USD/JPY Short: Two potential Ideas
On montly we had an upmove without FVGs. The previous month showed some rejection, but stayed inside: This gives us potential for a rotation into the middle. The weekly chart is still confined in the big downwards candle and took the previous week low. The current day close is clearly below the previously mentioned weekly low. This move was carried by clear 4h-FVGs. This gives us two options:
Idea 1:
More on the bigger scale. A quick spike in the upcomming 1-2 4h candles with a clear rejection on the latest 4h-FVG would be an ideal trade location for short. I would like to see price around 156.37 and try to get an lower timeframe entry, e.g. on 15-30min. The ideal approach would not show any bullish FVGs on a lower timeframe like 30min.
Idea 2:
More aggressive, since 4h could attract market. But if we build another 30min candle and manage to produce a bearish FVG, we would have the potential for an earlier reversal. In this scenario it would be ideal to close the last bullish FVG beforehand. The 2nd indicated candle should then a rejection on the FVG and could give a good entry. This scenario stays active for me unless we either build more bullish FVGs or go below the current days low.
The first Take Profit, e.g. first half, would be the current days low around 155.95 - be wary to get a small stop for a good CRV. The 2nd half should be trailed.
Idea 1:
More on the bigger scale. A quick spike in the upcomming 1-2 4h candles with a clear rejection on the latest 4h-FVG would be an ideal trade location for short. I would like to see price around 156.37 and try to get an lower timeframe entry, e.g. on 15-30min. The ideal approach would not show any bullish FVGs on a lower timeframe like 30min.
Idea 2:
More aggressive, since 4h could attract market. But if we build another 30min candle and manage to produce a bearish FVG, we would have the potential for an earlier reversal. In this scenario it would be ideal to close the last bullish FVG beforehand. The 2nd indicated candle should then a rejection on the FVG and could give a good entry. This scenario stays active for me unless we either build more bullish FVGs or go below the current days low.
The first Take Profit, e.g. first half, would be the current days low around 155.95 - be wary to get a small stop for a good CRV. The 2nd half should be trailed.
Trade closed: target reached:
Idea No. 1 played out as explained above