Analysis
Clean Trendline Respect on Weekly Chart – 500 DaysPattern Context
Price has been respecting a well-defined descending trendline on the weekly timeframe, with each rally stalling below the previous swing high and reinforcing the broader lower‑high, lower‑low sequence.
Candlestick Behavior
Showing how supply continues to respond at the same diagonal zone. This reaction visually confirms how aggressively the market has been defending the pattern’s upper boundary without implying what comes next, keeping the focus strictly on how price has behaved historically around this line.
Observational Takeaway
This chart serves as a clear example of how a simple, clean trendline can organize price behavior over multiple months and frame where participation repeatedly shifts. The emphasis here is on observing how consistently the structure has been respected and how each touch has shaped the ongoing sequence, allowing traders to study price interaction with a dominant trend rather than anticipate future outcomes.
Disclaimer
This post is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice, stock tips, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Readers should do their own research, consider their personal risk tolerance, and consult a registered financial professional if needed before making any trading or investment decisions.
ASHAPURMIN 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Current Live Price (Daily)
Approx ₹745.4 on NSE at latest available update.
This reflects the recent trading session where the stock moved between ~₹705 (low) and ~₹751 (high) before settling near ₹745.45.
📊 Daily Technical Levels (Pivot / Support / Resistance)
🔹 Pivot Point Levels (based on yesterday’s range)
(These can be used for today’s intraday bias)
Daily Pivot: ~₹733.8
Support 1: ~ ₹716.6
Support 2: ~ ₹687.8
Support 3: ~ ₹670.6
Resistance 1: ~ ₹762.6
Resistance 2: ~ ₹779.8
Resistance 3: ~ ₹808.6
(Classic pivot method daily)
Fundamental Analysis Basics (P/E, P/B, ROE, ROCE)1. Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio)
What it Means
The P/E ratio tells you how much investors are willing to pay today for ₹1 of a company’s earnings. It connects a company’s market price with its profit generation ability.
Formula:
P/E = Current Market Price ÷ Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Why P/E Matters
A high P/E suggests that investors expect strong future growth.
A low P/E may indicate undervaluation, or that the company is facing growth challenges.
How to Interpret P/E
High P/E (>30): Market is optimistic, often seen in growth sectors like technology or consumer internet companies.
Moderate P/E (15–30): Indicates stable performance, common in quality midcaps and blue-chip stocks.
Low P/E (<15): Might indicate a value pick or a fundamentally weak company.
Limitations
P/E does not work well if profits are volatile or negative.
P/E differs widely across sectors—comparing a bank with a tech company is misleading.
Best Use Cases
Compare P/E with the stock’s historical average.
Compare P/E with the industry average.
Use Forward P/E (P/E using estimated future earnings) to understand growth visibility.
2. Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B Ratio)
What it Means
The P/B ratio compares the company’s market value with its book value (net assets). It tells how many times investors are paying relative to assets.
Formula:
P/B = Market Price per Share ÷ Book Value per Share
Book Value per Share = (Total Assets – Total Liabilities) ÷ Number of Shares
Why P/B Matters
Useful for asset-heavy sectors such as banks, NBFCs, manufacturing, and PSU companies.
Helps understand whether the stock trades above or below its actual net worth.
How to Interpret P/B
P/B < 1: Stock may be undervalued; the company trades below its net worth.
P/B between 1–3: Normal valuation for most companies.
P/B > 3: Indicates premium valuation; market expects strong future returns.
Limitations
Not useful for asset-light businesses like IT, FMCG, or digital companies where the real value lies in brand and intellectual property.
P/B alone does not measure profitability or efficiency.
Best Use Cases
Combine P/B with ROE to judge whether a company is generating strong returns on its net assets.
Valuable for evaluating banks and financial institutions.
3. Return on Equity (ROE)
What it Means
ROE shows how efficiently a company generates profits using shareholder equity. It reflects management’s ability to create value.
Formula:
ROE = Net Profit ÷ Shareholder’s Equity × 100
Why ROE Matters
High ROE indicates that the company uses shareholder money efficiently.
It reflects competitive advantage, pricing power, and strong demand.
How to Interpret ROE
ROE > 20%: Excellent – shows strong efficiency and high margins.
ROE 15–20%: Good – typical for stable companies.
ROE < 10%: Weak – indicates poor profitability or inefficient use of equity.
Limitations
ROE can be misleading if the company has very high debt; equity becomes smaller because debt funds the assets.
A temporary profit spike can artificially inflate ROE.
Best Use Cases
Compare ROE with the industry average.
Use ROE along with P/B to identify high-quality compounders.
Check 5–10 year ROE trends for consistency.
4. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
What it Means
ROCE measures profitability based on all capital employed, including equity and debt. It gives a more holistic view than ROE.
Formula:
ROCE = EBIT ÷ (Equity + Debt) × 100
Here, EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) measures operating profit.
Why ROCE Matters
Shows how efficiently the company generates profits using both debt and equity.
Crucial for capital-heavy industries like manufacturing, steel, energy, or infrastructure.
How to Interpret ROCE
ROCE > 20%: Excellent capital allocation, highly efficient.
ROCE 15–20%: Good and sustainable.
ROCE < 12%: Weak returns relative to capital employed.
Limitations
ROCE may fluctuate due to capital expansion cycles.
Not very useful for debt-free companies where ROE already gives similar insight.
Best Use Cases
Compare ROCE with the company’s cost of capital (WACC).
High ROCE indicates strong pricing power and effective management.
How These Ratios Work Together
Using P/E, P/B, ROE, and ROCE in isolation is incomplete. Successful investors combine them for a full picture of valuation and performance.
1. P/E + ROE → Identifying Growth at Reasonable Price (GARP)
High ROE + reasonable P/E = High-quality stock at fair valuation.
Example: A company with ROE 20% and P/E 18 is usually attractive.
2. P/B + ROE → Banking and Financial Analysis
High ROE + moderate P/B = efficient bank with good asset quality.
A bank with ROE 17% and P/B 1.5 is stronger than a bank with ROE 10% and P/B 1.
3. ROCE + P/E → Capital-Intensive Business Screening
High ROCE suggests strong return on capital.
If P/E is low while ROCE is high, the stock may be undervalued.
4. ROE vs ROCE → Debt Analysis
ROE > ROCE: Company uses leverage (debt) to boost shareholder returns.
ROCE > ROE: Limited debt; equity is used more efficiently.
Practical Example (Simplified)
Suppose a company has the following metrics:
P/E = 20
P/B = 3
ROE = 22%
ROCE = 18%
Interpretation:
P/E 20 → Fair valuation.
P/B 3 → Market expects strong future performance.
ROE 22% → Very efficient with shareholder capital.
ROCE 18% → Strong use of total capital.
Conclusion:
This is a high-quality growth company trading at a fair-to-premium valuation.
How Investors Use These Ratios in Real World
1. For Long-Term Investors
Focus on businesses with consistently high ROE and ROCE.
Avoid companies with declining profitability, even if valuation looks low.
2. For Value Investors
Look for low P/E and low P/B stocks with improving ROE/ROCE.
These indicate potential turnarounds.
3. For Growth Investors
Accept high P/E if ROE and ROCE remain elevated for multiple years.
Growth sustainability is more important than cheap valuation.
4. For Traders
Use ratios to identify strong fundamentally-backed stocks for swing or positional trades.
Conclusion
P/E, P/B, ROE, and ROCE are essential tools of fundamental analysis. P/E and P/B help measure valuation, while ROE and ROCE measure profitability and efficiency. Together, they determine whether a stock is fundamentally sound, fairly priced, and capable of delivering long-term returns. When used consistently and compared with historical data, sector averages, and market conditions, these ratios give investors a powerful framework for making informed decisions.
USDJPY SELLS📉 USD/JPY – Bearish Trend With Clean Supply Rejection
As we can see, UJ is clearly in a bearish trend, confirmed by the red dots on the left chart, where price continues to create new lows.
Price recently retraced into a well-defined Supply zone around the 156.000 level. On the right chart, structure flipped after tapping the zone, giving a clean confirmation and creating a high-quality entry opportunity.
My first partials are placed at the 15-minute low, with the remaining targets marked by the red lines below.
Understanding the Fundamental MarketCore Principles of the Fundamental Market
Intrinsic Value Assessment:
The central idea in the fundamental market is that every asset has an intrinsic or “true” value. Investors compare this intrinsic value with the current market price to determine whether the asset is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued. Buying undervalued assets or selling overvalued ones forms the basis of long-term profit strategies.
Focus on Economic Fundamentals:
Fundamental markets heavily rely on macroeconomic and microeconomic indicators. For example, GDP growth, inflation rates, employment statistics, interest rates, and government fiscal policies are crucial in assessing the overall economic environment. At the micro level, company-specific data such as revenue, earnings, debt levels, cash flow, and competitive positioning are analyzed to determine the financial health and growth potential of individual firms.
Long-term Investment Horizon:
Unlike traders who operate in the short-term, the fundamental market favors long-term investments. Investors anticipate that while short-term price fluctuations may occur due to market sentiment or technical factors, in the long run, the market price of an asset will converge with its intrinsic value.
Key Components of Fundamental Market Analysis
Company Analysis (Equity Market):
In the stock market, fundamental analysis involves examining a company’s financial statements—balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Key metrics include:
Earnings per Share (EPS): Indicates profitability on a per-share basis.
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): Measures whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued relative to its earnings.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Assesses financial leverage and risk.
Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Assets (ROA): Evaluate efficiency in using shareholders’ capital or assets to generate profits.
Beyond numbers, qualitative factors such as management quality, brand strength, market share, regulatory environment, and competitive advantages are also critical in assessing long-term growth potential.
Macroeconomic Analysis:
The broader economy directly influences asset prices. Factors such as:
Interest rates: Higher rates may reduce borrowing and consumer spending, negatively affecting company profits.
Inflation: Rising inflation can erode the real value of returns and affect purchasing power.
Fiscal and Monetary Policies: Government spending, tax policies, and central bank interventions can stimulate or constrain market growth.
Global Events: Geopolitical events, pandemics, and trade policies also play a significant role in determining market trends.
Industry Analysis:
Understanding the industry in which a company operates helps investors identify growth opportunities or potential risks. Factors to consider include:
Market size and growth potential
Competitive dynamics
Technological innovations
Regulatory constraints
Cyclical vs. non-cyclical industry characteristics
Valuation Models:
Investors use various models to estimate intrinsic value, including:
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: Projects future cash flows and discounts them to present value.
Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Focuses on the present value of expected dividends.
Comparable Company Analysis: Compares valuation multiples (like P/E, EV/EBITDA) with peers.
Asset-Based Valuation: Evaluates the net asset value of a company by subtracting liabilities from total assets.
Participants in the Fundamental Market
The fundamental market attracts a wide array of participants, including:
Long-term investors: Individual and institutional investors who seek wealth accumulation over years or decades.
Mutual funds and pension funds: These funds invest in fundamentally strong companies with sustainable growth.
Value investors: Investors who follow the philosophy of buying undervalued stocks with a margin of safety, popularized by Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett.
Corporate analysts and research houses: Professionals who provide insights into company performance and macroeconomic trends.
Advantages of Operating in the Fundamental Market
Reduced Speculative Risk: By focusing on intrinsic value, investors can avoid the herd mentality and irrational exuberance often seen in speculative trading.
Long-Term Wealth Creation: Fundamental market investments are typically more stable and generate wealth over extended periods through price appreciation and dividends.
Informed Decision-Making: Thorough research and analysis ensure that investment decisions are grounded in reality rather than market sentiment.
Alignment with Economic Growth: Investments in fundamentally strong companies often mirror real economic growth, providing consistent returns.
Challenges of the Fundamental Market
Time-Consuming Analysis: Evaluating financial statements, industry dynamics, and macroeconomic trends requires significant effort and expertise.
Market Inefficiency: In the short term, market prices may deviate from intrinsic value due to speculation, news events, or investor sentiment.
Information Overload: Investors must filter vast amounts of data to focus on meaningful indicators.
Globalization and Complexity: International exposure introduces currency risks, geopolitical factors, and cross-border regulatory challenges.
Examples of Fundamental Market Strategies
Value Investing: Buying stocks that trade below their intrinsic value and holding until the market recognizes their true worth.
Growth Investing: Identifying companies with strong revenue and earnings growth potential even if current valuations are high.
Income Investing: Focusing on companies that provide regular dividend income alongside steady capital appreciation.
Sector Rotation: Moving investments across sectors based on macroeconomic cycles and industry trends.
Conclusion
The fundamental market is the backbone of rational, long-term investing. It emphasizes in-depth research, economic understanding, and valuation analysis to identify assets with sustainable growth potential. By concentrating on intrinsic value, participants in the fundamental market can mitigate short-term volatility and speculation, building wealth steadily over time. While it requires patience, diligence, and expertise, the fundamental market offers one of the most robust approaches to navigating the complexities of modern financial markets.
Ultimately, the fundamental market is not just about buying and selling assets—it’s about understanding the economy, businesses, and human behavior to make informed decisions that align with long-term financial goals.
Sensex INDEXSensex is in bearish trend
We can see strong RESISTANCE in between 84,800 & 85,000 range. If SENSEX breaksdown 84,800 level we can expect sensex at 84,600 and further down side till 83,100 level
Strong support regions are at 84,900, 84,500, and 83,950.
After reaching 84,600 we can expect retracement till 84,900 and if resistance was not taken then only it can move till 84,000 level
This is just my analysis to best of my knowledge
KAZIA THERAPEUTICS LTD SPONSORED ADRKZIA made double bottom with divergence with good volume and breakout at $4.45 with first target of $22.5, if and second target of $41.7 and with can expect strong resistance at $41.7 and reverse might happen. If KZIA did breakout at this level we can expect rally till $79.
Analysis is made on weekly time fame for long term view
It is just my chart analysis upto best of my knowledge. As it is share market anything happen because market effects on many things happen in the world.
Thank you
Consolidation happening in BBTC (Bombay burmah trading)1. is having consolidation pattern between 1750 - 2100 levels
2. One can watch for breakout above 2100 with good Risk : Reward
3. stock has give strong results attracting buyers and accumulation seen at 1850 levels
with strong buyer coming taking stock to 2050 levels in single day
4. stock may test its all time high if breaches 2400 levels
Gold direction today November 17📊 Support – Resistance – Fibonacci Analysis
1. Trend Overview
Price has broken below the ascending channel, signaling a shift into a corrective downtrend phase.
2. Key Resistance Zone
4,215 – 4,230
Confluence of Fibonacci retracement 0.5 – 0.618
Overlaps with a supply zone + EMA89
→ Strong resistance, high probability of selling pressure.
This is also the expected pullback/retest area before the next bearish leg.
3. Key Support Levels
Support 1 – 4,000
Fibonacci extension 0.5
Horizontal support
→ Likely to generate a short-term reaction.
Support 2 – 3,890
Major downside target if the structure fully breaks
→ Primary bearish target for a deeper continuation.
4. Price Scenario
Price may pull back toward 4,215 – 4,230.
BUY GOLD : 4000 - 3997
Stoploss : 3987
Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
SELL GOLD : 4212 - 4215
Stoploss : 4225
Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
BUY AGAIN BREAKOUT TREND LINE🕯SELL GOLD: 4018- 4015
⚠️ SL: 4015
✔️ TP: 4024→ 4030→3934( 60- 170 pips)
The 4018–4015 zone has just been broken, and with the temporary bearish structure on M15 also violated, there is a high probability that price will pull back and retest this zone.
If that happens, we’ll have a beautiful and technically clean BUY pullback opportunity aligned with the post-breakout structure.
📌 Notes:
This is a BUY pullback setup based on the M15 break of structure
Only BUY with clear candle confirmation
Small lot size + tight SL for safety
I’ll update again when price approaches the retest zone. 🔔🔥
Pressured Below 4050$ as Bears Target the 4,000$ Liquidity BreakGold continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, staying capped beneath 4,050$ and hovering just above the major liquidity floor at 4,000$.
With fading expectations for a December Fed cut and cautious global sentiment, buyers remain defensive while sellers maintain structural control.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1)
Price remains inside a tight 4,053$ → 4,000$ distribution zone, with the descending trendline keeping gold suppressed.
The POC around 4,053$ is acting as a firm ceiling; every retest so far has been rejected.
Fibonacci projections from the last drop highlight two major downside liquidity zones:
3,945$ → first liquidity cluster
3,876$ → deeper extension and key demand
Current structure resembles a bear flag, hinting that the market may be preparing for another downside expansion.
🎯 Key Scenarios
1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown (Primary Scenario)
If gold loses 4,000$, expect momentum to accelerate into:
3,945$
3,876$
This remains the most probable path while price holds below 4,053$.
2️⃣ Liquidity Sweep → Short-Covering Bounce
If price sweeps 3,945$ and forms bullish rejection wicks:
A relief bounce could develop back toward 4,000$,
Then 4,053$ (POC)
And possibly 4,098$ if buyers gain traction.
Still a corrective move unless bulls reclaim the upper structure.
❌ Invalidation (Bearish Bias Weakens)
H4 acceptance above 4,098$
→ would shift the narrative and force a reassessment of trend direction.
⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING Insight
Gold is still trading below value and below the trendline — this is not a bullish environment yet.
The market must either break 4,000$ or reclaim 4,053$–4,098$ before any stronger directional conviction returns.
“Let the market show its hand. In a downtrend, weak rallies are opportunities — not reversals.”
ETHUSDT/BTCUSDT Short idea 11/11/2025Wassup Lads!
This looks like a very enticing short setup simply because
1. Price in a daily bearish fair value gap
2. We have SMT Divergence between BTC and ETH on the daily time frame
Switching over to the H1 time frame I'm clearly seeing price print out a bearish orderflow, I have not yet entered but will look to enter a sell postion on retracement to the H1 Bearish fair value gap, targeting a basic 1 to 2 risk to reward ratio. So basically, if price retraces to the h1 bearish fair value gap I'll look for shorts or I'm happy waiting on the sidelines for a new setup.
As always -
1. Manage your risk
2. Stay disciplined
3. Do your own research
One wrong trade can spoil months of discipline
Keep winning!!
Nykaa - Strong Growth Cup & Handle with Detailed fundamentalsFSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited (Nykaa) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Company Overview:
FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited (Nykaa) is a digitally native consumer technology platform, delivering a content-led, lifestyle retail experience. Since its incorporation in 2012, the company has focused on designing a differentiated brand discovery journey for its consumers. It offers a diverse portfolio of beauty, personal care, and fashion products, including owned-brand products manufactured in-house. Nykaa provides an omnichannel experience to cater to consumer preferences and convenience.
Technical Analysis
Chart Patterns: Cup and handle breakout; Today 1-hour parallel channel breakout
Current Market Price (CMP): ₹260
Targets: ₹301, ₹350
Support Levels: ₹230, ₹195
Recent News & Highlights
✅Q1 FY26 Results: Consolidated net profit surged 142% YoY to ₹23.30 Cr; revenue up 23.4% to ₹2,155 Cr
✅Arbitration Win: Nykaa Fashion received ₹10 Cr compensation from arbitration award
Q1 FY26 Guidance: Management anticipates consolidated net revenue growth at lower end of mid-twenties range YoY
✅Fashion Segment Target: Company expects EBITDA breakeven in fashion by FY26
✅Organic Portfolio Expansion: Aims to increase organic portfolio by 30% annually to reach ₹6,000 Cr GMV
✅Q4 FY25 Performance: EBITDA ₹133 Cr vs ₹93.28 Cr YoY; EBITDA margin improved to 6.47% from 5.59%
✅Corporate Action: NCLT approved merger of Iluminar Media (LBB) into Nykaa Fashion
Analytical Summary
Operational Excellence: Revenue growth of 24.5% YoY with net profit doubling to ₹66.08 Cr demonstrates strong execution and operating leverage. The company is scaling both beauty and fashion verticals while expanding margins.
Capital Structure: Debt increased 41% to ₹961 Cr, but debt-to-equity remains negligible at 0.04, showing conservative leverage. ROE at 5.9% suggests room for improvement in capital efficiency.
Valuation Risk: PE of 675.77 and PB of 40.5 reflect aggressive growth expectations. EV/EBITDA of 117.5 leaves minimal margin of safety, requiring caution for long-term investors.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths (16 Factors):
Rising net and operating cash flows for 2 consecutive years
Strong EPS growth; quarterly profit margins expanding
Improving RoCE, ROE, and ROA
Consistent revenue growth for past 2 quarters
Clean governance; zero promoter pledge
Weaknesses (3 Factors):
Promoter shareholding dilution
Expensive valuation (PE > 40) limits margin of safety
Opportunities (1 Factor):
Increasing FII/FPI shareholding validates institutional interest
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing in stocks involve risks, and individuals should conduct their own due diligence or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any gains or losses arising from the use of this analysis.
DXY Weekly Outlook 10/11/2025 - 14/11/2025Wassup Lads!
The dollar index has closed sharply into the weekly range and has formed a daily swing point and a strong rejection candle on the weekly time frame. I am expecting dollar to retrace to the bearish daily fair value gap and continue lower.
I recommend you to -
1. Maintain your risk
2. Stay disciplined
3. Do your own research
Let's win the week
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd (CFHL) Triangle Breakout 1DCholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd (CFHL) – Triangle Breakout & 1-Year Resistance Breakout 🚀
📊 Technical View:
CFHL has given a triangle breakout along with a 1-year resistance breakout, indicating strong bullish momentum. If Trend continues, The price action also shows a successful retest of the breakout zone, shows trend continuation.
Resistance Turned Support: ₹1650 – previously a resistance, now acting as strong support.
Current Action: Price broke above the ₹1650 range, retested the level today , and is now moving upward again.
Next Resistance Targets Levels: ₹1824 / ₹2004
Support Levels: ₹1536 / ₹1410
🏦 Company Overview:
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CFHL), incorporated in 1949, is a part of the Murugappa Group, one of India’s most diversified business conglomerates.
CFHL is a Non-Deposit Taking Systemically Important Core Investment Company (CIC) registered with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
The company holds substantial investments in group companies and provides a diverse range of financial products and risk management services to individual and corporate clients through its subsidiaries and group companies.
📈 For educational purpose only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank (TMB) – Update | 3.5% Move from Our Lvl🟢 Tamilnad Mercantile Bank (TMB) – Update | 3.5% Move from Our Level 🚀
Latest Update : Our analysis shared around ₹499 has played out well — TMB made an intraday high of ₹517, gaining nearly 3.5% from the mentioned level.
🏦 Company Overview:
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Limited is one of the oldest and leading old private sector banks in India. The bank offers a wide range of banking products and services to retail, MSME, agricultural, and corporate customers.
Retail Products: Home loans, personal loans, auto loans, educational loans, business loans, and security-backed loans.
MSME Portfolio: Loans for manufacturing, traders, and service sector enterprises.
Agricultural Loans: Offered to individual farmers, farmer groups, agri-businesses, and agri-corporates.
📊 Technical View:
High Reached: ₹517 (▲3.5%)
Resistance: ₹510 – price tested and faced mild rejection here.
Supports: ₹466 / ₹440
💡 View: The stock showed strong momentum from the support zone and approached its major 1-year resistance area near ₹510–₹515. A sustained close above ₹515 can confirm a breakout and open the next upside targets of ₹535 / ₹600.
📈 For educational purpose only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
UPL Limited – Weekly Chart Analysis
📊 UPL Limited – Weekly Chart Analysis
Company Overview:
UPL Limited is a global leader in sustainable agricultural solutions, ranked among the top five agricultural solutions companies worldwide. The company operates across multiple countries, offering an integrated portfolio of patented and post-patent agricultural solutions for both arable and specialty crops — including biologicals, crop protection, seed treatment, and post-harvest solutions.
UPL is principally engaged in:
Production and sale of agrochemicals, field crops, and vegetable seeds
Non-agro business of industrial chemicals, chemical intermediates, and speciality chemicals
With market access across the world’s food basket, UPL is focused on driving growth and innovation throughout the entire agricultural value chain — from growers to distributors and partners. 🌱
📈 Technical View (1-Week Chart):
A trendline formation is observed on the weekly timeframe, indicating a potential breakout setup.
Resistance: ₹830 – strong resistance zone. A breakout above this level can trigger the next target near ₹930.
Support: ₹643 – strong support base.
This formation suggests the move could take time to play out, as it’s developing over the weekly chart.
📊 Key Financial Snapshot:
UPL’s current market price is around ₹724.15 with a P/E ratio of 11.65. The company holds a market capitalization of ₹61,068.53 crore and offers a dividend yield of 0.83%.
In the latest quarter, net profit stood at ₹612 crore, reflecting a 125.74% increase compared to the previous quarter. Quarterly sales were ₹12,019 crore, showing an 8.38% rise. The company’s Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is 7.66%, indicating stable operational efficiency.
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only, not investment advice
DMART LONGDMART (Avenue Supermarts) has reached a strong trend support level. Additionally, in the daily timeframe, the current candle closed at the previous day's candle level.
Therefore, we can go long in DMART for a swing trade. Fundamentally, the quarterly results are already out, so there is no immediate issue regarding upcoming events.
Go long on DMART, but make sure to manage your trade quantity, risk, and reward based on your risk appetite. This is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee returns.
Real value of Market # Entry #Exit #Trail # StoplossThe phrase "Market # Entry #Exit #Trail # Stoploss" refers to the core parameters of a structured trading plan. The "real value" does not imply a single numerical figure, but rather the monetary gain or loss realized from a trade based on how these elements are defined and executed, combined with the discipline to follow them consistently.
Market: The specific financial instrument or market being traded (e.g., a particular stock, currency pair, or commodity).
Entry: The predefined price level or condition at which a trader opens a position. A good entry can offer a favorable risk-to-reward ratio from the start.
Exit: The predefined strategy or points at which a trader closes a position, either to take a profit or to limit a loss. Exits are crucial as they determine the final profit or loss.
Trail: Refers to a trailing stop-loss order, a dynamic risk management tool that automatically adjusts the stop-loss level as the market price moves in the trader's favor. This locks in profits while allowing the trade to continue if the price keeps moving favorably.
Stoploss (SL): A pre-determined price level or percentage below (for a long position) or above (for a short position) the entry price where the position is automatically closed to prevent further losses if the market moves against the trader.
Price Halts and Power of Confluence The price chart displays a noteworthy transformation as a previous supply zone evolves into an area of strong demand, illustrating a crucial market shift. The highlighted supply region, which had earlier capped price advances and attracted selling interest, has now transitioned into a price zone where buyers are stepping in, creating multiple reactions that signify growing demand as prices revisit this level.
- Supply to Demand Conversion: The red-shaded supply band acted as a ceiling for prices historically, but recent moves show price halting and consolidating above this region, marking a critical change in the market’s balance. This type of consolidation—where price compresses and pauses just after clearing a major supply area—is a visible sign of acceptance by market participants, as both buyers and sellers reassess value at this pivotal zone.
- Consolidation as Price Stability: Observing the price action post-supply area, there is clear evidence of tight, sideways movement—an area of price equilibrium or market indecision. This consolidation signals an important digestion phase, a hallmark of healthy price action
- Trendline Confluence: The thick green upward trendline adds a second layer of technical strength to this setup. Historically, prices have repeatedly taken support on this trendline during corrections, aligning perfectly with the newly converted demand area. This intersection of the time-based trendline with the horizontal supply/demand zone forms a strong confluence. Confluence zones like this are typically high-probability areas of interest, as the overlap of structural (trendline) and behavioral (supply/demand) features amplifies the significance of the region and attracts greater participation from market players.
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Tamilnad Mercantile Bank – 1D Chart | Strong Resistance Zone🟢 Tamilnad Mercantile Bank (TMB) – 1D Chart | Strong Resistance Zone Ahead
📊 Chart Setup:
TMB is testing its major 1-year resistance zone around ₹510, a key level that has capped price movements for months. A strong daily close above ₹510 could trigger momentum towards higher targets.
🔹 Resistance: ₹510 (Major 1-year resistance)
🔹 Targets on Breakout: ₹535 / ₹600
🔹 Supports: ₹466 / ₹440
🔹 View: Price consolidating near breakout zone. Sustained close above ₹510 can signal trend continuation.
🏦 Fundamental Update – Q2 FY26 Results Highlights:
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank delivered steady performance with profit growth and improved asset quality.
• Net Profit: ₹318 Cr ↑ (▲4.95% YoY)
• Total Business: ↑11.40%
• Deposits: ₹55,421 Cr ↑12.32%
• Advances: ↑10.5%
• Net Interest Income: ₹597 Cr ↑0.17%
• Gross NPA: ↓ to 1.01%
• Net NPA: ↓ to 0.26%
• Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR): Strong at 30.96%
➡️ Stable performance, improving asset quality, and strong capital base add confidence to the technical setup.
📈 For educational purpose only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
TechnoFunda Analysis: ASK Automotive Ltd(ASKAUTOLTD)In the ever-evolving automotive landscape, ASK Automotive Ltd stands out as a powerful blend of technical resilience and fundamental strength. With strong operational performance, expanding margins, and rising institutional confidence, the company has emerged as one of India’s leading auto component players specializing in braking systems, aluminum precision parts, and EV-compatible components.
Let’s decode ASK Automotive from both Technical and Fundamental perspectives to assess its investment potential for long-term investors and swing traders alike.
**************Technical Analysis*******************
ASK Automotive is currently in a buy zone, with a favorable risk-reward setup supported by higher timeframe structure. Traders can accumulate near supports with a stop loss below ₹470 for targets up to ₹540–560.
For investors, the current price offers a good entry point for long-term compounding given the synergy between chart strength and business fundamentals.
Trend: Uptrend remains intact across all major timeframes.
Momentum Indicators: RSI is recovering from the 40–45 zone, hinting at renewed bullish momentum.
Volume Action: Rising volume near the 200 EMA suggests smart money accumulation.
Short-Term View: A decisive close above ₹500 could lead to a near-term rally towards ₹540–560.
Medium-Term View: Sustained trading above ₹560 may open the path toward ₹600+ in the coming months.
**************Fundamental Analysis***************
1. Company Overview
Incorporated in 1988, ASK Automotive Ltd is one of India’s largest manufacturers of Advanced Braking Systems, supplying critical friction and safety components to leading two-wheeler and four-wheeler OEMs such as Hero MotoCorp, Honda, Suzuki, TVS, Bajaj, and Royal Enfield.
The company has diversified into lightweight aluminum precision solutions and EV-compatible products, making it a forward-looking player in India’s auto ancillary space.
2. Industry Analysis
India’s auto component industry is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10–12% over the next 5 years, driven by:
Increasing domestic vehicle production
Strong aftermarket demand
Rapid adoption of EVs and hybrid vehicles
Export opportunities due to global supply chain realignments
Within this context, ASK Automotive’s leadership in braking and aluminum lightweighting places it at the core of this structural growth story. With its 50% market share in 2W braking systems, it stands to benefit significantly from the 2W and EV upcycle.
3. Economic Conditions
The broader Indian economy provides a supportive backdrop:
GDP growth above 7% ensuring stable demand
Falling input inflation, aiding margin expansion
Government PLI schemes promoting domestic manufacturing
EV policy tailwinds, increasing OEM collaboration opportunities
Thus, macroeconomic conditions currently favor sustained growth in the auto ancillary sector.
4. Qualitative Analysis
Strengths:
Market leader with 50% share in the 2W braking system segment
Diversified product portfolio: braking, aluminum, safety cables, and EV components
Strong OEM relationships ensuring steady order flow
17 manufacturing facilities across India + 1 JV
Strategic partnerships with AISIN (Japan), LIOHO (Taiwan), and FRAS-LE (Brazil)
Focused R&D investments in EV and lightweight solutions
Weaknesses / Risks:
Heavy dependence on the two-wheeler segment (76% of OEM revenue)
High P/E valuation limits near-term upside
Raw material cost volatility could impact margins
Export contribution (5%) remains relatively small
5. Quantitative Analysis
Compounded Growth Ratios:
Sales CAGR (3Y): 21%
Profit CAGR (3Y): 44%
ROE (Last Year): 27%
Stock Price CAGR (1Y): 17%
ASK Automotive’s growth trajectory reflects consistent expansion in both topline and bottom-line metrics, alongside superior capital efficiency.
6. Past, Present & Future Growth Outlook
Past (FY19–FY21):
The company faced headwinds due to an industry slowdown and pandemic impact. Sales fell marginally but profitability remained intact, proving operational resilience.
Present (FY22–FY25):
Strong recovery phase driven by OEM revival, export traction, and margin expansion. FY25 saw record revenue of ₹3,630 Cr with 12% OPM and 27% ROE — its best performance yet.
Future (FY26–FY28):
ASK Automotive’s focus on EV-compatible lightweighting, thermal management systems, and global JVs positions it for 15–18% CAGR growth.
The upcoming Bengaluru plant (₹200 Cr capex) and 9.9 MW solar facility are expected to boost both capacity and sustainability credentials.
ASK Automotive represents a rare blend of technical strength, financial soundness, and industry leadership. With a clear growth trajectory, expanding institutional interest, and consistent operational excellence, it holds the potential to become one of India’s top-performing auto ancillary stocks in the coming decade.






















