Price-Time Correlation: Through WavesPrice reflection through Waves
We all know that price does not moves in a straight line, it moves in waves. A graphical representation of price with respect to time always gives us a wavy structure. If you notice carefully, on any chart, these waves reflect different characteristics. Some will be longer and quicker than the others while some will be smaller and slow. The behavior of these waves could help us in identifying strength and weakness in price and hence rational decision making.
Waves Reflect Momentum
The quick or slow action of a wave with respect to time indicates its momentum. A longer wave in a small duration of time is said to have more momentum than a wave of same length in a larger time duration. It should be noted that in trading, momentum of a wave is a relative term. It means that momentum of one wave doesn't make much sense unless it is compared with the momentum of another wave(s). It is through this comparison that we can discover strength and weakness in price action.
Momentum or Human Behavior?
Please do remember that when I say strength and weakness, that means the strength and weakness of market participants. Ultimately it is the human action and psychology that is playing in the background. In the foreground what we see are the waves on Price and Time axis. So, a weaker up wave would mean that buyers were not very strong in that up move. Or a stronger down wave would mean that sellers were stronger in that wave and so on. This contrasting behavior may help us in understanding the market behavior more accurately and taking prudent trading decisions.
Also remember that Price-Time correlation does not focus on bottom picking but it provides additional confirmation that the correction/consolidation has been terminated and the larger trend has resumed. Secondly, while the market may behave differently in different geo-political environments, one should not expect identical outcomes all the time.
Let's go through the Example in Chart
Normally after a strong trend we see a correction/consolidation. A correction can be of any type but for the sake of simplicity I have taken the more popular 'abc' type structure.
Wave A
Very strong momentum up wave. Generally, very strong moves lead to consolidations.
Wave B
Strong momentum corrective wave
Wave C
🚀Momentum is weaker than both waves A and B.
🚀From A to B, the price corrected in one go whereas C is a 3-wave sub structure in itself.
🚀Also, C took more time compared to B but could not reach the high of A.
Inference- Buyers are not very strong at this stage so not a very good place for fresh buyers.
Wave D
🚀Momentum is even weaker than C.
🚀5-wave sub structure and huge time taken by the wave to reach the low of B reflects that sellers were not strong enough to push the market down.
Inference- Buyers could try for a low-risk trade.
Wave E
🚀Price breached the high of C and A in a smaller duration of time. So huge momentum.
Inference- Good to keep holding long positions and for fresh entry into small pullbacks.
For measuring time one can count the number of candles in a wave with the help of DateRange tool provided in ForecastingandMeasurementTools Tab on the left pane of Tradingview chart page OR sometimes simply eyeballing a chart would serve the purpose.
Disclaimer: This is a very simple but strong concept, and I am not the sole follower or proponent of it.
Hope it added to your knowledge. Do hit the 🚀 button and share your experiences regarding momentum trading in the comment 💬 section below.
Thanks.
Priceactiontrading
Bullish and Bearish Harami candles concept Educational Post
Bullish Harami
Bullish Harami is candle stick pattern which shows counter attack by bull on bear entering the support zone.
Significance of candle stick pattern is at support level of charts.
Bullish(Green) candle should gap up from close of bearish(Red) candle and close should be above the median of bearish(red) candle with volume.
Bearish Harami
Bearish Harami is candle stick pattern which shows counter attack by Bear on bulls entering the resistance zone.
Significance of candle stick pattern is at resistance level of charts.
Bearish(red) candle should gap down from close of bullish(green) candle and close should be below the median of bull(green) candle with volume.
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Happy Trading!!!
The Ultimate Price Action Breakdown Strategy Preface
Alright, the operation started after creating an extreme low at 120.20. Price has created an upward channel from the extreme low, where the equilibrium has occurred between bull and bear traders. Control line has given eleven touches, which shows the strong gravitation at the middle.
Here, we can see four reversals on the upper band, and three reversal points occurred on the lower band.
We have two opportunities:
1. Now, the price is on the H-line, and the breakout of the h line indicates the lower band touch.
2. Bull can buy at excess, or they can enter at reappearing in the value area for the target of the control line.
Every beginner who wants to start trading with naked strategy (without indicator) can use this method because the price is the thing that will pay you.
Let me explain to you important aspects of the breakdown strategy.
Value area:
A zone in which bulls and bears both are satisfied to stay within it.
In this zone, supply and demand equally exist.
Ascending Value area:
Range-Bound Value area:
Descending Value Area:
Value area has two bands:
Upper band:
Upper band indicates demand-supply.
In this chart, the price has taken four reversals from the upper band to maintain the equilibrium.
The upper band put a stop to the bull power.
Lower Band:
The lower band indicates demand pressure.
In this chart, the price has taken three reversals from the lower-band to maintain the equilibrium.
The lower band put a stop to bear power.
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No trading zone:
In order to respond to either bull or bears initiative, the price creates an area. In which no trading activities have taken.
It helps to find the weakness of any particular move.
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H Line:
After completing the last share move, the price creates the bulk trading activities, where bulls' power becomes dull.
Breakout of the H-line indicates the cease of the particular move.
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Excess:
Excess is regret and fake-out.
In simple words , price breaks the upper band and again re-enter into the parallel channel.
Buying or selling at the excess is the perfect deal. An excess is a signal of reversal.
The psychology behind the control line :
Price is forming in the parallel channel, but bulls are not satisfied with the current trend. That's why bulls increase demand pressure to break the upper band of the value area. After breaking the upper band, bulls face some problems with profit booking. Now, bulls realize that the price is not going up. Bulls give up on the thought of trend change. Bears were watching this patiently. And after they realize that prices are too high, they increase supply pressure above the upper band of the channel. Now bulls are out of the market, and the seller has maintained the equilibrium & Vice versa.
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Control line:
The Control line is the gravitation point of any value area. We can draw by connecting the reversal points in the middle.
The more the points are available, the higher the effectiveness.
Please note that the price can not stay away from the control line of the value area. We can use it as a price target or breakout trade.
Here, the price has given eleven touches on the control line.
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Breakout or breakdown of the channel:
Bulls and bears both disagree with the current price trend.
Either bulls or breaks out the value area by giving consistent closing.
It often happens after a complex correction or trend change.
I will upload practical work on this idea. Kindly wait for the implementation.
Thank you for your support.
To be continued.....
How to better time your entry and exit in Swing Trading?This charts shows the possible areas where one can look for trading opportunities (through Price Action Strategy) and be profitable from it. Swing Trading is better for beginners in Stock Market and Price Action is one of the ways to approach Stock Market. Through Price Action, one can identify the current market structure (uptrend/downtrend/sideways) and so better trading decisions can be made, which will pave way to better time entry and exit. Drawing trendlines, patterns, support and resistance and reading candlestick patterns are some of the ways in Price Action Trading. A good price volatility of a stock is essential especially from the traders perspective, as traders tend to make profit from the market using its volatility. Another important thing in taking up a trade is choosing the right Time Frame because in terms of volatility many of the stocks would fit into 1 Day time frame, some stocks would fit into 1 hour time frame, 4 hour time frame or 30 mins time frame etc. With all this in consideration, one can be expected to make entry in breakouts and shorting in breakdown. One should manually go through as much charts as possible and add to their watchlist that fits into their strategy. This roadmap is one of many ways to approach trading in Stock Market. This is just for Educational purpose. Thank You
Pure Price Action Trading - Nifty/Banknifty Hello Traders! Here we gonna learn how one can trade Nifty/Banknifty using pure price action and get better results
Assuming that one knows what is Support and Resistance & know about candlesticks
So traders, all you need is to draw the support/resistance levels on your chart, here I've draw S/R levels in Banknifty and
timeframe I'm using is 15 mins for Intraday trading.
After plotting the Support/Resistance levels once the market opens we'll observe the market trend and we'll trade as per
the trend. So here we can see on 15 mins time frame that #Banknifty was making Higher high and Higher low so
as per that we can say it's a short term uptrend and on the current day the market opens below the previous swing
high and candle formation open = high indicates selling pressure
So here after the 15 min 1st candle closes on the small time frame of 5 min we can see a candle rejection from S/R zone
here we can take entry, it's #Banknifty so as an option buyer we'll short market by buying a PUT of near Out of the Money
After we'll set out stop loss before the entry candle in 5 min time frame and lot size is according to risk management
then here comes a flip zone, a S/R zone which act as flip zone that market can reverse or continue, at here we'll trail our SL to
cost, and on the chart one can see the candle gave a small pullback from flip zone S/R level but pullback was weak and market
continued to fell from broken support zone
Later we can see how prices reacting from support/resistance levels and finally it reversed from support zone
Price action is beauty, one can draw support/resistance levels and take action as per the price movement, candlesticks and trend
play an import role
Trend Continuation PatternBullish Flag Chart Pattern: Tata Chemicals
Description:
The flag represents a brief pause in a dynamic market move & one of the requirements for a flag pattern is that it should proceed by a sharp and almost straight-line move.
It represents situations where a step advance or decline has gotten ahead of itself, and where the market pauses briefly to "catch its breath " before running off again in the same direction.
Construction of Flag & Pole pattern:
The flag resembles a parallelogram or rectangle market by two parallel trendlines that tend to slope against the prevailing trend.
The flag usually occurs after a sharp move & represents a brief pause in the trend.
The flag should slope against the trend. Volume should dry up during the formation & built again on the breakout .
How to trade flag and pole patterns:
The sideways period is often followed by another sharp rise. This is where the trading opportunity comes in. Once the flag pole and a flag or have formed, traders watch for the price to breakout above the upper flag/trend line. When this occurs, enter a long trade.
Conclusion:
1-Flag patterns are a commonly used technical analysis tool and majorly a choice of breakout traders and swing traders.
2- Flag is formed when there is a minor profit booking in either an uptrend or a downtrend.
3- The pole is formed by a line that represents the primary trend in the market.
4- It is important that flags are preceded by a sharp advance or decline.
Educational Idea given on simple price Action TradeThis is simple price action trade idea given to our clients today on bata india stock. This stock is in our watch list & keeping any eye on the movement since yesterday on breaking the trend line entry has been taken in the trade. In this trade Risk to Reward ration is 1.80 which is very good .Also the target hit within few hours profit booked & out of the trade with very simple learning. All the important levels have been marked on the charts for your knowledge. So keep practice & find out good trade opportunity.
This is pure Educational ideas given to improve your technical analysis. In case any doubt clarity please feel free to ask.
How I got 10 points in BANDHANBNKBANDHANBNK was in my radar from last three days, since yellow trendline was tested by many times hence it became weaker. Today morning when price crossed pink line which was yesterday high, i entered into the trade 276.45 with SL 266 below the yellow trendline and keeping the momentum in my mind because of expiry day I took R:R 1:1. and booked my profit at 286.25
Like & Comment if you learn something from this post.
Missed BD in M&M, however captured 5 pointsI have selected M&M yesterday for Today session(8th June 20) since it was forming a nice pattern in 15min TF.
I missed the BD, however i have entered once price crossed the pink line(previous day low) and got 5 points. Target was the green line(day before yesterday low).
Entry - 474.9
Exit - 469.5
Please like & comment, if you learn something from this post.
Bata IndiaCurrently bata india is in the state of indecision of going up or down . Previously it shown some choppy movement , which is not enough to get information . If the market is sustain in these levels for 15-30 min you can open the trade with low quantity . This all are for educational purpose only , i am not perfect in market . you can see my previous analysis of axis bank and nifty , which were near to perfection .
price action Analysis for tomorrow . This all are educational purpose only , don't trade without proper money management . You can see my previous nifty analysis , which is nearly accurate . Guys this is 1Hr time frame , do trade on 5 and 15 min TF only . If the trendline broken the supports are drawn below .
Through the analysis with price action currently the market is choppy (indecision). Trade with low exposer .