⚖️ 
US100 Fundamental Impact today
• The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm.
• Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time:
• ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes).
• ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed).
1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario)
• Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation.
• Targeting:
• 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep.
• Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG).
• Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array).
2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario)
• Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts.
• Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1.
3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now)
• If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again.
• Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH.
⸻
⚖️ Bias
• For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength.
• Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
US100 Fundamental Impact today• The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm.
• Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time:
• ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes).
• ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed).
1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario)
• Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation.
• Targeting:
• 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep.
• Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG).
• Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array).
2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario)
• Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts.
• Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1.
3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now)
• If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again.
• Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH.
⸻
⚖️ Bias
• For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength.
• Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.