Technical trading part 2Technical analysis is a trading strategy used by investors to identify new investment possibilities. To anticipate future price movements of stocks or other assets, for example, past price and volume data is studied and shown on graphic charts, where trends, patterns, and technical indicators can be identified.
AB=CD
HOW THE HARMONIC PATTERNS HELP IN OPTION TRADING AND VOLATILITYThe underlying chart gives us the data but it is important to look into the options chart for the trade.
We normally wait for the breakouts to happen in the underlying chart but they happen way ahead in the options chart. By the time we take a trade in the options, it would have been late in options pricing.
Below is the bank nifty options chart
You can see that the breakouts are happening in both charts.
Normally, the terminal bar price for a XACBD bearish butterfly pattern will be at the 1.618 fib ratio. However, for the shorts who enter at this level, the stop loss will be the next fib ratio i.e., 2 in this case.
Shorts who entered at 1.618 would have exited in a loss at 2 level, then the price reversed drastically. The long traders who thought there would be a short-covering are trapped mercilessly.
This pattern would have benefitted the traders who entered at point B (164.5) and trailed until 1.618 level ( D=197). The price pushed above until 2 (212) but hasn't closed above it and came down quickly. This trade would have given at least 20% for the longs.
What I've learned from the harmonics in the volatile and fast-moving scripts is that always mark stop-loss levels also and wait for the price action to proceed.
This post is just to show the importance of harmonics in options trading and for educational purposes. Give a like and leave a comment if this helps you.
Happy trading :)
TRADE SETUP WITH ABCD PATTERN. GET YOUR SWINGS RIGHT. NIFTY50This tutorial is on the ABCD pattern and the instrument used here is Nifty 50.
ABCD patterns are harmonics patterns from which swings lows and swing highs can be forecasted. The present situation is a bearish ABCD pattern. Each point denotes endpoints of the swings. A, B and C denote known swing points whereas D denotes the new swing high.
The trade setup is explained on the chart for both longs and shorts.
On breakout of point B, a swing high is taken out and point D would be our new swing high or it might be in the PRZ.
For shorts, directly you could open a position at point D but confirmation is breaking off the trendline in the shorter timeframe.
The profit-taking for the short position will be at 0.382-0.618 fib retracements of CD. The price bounced off from the 0.618 fib retracement.
Harmonic patterns give us decent risk-reward ratios for the trades. Practicing these and getting the logic would make us a lot better.
You can check out my ideas where I often use harmonics to analyze and give a trade setup.
This is just an educational post. Going long and short immediately could not be practical at all times. :)
BTCUSD Corrective harmonic wave BTCUSD is in the built of a "Harmonic Deep Crab Pattern".
It seems the demand and supply of the asset have been in a very volatile zone.
If the asset breaks 30500 then the probability of the price to reach PRZ will be very high.
Now, this PRZ will work as a supply zone for a short period or create momentum to boost the asset to the given bullish target.
BTCUSD Probable Retracements and ExtensionsBTCUSD has given the highest move now if it breaks $19000 level( fib retracement level of AB 0.236) then there will be a buying opportunity at $18434 (fib retracement level of AB 0.618) and $18118 ( fib retracement level of AB 0.718) level).
It may target till all the important extensions of AB ( i.e. 1 ,1.272 and 1.618) in USD terms the targets may be $19905, $20307 and $20814 levels.
The Precise 13096 number, 1.27AB = CD Alternate Harmonic!By the observing from left to the right-hand side for AB = CD and 1.27/1.618AB=CD most precise Potential Reversal Zones ( PRZ ) of alternate Harmonic Pattern.
The next important level for, Alternate 1.27AB = CD at 13096 can be used to determine other potential Reversal Points.
1.27 AB = CD 13096
AB = CD was at 12765 and the price slightly crossover it.
1) High Potential to win : (Selling Ran ge of NIFTY)
2) High Potential to win : (Selling level 13086 )
Below Links is my deepest research for you as usual.
NIFTY 500
Harmonic Trading Patterns have several patterns, one among them is AB=CD, currently CNX 500 has shown a reversal from the PRZ signifying bearishness. Fresh bullishness as per the pattern would happen only if it negates the pattern above 9500, the strength of the pattern reversal would further accelerate below 9000 for its expected retrace levels as per theory of 38-50-62% which are near 8500-8200-8000
Nifty & NIFTYITNifty is making a Cup & Handle in lower time frame, a breakout level coincides with the Bearish AB=CD between 9600-9650 which I had already suggested as a possible level in my previous tweets, view would go wrong below 9100. At the same time NIFTY IT in hourly is on the verge of an IHS breakout which suggest 13500 as a probable level. Both suggested levels could be the culmination zones for now at least for the bounce which started from 7500.
NiftyNifty through the week was within a falling channel making Lower Lows and Lower Highs. At close today it came into the PRZ of 3 Bullish Harmonic Patterns, namely, Shark, Bat & Gartley. If it were to reverse from this level it needs to survive above 11940 for an hour at least. Then it could move all the way back to test the falling channel at 111975-12025. From that range (or on failure to hold 11885) we could expect the next set of 3 Bullish Harmonic Patterns. namely, Alt Shark, Bat & AB=CD get active between 11830-11860 to conclude this slanting channel trend