XVG still correcting
Updated
- On monthly time frame the RSI is above its SMA. A slightly bullish scenario.
- This could lead us to the upper trendline, so something like ~0.02
- If we see some more momentum building up, for example a bullish diVERGEnce on the RSI, it could continue breaking the upper trendline with a body (not just a wick) (and holding it as support with the following candle(s)).
- If momentum is weak or we are simply too early, we could just finalize the ABCDE pattern and visit the lower trendline. ~0.0012 would still be in valid ranges.
- If we continue with the pattern, then at some point 2026 - 2029 a breakout to the top would be the most likely outcome according to general technical analytic rules.
- If it fails to break out or does even fail to develop a trading channel above key support levels, then everything to the downside is possible.
___
The red dashed lines mark gaps. (Yes, (CME) gaps are also applicable to many other assets...)
We have a few gaps below current price, there is a tiny one close to ATH as well.
On the 6M time frame is a gap in the making (could confirm tonight) at ~0.0024 which gives us a hint that there is a somewhat higher likelihood to re-visit those levels and close the gap anywhere in the future. (Could be in years, in days, or never...)
___
Non of the above is a trading advice, all of the above might be completely wrong. Nothing is guaranteed. I am not a professional. Use this information for your own research. Do not invest anything which you cannot afford to lose.
Have a great day!
- This could lead us to the upper trendline, so something like ~0.02
- If we see some more momentum building up, for example a bullish diVERGEnce on the RSI, it could continue breaking the upper trendline with a body (not just a wick) (and holding it as support with the following candle(s)).
- If momentum is weak or we are simply too early, we could just finalize the ABCDE pattern and visit the lower trendline. ~0.0012 would still be in valid ranges.
- If we continue with the pattern, then at some point 2026 - 2029 a breakout to the top would be the most likely outcome according to general technical analytic rules.
- If it fails to break out or does even fail to develop a trading channel above key support levels, then everything to the downside is possible.
___
The red dashed lines mark gaps. (Yes, (CME) gaps are also applicable to many other assets...)
We have a few gaps below current price, there is a tiny one close to ATH as well.
On the 6M time frame is a gap in the making (could confirm tonight) at ~0.0024 which gives us a hint that there is a somewhat higher likelihood to re-visit those levels and close the gap anywhere in the future. (Could be in years, in days, or never...)
___
Non of the above is a trading advice, all of the above might be completely wrong. Nothing is guaranteed. I am not a professional. Use this information for your own research. Do not invest anything which you cannot afford to lose.
Have a great day!
Note
"D" was reached, JIT!- I am not so confident target "E" is actually coming, it could be easily skipped. The recent structure could be seen as a one-two setup.
Like Steve says, it is more risky to be out, than to be in!
- No trading advice, dyor!
Have a great time!
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.