Harmonictraders
HOW THE HARMONIC PATTERNS HELP IN OPTION TRADING AND VOLATILITYThe underlying chart gives us the data but it is important to look into the options chart for the trade.
We normally wait for the breakouts to happen in the underlying chart but they happen way ahead in the options chart. By the time we take a trade in the options, it would have been late in options pricing.
Below is the bank nifty options chart
You can see that the breakouts are happening in both charts.
Normally, the terminal bar price for a XACBD bearish butterfly pattern will be at the 1.618 fib ratio. However, for the shorts who enter at this level, the stop loss will be the next fib ratio i.e., 2 in this case.
Shorts who entered at 1.618 would have exited in a loss at 2 level, then the price reversed drastically. The long traders who thought there would be a short-covering are trapped mercilessly.
This pattern would have benefitted the traders who entered at point B (164.5) and trailed until 1.618 level ( D=197). The price pushed above until 2 (212) but hasn't closed above it and came down quickly. This trade would have given at least 20% for the longs.
What I've learned from the harmonics in the volatile and fast-moving scripts is that always mark stop-loss levels also and wait for the price action to proceed.
This post is just to show the importance of harmonics in options trading and for educational purposes. Give a like and leave a comment if this helps you.
Happy trading :)
Bank-nifty short term harmonic Forecast ( Time zone Forecast))It seems Bank nifty is in Uptrend I have done a study on harmonic patterns.
As of now it is at the mid of CD leg so following things may happen...
1) If it sustain above 29412 then it may give a TGT 29550 , TGT 29825 , TGT 30170 , Final TGT 30625
2) Now if it start reversal from this level i.e. 29790 and breaks 28550 then we will get a TGT 27990
3) If It start reversal from 29790 level and breaks 28550 then we will get a TGT 27745
4) If it start reversal from 30200 level and breaks 28550 then we will get a TGT 27532
The probability reversal time zone is 26th to 27th December 2020
NIFTYIt might be forming a THREE VALLEYS & A RIVER in hourly time frame. It has two bearish Harmonic Trading Patterns at 11875 (Deep Crab) and at 11975 (Alt Shark). "If" a REVERSAL were to occur from that zone then the downside expected levels could be 11750 / 11550 / 11400. The negation point would be at 12020
DOW JONESDJIA which turned from a Bullish Harmonic AB=CD is now approaching the PRZ (28600-28800) of a Bearish Harmonic AB=CD. Like in the bullish instance which coincided with Ichimoku support, here too the expected resistance tallies with an Ichimoku weekly resistance and a falling trend line. View would negate above 28900
HDFCIt has activated a C Clamp which suggest a retracement till 1860 is probable, which is also a resistance in weekly/monthly time frame. The level also tallies with a retracement of the monthly bullish harmonic pattern as well as with a probable bearish pattern near it in lower time frame. Two studies suggesting indentical resistance ahead!
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