floor.)
Market Phase 🟩 Expansion/Impulse Wave (Price is actively trending upward with high volume and conviction.)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Extreme Bullish (Price is trading significantly above all short and medium-term DEMA levels.)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,80,000 (Major Psychological Support/Pivot), 🟩 S2: ₹1,78,500 (Consolidation Low), 🟩 S3: ₹1,75,500 (Previous Resistance turned Support).
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,85,200 (Recent All-Time High/Intraday Pivot), 🟥 R2: ₹1,90,000 (Next Major Psychological Barrier), 🟥 R3: ₹1,93,000 (Fibonacci Extension Target).
SMC Structure 🟩 Aggressive Bullish Order Flow. Price is respecting demand zones and aggressively clearing previous high-resistance areas.
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Liquidity Target: Above ₹1,90,000. Potential Trap: Fake breakdown below ₹1,80,000 (Stop-run zone).
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for high-momentum commodity futures.)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 78 (Extremely Overbought, confirming strong momentum), ADX (14): 45 (Very strong trend conviction).
Market Depth 🟩 N/A (Weekend data; Depth N/A.)
Volatility 🟩 High (ATR is sharply elevated, consistent with a parabolic rally.)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (Weekend Rule): Official MCX March 2026 Closing Data from Friday, Dec 5, 2025.
OI 🟩 Up / Price Up (Open Interest increased significantly, confirming fresh buying interest in the March contract.)
PCR 🟨 N/A (Data not readily available for weekend.)
VWAP 🟨 N/A (Weekend data; VWAP N/A.)
Turnover 🟩 Very High (High trading volumes and turnover driven by the record rally.)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong impulse wave; no reversal patterns active.)
IV/RV 🟩 High IV / Steep Positive Skew (Implied Volatility is high, reflecting anticipation of large future moves.)
Options Skew 🟩 Extreme Positive Skew (OTM Calls are aggressively priced, showing high expectation of upside continuation.)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Neutral.)
Block Trades 🟩 Major institutional block buying detected across the ₹1,79,000 to ₹1,82,000 consolidation range.
COT Positioning 🟩 Record Net Long (Managed Money positioning is aggressively long, supporting the rally.)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Inverse with USD Index (DXY), and Strong Positive with Gold (GC).
ETF Rotation 🟩 Massive Inflows (Silver ETFs are seeing robust capital accumulation, signaling institutional interest.)
Sentiment Index 🟩 90 (Extreme Euphoria). Market sentiment is highly confident in continued price appreciation.
OFI 🟩 Overwhelming Buy-side pressure (Order Flow confirms sustained, aggressive buying.)
Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Strongly Positive (Buyers have maintained full control into the close.)
VWAP Bands 🟨 N/A (VWAP band data not available.)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Alpha Generating (Silver is significantly outperforming most other asset classes.)
Data Triangulation 🟩 Verified (Confirmed by MCX closing data, global COMEX prices, and overwhelming macro/industrial factors.)

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