IS THERE SOMETHING THAT WE DO NOT KNOW?!Two most popular names under Modi regime are forming bearish patterns. Obviously we are over 25 days away from results. Maybe there is some smart money play here and this fall is to trigger retailers to sell and they make their long positions here. I have already shared about a possible double top on Nifty. Breakdown is far away. Why I feel this is more of smart money play because markets have fallen in decreasing order on all three poll dates so far. Will not be shocked if we see a pattern. They are active, it's visible as Nifty closed point to point there where it closed yesterday. 0.00 points move. Markets are forward looking but isn't it just too early as elections have just reached halfway mark. NSE:RELIANCE has broken down and even re-tested, bouncing off a support, will be exciting to see how it next week. NSE:ADANIENT has also broken down. It is really going to be very exciting to see where these stocks head from here and how will the Nifty perform.
Adani
Adani Power Target IntactAs always, expectations from Adani Power Q4 results were very high and even though results were good (except for higher tax amount), there is a sense of disappointment in the street. The story remains intact; may be some more consolidation. Any panic fall towards 570-560 due to rumours/news should be treated as an opportunity to buy. This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own due diligence.
Investment Gem: (Adani Enterprise) Set to Soar 20-25%!ADANI ENTERPRISE:
Swing Targets: 3900/400
Long Term: 6000
Company Background and Work:
- Founded by Gautam Adani in 1988, Adani Enterprises Limited is a conglomerate within the Adani Group.
- Core sectors: Energy, infrastructure, logistics, agribusiness, real estate, financial services, and defense.
- Evolution into a leading player in India's business landscape.
- Core businesses: Trading, coal mining, renewable energy generation, agribusiness, and logistics.
- Trading: Started with agricultural commodities, diversified into coal, oil, gas, edible oils, and metals.
- Global presence with trading offices in key markets.
- Coal Mining: Among India's largest coal mining companies, meeting energy demands for various industries.
- Renewable Energy: Active investment in solar and wind power projects, contributing to clean energy transition.
- Agribusiness: Strong presence in sourcing, processing, and trading of agricultural commodities.
- Operations include grain silos, storage facilities, and processing plants.
- Logistics: Operates ports, terminals, and transportation services facilitating trade domestically and internationally.
- Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (APSEZ) is a major subsidiary.
- Other Businesses: Real estate development, financial services, and defense manufacturing.
- Diversified business interests strategically leveraged for growth and profitability.
- Contribution to India's economic development, infrastructure, and energy security.
- Commitment to innovation and sustainability in shaping India's future economy.
--------------------------Fundamental Analysis
- Shareholding: Promoters' holdings 72.61% as of December 2023.
- Financial Performance: The company has sustained profitability over the last 2-3 quarters, with earnings averaging between 136977 crores per quarter.
--------------------------Technical Analysis
- Ready to Break .618 Fib level.
- Bullish Flag pattern.
Above 50 Moving Average.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
15 Mar ’24 — Nifty falls below the support again, goes bearish ⬇Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “If you look at the higher time frame, today’s price moves might be between 38.2 to 50% Fibonacci retracement levels and what might have formed could be a lower high.”
4mts chart
Nifty was not able to sustain the gains yesterday, within the opening 15 minutes itself it breached the support level of 22051 and stayed below that for the entire day. Since we broke the SR level, we had to change the stance from neutral to bearish today. Even though we went down, it was not accompanied by a huge momentum or an avalanche build-up. The reason is, the next support level of 21913 was not tested today.
The only reason we pushed through the resistance yesterday was because of NiftyIT. And today NiftyIT started with cuts of -0.9%. Do you agree with me now that the main villain is NiftyIT which is preventing Nifty50 for a smooth directional trend?
On the higher timeframe, looks like the lower high is formed perfectly. It has to be complemented with a new lower low. And when that happens the support of 21913 will have to give away and we might even have to retest the 21491 levels. After reading the “electoral bonds scam” and “small and mid cap stress tests” news, I strongly feel we might have uncertain times ahead, at least for a short while.
63mts chart
14 Mar ’24 — BankNifty's price action overshadowed by NiftyITBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Banks were performing as expected today, even though we had a neutral view we ended up losing 0.41% for the day. The stance for tomorrow also continues to be neutral as BN did not breach support or resistance today. The starting candle was perfect as per the script, from there we rose 666pts ~ 1.43% to reach the HOD of 47231 by 11.43. The staling was obvious as there were no special triggers to take up even near the resistance level of 47465.
4mts chart
The fall of 536pts ~ 1.14% from the day’s high also made perfect sense. Unfortunately, Nifty50 does not convey the real truth that happened with the banks as that index was overshadowed by stocks like Adani and NiftyIT components.
On the 63mts time frame, the lower high formation looks much better than N50. Our stance continues to be neutral and would go short if we enter the bearish channel and would go long if the 47465 resistance is breached.
63mts chart
–
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs21565. Even though we had a quick dip in profits by 10.37, the system recovered and closed in green.
Adani Wilmar Ltd - Breakout OpportunityDate : 27-Feb-2024
Rating : Buy
LTP : Rs. 387.85
Targets: (1) Rs. 419 --> (2) Rs. 492 --> (3) Rs. 532 --> (4) Rs. 639
SL : Rs. 350
Technical View:
Since SEP 2022 NSE:AWL has been in primary down trend. On 19-Feb-2024, NSE:AWL has given break out from its primary down trend with higher than average volume. RSI is above 50 and MACD is above 0. Indicating bullish sign for coming days.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market.
Bank Nifty Expiry Trade Analysis!
As mentioned earlier post that might be today will be trend day or same tight sideways and it happend market didn't moved to new direction.
market players want to stop out as many players as possible before a breakout it started with morning flase break out then all went in a range
Bulls are facing strong resistance as they failed twice to break 45600 level and got weaker in later sessions
If open below 45200 then sellers will be strong
Resistance : 45600,45700
Support : 45200,44900
09 Jan ’24 — BankNifty made the BEARS🐻 proud today ! BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
BankNifty was more sensible today. Firstly the gap-up was not so huge to scare away the bears - so they hung around. Secondly, there was no breakaway momentum, by 11.07 things were getting pretty clear that the upmove ran out of steam.
4mts chart link
And when the selling came, it was ferocious. Bears also had to make sure the support level of 47539 had to be taken out with style. The RED candles near that price zone are ample proof of that. The fall was over 782pts ~ 1.63% which took BN into RED. Nifty on the other hand stayed in green thanks to NiftyIT, LT, and ADANI group.
63mts chart link
Since we have the BN expiry tomorrow, it may be a treat to watch how the strike price premiums could surge. India VIX was not favoring the bears today, if we have a strong price action in the forenoon the IV is bound to add to the momentum. Our stance of bearishness continues with the first target of 46931 followed by 46574.
ADANIPOWER - AnalysisAdani Power Limited is a holding company engaged in providing electric power generation by coal-based thermal power plants and coal trading.
Financials:
TTM EPS: 27.81
TTM PE: 10.01
P/B: 5.74
Face Value: 10
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 107,415
Sector PE: 14.22
Book Value Per Share: 48.49
News: Adani Power, the Adani group company, on Thursday(03/08/2023), had posted a net profit of ₹8,759 crore for the first quarter of FY24, registering a robust growth of 83% from ₹4,780 crore in the same quarter last year.
Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Strong Annual EPS Growth
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ)
Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (YoY)
Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 3 quarters
Increasing profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Negatives:
Companies with High Debt
Inefficient use of shareholder funds - ROE declining in the last 2 years
Rising other income, and low operating income
Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION. Thanks.
15th Dec ’23 - 0.5% variance b/w BankNifty & FinNifty - a first?BankNifty Analysis
The patterns and price action on BankNifty were interesting today. For the first time, I noticed a dichotomy with Finnifty’s points. BankNifty and FinNifty had a variance of 0.5% index-to-index basis. This gap remained as such for the entire day. I do not remember the last time they had a sizeable gap. 81.57% weighted stocks in Banknifty have a combined weight of 77.09% in Finnifty - still, we got a variance.
4mts chart link - click here
Today’s gap up was actually in the range set from yesterday. We did not break out until 14.27. So if we do not combine yesterday’s price action with today’s - the final painted picture will be different. The real deal today was NiftyIT which went up 4.56% and Reliance + Adani. SBI also played a part but BankNifty as a whole was not that crazy as Nifty. We finally ended the day with a gain of 0.86%. FinNifty ended with 0.32% gains.
63mts chart link - click here
BN has also made an island formation because of the gap-up yesterday. The stance remains unchanged at bullish. The first support level will be 47754. Meanwhile would like to find out why NiftyIT surged so much, definitely it has to do with some news or insider information.
28th Nov ’23 - BankNifty is neutral till 44063 is taken out BankNifty Analysis
BankNifty was following the last day’s price momentum, but it did not have an acceleration similar to Nifty today. Well the main reason why Nifty got that push was due to the 10% upper circuit hit on ADANIENT. Even ADANIPORTS also closed quite well today. Both of them combined added 39+ pts to Nifty’s gains today ~ 0.19%. You deduct that, you almost get the 0.26% net gains same as BankNifty today.
5mts chart link - click here
That does not mean BankNifty did poorly today. We almost had a W like pattern between 13.00 and close. The next resistance of 44063 is still not taken out, which means we need to watch how it will react to the opening hours tomorrow. Also tomorrow we have no expiries as BankNifty will expire the same as Nifty & Sensex this Thursday.
1hr chart link - click here
BankNifty has picked up decent momentum from 22nd Nov when it bounced from the 43253 support level. The next level to watch is 44063 and till that is not taken out, I wish to maintain my neutral stance. Once BankNifty also goes bullish, it will be a treat to watch as Nifty is already long.
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Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
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Bank Nifty Simple Analysis- Looks like buyers are coming in bulls above 43300 - 43350
- As per trend it shows downward move has been denied by buyers and todays gap up opening comirms buyers trying to pull back up.
- May be a gap up opening can be there which may triggers buyers
- Sellers below 42800 till 42600 but beware of traps here
- Support also at 42600 and resistance at 43230
Note : Do your own analysis before making in trade or invesments
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DATA-Trading is like a GPS system while you navigate the treacherous Ups and Downs of the markets. DATA is your guide to gain knowledge and make better decisions in the markets.
Topic Trading Things
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#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Option Study with Professional👑💸💸💸💸👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
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Buy when Market Break
The support or Resistance
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set stop loss at the
last opening of the candle.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏