Get started

Volumepriceanalysis

Volume price analysis & Volume Divergence Cheat sheetWhat makes volume price analysis so crucial? Volume and price analysis play a major role in trading and investing. Volume analysis helps traders and investors identify whether there is significant interest in a particular security. It also helps to identify potential buying and selling pressure, which can be useful in predicting future price movements. Price analysis helps to identify trends and price patterns, which can be useful in making trading and investing decisions. Volume and price analysis are important tools that can be used to spot trading opportunities and make sound decisions. 2 important things to keep in mind when analysing volume: 1. An increase in volume shows that market players are eager to participate in the developing market activity and want to see the price move higher in an uptrend or lower in a downtrend and are willing to buy higher in an uptrend or sell lower in a downtrend. 2. A drop in volume shows that traders are less interested in seeing prices rise in an uptrend or fall in a downtrend and are more eager to purchase lower in an upswing and sell higher in a downtrend. Volume Divergence: It is essential to check whether price and volume patterns are similar when comparing them. In that case, there is a good chance that the trend will continue. A volume divergence occurs when price and volume diverge, which indicates that the underlying trend may not be as strong. According to my observations, whenever a stock is trading at a high volume, it seems to strongly trend either upward or downward. Here are some important concepts in volume price analysis: 1.When the price of a stock rises with increased volume, it indicates that the bull trend is stronger and buyers are interested, and this is a trend continuation signal. 2. If the stock price rises but volume decreases, it indicates that the bull trend is weakening and may reverse, and buyers are not interested. Price and volume divergence suggest a trend reversal. 3. If the price is falling while the volume is increasing, it indicates that the bearish trend is quite strong and sellers are active. 4. if the price is falling and the volume is decreasing, it indicates that the bearish trend is weakening and will soon reverse, signifying divergence between price and volume and a trend reversal.
NSE:ELGIEQUIPEducation
by AfnanTAjuddin
13
Elgi Equipments ELGIEQUIP - Positional Trading I have based my analysis on Stan Weinstein's framework on Weekly chart where price structure, 30 weekly MA, volume and relative strength (not RSI) play a role in analysing the trend. Personally, I like stocks near ATH because it tells me that prior resistance has been broken. It is important for me to select stocks that have strong relative strength against a particular index such as Nifty Infra in this case (Elgi makes compressors and they are capital goods for industry) or Nifty 500 the broader market. The area where price is moving up (marked with a green upward arrow) is defined as Stage 2 structure according to Stan Weinstein. After this, we see a Stage 3 structure marked with a black box. During Stage 3 structure, price is rangebound and this period can be for many weeks or months. Remember, this is where we lose TIME. And for traders (and also Investors), TIME is important. I have marked a breakout candle (in orange) and that is where I like to enter provided I see confirmation on volumes (marked with orange in the volume histogram). Stan Weinstein says Positional Traders should ride the trend and exit stocks only when they start trading below the 30 weekly MA. He further says not to buy in LH LL structure because there is no way one can tell how far or how long can the fall be. See for yourself how often stock stays lower. The breakout candle of 10 August 2020 is of importance. Note the volume expansion. Also note that retracement is till the mid point of the 10 August 2020 candle and stock does not fall anymore. The candles of 9 November 2020 and 7 December 2020 are also very important. The latter breaks prior pre-pandemic resistance. Around this time the Relative Strength of the stock starts outperforming against the broader market i.e. Nifty 500. Analysis is easy on hindsight. What would I do if I were to take a buy call now? I will go long only when I see a breakout candle (marked in orange) confirmed by Volumes. Because Nifty is near ATH and in Stage 3 structure, there are two things that might happen. It may again start a new Stage 2 structure or form a Stage 4 structure which is start falling from the box. Hence in a market like this, I would shift to the Daily chart, add a 50 Daily MA and if the stock breaches 50DMA and goes lower, I will exit 50% of my holding. And if it breaches the nearest swing low, I will exit completely- the candle of 27 May 2021 on Daily chart. This is a variation from Stan Weinstein's framework. Disclaimer- This is not an investment or trading buy/sell advice. The purpose is to share knowledge and learn from the community. I am not invested in the stock as on date.
NSE:ELGIEQUIPEducation
by culturalDealer79974
2