The Next Big USD/CAD Move—Are You Positioned for Wave 5?
Updated
Key Structure Levels:
Current Price Zone: 1.4699
Major Resistance Levels:
2.17757 (1.236 Extension - Volume Divergence by Wave 5): Key target for Wave 5 progression.
2.55985 (1.618 Extension - Diagonal Wave 5): Long-term supercycle target.
1.61850 (Inducement Wave 3): Potential reversal or short-term target.
Major Support Levels:
1.20068 (Swing Low - Wave 2): Key bullish invalidation zone.
0.90370 (Wave 1 Low): Historical accumulation zone and invalidation point.
Wyckoff & Elliott Wave Analysis:
Wave Structure:
Wave 1: Formed after accumulation, setting the bullish trend foundation.
Wave 2: Retraced shallowly to 0.61–0.75 Fibonacci levels (bullish validation).
Wave 3: Strong breakout above 1.61850, reaching inducement levels with buy-side liquidity targets cleared.
Wave 4: A shallow corrective structure (dealing range between 1.200–1.61850).
Wave 5 (Projection):
TP1: 2.17757 (1.236 Fibonacci)
TP2: 2.55985 (1.618 Fibonacci)
Invalidation Point: If price breaks below Wave 1 at 0.90370, bullish thesis fails.
Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep:
1.61850: Likely area of stop-loss and limit order placements for liquidity collection before Wave 5 continues upward.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Look for pullbacks near 1.20068–1.61850 to build long positions.
Confirmation of Wave 3 continuation with a strong close above 1.61850 validates entries targeting higher resistance.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: 2.17757 (1.236 Extension).
TP2: 2.55985 (1.618 Extension).
Stop-Loss Placement:
SL1: Below 1.20068 (Wave 2 Low) for conservative setups.
SL2: Below 0.90370 (Wave 1 Low) for higher timeframe setups.
Key Keywords for Presentation:
USD/CAD Elliott Wave Analysis
Wyckoff Accumulation to Supercycle
Wave 5 Target at 2.55
USD/CAD Trading Plan: TP, SL, Entry Strategy
12M USD/CAD Forecast
Commentary:
Bullish Bias: Long-term bullish cycle supported by Elliott Wave and Wyckoff principles. Expect price to clear liquidity zones as it targets higher Fibonacci extensions.
Bearish Risk: A breach below Wave 1 Low (0.90370) invalidates the current bullish cycle and could signal deeper correction or trend reversal.
Current Price Zone: 1.4699
Major Resistance Levels:
2.17757 (1.236 Extension - Volume Divergence by Wave 5): Key target for Wave 5 progression.
2.55985 (1.618 Extension - Diagonal Wave 5): Long-term supercycle target.
1.61850 (Inducement Wave 3): Potential reversal or short-term target.
Major Support Levels:
1.20068 (Swing Low - Wave 2): Key bullish invalidation zone.
0.90370 (Wave 1 Low): Historical accumulation zone and invalidation point.
Wyckoff & Elliott Wave Analysis:
Wave Structure:
Wave 1: Formed after accumulation, setting the bullish trend foundation.
Wave 2: Retraced shallowly to 0.61–0.75 Fibonacci levels (bullish validation).
Wave 3: Strong breakout above 1.61850, reaching inducement levels with buy-side liquidity targets cleared.
Wave 4: A shallow corrective structure (dealing range between 1.200–1.61850).
Wave 5 (Projection):
TP1: 2.17757 (1.236 Fibonacci)
TP2: 2.55985 (1.618 Fibonacci)
Invalidation Point: If price breaks below Wave 1 at 0.90370, bullish thesis fails.
Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep:
1.61850: Likely area of stop-loss and limit order placements for liquidity collection before Wave 5 continues upward.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Look for pullbacks near 1.20068–1.61850 to build long positions.
Confirmation of Wave 3 continuation with a strong close above 1.61850 validates entries targeting higher resistance.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: 2.17757 (1.236 Extension).
TP2: 2.55985 (1.618 Extension).
Stop-Loss Placement:
SL1: Below 1.20068 (Wave 2 Low) for conservative setups.
SL2: Below 0.90370 (Wave 1 Low) for higher timeframe setups.
Key Keywords for Presentation:
USD/CAD Elliott Wave Analysis
Wyckoff Accumulation to Supercycle
Wave 5 Target at 2.55
USD/CAD Trading Plan: TP, SL, Entry Strategy
12M USD/CAD Forecast
Commentary:
Bullish Bias: Long-term bullish cycle supported by Elliott Wave and Wyckoff principles. Expect price to clear liquidity zones as it targets higher Fibonacci extensions.
Bearish Risk: A breach below Wave 1 Low (0.90370) invalidates the current bullish cycle and could signal deeper correction or trend reversal.
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Trade closed: target reached
3M
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1M
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1W
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1D
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4H
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JP - Unemployment Rate (OCT)
Outcome: Neutral for JPY.
Rationale: No significant deviation (2.4%) from expectations.
Best Crossover: USD/JPY – Watch for market reaction.
CA - GDP Growth Rate Annualized (Q3)
Outcome: Bullish for CAD.
Rationale: Growth (2.1% → 2%) aligns with steady economic performance.
Best Crossover: USD/CAD.
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