(Technical change on this timeframe is often limited though serves as guidance to potential longer-term moves)
Since kicking off 2017, USD/JPY has been carving out a descending triangle pattern between 118.66/104.62.
April and May were pretty uneventful, with June also wrapping up indecisively in the shape of a neutral doji candlestick pattern.
Areas outside of the noted triangle can be seen at supply from 126.10/122.66 and demand coming in at 96.41/100.81.
Daily timeframe:
Brought forward from previous analysis -
Demand at 105.70/106.66 remains in focus on the daily timeframe. Although a reasonably hardwearing zone since early May, buyers appear to be lacking spirit. The previous reaction on June 23, as you can see, failed to reach the 200-day simple moving average at 108.35 before rotating lower, emphasising buyer weakness.
Moves below current demand re-opens the risk of a return to support at 105.01.
H4 timeframe:
Brought forward from previous analysis -
Recent developments on the H4 timeframe reveal price movement to be carving out a consolidation between supply at 107.60/107.42 and demand coming in from 106.39/106.64.
Traders will also note the latter comes with a 161.8% Fib ext. level at 106.67 and is situated within the upper boundary of daily demand from 105.70/106.66.
Outside of the aforesaid range, peaks around 107.77 and the 108.09 level represent resistance, while through demand we can see support at 105.99.
H1 timeframe:
Trendline support (106.66) made an entrance heading into US trade Monday, as price movement whipsawed through the 100-period simple moving average. 107 support is located close by, while a turn higher may witness 107.50 call for attention. Additional support can also be found at 106.70.
Structures of Interest:
Partially altered from previous analysis -
Daily demand at 105.70/106.66 recently re-joined the fight, albeit echoing a fragile tone.
Supply at 107.60/107.42 and demand from 106.39/106.64 on the H4 are likely to remain on the radar, particularly the latter owing to the confluence it brings to the table. Therefore, 106.70 H1 support could be a level worth featuring on the watchlist, should we nudge past 107.
Alternatively, H1 buyers may favour 107 for a bounce on the basis we’ll likely trip sell-stop liquidity under current H1 trendline support.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.