SPY has fallen by 27% since Dec 2021 to Oct 7th, 2022.
Two similar percentages SPY has fallen are in: 1) May 2000 to Oct 2002 it fell by 47 percent.
If you bought SPY in May 2000, You would have had to wait till Aug 2007 for break even. Then again in Sept 2007 it fell by 57%. So in most likelihood, you would have had to wait till Feb 2013 to get the money back.
If you had purchased SPY after it had fallen a similar amount as this fall (27%), you would have bought SPY in Oct 2001. You would have got your money back in Oct 2004 and had a good bull run of 39% till Sept 2007.
2) Sept 2007 to March 2009 it fell by 57%.
If you had invested in SPY in Sept 2007. You would have got your money back in March 2013.
If you had purchased SPY after it had fallen a similar amount as this fall (27%), you would have bought SPY in Sept 2008. You would have got your money back in early 2011 and enjoyed a big bull run after that.
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