Gold Holds Steady — Is Another Rally Brewing?Gold prices are holding firm above the key zone around $3,330/oz, showing resilience despite the market slowing down for the Easter holiday. While price action is currently sideways, the bullish momentum hasn't faded.
Ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and U.S. trade policy shifts continue to fuel safe-haven demand for gold. For now, resistance stands near $3,353, with a solid support base forming around $3,300.
After a strong rally, gold may enter a brief phase of consolidation before building fresh momentum. The ideal approach? Watch for pullbacks to key areas like the EMA 34 or support zones — or wait for a clean breakout above resistance to jump in once the market regains full liquidity.
Stick with the trend, traders — and don’t forget to secure your trades with proper TP and SL. Stay sharp!
Community ideas
Gold rebounds from $3284 to $3328: Next Resistance $3332 & $3343Thursday's US session witnessed sharp retracement to 3284 aligning with long time resistance turned support trendline and was quickly followed by bullish rebound towards 3328 which meets descending trendline resistance.
Further upside requires strong break above 3332 to reclaim overhead resistance 3343
If Gold finds enough buying strength above 3343, next advance targets retest of 3358.
Major upside may reach 3380 followed by 3398
On the flip side, 3322-3312 is immediate support below which further decline may reach 3296-3280
If 3280 fails to act as support, downward momentum shift will extend decline to 3245
XAUUSD pulls back to key support – uptrend intactOANDA:XAUUSD is trading in a clear uptrend, after breaking the medium-term ascending trendline and confirming the breakout from the key resistance zone around the 3,300 USD level. The strong bullish momentum helped the price establish a short-term peak at 3,358 USD, before entering a necessary pullback to regenerate market momentum.
At present, price action shows that gold is trending toward a technical pullback into the confluence support area around 3,296 USD. This is a particularly important area, where the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement cluster, the previously broken ascending trendline now acting as support, and the price zone that once served as strong resistance all converge. If this support zone holds and confirmation signals appear from price action, the bullish scenario will be reactivated, opening up the opportunity to reach the extended target zone around 3,458 USD, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci level and also the expected zone according to the previous bullish wave.
However, if this support zone is clearly broken, the bullish scenario will temporarily lose validity, and the risk of a deeper correction toward lower support areas will become more significant.
Always confirm your setup and manage your risk accordingly.
Good luck!
"Bitcoin Short Setup: Eyeing 1:3 Risk-Reward in Next 48 Hours"Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance levels, with bearish divergence on the 4H RSI and potential rejection from a major supply zone. If price confirms a breakdown below immediate support, a short position targeting a 1:3 risk-reward ratio could materialize within the next two days. Key levels, entry/exit points, and stop-loss zones detailed in the analysis.
SBIN (NSE:SBIN) Breakout Alert: Inverse H&S Targets 835/875
Timeframe: Daily
Key Levels: Resistance: 786 (neckline of Inverse H&S).
Pattern & Context:
-Inverse Head & Shoulders nearing breakout confirmation.
-Price stabilizing post-gap-down, signaling potential bullish reversal.
Confirmation Needed:
-Breakout Candle: Strong close above 786 with elevated volume.
Trade Setup (Post-Breakout):
Entry: Retest/close above 786 with volume support.
Targets: 835 (pattern-derived), 875 (next key resistance).
Broader Market Check:
-Ensure bullish alignment in indices (Nifty/Bank Nifty).
Risk: Failure to sustain above 786 negates the setup.
Wait for volume-backed breakout before trading.
This idea is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading carries risk—only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting. The author assumes no liability for losses incurred.
XAUUSD:1H Channel Up bottomed and is rebounding for the new HHGold is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 52.820, MACD = 3.110, ADX = 23.525) and as it just crossed under its 1H MA50 and rebounded, we have the conditions for the new bullish wave of the short term Channel Up. We are aiming for another +4.45% rise (TP = 3,425).
How Institutions Trap Retail Traders & The Blueprint to Outsmart✍️ Intro:
You’re not losing trades because you're unlucky.
You're losing because you’re playing in someone else’s trap.
This post reveals the actual game behind price movement — one that 95% of retail traders don’t even know exists.
Welcome to Liquidity Hunting — the psychological and structural method smart money uses to take your stop, steal your position, and use your exit to fund their entry.
🔍 What is Liquidity in Real Terms?
Most people throw around the word “liquidity” without really getting it.
Let’s define it clearly:
Liquidity = Clusters of pending orders (mostly stop-losses and pending breakouts).
Whenever a lot of traders are positioned in the same direction — their stop-losses naturally pool together. This forms a liquidity pocket that smart money can use.
Now ask yourself:
Where do most retail SLs sit?
Just below recent support.
Just above recent resistance.
Exactly where the wick comes before reversing, right?
That’s not coincidence.
That’s intentional.
🎯 The True Intent of Smart Money
Institutions can’t enter markets like you do. They're trading massive volumes.
They need:
Liquidity to get filled
Retail to take the opposite side
A reason to justify the move
So they create a false narrative.
They build chart patterns that scream “Buy now!” or “Sell breakout!”
They get retail to commit.
Then they run price into your SL — collect it — and move the opposite direction.
They use your exit…
As their entry.
⚙️ The Mechanics of a Liquidity Hunt (With Sequence)
Step 1: Build the Trap
Smart money allows price to form:
Multiple equal highs/lows
Clean support and resistance
A trendline with touches
A breakout zone with “fake pressure”
Retail traders get sucked into this illusion.
They start buying support. Selling resistance. Placing SLs behind the obvious.
That’s where liquidity builds up.
Step 2: The Sweep
Once enough liquidity is sitting there, the trap is activated.
Price makes a sharp move into that zone
Takes out every SL or triggers breakout orders
Retail thinks it’s a breakout or trend continuation
But it’s just a liquidity grab
This is the sweep.
You see a massive wick or a sudden engulfing move into the zone.
Retail thinks:
“It’s breaking out!” → But really, it’s sucking them in.
Step 3: The Shift (MSS/BOS)
Immediately after the sweep, smart money:
Exits their fake move
Reverses direction
Breaks recent structure
This Market Structure Shift (MSS) or Break of Structure (BOS) is your real signal.
This is where retail gets trapped and frozen.
Stopped out. Missed the reversal.
Or worse — still holding the wrong side.
Step 4: Entry Opportunity (FVG / OB Zones)
Price now pulls back to:
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a sudden imbalance caused by fast moves
A Bullish/Bearish Order Block — the last candle before the impulse
This pullback is where smart money re-enters to scale.
This is your sniper entry zone.
Low risk
High RR
Emotionally clean (because you waited, not chased)
📚 Real-World Chart Example
Let’s say Gold is trading at 1980.
You see clean resistance at 2000 — multiple rejections.
Retail thinks:
“When 2000 breaks, I’m buying. Target 2010. SL below 1995.”
Price pushes to 2000. Breaks 2002.
Everyone enters long.
Then — sudden drop to 1987, stops out all entries.
Then price shoots to 2020 without them.
Classic sweep.
You see it daily.
🚨 Common Retail Mistakes That Get Hunted
Blind Breakout Trading – Entering without thinking who’s on the other side
Fixed SLs below structures – Same spot as everyone = easy to trap
Emotionally Chasing – No plan, just FOMO entries
Lack of Patience – Not waiting for confirmation
🧭 How to Flip the Script: Be the Hunter
Here’s the method to become a sniper, not a victim:
✅ 1. Identify Liquidity Zones
Equal highs/lows
Clean retail structures
Obvious trendlines
That’s where SLs pile up.
✅ 2. Wait for the Sweep
Don’t jump early. Let the market:
Take out those zones
Show impulsive wick or move
Look like a breakout
✅ 3. Watch for Market Structure Shift
Break of recent structure confirms trap
Look for BOS + FVG or OB
✅ 4. Enter on the Pullback
Entry at OB or FVG = sniper.
Keep tight SL below the sweep candle or OB.
✅ 5. Ride With Confidence
You’re now in a position where:
Retail is trapped
Smart money is scaling
RR is high
Emotion is dead
🔥 Final Mindset Shift
Stop thinking like a retail trader.
Start thinking:
“If I were a bank, where would I trap people?”
Because that’s what institutions do — every single day.
They don’t chase. They trap.
They don’t trade signals. They build them.
They don’t follow trends. They reverse them.
Now that you know the game…
Trade the trap. Not the bait.
Will XVG complete the increasing inertia?All-Time High (ATH): $0.2618 on December 24, 2017
All-Time Low (ATL): $0.00000223 on February 6, 2015
2017 Bull Market:
XVG experienced a significant surge, increasing from $0.00001929 to $0.222127, marking a 1,151,471.13% rise.
2018 Bear Market:
The price declined sharply from $0.222127 to $0.006825, a decrease of approximately 96.93%.
2020-2021 Bull Market:
In 2020, XVG started at around $0.00325 and approached $0.01 by year-end.
In 2021, the price briefly reached $0.07.
UseTheBitcoin
2022 Bear Market:
XVG's price dropped significantly, with a total annual decrease of approximately 84.22%.
CoinCodex
2023 Recovery:
The price showed signs of recovery, increasing by about 46.88% over the year.
Current Price (as of April 17, 2025):
$0.00422838
Verge (XVG) has experienced significant volatility, with substantial gains during bull markets and notable declines during bear markets. Its all-time high remains a significant benchmark, and while recent years have seen some recovery, the price is still considerably below its peak.
If you need a more detailed breakdown or specific data points, feel free to ask!
NIFTY BULL RUNNIFTY BULL RUN - As I mentioned in earlier post of 11 Apr close - It's BULL RUN if open and sustain above 23130 levels. 1st Target 23335 and 2nd 23747 will be about to hit,
Now if sustains above 23750 levels then n ext Target will be 24150 and 24570 Levels .
However, Our Intraday Point to Point Levels also works like Magic..!!
Enjoy Levels for intraday.!!!
Nifty50 Index Analysis by Stock EngineersNifty50 Index Analysis -
Trend analysis as per Dow theory.
Important candle at the bottom of swing.
Trump tariff news impact on the market.
Gap theory in the market.
Importance of the today's candle and it's closing.
What would be the next step and level to observe.
- All above points are discussed in the above Video Analysis.
Triangle Tension: Axis at the EdgeHi friends! Sharing daily chart of Axis bank as we can see price is forming a classic Ascending triangle pattern on provided time farme a bullish setup that often signals accumulation before breakout and the price is pressing against a well established horizontal resistance which has historically acted as a strong support as marked by green arrows.
A decisive breakout above 1115 resistance backed by strong volume, could lead to a significant upward move toward marked targets. However if the price fails to break out we may see a retest of the rising trendline support.
This setup offers a clean structure for traders watching for a potential breakout or pullback entry. The pattern sketch in the chart serves as a visual reference for educational purposes.
Targets mentioned on provided chart and a good support can be consider a close below rising support line after breakout.
This idea is meant for only learning purpose.
Hope you like the publication, Thanks in advance.
Trump’s Trade Tensions Fuel Safe Haven Demand Amid USD WeaknessGold Analysis: Trump’s Trade Tensions Fuel Safe Haven Demand Amid USD Weakness 💰📈
On April 15, U.S. President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into potential tariffs on critical mineral imports, marking a further escalation in the trade dispute with global partners, especially China. This new wave of tension between the world's two largest economies has caused market sentiment to weaken, pushing investors towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar (USD) has weakened, dropping to its lowest level in three years last week, making gold more attractive for holders of other currencies.
Fed's Stance on Market Volatility: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the Federal Reserve will not intervene to "rescue" markets amid heavy volatility, emphasizing that the market is reacting to several uncertainties, particularly the ever-changing trade policies under Trump. Powell believes it's too early to determine what is really causing the volatility, and in the short term, instability could persist, partly driven by hedge funds reducing leverage.
Gold Outlook: Bullish Trend Continues:
Given the current market conditions, it’s evident that gold is likely to continue its upward momentum and reach new all-time highs (ATH). With global financial markets offering little hope for immediate monetary stimulus, as announced by the Fed, gold remains an appealing choice.
Trading Strategy:
Current View: Focus on BUY positions as the market continues to push higher. While we’re trading at ATH levels, sharp pullbacks are normal and can be expected without major news triggers.
Trade Plan: We won’t look for SELL entries at this point, but instead wait for strong market pullbacks to buy. If significant drops occur, we’ll enter BUY positions based on continuation patterns (CP) and key support levels on M15 and M30 charts.
Expected Pullback: After a strong push early in the Asian session today, the price is expected to return to the 331x - 3300 range for potential buy entries.
Key Support Levels:
3314, 3300, 3284, 3266
Key Resistance Levels:
3380, 3396, 3410
Trade Zones:
BUY ZONE: 3300 - 3298
SL: 3264
TP: 3304 - 3308 - 3312 - 3316 - 3320 - 3324 - 3330 - ???
SELL ZONE: 3396 - 3398
SL: 3402
TP: 3392 - 3388 - 3384 - 3380 - 3376 - 3370
Important Reminder:
Focus on securing BUY entries today. Although there could be sudden drops for potential SELL opportunities, they aren’t part of the plan for now. Wait for key resistance levels or psychological barriers set by other traders for potential shorting.
Always adhere to TP/SL levels to ensure your account remains safe. 🛡️
ADANI PORTS & SEZ LTD – Rectangle PatternADANI PORTS & SEZ LTD – Technical Chart Analysis
(As of April 16, 2025)
1. Pattern Structure and Breakout Observation
Adani Ports has formed a Rectangle Pattern over the last 4 months, consolidating between the ₹1200 resistance zone and the ₹1050 support zone. This pattern reflects a period of indecision and accumulation, typically resolved by a directional breakout.
- The stock has successfully broken out above the key horizontal resistance near ₹1200 on increased volume.
- This breakout indicates that the supply zone has been absorbed, and fresh demand is stepping in.
- The width of the rectangle (~₹150) gives us a projected target for the breakout, which places the next major upside zone around ₹1350.
This is a valid and tradable breakout, given the timeframe and price behavior.
2. Volume Analysis
Volume is confirming the strength of this breakout:
- On the breakout day, volume spiked sharply, which indicates strong institutional or smart money participation.
- Throughout the consolidation phase, volume remained controlled, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution.
- The volume thrust on breakout is a classical sign of pattern validation and buying strength.
Such volume behavior improves the reliability of the breakout and indicates potential for follow-through.
3. Candlestick Analysis
Candlesticks provide additional confirmation:
- The breakout candle is a bullish marubozu with little to no upper or lower wick, showing strong conviction and sustained demand throughout the trading day.
- Prior to breakout, we also saw a series of higher lows forming, which hinted at increasing buying pressure.
- No major rejection candles are visible at the breakout level, further strengthening the bullish case.
This candlestick structure reflects strong control by buyers at key resistance levels.
4. Key Trading Levels
- Breakout Level (Resistance Turned Support): ₹1200
- Support Zone: ₹1050 – This has held firm multiple times during the rectangle formation.
- Target 1: ₹1320 (Conservative target based on mid-pattern projection)
- Target 2: ₹1350–₹1360 (Full range breakout projection)
- Stop Loss: Below ₹1165 – recent swing low inside the pattern
These levels offer key zones for trade management and re-entry upon pullbacks.
5. Trade Setup and Strategy
The breakout is suited for swing and positional traders looking to capture medium-term moves.
- Entry Point: Above ₹1200–₹1210 zone. (Early breakout entries may already be filled, but pullbacks to ₹1210–₹1220 are still valid.)
- Stop Loss: Below ₹1165 to protect against false breakout and whipsaw.
- Target Zones: ₹1320 and ₹1350 as discussed.
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Currently stands close to 1:2.5, offering a well-aligned trade setup.
Traders can consider adding on dips toward the breakout zone with a tight stop.
6. Final Summary
Adani Ports has broken out of a 4-month Rectangle Pattern at ₹1200 with strong volume and momentum. This breakout marks the end of a consolidation phase and the beginning of a potential trend continuation or fresh upside leg.
The structure, supported by volume and bullish candlestick behavior, makes this a technically valid breakout. As long as the price holds above ₹1200, the sentiment remains bullish with scope toward ₹1320–₹1350.
Database TradingIn trading, "database" refers to the collection and organization of market data, used for analysis and decision-making. This data, often including real-time quotes, historical prices, and other relevant information, is stored and managed within a database system for efficient retrieval and manipulation.
Advanced Database TradingIn trading, "database" refers to the collection and organization of market data, used for analysis and decision-making. This data, often including real-time quotes, historical prices, and other relevant information, is stored and managed within a database system for efficient retrieval and manipulation.
Technical TradingTechnical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
RSI ( Relative Strength Index)The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to measure the speed and change of price movements of an asset. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is often used to identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. An RSI reading above 70 is generally considered overbought, while a reading below 30 suggests oversold conditions
KRBL LTS- Falling Wedge Breakout | Trend Reversal Signal Ahead?KRBL LTD – Falling Wedge Breakout 💥 | Trend Reversal Signal Ahead?
📅 Published on: April 17, 2025
📈 Technical Analysis:
KRBL has shown a bullish breakout from a long-term falling wedge pattern on the daily chart — a classic reversal pattern signalling a potential upward move after prolonged consolidation. The breakout candle is supported by strong volume and a bullish RSI setup.
Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish)
Breakout Price: ₹306.60
Previous Resistance Line: Now acting as support
Breakout Volume: 1.45M (above average)
🧭 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: ₹290
Major Support: ₹275
Immediate Resistance: ₹315
Next Resistance Zone: ₹330 – ₹345
Trendline Resistance (Broken): ₹300 (now support)
🔍 Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI: 66.39 — bullish, nearing overbought zone, shows strong momentum.
RSI Bullish Crossover observed in April, indicating accumulation before breakout.
🧠 Price Action Observations:
Price respected the wedge formation since March 2024.
A strong bullish candle broke above the upper wedge with conviction.
RSI confirms strength, aligning with price action breakout.
Volume surge supports the breakout's validity.
📌 Strategy (For Educational Purposes):
Entry: ₹305–310 (on retest)
Stop Loss: ₹285 (below wedge support)
Targets:
₹330
₹345
₹360+
📊 Visual Markings & Icons:
White Trendlines: Highlighting falling wedge support and resistance.
Bullish RSI Tags: Marking key bullish RSI crossovers.
Volume Spikes: Notable on breakout day.
Breakout Candle: Large green candle breaching the upper wedge line.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Survive & Succeed as an Option Buyer – Use This 2-Step Filter!Option Buyer’s Survival Setup – Only Trade When These 2 Conditions Match!
Hello Traders!
Option buying can be highly rewarding — but only if done with timing and logic. Most option buyers lose money not because of direction, but because they enter trades when volatility and structure don’t support the move . Today, let’s uncover a simple but powerful setup I use that helps option buyers survive and thrive by trading only when two key conditions align.
The 2 Conditions for Option Buyers’ Survival
1. Price Action Confirmation:
Always enter trades when the price breaks key levels with a strong candle and volume confirmation .
→ Look for breakout/rejection candles, bullish/bearish engulfing, or range breakout retest setups .
2. IV/VIX Support for Momentum:
Check India VIX or option premiums.
→ Trade only when VIX is supportive (e.g., rising or above 13–14) to allow enough premium expansion.
→ Avoid buying in low VIX chop zones unless supported by strong news or breakout.
Why This Setup Works So Well
Avoids Time Decay Traps: You enter only when a move is expected — not during sideways chop.
Improves RR Ratio: Strong confirmation = better entry + reduced SL hits.
Filters Out Noise: Stops you from overtrading every price move and focuses only on high-conviction trades.
Bonus Tips for Buyers
Prefer ATM Options in Momentum Trades for better delta and faster movement.
Exit Partial at 30–40% Move and trail remaining to maximize runners.
Don’t Trade Every Move — Wait for these 2 rules to align, or skip.
Rahul’s Tip
Being an option buyer is tough – unless you're selective. Don’t buy hope. Buy confirmation. Let structure and volatility guide your trade.
Conclusion
Option buying is a game of survival and sharp entries. If you follow these 2 key rules — structure + volatility confirmation — you’ll avoid unnecessary SL hits and capture the real moves. Discipline is your edge.
What’s your personal filter before buying options? Share below and let’s learn together!