DOW JONES Repeating the July bullish fractal. Still time to buy!

It was just 10 days ago when we made a case for a medium-term buy on the Dow Jones index (DJI), against popular belief, as we had early signs that the index made a June 17 type bottom and was about to repeat the June-Aug rebound:

Our view has been confirmed so far and following the 1D RSI break above the Lower Highs and the 1D MACD Bullish Cross, the price quickly has come a few clicks away from the 1D MA50 (red trend-line).

Today's analysis is on the 4H time-frame, in order to get a more detailed look on the short-term. We see that Dow Jones has already broken above both the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which is supporting currently. Based on the 1D RSI it seems that we are still in the early stages of this uptrend to a Lower High (at least). The 4H Golden Cross (MA50 above MA200) hasn't formed yet and in order to get a better understanding of Dow's analogous position compared to July, I've plotted the June-July sequence on today's price action (black line).

As you see, based on that, the 1D MA50 break should come by next week's end (the earliest), though of course this isn't absolute as even though similar, the current price action hasn't followed the exact pattern of June-July. Above the 1D MA50, the next volatility zone should be within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, making way for the rejection zone (and the medium-term target) within the 1D MA200 (grey trend-line) and the 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line).




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