Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis March 4Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement.
In the analysis I left today,
I would be grateful if it moves sideways without breaking the green support line.
Today's two main points of view are
Whether the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross is in progress
and
The Tether Dominance 4-hour chart center line is above
The thin section of the cloud (possibility of a crash).
I thought it would be complicated if I explained it in both directions,
so I approached it very simply.
It is an ambiguous position before the decline in Tether Dominance (tail section when taking a short position in a plunge)
Bitcoin also touched the support line of the 2-hour Bollinger Band chart today
(additional downtrend or sideways section)
Since there was no short position entry position today,
we proceeded with the final sweep (plunge) of Tether Dominance in line with the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross imprint from 9 PM to 9 AM when the 12-hour candle is created.
If you don't understand, please read it repeatedly.
*When the blue finger moves,
it is a short position strategy
short->long switching strategy.
1. $85,584.5 short position entry section / stop loss price when breaking through the pink resistance line
(The pink resistance line section is the center line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band chart based on Tether Dominance,
but since it is the order of the 4-hour chart MACD dead cross and the positive cloud is maintaining thin,
you should be careful because it can rise strongly when breaking through this section.)
2. $80,103 long position switching section / stop loss price when breaking through the blue support line
(A strong rebound before and after breaking through the blue support line is sweeping through Tether Dominance -> a crash condition.)
3. $86,935.5 long position 1st target
-> After the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross is imprinted, the 2nd target price is the top section
Currently, in Tether Dominance, the 6+12 pattern has touched the daily center line, so the mid-term pattern It's broken.
From reaching the top section, continue to maintain a long position
If the condition is Tether Dominance
Based on the recovery of the 12+ daily pattern
You can see the resistance line of the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart -> near the daily central line.
(Here, take profit and final short switching depending on the situation)
If there is no rebound in the bottom section today
You should look at the 2nd section from Gap7 at the bottom
And if it continues to fall, this week's major rebound section
I will organize it again later.
Please use my analysis article for reference and use only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Community ideas
JSW SteelAfter a long time price has formed a strong bull candle near the resistance zone. 1020 is important for the bulls to gain strength and sustain to move up.
Buy level if you are a cautious trader is above 984 - 988 zone with stop loss of 979 for the targets 996, 1003, 1011 and 1018. You can book profit or trail for further profit depending on bullish strength at the zone 1020.
Next resistance is seen at 1060 zone.
Same time you should keep these observations in mind before taking any trading decisions.
Up trend is slow and choppy though we have got good momentum today.
Price is near to the resistance zone 1020.
Bears are still hiding, that is why upward movement is slow. If they decide to take control, price can fall fast from the resistance zone.
Note : Always do your own analysis. Your decisions create changes in your capital only.
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC)- LongOil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) on a 15-minute timeframe from NSE, showing an Inverted Head and Shoulders (IHS) pattern. Let’s break it down:
1. Identification of Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern
Left Shoulder: The first smaller dip before the major drop.
Head: The lowest point in the pattern, indicating the strongest bearish move.
Right Shoulder: A higher low after the head, showing a potential reversal.
Neckline: The resistance level that connects the highs between the shoulders and head. The breakout above this neckline confirms the pattern.
2. Volume Analysis
Volume increases significantly during the breakout, confirming the validity of the pattern.
The rise in volume indicates strong buying interest, which is a bullish sign.
3. Moving Averages (EMA)
The price has crossed above the 200 EMA (purple line), which is a strong bullish signal.
The short-term moving averages (e.g., 9 EMA, 21 EMA) are also trending upwards, further supporting the bullish trend.
4. Entry and Exit Points
Entry: The best entry point is above the neckline breakout level, around 230-231, once confirmed with volume.
Stop-loss: Place a stop-loss just below the right shoulder, around 224-225.
Target (Exit Point): The projected target is calculated by adding the depth of the head to the neckline. This gives a target of around 243-244, which aligns with the previous resistance level (blue line).
Conclusion
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is confirmed with a breakout and volume spike.
Bullish bias as price has crossed above the 200 EMA.
The price is likely to move toward 243-244 INR in the short term.
This analysis is for **educational and informational purposes only** and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consult a qualified financial advisor, and use proper risk management strategies before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this analysis.
Update latest gold price todayToday, gold is experiencing slight downward pressure as trade concerns ease, although it remains supported by a weaker USD. Gold prices are currently trading around the psychological level of $2900, marking a correction of more than 130 pips intraday.
Trading Strategy:
🧑💻 XAU/USD BUY Zone: 2878 - 2880
🔹 SL: 2875
🔹 TP: 2884 - 2889 - Open
🧑💻 XAU/USD SELL Zone: 2952 - 2954
🔹 SL: 2957
🔹 TP: 2949 - 2944 - Open
BIOCON ready to moveCompany Overview
Biocon Limited is an Indian biopharmaceutical company that focuses on the research, development, and manufacturing of innovative therapies. It specializes in areas such as biosimilars, novel biologics, complex generics, and specialty formulations. With a strong emphasis on affordability and accessibility, Biocon aims to provide healthcare solutions that address unmet medical needs.
Price Chart Analysis
Current Price: ₹245.85
Trend: The stock is currently in a consolidation phase with potential for an upward breakout.
Target Levels: ₹270 (T1) ₹290 (T2) ₹310 (T3)
Levels:
Primary Support Zone: ₹207- ₹131
Swing Zone: ₹304- ₹261
Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI value is 55.30, indicating the stock is upward momentum.
Volume: 8.2M (Current period)
Key Observations
Current Price: ₹245.85
Price Change: +₹5.25 (+2.18%)
Volume: 8.2M
Timeframe: March 6, 2025
The stock is trading within a consolidation phase, suggesting potential for an upward breakout.
The RSI indicates bullish momentum, suggesting buying side.
The volume indicates a healthy level of trading activity, supporting the current price movement.
Earnings Overview
Q3 FY25 Net Profit: ₹320 crore
Q3 FY24 Net Profit: ₹280 crore
Revenue Growth: 14% increase to ₹1,450 crore
Key Highlights:
Biocon reported a net profit of ₹320 crore in Q3 FY25, compared to ₹280 crore in the same quarter last year.
The company's revenue grew by 14%, driven by strong performance in biosimilars and novel biologics segments.
Biocon continues to focus on expanding its global footprint and increasing its market share in key therapeutic areas.
Conclusion
Biocon Ltd. is showing signs of potential upward movement, with key resistance levels ahead. The slight overbought RSI suggests that there is some room for further upward movement, but caution is advised for short-term traders. Investors should watch for potential breakouts above the resistance levels and monitor the support zones for any signs of reversal.
Is it a reversal in NIFTY?If we observe the daily chart of NIFTY, a pattern like Morning Star can be seen near the 161.8% retracement level. Also, as per our previous study, the recent fall was wave (Z).
The minimum target for it is 38.2% extension (which is a failure wave (Z) because most of the time, it is seen that wave (Z) is a failure or truncated).
So, we can have a risky buying opportunity here with a small stop-loss below the recent low. Or, if one wants to play safe, he may have his stop bellow 61.8% (21662) level.
The near target will be the bottom of wave (Y), i.e., 22786.90
This analysis is based on the Elliott wave theory and Fibonacci.
This is not any buying recommendations.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Bill Ackman: The Activist Investor Who Challenges the Status Quo
Hello Traders!
Today, we’re going to explore the trading and investment philosophy of one of the most successful activist investors in the world – Bill Ackman . Known for his bold moves and unapologetic approach, Ackman has built a reputation for making large, influential investments and actively working to restructure companies in order to create value. With his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management , Ackman has turned millions into billions by taking concentrated positions in underperforming companies, often pushing for changes that he believes will improve shareholder value.
Bill Ackman’s Investment Strategy
Ackman’s investing philosophy is rooted in a few key principles that have guided his success:
Activist Investing: Ackman is known for buying large stakes in companies and pushing for significant changes. This often involves changes in management, strategy, or financial structure to unlock value. He doesn’t just buy stocks, he buys control to influence the direction of companies.
Concentrated Bets: Unlike most fund managers who diversify, Ackman makes concentrated investments, believing in a small number of high-conviction ideas. He typically goes big on the companies he believes will give the highest returns.
Long-Term Vision: While Ackman is an activist, he is also a long-term investor. He’s known to hold onto stocks for years as he works through his plans to improve the companies he invests in.
Thorough Research and Analysis: Before making any moves, Ackman ensures he has done comprehensive research. He’s known for his deep dives into a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and potential catalysts for growth.
Notable Investments and Activist Moves
Ackman’s career has been built on several high-profile, successful investments. Here are some of his best-known plays:
Herbalife: One of his most controversial investments, Ackman shorted Herbalife, claiming the company was a pyramid scheme. Despite facing heavy opposition and pressure, Ackman stuck to his position, although ultimately the trade didn’t work out as he anticipated. It became a case study in risk and persistence.
Target: Ackman took a large position in Target, pushing for changes in the company’s real estate strategy and retail business. His work with Target helped to bring greater shareholder value.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals: Ackman’s investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals initially gained massive attention. Despite the stock’s later troubles, his involvement in the company drew attention to the power of activism and led to changes in leadership at Valeant.
Chipotle Mexican Grill: Ackman has also invested in Chipotle, pushing for operational improvements and better management. His efforts have been instrumental in driving changes in the company’s strategy, helping the stock recover from earlier setbacks.
Risk Management and Position Sizing
When it comes to risk management, Ackman follows a few key strategies to minimize losses and maximize returns:
Concentration of Capital: Ackman often places large amounts of capital in a few high-conviction investments. This allows him to have a significant impact on the companies he invests in but also requires disciplined risk management and careful positioning.
Leverage and Shorting: Ackman has used leverage in some of his more aggressive plays, such as shorting positions in Herbalife, to maximize returns. This adds a level of risk, but when used correctly, it can significantly amplify his gains.
Focus on Catalyst-Driven Events: He places his investments based on company-specific catalysts like management changes, mergers, or restructurings. This allows him to predict when a stock will outperform or underperform.
What This Means for Investors
Bill Ackman’s approach to investing is not for the faint of heart. It involves big risks and big rewards. His activist investing style is about taking concentrated positions, being willing to fight for change, and holding onto those investments for the long haul.
For investors, there are valuable lessons to be learned from Ackman’s strategies:
Don’t be afraid to make big bets. If you believe in a company’s long-term potential, be prepared to back it with significant capital.
Know the companies you invest in. Ackman is famous for his in-depth research before making any move. This is a lesson for every investor – do your homework before making investment decisions.
Take a long-term view. While Ackman is an activist, he is also a patient investor. He understands that meaningful change takes time, and he’s willing to wait for the payoff.
Conclusion
Bill Ackman’s approach to investing has made him one of the most influential investors of his time. By focusing on concentrated bets, thoroughly researching companies, and taking an activist role, Ackman has proven that bold moves and long-term vision can lead to great success.
Have you followed any of Bill Ackman’s investments or strategies? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together!
Tags: activistinvesting, BillAckman, valueinvesting, stockmarket, investmentstrategies, hedgefund, riskmanagement, longterminvesting, traderpsychology
Title: Mastering Activist Investing with Bill Ackman: A Strategy for Big Returns
Reliance Industries Long Term Chart Analysis 53% Upside PossibleHello everyone, i hope you all would be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought an stock which is a ELEPHANT of indian market yes your guess is right, i am talking about Reliance Stock and it is trading inside the long-term trend within an upward rising channel. The price has tested both the upper resistance band and lower support band multiple times, confirming the channel's reliability. Currently, the stock is near the lower support band (1185-1155), making it a high-probability support zone for potential upside moves. A stop loss is placed at ₹986 in case of a breakdown.
The projected targets are set as follows: Short-term target: 1285, Second target: 1400, Medium-term target: 1532, and the Final long-term target: 1800. The analysis suggests a 53% potential upside if the stock respects the lower band and continues its bullish trajectory. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation before entry.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
If you Found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
Nifty 50 Options Trading AssistantWelcome to the "Nifty 50 Options Trading Assistant," a powerful custom indicator designed to assist traders in analyzing the Nifty 50 index components for options trading strategies. This indicator provides a comprehensive overview of 23 key Nifty 50 stocks, helping you identify potential opportunities and market sentiment to inform your options trading decisions.
Key Features:
Stock-Level Analysis: Displays real-time data for 23 major Nifty 50 stocks (e.g., HDFC, ICICI, RELI, INFY, etc.) with:
VWAP Status: Indicates whether the current price is Above or Below the Volume Weighted Average Price.
Weight (%): Shows the stock's weight in the Nifty 50 index (e.g., 13.28% for HDFC).
MACD Signal: Provides Buy or Sell signals based on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence.
SMA 50 & SMA 100: Tracks whether the price is Above or Below the 50-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages.
RSI: Displays the 14-period Relative Strength Index with color-coded levels (green < 30, red > 70, black 30-70).
Summary Dashboard: Offers a high-level market sentiment overview with:
MACD Buy/Sell counts and weighted totals.
RSI Overbought/Oversold counts and Buy/Sell status.
SMA 50 and SMA 100 Above/Below counts.
VWAP Above/Below counts and weighted totals.
Total Summary (Buy, Sell, or Neutral) based on aggregated indicators.
Visual Clarity: Features a compact table format with color-coded signals (green for bullish, red for bearish) and adjustable positioning (top-right for summary, bottom-right for stock data).
How It Helps with Nifty 50 Options Trading:
This indicator is tailored for traders focusing on Nifty 50 options by providing actionable insights into the underlying stocks that drive the index. Use it to:
Identify stocks with strong bullish or bearish trends for call or put option strategies.
Assess market momentum using RSI and MACD signals to time entries and exits.
Monitor support/resistance levels with SMA and VWAP statuses to gauge potential reversal points.
Leverage the summary dashboard to understand overall market sentiment, which can influence index options trades.
Nifty looking for another round of sellingNifty after being oversold on charts has given a dead cat bounce which was expected. Now it is at 13EMA resistance of 22550 and also facing resistance off the lower trendline of the falling wedge which had broken down earlier.
It looks like a good shorting position with possible targets of 21800, 21500, 21300 and 21000
DYODD
GOLD - CONSOLIDATING AT HIGHER LEVELS - MORE UPSIDE AHEAD?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 2913
Gold continues to strengthen amidst escalating economic uncertainties and the aggressive sell-off in the US dollar. The metal is currently encountering resistance at the 2921 level and appears poised for further upward movement.
The US dollar has broken its bullish structure following comments from the US Department of the Treasury regarding potential interest rate reductions. This verbal intervention, perceived by some as market manipulation, has had a pronounced impact on the markets. Given the risks associated with trade tensions and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy, further declines in gold appear unlikely. Additionally, weaker-than-expected ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further upward momentum for gold.
Gold is currently testing two critical liquidity zones: 2913 and 2903. The nearest of these zones has already been tested, and attention is now on the 2921 level. If this level holds, gold may retrace back to the 2913-2903 support range. However, if this resistance is breached, it could set the stage for a stronger upward momentum.
Resistance levels: 2921, 2942, 2954
Support levels: 2913, 2903
Currently, gold is testing 2913, with a rebound forming as liquidity is absorbed. In the short term, the focus is on the 2921 level. A break above this level and a sustained price above it would likely trigger a continuation of the upward movement toward the 2942-2954 range.
ONGC -Wave 5 Bottomed! OMG! - From Oil Rigs to Green Gigs!ONGC is making history, transitioning from oil dominance to renewable energy leadership.
On Feb 28, Last ONGC Idea on TradingView
I shared my TradingView idea, predicting Wave 5 completion at the bottom and expecting a bounce off the trendline. And here we are on March 6—ONGC surges from 215 lows to 232+ highs as of today’s close with a strong green candle.
ONGC’s Big Bet: A ₹9.25B Leap into Green Energy!
But that’s not all—ONGC just made a massive fundamental move, acquiring PTC Energy for ₹9.25B ($106M), adding 288 MW of operational wind power across three Indian states.
Why This is a Game-Changer
✅ India’s 500 GW non-fossil fuel target by 2030
✅ ONGC Green targeting 10 GW renewable energy portfolio
✅ Recent $2.3B Ayana Renewable Power acquisition with NTPC Green
Technical Perspective – The Power of Wave 5
Is Wave 5 bottom confirmed in some degree of the impulsive move which started falling from 345 highs as discussed and warned earlier in the Bigger Idea
Momentum building – are new highs incoming
From oil rigs to green gigs, ONGC is shifting gears fast. Is this just the beginning of an explosive rally?
Let us decode the waves.
Catch me with another exciting idea from WaveTalks, Market Whispers! Can you hear them?
Regards,
Abhishek
WaveTalks
Momentum Stocks to Watch: INDIGO & NH Gear Up for Rally◉ Interglobe Aviation NSE:INDIGO
● The stock has formed a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the daily chart.
● Following a recent breakout, the price is anticipated to witness substantial upward movement in the coming days.
◉ Narayana Hrudalaya NSE:NH
● After a prolonged consolidation phase, the stock has developed a Rounding Bottom pattern.
● With the price breaking out of this pattern, it is now trending upward, signalling potential for further gains in the near term.
Effective inefficiencyStop-Loss. This combination of words sounds like a magic spell for impatient investors. It's really challenging to watch your account get smaller and smaller. That's why people came up with this magic amulet. Go to the market, don't be afraid, just put it on. Let your profits run, but limit your losses - place a Stop-Loss order.
Its design is simple: when the paper loss reaches the amount agreed upon with you in advance, your position will be closed. The paper loss will become real. And here I have a question: “ Does this invention stop the loss? ” It seems that on the contrary - you take it with you. Then it is not a Stop-Loss, but a Take-Loss. This will be more honest, but let's continue with the classic name.
Another thing that always bothered me was that everyone has their own Stop-Loss. For example, if a company shows a loss, I can find out about it from the reports. Its meaning is the same for everyone and does not depend on those who look at it. With Stop-Loss, it's different. As many people as there are Stop-Losses. There is a lot of subjectivity in it.
For adherents of fundamental analysis, all this looks very strange. I cannot agree that I spent time researching a company, became convinced of the strength of its business, and then simply quoted a price at which I would lock in my loss. I don't think Benjamin Graham would approve either. He knew better than anyone that the market loved to show off its madness when it came to stock prices. So Stop-Loss is part of this madness?
Not quite so. There are many strategies that do not rely on fundamental analysis. They live by their own principles, where Stop-Loss plays a key role. Based on its size relative to the expected profit, these strategies can be divided into three types.
Stop-Loss is approximately equal to the expected profit size
This includes high-frequency strategies of traders who make numerous trades during the day. These can be manual or automated operations. Here we are talking about the advantages that a trader seeks to gain, thanks to modern technical means, complex calculations or simply intuition. In such strategies, it is critical to have favorable commission conditions so as not to give up all the profits to maintaining the infrastructure. The size of profit and loss per trade is approximately equal and insignificant in relation to the size of the account. The main expectation of a trader is to make more positive trades than negative ones.
Stop-Loss is several times less than the expected profit
The second type includes strategies based on technical analysis. The number of transactions here is significantly less than in the strategies of the first type. The idea is to open an interesting position that will show enough profit to cover several losses. This could be trading using chart patterns, wave analysis, candlestick analysis. You can also add buyers of classic options here.
Stop-Loss is an order of magnitude greater than the expected profit
The third type includes arbitrage strategies, selling volatility. The idea behind such strategies is to generate a constant, close to fixed, income due to statistically stable patterns or extreme price differences. But there is also a downside to the coin - a significant Stop-Loss size. If the system breaks down, the resulting loss can cover all the earned profit at once. It's like a deposit in a dodgy bank - the interest rate is great, but there's also a risk of bankruptcy.
Reflecting on these three groups, I formulated the following postulate: “ In an efficient market, the most efficient strategies will show a zero financial result with a pre-determined profit to loss ratio ”.
Let's take this postulate apart piece by piece. What does efficient market mean? It is a stock market where most participants instantly receive information about the assets in question and immediately decide to place, cancel or modify their order. In other words, in such a market, there is no lag between the appearance of information and the reaction to it. It should be said that thanks to the development of telecommunications and information technologies, modern stock markets have significantly improved their efficiency and continue to do so.
What is an effective strategy ? This is a strategy that does not bring losses.
Profit to loss ratio is the result of profitable trades divided by the result of losing trades in the chosen strategy, considering commissions.
So, according to the postulate, one can know in advance what this ratio will be for the most effective strategy in an effective market. In this case, the financial result for any such strategy will be zero.
The formula for calculating the profit to loss ratio according to the postulate:
Profit : Loss ratio = %L / (100% - %L)
Where %L is the percentage of losing trades in the strategy.
Below is a graph of the different ratios of the most efficient strategy in an efficient market.
For example, if your strategy has 60% losing trades, then with a profit to loss ratio of 1.5:1, your financial result will be zero. In this example, to start making money, you need to either reduce the percentage of losing trades (<60%) with a ratio of 1.5:1, or increase the ratio (>1.5), while maintaining the percentage of losing trades (60%). With such improvements, your point will be below the orange line - this is the inefficient market space. In this zone, it is not about your strategy becoming more efficient, you have simply found inefficiencies in the market itself.
Any point above the efficient market line is an inefficient strategy . It is the opposite of an effective strategy, meaning it results in an overall loss. Moreover, an inefficient strategy in an efficient market makes the market itself inefficient , which creates profitable opportunities for efficient strategies in an inefficient market. It sounds complicated, but these words contain an important meaning - if someone loses, then someone will definitely find.
Thus, there is an efficient market line, a zone of efficient strategies in an inefficient market, and a zone of inefficient strategies. In reality, if we mark a point on this chart at a certain time interval, we will get rather a cloud of points, which can be located anywhere and, for example, cross the efficient market line and both zones at the same time. This is due to the constant changes that occur in the market. It is an entity that evolves together with all participants. What was effective suddenly becomes ineffective and vice versa.
For this reason, I formulated another postulate: “ Any market participant strives for the effectiveness of his strategy, and the market strives for its own effectiveness, and when this is achieved, the financial result of the strategy will become zero ”.
In other words, the efficient market line has a strong gravity that, like a magnet, attracts everything that is above and below it. However, I doubt that absolute efficiency will be achieved in the near future. This requires that all market participants have equally fast access to information and respond to it effectively. Moreover, many traders and investors, including myself, have a strong interest in the market being inefficient. Just like we want gravity to be strong enough that we don't fly off into space from our couches, but gentle enough that we can visit the refrigerator. This limits or delays the transfer of information to each other.
Returning to the topic of Stop-Loss, one should pay attention to another pattern that follows from the postulates of market efficiency. Below, on the graph (red line), you can see how much the loss to profit ratio changes depending on the percentage of losing trades in the strategy.
For me, the values located on the red line are the mathematical expectation associated with the size of the loss in an effective strategy in an effective market. In other words, those who have a small percentage of losing trades in their strategy should be on guard. The potential loss in such strategies can be several times higher than the accumulated profit. In the case of strategies with a high percentage of losing trades, most of the risk has already been realized, so the potential loss relative to the profit is small.
As for my attitude towards Stop-Loss, I do not use it in my stock market investing strategy. That is, I don’t know in advance at what price I will close the position. This is because I treat buying shares as participating in a business. I cannot accept that when crazy Mr. Market knocks on my door and offers a strange price, I will immediately sell him my shares. Rather, I would ask myself, “ How efficient is the market right now and should I buy more shares at this price? ” My decision to sell should be motivated not only by the price but also by the fundamental reasons for the decline.
For me, the main criterion for closing a position is the company's profitability - a metric that is the same for everyone who looks at it. If a business stops being profitable, that's a red flag. In this case, the time the company has been in a loss-making state and the size of the losses are considered. Even a great company can have a bad quarter for one reason or another.
In my opinion, the main work with risks should take place before the company gets into the portfolio, and not after the position is opened. Often it doesn't even involve fundamental business analysis. Here are four things I'm talking about:
- Diversification. Distribution of investments among many companies.
- Gradually gaining position. Buying stocks within a range of prices, rather than at one desired price.
- Prioritization of sectors. For me, sectors of stable consumer demand always have a higher priority than others.
- No leverage.
I propose to examine the last point separately. The thing is that the broker who lends you money is absolutely right to be afraid that you won’t pay it back. For this reason, each time he calculates how much his loan is secured by your money and the current value of the shares (that is, the value that is currently on the market). Once this collateral is not enough, you will receive a so-called margin call . This is a requirement to fund an account to secure a loan. If you fail to do this, part of your position will be forcibly closed. Unfortunately, no one will listen to the excuse that this company is making a profit and the market is insane. The broker will simply give you a Stop-Loss. Therefore, leverage, by its definition, cannot be used in my investment strategy.
In conclusion of this article, I would like to say that the market, as a social phenomenon, contains a great paradox. On the one hand, we have a natural desire for it to be ineffective, on the other hand, we are all working on its effectiveness. It turns out that the income we take from the market is payment for this work. At the same time, our loss can be represented as the salary that we personally pay to other market participants for their efficiency. I don't know about you, but this understanding seems beautiful to me.
Pidilite Industries LtdDate : 05.03.2025
Pidilite
Timeframe : Weekly
Grab Grab Grab !!
RSI + Channel
Keep weekly candle low as stoploss
Some Important Highlights
Company is almost debt free.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 44.4%
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 41.8 days to 24.3 days
Stock is trading at 15.7 times its book value
Stock P/E 68.8
ROCE 29.74%
OPM 22.88%
Profit growth 17.06%
Sales growth 6%
Sales Qtr Rs 3368 Cr
PAT 12M Rs 2003 Cr
Qtr Sales Var 7.36%
EPS 12M Rs 38.43
Regards,
Ankur
Pattern repeating Example the Professional way to identify and check the pattern repeating it self
In this video i made efforts in Explaining the way i look the chart
if you have experienced the same thing in the past please comment below
if you have Questions about this method comment below i will try to address it
thanks
ONGC I OIL Burning Bright : Inverted H&S Pattern!!Hello Traders,
- ONGC is trading at a place called AOI (Area of Interest) A place from where price usually reverses.
- 218 levels is acting as a strong support pushing prices higher after a intraday low of about 3% making a big pin bar candle on 1D chart
- Inverted head and shoulder on 15m timeframe.
PRO TIP/-
The Entry Line is the Neckline of the inverted Head and shoulder.
Target 1:- 228
Target 2 :-231
Entry Criteria
Strong Close above Entry Line (225) 15mins TF
Stoploss
Entry Candle Low (not more than 0.8%)
Not an Investment Advise
Nifty 50 upcoming expiry OTM options writing play.so Nifty succesfully has formed two harmonics pattern.
1. 5-0 pattern which typically pesents a bullish view.
2. Cypher pattern which presents a bearish view in a short term.
according to this, one must have to close their CE writing positions at 22180 or 22105.15 and start writing the PE options of 22150 strike or whichever they are comfortable in it. whoever had left their chance in writing it.
if someone is comfortable in futures, than with a tight hedge one can go long at these points.
our stoploss should be below recent low of 21964.60
target 22582 or nearby it.
Bank nifty48000 is acting as double bottom and bulls are trying to gain strength here. Bulls and bears will try to gain at 47900 - 48100 zone.
Buy above 48100 with the stop loss of 48020 for the targets 48180, 48260, 48400, 48520 and 48660. Price will be testing the trend line around 48600 and volume strength is needed to move up further. Price can move another 700 to 1000 points if it gain bullish strength.
Sell below 47900 with the stop loss of 47980 for the targets 47820, 47700, 47620, 47500, 47420 and 47340.
Always do you own analysis before taking any trade.
USDJPY - POTENTIAL REVERSAL FROM KEY SUPPORT LEVELSSymbol - USDJPY
CMP - 147.82
Following a significant decline in USDJPY, The price is approaching a strong support zone which is held since July 2024. The fundamental environment has been volatile recently, with a predominant influence from Trump's tariffs & US economic factors. Given the recent price action near support zone 148.00 - 147.00, there is a possibility that the pair could rebound from this level. The market’s current hesitation near this support zone suggests that the bulls may be preparing to defend this area.
The aggressive sell-off in US dollar, while exerting downward pressure, is also at oversold levels & creating a scenario where a potential reversal could take place, supported by the decline of Japanese Yen. Should the price manage to hold above the 147.20 support, it could signal the reversal.
From a technical perspective, there are two potential triggers on the chart: one signaling a buy and the other signaling a sell. However, given the prevailing global and local forex trends, the preference is to take a long position.
Resistance levels: 148.85, 150.00
Support levels: 147.25, 146.90
At present, the market is in a downtrend, with potential for a counter-trend correction. The direction of the price will depend on the US dollar's performance and upcoming economic news. If the outcome is favorable, the price could potentially reach to 150.00 & 152.15 levels.
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SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT BTC still rejected supply zone. Again. Back Short Trade. FVG level) 83k I'm want to Sell now short trend 📈
Key Resistance level 93k + 95k
Key Support level 85k - 83k
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)