USDJPY Outlook 2/21

Updated
Overall bearish outlook on UJ, if structure gives short term buy signals, there may be buy opportunity early next week into continued sells.
Note
UJ Long Idea

Expectiing price to return to novice zone after breaking strucuture. smaller timeframe has shifted externally and internally.

Risks:
Small timeframe buy in a higher timeframe bearish trend.
Entry is at asia low liquidity (however asia highs and lows appear protected for JPY pairs)

Profit target is the asia high within novice zone snapshot snapshot
Note
Trade active. 2/21 is a US bank holiday. low volume.

snapshot
Note
Added to position with tight stop due to shifts on 1 minute timeframe.

snapshot
Note
Initial positions stopped out at mitigated SL. re-entered with tight SL snapshot
Note
Last try on UJ idea. Do not like how many times i re-entered this trade. next time just let original entry and risk play.

snapshot
Note
UJ shifted externally off POI. Watching for internal shift, most likely will be bullish during Asia session.

Risks: There is an imbalance void below this POI, idea is that price will clear upside liquidity before filling it, however price could chose to clear this instead. snapshot snapshot
Note
snapshot

UJ short idea

Structure fulfilled
POI fulfilled (RTO)
Liquidity fulfilled
Protocol fulfilled

Trade justified
Trade active
snapshot

Trade active
Trade active
1st TP hit snapshot
Note
Price is ranging, SL moved to above structure. snapshot
Trade closed: stop reached
snapshot

Nothing lost here as you hit prop trading challenge profit goals.

However SL placed prematurely. Wait for a mitigation and a break of structure before placing stoploss. Your first take profit is what gives you the leeway to let price breathe.

Trust in your analysis until it is invalidated.
ForexfxjpyTrend AnalysisujUSDJPY

Let the algo show you its hand.
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