Bitcoin Turn Bearish In Monthly Time frameWhat’s going on
Bitcoin slipped significantly this week, dropping into the US$90,000–96,000 range, marking roughly a 10% decline for the week.
The decline has pushed BTC to trade around 20-25% below its all-time high of US$126,200.
On-chain data shows that long-term holders (those who typically hold and not sell) have sold ~815,000 BTC in the past 30 days—the highest such volume since Jan 2024. That suggests weakening conviction among “Holders”.
What’s working against Bitcoin
Recently, Bitcoin dropped below ~US$90k marking its lowest levels in months.
The monthly technical structure shows signs of weakness.
Macro risks are elevated: policy uncertainty (e.g., interest rates) could dampen demand for risk assets.
Key Levels & Scenario
Support Level 1: ~$85,250–$80,704 marked on the chart in weekly time frame, there could be a sharper drop. till Support -1 in monthly time frame ~$70,825–$57,750
Close below $85,000 in weekly and monthly time frames opens up more downside risk.
Given the mixed signals, I'm slightly cautious/bearish for next week, expecting consolidation in the weekly time frame and downside rather than a strong rally.
If the macro/risk environment improves, upside is possible, but as of now, the risk of further decline is stronger than upside.
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
1-BTCUSD
#BITCOIN UPDATE: Structure Still Playing Out Exactly as Mapped#BITCOIN Technical Update: Structure Still Playing Out Exactly as Mapped
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has now broken below the $90K zone, a level not seen since 22 April 2025, Seven months ago.
I told you this when Bitcoin was rejecting $115K, and we’re now ~22% down from that zone.
Price is following the structure with precision.
Key observations:
🔻 BTC currently sits on the 0.618 FIB: High-probability bounce zone.
A relief move into the $98K–$100K region is very possible in the coming days.
🔼 Upside FVG: ~$98,000
If price pushes deeper first, this FVG becomes the ideal tap before the next leg down.
This is why I said: don’t short here, Risk-reward is terrible at the lows.
A sweep toward $98K would offer a clean, low-risk short entry.
🔽 Downside FVG: ~$88,474: This zone can trigger a strong reaction and potential bounce.
Market structure remains intact:
Below $107.5K → macro bearish leg still active
Above $107.5K → invalidation + path toward new ATH reopens
Price continues to respect levels.
Charts > emotions. Structure > noise.
NFA & DYOR
Technical Analysis of BTCUSD – Is a Correction Approaching?BINANCE:BTCUSD is currently moving within a clearly defined falling wedge pattern, with price now pressing against the lower boundary of the structure. This level may act as dynamic support, and if price shows a strong rejection, a corrective move toward the resistance zone near 102,000 could occur.
If sellers manage to defend that resistance area, the bearish structure remains intact, giving BTCUSD the potential to continue dropping to lower levels. But if price breaks above that zone, there is room for a higher correction toward the upper boundary of the wedge.
At this stage, paying close attention to candlestick patterns and volume behavior around this key area is crucial for identifying the best selling opportunities. Make sure every trade setup is supported by clear confirmation, and always apply solid risk management.
If you have any additional insights or a different perspective on this setup, I’d love to hear it. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
BTC/USD: Sell Pressure Building AgainBTC/USD: Sell Pressure Building Again
Market Summary
BTC/USD continues to operate within a declining market environment where sell-side pressure remains dominant. The recent recovery attempt has shown limited strength, forming only a temporary corrective phase within a broader downward cycle. Current conditions indicate that the market is preparing for another bearish continuation as liquidity builds on the upper side.
Market Behavior
The chart highlights a consistent pattern of declining impulses followed by shallow recoveries. Each upward phase has been met with swift rejection, reinforcing the dominance of bearish sentiment. The mid-range compression visible in the current structure reflects a controlled environment where market participants are redistributing positions rather than initiating larger upward transitions.
Momentum remains weak on the upside, and overall flow continues to align with the prevailing sell-side direction. Repeated structure shifts earlier in the sequence indicate that sellers are maintaining control of directional movement.
Current Setup
BTC/USD is now approaching a zone historically associated with short-term manipulation and liquidity grabs. Price appears to be forming a tight consolidation while climbing into this region. Such behavior often precedes a sell-side continuation, especially when rallies fail to show progressive expansion.
The chart projection suggests a likely formation of a distribution-style sequence before a renewed downward movement. This scenario aligns with the market’s broader behavior over recent sessions
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 11Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
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This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There are no separate Nasdaq indicators.
I developed a strategy based on the lower gap retracement of both Bitcoin and Nasdaq.
*Conditional long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. Confirm the first touch of the purple finger at the top (autonomous short)
Switch to a long position at the bottom at $103,790.4 /
Stop-loss price if the green support line is completely broken or the bottom is touched
2. First target for a long position at $106,701.5 / Target prices are Top and Good in that order.
If the strategy is successful, the first section is used to re-enter the long position.
If a correction occurs immediately without touching the first section at the top,
I'll wait for a long position at the bottom. Looking at the overall picture today, if the price drops to the bottom,
the medium-term pattern will be broken.
The purple support line must be maintained or the upper limit must be reached at 106.7K.
A rebound in the 1+4 range is required without breaking the green support line.
The Nasdaq variable is important, so please keep a close eye on the movement.
I hope you operate safely, with principled trading and stop-loss orders essential.
Thank you.
BTC Weekly analysis and sell/Buy scenarios....BTC moved as per our plan throughout last week more than 13K points so far, and still in down trend. Price is continuously creating BOSs and moving toward our target of 90K. Meanwhile during sniper delivery, it has created some pull back zones, which can be tested before reaching to our target. So we have few possible multi RnR trades scenarios before seeing possible reversal.
1. Sniper deliver is already done and price is pulling back slowly.
2. We may see possible pullback sell trade opportunity around 100K and 103.5k levels.
3. RSI is also showing sell side pressure, giving another confluence.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~7R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin Long-Term Channel Analysis | BTCUSD to $163K Target |Bitcoin is currently respecting a multi-year ascending channel on the weekly chart. The price recently touched the lower trendline support, suggesting that the long-term structure is still intact.
This setup highlights a classic “higher highs and higher lows” pattern within the parallel channel, showing that BTC continues to follow its historical rhythm of expansion and correction phases.
Observations :
• Channel support: around $90,000 – $95,000 zone
• Channel resistance: projected near $160,000 – $165,000
• 200 EMA on the weekly chart near $66,000 providing long-term trend support
• RSI showing signs of recovery from the mid-zone
Technical Outlook:
If Bitcoin maintains the current channel support and forms a bullish reversal candle on the weekly close, the next leg of the rally could target $160K+ within the same channel structure.
Invalidation occurs on a confirmed weekly close below $90K, which would signal a potential trend shift.
Market Sentiment : Bullish (Long-Term)
Timeframe: Weekly
Style: Positional / Long-Term Analysis
Disclaimer: This is a personal technical view for educational purposes, not financial advice.
BTC is forming a 3R sell scenario.....BTC is in downtrend in daily timeframe and shown sniper delivery, now it is in pullback mode. We may anticipate a good short term trade around 102000 RDRB level
1. Price is continuously crating BOSs..
2. Sniper deliver is already done and price is pulling back slowly.
3. RSI has already shown bearish divergence on hourly TF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BTC - Turned Bearish ?This unexpected longer US shutdown followed by another un expected temporary solution till Jan 2026 is causing panic in US market. These days Trump and his network moving the market as they want. And anything are possible these days by him. BTC has very strong Buyer network including ETFs, Strategy and other non stop accumulators. Its Golden time to buy Bitcoin at every dips since they have non stop flow of funds. But price drop un stoppable since margin issues cause weak hands to get liquidated. when 25X group gets liquidated then its huge sell off and it will take time to buy back the liquidity so SL kills all weak hands. But where is the Bottom. Cant predict because US shutdown has not got solution atleast for a year. Upcoming US data all expected to be slightly negative putting pressure on markets to be on sell side. Its all in the hands of Trump and his network or other banks who planned all these. I never seen a temporary solution for US shutdown in the past. At sending markets to the levels they want first big players will accumulate and then make policy move to move markets to up again.... Its sure bad news for Bitcoin Bulls planning for 130+ levels... It will come in 2026 but need to be loving and money management in SIP into Bitcoin will give rich returns in 2026
BTC 8R Sell scenario.........BTC is in downtrend in daily timeframe and shown sniper delivery, now it is in pullback mode. We may anticipate a good short term trade on hourly time frame around hourly FVG
1. HTF MSS is already done and price is reverting to FVG after BOS.
2. Daily quadrant cluster is also falling around FVG. Which is giving us some more critical levels of price reversal.
3. RSI has already shown bearish divergence on hourly TF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Weekly analysis BTC with 4R trade ideaLast weeks’ trade has performed well and already moved ~15K points and still going on. Further to this week analysis, we expect good reversal trade from the zone of 89700 to 90385. Still we have ~11k points movement pending to reach to this level. Price would be showing weakness in sell side and reversal pattern. We should patiently wait for entry model and confirmation as price is in sell side.
1. 1D FVG and wick is creating strong cluster of their relevant CE levels.
2. We would see exaction in sell side movement and reversal pattern.
3. RSI will also show oversold or bearish divergence on HTF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1H/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
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Bitcoin Bulls Target $113K**Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis — November 2025**
Bitcoin has been moving within a controlled downtrend channel, facing continuous lower highs since late October. The market recently went through a **liquidity sweep**, followed by a minor **market structure shift (MSS)** on the 3-hour timeframe. This suggests exhaustion in the current bearish leg.
After a period of **sideways consolidation**, price is testing a strong accumulation zone near the **$100K–$97K** region. This zone aligns with prior demand and high-volume nodes, making it a potential base for a bullish reversal.
A clean rebound from this level could drive Bitcoin toward the **$113K–$115K** area, where the next liquidity cluster sits. If buyers regain momentum, this move could accelerate into a **V-shaped recovery**, confirming the start of a fresh mid-term bullish cycle.
Overall sentiment remains **bullish**, supported by renewed buyer activity and potential macro-driven inflows ahead. Traders should watch for volatility spikes as the market transitions from accumulation to breakout mode.
**Key Takeaway:**
BTC is stabilizing near key demand, eyeing a rebound toward $113K+. Momentum confirmation above the short-term consolidation zone could trigger a strong upward continuation.
**#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinForecast #BTCPricePrediction #CryptoTrading #BullishReversal #CryptoMarket #TradingViewAnalysis**
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis November 4Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
The Nasdaq indicators will be released shortly at noon.
Due to the end of Daylight Savings Time, we need to move back an hour from the previous chart.
Based on the pattern, the weekly chart reached the Bollinger Band support line,
which is a major support line.
However,
there's also pressure from the MACD dead cross on the monthly chart,
and the possibility of a Nasdaq coupling appears high during a decline.
So,
I developed today's strategy centered on the Nasdaq's lower gap retracement.
*When the red finger moves,
this is a conditional long position strategy.
1. Confirm that the purple finger touches the first section (autonomous short).
$103,375.7 long position entry point / stop loss if the light blue support line is broken.
2. $108,010.4 long position primary target -> Target prices are set at Top, then Good in that order. If the strategy is successful, 106.8K will be the point where you can re-enter a long position.
If the price falls immediately without touching the first point at the top, then the second point is the final long position.
The second point is a double bottom based on the low of this uptrend.
Based on the lower tail, the price is open from the bottom to 98.5K.
It would be wise to prepare for a failure of the Nasdaq decline and rebound.
Please use my analysis to this point for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, with a strict trading strategy and stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
BTC First Weekly BB Break Since March: This Changes EverythingFirst Weekly BB Break Since March: This Changes Everything!
Bitcoin is currently testing a key support zone around $104K, forming what appears to be the 5th major support retest in this ongoing bullish cycle.
Historical Pattern Insight:
Each of the previous four support retests (1–4) led to substantial rallies ranging from +70% to +200%, as shown in the green zones.
If the pattern repeats, the next potential upside move (Wave 5) could project CRYPTOCAP:BTC toward the $200K region, marking a ~100% upside from current levels.
New Technical Development:
This week marks Bitcoin’s first breach of the lower Bollinger Band (BB) on the weekly timeframe since March, signaling heightened volatility and potential exhaustion of the current corrective phase.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below this critical support could trigger a deeper correction toward the $50K area (–55%), similar to previous cycle corrections highlighted in red.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: $103K–$100K
🔹 Resistance: $110K, then $135K
🔹 Upside Target: $200K
🔹 Downside Risk: $50K
Indicators:
Bollinger Bands remain squeezed, indicating volatility expansion is near. The weekly mid-band continues to act as dynamic support, but a sustained close below it could shift the bias short-term.
🟩 Bullish Bias remains valid above $100K, invalidated only on a weekly close below support.
🟩 Pattern repetition or deviation here will define Bitcoin’s next macro leg.
NFA & DYOR
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Analysis - 4H TimeframeBitcoin is currently trading near a strong support zone ($104,000–$102,500), which has previously acted as a major accumulation area.
From a technical perspective, BTC seems to be completing the final leg of a correction phase, and I’m expecting a possible bounce from this region toward the upper resistance levels.
I’m taking a long position from current levels ($104,453) with an expectation of a short-term recovery.
My target zone lies near the next resistance area around $112,000, where I’ll look to book partial or full profit and re-analyze the market structure for the next move.
On the 4H chart, BTC appears to be forming the micro wave 5 of the main corrective wave C, which usually signals the end of a downtrend phase.
If the price holds above the PRZ, we could see a strong reversal in the coming sessions.
⚠️ Risk Note:
If BTC breaks below $101,900 with strong momentum, it could invalidate the long setup, and further downside might continue — avoid adding fresh longs below this level.
This is just my analysis idea — not financial advice.
Weekly & Daily BTC analysis of 10R Opportunity........On HTF weekly and daily BTC is forming good scenarios for bearish trade. Price is consolidating at higher levels for last couple of weeks and showing value adjustment in BTC. Price already shot up a lot and we may see a short term pull back.
1. BTC has created CISD after taking liquidity at weekly level and tested weekly iFVG.
2. It has also created 1D FVG and 4H FVG and iFVG over lapping. creating cluster of CEs. Which might be a Good POI for sell side opportunity.
3. Technically we are already into a weekly down side scenario. Further price is approaching Daily and 4 Hourly FVGs for possible re-entry opportunities.
4. RSI has also already shown a bearish divergence on weekly level.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1H/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~10R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Bitcoin – Breakdown from the Ascending TriangleBitcoin just slipped below the ascending triangle support on the 4-hour chart, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. The structure had been forming higher lows toward the $115K resistance zone, but sellers stepped in hard near the top, breaking the trendline that’s been guiding the uptrend since mid-October.
The move comes amid broader weakness across the crypto market — BTC has shed about 3.7% this month, while altcoins like XRP and ETH are also struggling. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin still holds an impressive 18% gain for the year, so the bigger picture remains constructive.
Macro pressure seems to be weighing on sentiment — investor caution around interest rates, inflation, and the Fed’s next move is keeping volatility elevated. If upcoming data tilts toward another rate cut, we could see renewed upside momentum. But for now, price action suggests a possible retest of lower zones before bulls can re-establish control.
Overall, a clean technical breakdown in the near term, but the broader trend isn’t broken yet. Let’s see if bulls can reclaim that triangle support in the next few sessions.
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