SPX: Trading the Pythagrorean dilation

Apr 24, 2019

Short based on chart.

A sure bet when trading it in four dimensions but risky when only in three. Since this is a four-dimensional dilation pattern it suffers from relativity and uncertainty: do your best to account for price momentum when determining your position.

Apr 25, 2019

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All of a sudden I’m restricted from viewing real-time SPX data. I’m told I must either log out or purchase an additional package to view it. Anyone else experiencing this?

Apr 25, 2019

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Also, shared this in a comment so I’ll share here.

Apr 25, 2019

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It’s also worth keeping an eye on the euro. Many many euro-based spx constituents. Since I can no longer access Spx, checkout spy/eurusd.

Apr 25, 2019

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Eat Bart’s shorts, man!

May 1, 2019

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Sucks chart won’t update since TV pulled SPX data. Looks to still be in both the rising and broadening wedges with much bearish divergence.

May 4, 2019

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Monday might be the day. Price is in real make or break zone. Be ready!

May 8, 2019

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Here’s how ~3000 could still play out, also following main chart.

May 8, 2019

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Though, that bottom trend line is speculative. Could also look like this

May 9, 2019

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5 might have not topped yet. It’s a ‘black swan’ event. There’s a wave 5 extension with an inner sub-wave 1 extension. Therefore corresponding sub-waves 3 and 5 are both less than sub-wave 1. Since sub-wave 3 was ~.382 and can’t be shortest, sub-wave 5 can’t be more than .382 sub-wave 1 length or count is invalid.

May 9, 2019

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Easier to follow.

May 9, 2019

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Larger megaphone with same result for your pleasure.

May 10, 2019

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Still eyeing potential top between 3015-3055.

May 10, 2019

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I'm considering that the megaphone completed and is heading down now, with the top already in. Historically, it appears price can pass through bounding lines and in some cases not even touch. Best to keep our options open.

May 10, 2019

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Also, looks like SPX is in a leading diagonal down.

May 13, 2019

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If price drops below 2805 then statistically there’s a 53% chance of it dropping below the ~2009 ascending broadening wedge, which would be disastrous.

May 13, 2019

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Old trading idea based on price drop. Figured I would share it here also.

May 14, 2019

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My confidence is gaining in that Spx is in ABC correction of a cycle Wave 3.

May 15, 2019

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I might eventually publish this as a separate idea.

May 15, 2019

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Short term target.

May 15, 2019

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Also, here’s a potential TVIX play.

May 17, 2019

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Here you go.

May 20, 2019

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May 20, 2019

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Last update on this today, I promise.

May 20, 2019

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I lied. This is better than the chart I just posted. Shame I can't delete previous updates.

May 20, 2019

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I might have miscounted some waves. Wave 5 might have an extended sub-wave 3 and truncated (based on Fib channel) fifth as depicted here.

Jun 5, 2019

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Possible HS playing out. Price can’t go much higher and this Shoulder’s volume needs to stay lower than Head’s volume for it to remain valid. Completes if price breaks lower than neckline.

Jun 5, 2019

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Price shouldn’t go much higher*. There are cases where shoulders are lopsided.

Jun 5, 2019

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Looks to me like a developing extended Wave 1 leading diagonal down. As shown, the second downwards move is almost equal to but slightly more than the first one. Were this an ABC correction during uptrend then C~= A with small B, which is unlikely. More likely is a sub-wave 3 ~= sub-wave 1 with large sub-waves 2 and 4 and overlapping 1 and 4. This would indicate an impending large sub-wave 5 to end leading diagonal Wave 1.

Jun 5, 2019

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Oops. Can’t believe I’ve never shared my ‘recession chart’. Here you go.

Jun 14, 2019

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Possibly bearing witness to an unfolding EPIC BART.

Jul 12, 2019

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Aug 7, 2019

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Sure can close to calling that top precisely! Here’s a related idea from today regarding top and drop.