Bitcoin Bear OutlookHas the Bitcoin bull run ended? From my outlook, I see a strong push to the downside, followed by a potential retracement back up that could form a head-and-shoulders pattern, adding more confluence to my bearish view.
1-BTCUSD
Reversal trade in BTCBTC seems taking reversal on 4H chart after creating a W pattern, breaking it, pull back and move in the direction.
it may high RnR trade.
P.S. - this is just a technical analysis not a trade advice.
BTC 1H Long1. Current Price
BTC is trading around 110,879 USDT at the time of the chart.
2. Trendline
• An ascending trendline is drawn from the recent bottom, showing short-term bullish momentum.
• Price is testing support at this trendline.
3. Entry Zone
• Marked slightly above 110,500 USDT.
• Idea: enter long position as price holds above support & trendline.
4. DCA (Dollar-Cost Average) Zone
• Around 109,383.5 USDT.
• If price dips here, it’s a secondary buy zone to improve average entry.
5. Stop Loss (Invalidation)
• “1H Closing Below” ~108,534 USDT.
• If BTC closes below this level on 1H, the long setup is invalid.
6. Targets
• TP1 (Take Profit 1): 114,658 USDT
• TP2 (Take Profit 2): 115,980 USDT
• These are resistance levels where partial or full profits can be booked.
7. Risk-Reward Setup
• Entry around 110,500 → Stop below 108,534 → TP1 at 114,658, TP2 at 115,980.
• This gives a good Risk-to-Reward (RRR > 2) if the setup plays out.
8. EMA Levels
• Multiple EMAs (20/50/100/200) are shown.
• Price is still trading below the EMAs, meaning trend is bearish overall, but this setup is a counter-trend long scalp.
⸻
📌 Summary
• Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above the entry and trendline, it can push toward 114,658 (TP1) and 115,980 (TP2).
• Bearish Scenario: If BTC breaks below 108,534 on 1H close, the long setup fails, and price may revisit lower supports.
BTCUSD Weekly – Supply Pressure vs Key Support (110K in Focus)On the weekly timeframe, BTC is trapped between major supply (117K–119K) and key support (110K–112K).
Supply Zone: Price has faced multiple rejections near 117K–119K, showing strong seller presence.
Order Block/Resistance: The yellow zone around 113K is acting as an active selling area, preventing BTC from reclaiming higher ground.
Support Zone: BTC is currently testing the 110K–112K support zone. If this level holds, we could see another attempt to reclaim 113K.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout (less likely unless strong volume appears):
Needs to reclaim 113K and break above 119K.
Target zone → 126K–134K.
Stop loss for longs → below 110K.
2. Bearish Breakdown (higher probability if 110K fails):
If 111K–110K zone breaks, BTC likely retests the 103K–106K demand zone.
If that fails → extended move possible toward 97K.
Stop loss for shorts → above 113.5K.
Bias: Neutral to Bearish unless BTC reclaims 113K with strong volume.
Bitcoin – Long-Term View with Elliott Wave StructureBitcoin – Long-Term View with Elliott Wave Structure
Hello traders,
Let’s take a medium- to long-term look at BTC. The broader trend is clearly bullish, but for any uptrend to be sustainable, healthy corrections are necessary. At present, BTC is moving through a corrective phase, identified as wave 4 in the Elliott Wave structure.
To gauge how far this correction may extend before wave 5 begins, we can apply Fibonacci Retracement. Two key levels stand out: 0.618 and 0.5.
At 0.618, we see a strong support zone, but it may not yet be the decisive level for confirming the wave count. If BTC reacts positively here and rallies into wave 5, the Elliott structure remains clean and valid.
At 0.5, the level aligns with an ideal Fibonacci retracement ratio and also shows up as an important structural support on the chart. A break below this could trigger deeper downside, as highlighted by the ascending trendline.
Long-Term Trading Plan
Entry 1: Around Fibonacci 0.618 at 105k
Entry 2: Around Fibonacci 0.5 at 99k
This outlook fits a medium-term plan, but if the second zone (99k) provides a strong reaction, it could also become the base for a longer-term bullish structure.
Stay disciplined, monitor these levels closely, and trade with proper risk management.
What’s your view on BTC’s long-term structure? Share your thoughts in the comments.
BTC - will bounce and move up only from today low - 26th AugBTC price has reached a crucial technical area from where price will most likely bounce and move up only and wont fall further much. explained in chart with fib levels and what happened in history
Bitcoin / USD – 15m Short Sell In this setup, I’m tracking BTC price action using the Fear Index (21) and Trend Shift Histogram (14) as confluence indicators for potential entries.
🔻 Key Observations:
The Fear Index showed a strong spike before the sharp sell-off, indicating growing selling pressure.
The Trend Shift Histogram gave multiple bearish signals (highlighted with arrows), aligning with the price rejection and downward continuation.
After the heavy drop, BTC attempted a recovery but faced resistance within the marked zone, forming a bearish retest.
📌 Trade Setup:
Short entry taken on confirmation of bearish trend shift.
Stop loss placed above the rejection zone.
Target aligned with the momentum continuation shown by the histogram and fear index.
⚡️ Conclusion:
This setup highlights how combining sentiment-based indicators (Fear Index) with momentum confirmation (Trend Shift Histogram) can help anticipate strong market moves. Always manage risk carefully, as volatility in lower timeframes can be sharp.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis August 22Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There are no separate indicators released.
Roughly speaking,
the strategy is to switch from short to long at the light blue finger, or to wait long at the bottom.
The bottom is today's major support line and the 6+12 pattern recovery point.
If the price moves along the light blue finger path,
there's a possibility that it will eventually fall to touch the 6+12 level again.
Please note this.
I applied this directly to Bitcoin.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
The Nasdaq is moving sideways in a downward trend,
while Bitcoin has continued its vertical decline after hitting a new high.
*If the blue finger moves along the path,
switch from short to long. Or, if it immediately declines, wait long in the second section.
This is a two-way neutral strategy.
1. $116,568.4 short position entry point / Stop loss price if the orange resistance line is broken.
2. $114,959.5 long position switch / Stop loss price if the purple support line is broken.
3. $117,330.4 long position first target / 116.5K long position re-entry point.
After this, long position target prices are listed in order of Top, Good, and Great.
The first point above is the best short position entry point for today.
If the price declines around the first touch, hold long at the second point.
Stop loss price if the green support line is broken.
In the case of Bitcoin, the candlestick is breaking out of the 12+ daily pattern,
and the downside is open.
If the bottom point is maintained, the mid-term uptrend will be broken.
-> If the bottom point is broken out, the mid-term uptrend will be broken. A medium-term downtrend may be forming.
(MACD dead cross on weekly chart)
If the Nasdaq only moves sideways, that's good,
but if it declines, BTC could fall even more sharply.
Due to low participation, I decided to take a break this week,
but I've had some free time, so I'm sharing this with everyone for the first time in a while.
Please use my analysis for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, with a focus on principled trading and stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
BTC/USD Bearish Retest Setup – Eye on 106.6K TargetTrend: BTC is in a downtrend channel (rejection line above, support line below).
EMA Signals: Price is trading below EMA 70 & EMA 200 → bearish bias remains strong.
Supply & Demand:
Support zone: around 112,000 – 112,500 (price just bounced).
RBR Supply zone: 114,300 – 116,000 where sellers are likely waiting.
📊 Strategies in play
Support–Resistance: Bounce at support, retest expected at supply zone.
EMA Strategy: Bearish since candles trade under 200 EMA.
Break & Retest: Price could retest supply before resuming drop.
Target Projection: If rejection at supply holds, target = 106,600 zone (chart target point).
⚖️ Risks
A clean break above 116,000 would invalidate bearish setup and open room for reversal.
Range trading possible between 112k–116k before breakout.
✅ Summary: BTC short-term bias remains bearish. Expect retest of 114.3k–116k supply before continuation lower toward 106.6k target. Only a strong breakout above 116k flips the trend bullish.
Trade Idea: BTCUSD – Rising Channel Breakdown Setup
🔍 Market Context
BTCUSD recently formed a rising channel (marked in purple) after a sharp sell-off. This is typically a corrective structure within a larger downtrend. Price action shows multiple rejections near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Currently, the price is testing the lower channel support. A break below this level would confirm bearish continuation.
📊 Trade Setup
Type: Short (Sell)
Entry: Breakdown of channel support (~112,750 region)
Stop Loss: Above the recent minor swing high (~113,050)
Target: 111,360 (first target), extended towards 110,950 (second target)
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~5.28 (favorable)
✅ Why This Setup Looks Attractive (Pros)
Clear Structure: Price is respecting the channel, and breakdown setups often trigger sharp moves.
Strong Risk/Reward: Small stop-loss compared to potential downside.
Trend Continuation: Aligns with the broader bearish pressure seen earlier.
Volume Confirmation (if checked): Breakdowns with increasing volume add conviction.
⚠️ Risks To Consider (Cons)
False Breakouts: BTC is known for liquidity hunts; price may dip below the channel only to bounce back.
Support Zones Below: Strong demand around 111,000–110,750 may cause choppiness.
Macro Factors: News or sudden volatility can invalidate technical setups.
Risk Management Needed: Without discipline, tight stops can get hit quickly in crypto.
📌 Trade Management
Stop Loss Discipline: Never move stop away from risk.
Trailing Stop: Can be applied once price moves in favor by 1R to lock partial profits.
Scaling Out: Take partial profits at 111,360 and hold remainder to 110,950.
📈 Probability Outlook
Bearish Continuation Probability: ~65%
False Breakout / Pullback Probability: ~25%
Channel Hold & Reversal Probability: ~10%
Bearish Harami Pattern: Spotting Reversals with Discipline🔻Bearish Harami Pattern: Spotting Reversals with Discipline
Intro / Overview
The Bearish Harami is a candlestick reversal pattern that often appears at the end of an uptrend.
It signals a possible shift where bullish momentum weakens and sellers begin to step in.
The first candle’s high must be a swing high , and this level can also be used as a stop-loss reference.
To trade it effectively, spotting the formation is not enough — strict validation and invalidation rules are key to avoid false signals.
✨ Concept
A Bearish Harami is a two-candle pattern:
- First candle (Green🟢): A strong bullish candle showing buyer dominance.(Swing high)
- Second candle (Red🔴): A smaller bearish candle whose body is fully inside the prior green candle’s body (wicks ideally inside).
This forms the “harami” structure, where the red candle looks like it is “inside the green candle,” suggesting a pause in bullish pressure and potential reversal.
📖 How to Use
1️⃣ Identify the pattern: Look for a large green candle followed by a smaller red candle contained within it.
2️⃣ Validation Point: The setup is validated if price closes below the open of the green candle within the next few candles.
3️⃣ Invalidation Point: The setup is invalidated if price closes above the close of the green candle before validation occurs.
4️⃣ Stop-Loss & Targets:
- Stop-loss (SL): Place at or just above the swing high (first green candle high).
- Target (TP): 1x, 2x, or more times the distance between entry and stoploss.
5️⃣ Enhance Reliability: Combine with resistance levels, trendlines, moving averages, or other candlestick signals to filter out weak setups.
📊 Chart Explanation – Step by Step
✔ The Bearish Harami pattern was spotted after a clear uptrend.
✔ The following candle closed below the green candle’s open → Validation confirmed ✅.
✔ A short entry was taken on the same candle.
✔ A Bearish Harami pattern has also been drawn and highlighted on the chart.
🔍 Observation
- If Target 1 is achieved → book 2 lots , and trail the remaining position with a stop-loss.
- Harami is only a potential reversal → confirmation is necessary.
- Breakdown below the green candle’s open = sellers in control 🔻.
- Breakout above the green candle’s close = setup failure ❌.
- Patience is key — wait for confirmation before entering.
📌 Why It Matters?
The Bearish Harami helps traders by:
- Reducing false reversal trades with strict rules.
- Providing clear entry/exit levels with discipline.
- Enforcing risk management via pre-defined SL & TP.
✅ Conclusion
The Bearish Harami becomes powerful when traded with discipline.
By marking the open and close of the green candle, traders can clearly separate a valid short trade from a failed setup.
With a stop-loss at the swing high and take-profits at 1x, 2x, or more, while trailing further lots, the Harami offers a structured, rule-based strategy.
⚠️ Always remember: the pattern shows possibility → price confirmation makes it probability .
⚠️ Disclaimer
For educational purposes only · Not SEBI registered · Not a buy/sell recommendation · No investment advice — purely a learning resource
Bitcoin – Bullish Setup Forming After FVG Retest!Hello Traders!
Bitcoin is currently showing signs of forming a bullish setup after rejecting lower levels. The price has created a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone and is moving within a falling channel, suggesting a possible accumulation before the next leg up.
Key Observations:
FVG Support: Price is likely to retest the FVG zone before a strong upward move.
Falling Channel: The structure indicates potential breakout to the upside.
RSI Divergence: Momentum indicators are showing signs of strength, supporting a bullish reversal case.
Targets: The upside targets are marked at 116,360 – 117,380 – 118,394 levels.
Invalidation: A breakdown below 111,627 would negate this bullish setup.
Rahul’s Tip:
Always wait for confirmation around the FVG zone. Entering too early may expose you to false breakouts. Risk management is crucial, especially in volatile assets like Bitcoin.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – Key Levels & Trend Outlook📊 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – Key Levels & Trend Outlook 🚀📉
🔹 Trend Structure
Price is currently trading above the trendline, suggesting bulls are still in control, but momentum has weakened.
🔹 Support Zones
Immediate Support: 🔵 $111,739
Price recently tested this level and bounced, showing demand from buyers.
Key Mid-Support: 🔵 $100,242
Strong historical level where buyers stepped in multiple times.
Major Demand Zone: 🟪 $95,243 – $96,500
Highlighted purple support box; this is a critical accumulation zone where bulls are likely to defend strongly.
🔹 Resistance Levels
Near-term resistance: Around $120,000 – $124,000 (recent swing highs).
A breakout above this zone could fuel a new bullish rally.
🔹 Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Bias as long as price respects the green trendline and stays above $111,739.
⚠️ If the price breaks below $111,739 and the trendline, expect a deeper pullback toward $100,242 or even the major demand zone $95,243.
🚀 A breakout above $120K will signal strong continuation to new highs.
📌 Summary:
Trend: Uptrend ✅
Key Supports: $111,739 → $100,242 → $95,243
Resistance: $120,000 – $124,000
Bias: Bullish above $111K, cautious below 🔻
"Bitcoin Eyes $100K Re-Entry: Retest, Support Zone, Then Push ?Chart Analysis
1. Price Structure & Trendlines
The chart displays a former upward trendline that has been broken, leading to a corrective pullback.
Following that, price is perched within a “retest zone” (the red-shaded rectangle), which aligns with both historical horizontal resistance—now turning into support—and an area of previous consolidation. This is a classic setup: price often retests key breakout levels before resuming its move.
2. Support Levels
The main support is clearly drawn around the $100K zone, highlighted by a grey bar below the retest zone. This is a psychological and structural area to watch for potential strong buying.
Immediate support appears near $110K–$112K, as noted by the lower edge of the red retest area—this zone has shown to catch corrections before in technical analysis and news reports
AInvest
Mudrex
Barron's
.
3. Resistance & Upside Targets
If the retest holds, the chart charts a potential bounce toward the upper rising trendline and beyond, potentially aiming for the $126K–$130K region, as marked by Fibonacci retracement levels.
This aligns with several external forecasts suggesting resistance or target zones in that range
AInvest
Mudrex
Barron's
.
4. Potential Price Path & Scenarios (Denoted by Red Arrows)
Bearish Scenario: Price may dip down into the retest zone, test support, and—if the breakdown occurs—continue lower toward $100K—a key area of interest.
Bullish Scenario: The support holds, leading to a V-shaped recovery that propels price back above $115K, potentially triggering a rally toward $122K–$130K.
Summary Table
Key Zone / Level Significance & Note
$110K–$112K Critical near-term support; breakdown risks move toward $100K
AInvest
Mudrex
Retest Zone (~$114K–$115K) Area combining horizontal support and trendline; serves as pivot for next move
Mudrex
AInvest
$120K–$123K Major resistance where a breakout could fuel continuation toward $127K–$130K
Mudrex
Barron's
Broader Context & Market Sentiment
Bitcoin is currently consolidating after setting new highs near $124K
MarketWatch
The Economic Times
Barron's
Cointribune
.
Analysts observe that sustaining above the $110K–$112K band is essential to the bullish case; falling below it could invite deeper downside
Barron's
Cointribune
AInvest
.
Conversely, a decisive move above $120K–$123K could validate continuation toward $127K–$130K, and even higher—some forecasts extend to $135K and beyond
Mudrex
Indiatimes
Barron's
CoinCodex
.
Final Thoughts
Your chart beautifully illustrates the classic “retest after breakout” dynamic:
Hold above the retest zone? Look for a rebound toward $120K+, with the potential for a full bullish revival aiming for $130K.
Break below $110K–$112K? Watch for a possible move toward $100K—a critical support level.
Stay alert to macro catalysts too—like Federal Reserve interest rate signals, institutional inflows (ETFs), and regulatory developments—which could steer the next leg substantially
Bitcoin Trend – Breakout from the Downward ChannelBitcoin Trend – Breakout from the Downward Channel
Hello traders,
BTC has broken out of its descending channel with a very strong candle, moving exactly as expected in the corrective rally. At present, price is reacting around 117k, which confirms a shift in structure. For the medium term, the primary trend should now be considered bullish. Traders can look for pullbacks around 114.5k – 113k to add fresh long positions.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, BTC is moving within the final ABC structure. The current move is wave B, and we will be looking to position long once wave C completes.
Target for this long scenario: 120k – 121k, where a mild correction may occur as liquidity is taken.
This is my personal outlook on Bitcoin. Always follow price closely and manage your account carefully to stay safe.
What’s your view on BTC’s breakout? Share your thoughts in the comments so we can trade better together.
Buy BTC for 10K up move - Price Action confirmationLast few days multiple false news were spread in middle of correction.
Deliberate sell off by big players to trap the retailers etc etc
joined with US FOMC meetings etc only played down side which is
not technical.
I predict price tracing back to 124K asap.
Bitcoin is Digital Gold. At the same time keep long qty with liquidation level as
low as 105 or 100 or 95 K so no one can liquidate you....
Keep Booking profits and re enter at every dip.... rock it my friends
Bitcoin is Bullish or Bearish - 20th Aug 2025First, In my previous charts mentioned take long with money management. I didnt expect this much of fall and i had to cut my longs to hold the rest. Technically no answer for this fall since its mad short selling and group games or big players selling to get liquidity before they buy. They are buying at every dips in very large qty. Exchanges buy sell as well to kill and eat others
Price is at previous tested proved support. Any analyst can only suggest buy this dip and to be 100% security allow price to test the support again and then buy based on reaction. Support and Resistance are tested and will hold or breakout as well right. In my view for Bitcoin every previous proved support should not break since whales buy and rise the price. Not sure who is that whales selling causing support to break. In news I didnt see or knowing how is that big player sold causing price to drop this much. Stay Safe, I am doing my best or suggesting what I am also doing. God Bless Bitcoin traders.
Bitcoin – Updated Trading ScenarioBitcoin – Updated Trading Scenario
BTC followed the expected move by testing the 117,000 zone before turning lower, but it did not align with the anticipated ABC correction under Elliott Wave. At present, price is showing signs of slipping below the 114,700 support, suggesting that the corrective phase may not have ended at the previous wave 5 low.
Based on Dow Theory, the ongoing decline could extend towards the 113,000 area before the market sees a stronger rebound. A descending channel has now formed, and price is reacting well to the upper trendlines, reflecting that short-side pressure remains dominant.
In this context, prioritising short positions in line with the prevailing downtrend may improve the probability of success. The next major target lies near 110,000, where strong resistance clusters from higher timeframes converge.
For short-term traders, it is possible to take advantage of pullbacks towards the channel trendlines to look for quick entries following the main direction. Risk management is key here, and traders should avoid rushing into longs while the corrective leg is still in play.
A downtrend often lasts longer than expected, but once selling pressure fades, the recovery phase can be sharp. Patience and discipline are essential to capture the right opportunity rather than fighting against the flow.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ElliottWave #MACD #CryptoTrading #ForexIndia
BTC - 18th Aug Before US Open - Dump & Pump or Dump ?History was repeating exactly till half of 5th wave but market considered new ATH as possible profit booking and sold off instead of going in to parabolic up move. The exact place where it has to start the parabolic up move it got dumped. Either its due to CME close and few market players doing false move or its sure dump or lack of buying at these high price or ETH got importance instead of BTC. In this cycle ETH, SOL and XRP and few mother crypto pulling the liquidity and BTC missing those money. Need to wait and watch today and this week. Right now price is still at swing low from where it can move to new ATH to 127 and 130K.
BTC - TP 130K - History repeating with more bullish trendIn my previous chart I clearly said we are going to see 3rd wave as per history pattern seems to be repeating as per ABC pattern worked exactly. In chart clearly shown 3rd wave, 4th wave and one top followed by accumulation (right now happening) after 3rd wave and before parabolic 5th wave exactly happenings. From ABC to 4th wave its exact price move repeating and I wish and expecting the 5th wave in parabolic move and reach the FIB extension shown in chart for 130K logic. since its more bullish may be TP may be higher than 130K as well. Right now price is in accumulation phase after one top followed by wave3 top.
Do not lose your 50 to 60% BTC qty in any false moves. And do not take 100% long qty as well
Maintain Money Managment strictly.
Factors Supporting Crypto - mainly BTC and ETH
1) Fiat money printing causing $ index and US dollar weak
2) Strong US data, Euro zone data and no recession in any country now
3) All trade tax with Europe and China and most of the countries are good
4) Pension money flow in crypto in US + new adoption by corporates one after another
5) New IPO focusing on BTC and nonstop ETFs fund flow as usual
BTC - 17th Aug Asia Night view - Bullish TP1 -120700Explained my view in chart text it self. Its Bullish and expecting 120700 and 121600 minimum first to see if any resistance ome or not... not point is selling now and just need to be 50 to 60% capacity long in BTC now
Gold form double top bearish pattern,Bearish Patterns Annotated:
Double Top: A classic bearish reversal pattern resembling an "M" shape. It occurs when price hits resistance twice at similar levels (here, approximately $3,437 and $3,448 in July and August) and fails to break higher. This signals potential exhaustion of buyers and a shift to sellers.
Evening Star: A three-candle bearish reversal pattern marked near the recent high. It typically consists of a large green candle (up day), followed by a small-bodied candle (indecision), and then a large red candle closing below the midpoint of the first candle. This suggests bulls are losing control.
Engulf Candle (Bearish Engulfing): A red candle that completely "engulfs" the body of the prior green candle, indicating strong selling pressure overriding previous buying. It's marked near the top, reinforcing the reversal theme.
Opportunity: - As per chart it can short 3380-3350 with stop loss 3400 above for the targets of double bottom pattern 3260 and 3160.
BTC - 17th Aug - Buy @ 117K during re test of supportBitcoin reacts and respects Fib levels and as expected seen taking support at very crucial and stronger support area around 117 K. Its a confluence of support area. 1) 10th Aug Strategy bought BTC at this area, 2) resistance line broken area converting to support. 3) FIB golden line area. Price is coming for re test of the support and expecting very good buying interest today 17th Aug. Its a must buy time in Bitcoin today. Buy with all required Money Management.
Last few days ETFs funds inflow only seen so many people are accumulating only,
