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Technical Analysis Vs Institutional Trading Option Trading Part1Technical Analysis (TA): Uses charts & indicators to time entries/exits. Best for directional option trades (calls/puts), short-term moves. Institutional Trading: Focuses on liquidity, options flow, open interest, gamma. Best for selling premium and trading ranges with lower risk. Bottom line: 👉 TA = when to trade 👉 Institutional = where & why price moves 👉 Best edge = use both together Professional Reality (Important) 📌 Institutions don’t predict direction — they manage risk 📌 Retail traders try to be right — institutions try to get paid 📌 Options are a probability business, not a prediction game
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
DMART 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Recent Price Range (Last Week) Stock was trading around ₹3,780–₹3,900 in the recent trading sessions. Weekly price change has been relatively modest, showing a small rise over the past week (~+1–2%) in some data and a slight variation in others due to different closing levels. 🛑 Weekly Support Levels These are key zones where the price may find buying interest / downside support over a short 1‑week horizon: 1. ₹3,665–₹3,705 — Short-term pivot/support cluster (near prior recent lows). 2. ₹3,531–₹3,597 — Lower support range that may act if the stock breaks below near‑term levels. 3. ₹3,340 — Broader 52‑week low area (reference of major historical support). 📈 Weekly Resistance Levels These are zones where the price may see selling pressure / upside barriers in the near term: 1. ₹3,841–₹3,881 — Near current pivot and first resistance for short‑term trading. 2. ₹3,929–₹3,950+ — Next upside resistance from classic pivot methods. 3 .Above ~₹4,000 — Psychological and technical interest level (also broker target levels in wider timeframe). 📌 Summary — 1‑Week Key Levels to Watch Level Type Price Zone Immediate Support ₹3,665 – ₹3,705 Deeper Support ₹3,531 – ₹3,597 Short‑Term Resistance ₹3,841 – ₹3,881 Higher Resistance ~₹3,929 – ₹3,950+
NSE:DMARTLong
by Knowledgehub
DMART - What can you possibly expect next......💹 Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMart) Context: Q3 FY26 Results vs Market Expectations Chart View: Daily Market Context: When Good Results Are Not Enough DMart reported growth in both revenue and profit in its latest quarterly results. The company continues to add stores, customer demand remains steady, and the business model is stable. There was no major negative surprise in the results, and the long-term business story remains intact. However, the stock market does not react only to whether results are good or bad. It reacts to whether results are better or worse than what the market was expecting. Before the results, many participants were expecting faster sales growth, better margin improvement, and clearer signs of stronger earnings momentum. The reported numbers, although positive, did not go much beyond these expectations. Because of this, the stock price did not show a strong positive reaction. When a stock is already trading at higher valuations, the market looks for improvement, not just stability. This difference between expectations and actual results explains the price behaviour. When expectations are high and results only meet them, prices often move sideways or see short-term selling. This does not mean the business is weak — it simply means the market is adjusting its expectations. From a chart point of view, the stock is facing selling pressure near earlier price levels. Buying interest is limited for now, and price action suggests the stock is taking time to absorb the results rather than moving in a clear direction. While DMart continues to report double-digit growth, the market is becoming cautious about the pace of that growth. Revenue growth in the latest quarter was lower than the company’s longer-term average and also slower than the rate at which new stores are being added. This suggests pressure on same-store sales. In addition, margins are facing challenges due to intense competition, price cuts in daily-use products, and changes in GST rates. These factors explain why the stock price has remained under pressure despite healthy headline numbers. The key learning for beginners is simple: stocks do not always go up after good results. Sometimes prices move sideways to allow expectations to cool down. Patience and understanding the bigger picture are more important than reacting emotionally to quarterly numbers. ⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer This post is shared only for educational and informational purposes. It is not investment advice or a recommendation. Stock market investments involve risk. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. 🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience. Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant
NSE:DMART
by simpletradewithpatience
IndusInd Bank Ltd || 1 Day || Cup and handle IndusInd Bank Ltd — Detailed Analysis Company Intro: IndusInd Bank Ltd is one of India’s leading private sector banks offering retail, corporate, and digital banking services across the country. The bank has a strong footprint in consumer credit, deposits, and transaction banking, catering to millions of customers across urban and semi-urban regions. Technical Perspective — Cup & Handle Breakout The daily chart shows a classic Cup & Handle pattern, a bullish continuation setup formed over several months.Price has decisively broken above the key breakout level ~₹890, validating the pattern’s breakout.This breakout suggests a shift from consolidation to an upward trend re-acceleration. Sustained trading above ₹890 keeps the structure bullish in the short to medium term. 📍 Resistance Levels (Upside): • ₹930 — immediate minor resistance • ₹1,030 — major resistance zone above 📍 Support Levels (Downside): • ₹830 — key support if price retraces below ( Bearish) • ₹710 — structural support Trend Bias: • Bullish above ₹890 • Neutral to Bearish below ₹830 / ₹710 Latest Update Some macro/sector views indicate a softer Q3 earnings outlook relative to peers. Source _Business Today Broader corporate news includes regulatory probes related to past accounting discrepancies which the company is cooperating with. Source _The Economic Times 👉 If you need analysis on any company or stock, comment below. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The author is not responsible for any losses arising from the use of this information. Investors are advised to consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before taking any trading or investment decisions.
NSE:INDUSINDBKLong
by Madhumitha_Prabhu
1
CONCOR – 1D | 10-Year Support & Trendline BreakoutCompany Intro: Container Corporation of India Ltd (CONCOR) is a Navratna PSU and India’s largest integrated logistics company, operating inland container depots (ICDs), container freight stations (CFS), and rail-based logistics services. It plays a key role in India’s EXIM trade and domestic freight movement. Technical View (Daily Chart): CONCOR has broken out above a 10-year long-term support trendline, indicating a structural trend reversal, The stock has given a strong close near ₹525, confirming bullish intent and acceptance above the breakout zone. Levels to Watch: CMP: ₹523 Immediate Resistance / Target: ₹600 Breakout Confirmation Level: ₹525 (strong close above this keeps momentum positive) Immediate Support: ₹480 Major Support: ₹446 As long as the stock holds above ₹480, the trend remains positive with a higher probability of moving towards ₹600 in the near term. Positive Triggers Government’s continued push for rail-led logistics, DFC (Dedicated Freight Corridor) and multimodal transport benefits CONCOR directly. Volume recovery in EXIM and domestic logistics improves revenue visibility. PSU logistics stocks are seeing renewed investor interest due to valuation comfort and long-term infrastructure growth. For analysis of any stock, feel free to comment the stock name below. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market investments are subject to risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses arising from the use of this information.
NSE:CONCORLong
by Madhumitha_Prabhu
14
Clean Trendline Respect on Weekly Chart – 500 DaysPattern Context Price has been respecting a well-defined descending trendline on the weekly timeframe, with each rally stalling below the previous swing high and reinforcing the broader lower‑high, lower‑low sequence. Candlestick Behavior Showing how supply continues to respond at the same diagonal zone. This reaction visually confirms how aggressively the market has been defending the pattern’s upper boundary without implying what comes next, keeping the focus strictly on how price has behaved historically around this line. Observational Takeaway This chart serves as a clear example of how a simple, clean trendline can organize price behavior over multiple months and frame where participation repeatedly shifts. The emphasis here is on observing how consistently the structure has been respected and how each touch has shaped the ongoing sequence, allowing traders to study price interaction with a dominant trend rather than anticipate future outcomes. Disclaimer This post is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice, stock tips, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Readers should do their own research, consider their personal risk tolerance, and consult a registered financial professional if needed before making any trading or investment decisions.
NSE:EXICOMLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
1
ASHAPURMIN 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Current Live Price (Daily) Approx ₹745.4 on NSE at latest available update. This reflects the recent trading session where the stock moved between ~₹705 (low) and ~₹751 (high) before settling near ₹745.45. 📊 Daily Technical Levels (Pivot / Support / Resistance) 🔹 Pivot Point Levels (based on yesterday’s range) (These can be used for today’s intraday bias) Daily Pivot: ~₹733.8 Support 1: ~ ₹716.6 Support 2: ~ ₹687.8 Support 3: ~ ₹670.6 Resistance 1: ~ ₹762.6 Resistance 2: ~ ₹779.8 Resistance 3: ~ ₹808.6 (Classic pivot method daily)
NSE:ASHAPURMINLong
by Knowledgehub
Fundamental Analysis Basics (P/E, P/B, ROE, ROCE)1. Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) What it Means The P/E ratio tells you how much investors are willing to pay today for ₹1 of a company’s earnings. It connects a company’s market price with its profit generation ability. Formula: P/E = Current Market Price ÷ Earnings Per Share (EPS) Why P/E Matters A high P/E suggests that investors expect strong future growth. A low P/E may indicate undervaluation, or that the company is facing growth challenges. How to Interpret P/E High P/E (>30): Market is optimistic, often seen in growth sectors like technology or consumer internet companies. Moderate P/E (15–30): Indicates stable performance, common in quality midcaps and blue-chip stocks. Low P/E (<15): Might indicate a value pick or a fundamentally weak company. Limitations P/E does not work well if profits are volatile or negative. P/E differs widely across sectors—comparing a bank with a tech company is misleading. Best Use Cases Compare P/E with the stock’s historical average. Compare P/E with the industry average. Use Forward P/E (P/E using estimated future earnings) to understand growth visibility. 2. Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B Ratio) What it Means The P/B ratio compares the company’s market value with its book value (net assets). It tells how many times investors are paying relative to assets. Formula: P/B = Market Price per Share ÷ Book Value per Share Book Value per Share = (Total Assets – Total Liabilities) ÷ Number of Shares Why P/B Matters Useful for asset-heavy sectors such as banks, NBFCs, manufacturing, and PSU companies. Helps understand whether the stock trades above or below its actual net worth. How to Interpret P/B P/B < 1: Stock may be undervalued; the company trades below its net worth. P/B between 1–3: Normal valuation for most companies. P/B > 3: Indicates premium valuation; market expects strong future returns. Limitations Not useful for asset-light businesses like IT, FMCG, or digital companies where the real value lies in brand and intellectual property. P/B alone does not measure profitability or efficiency. Best Use Cases Combine P/B with ROE to judge whether a company is generating strong returns on its net assets. Valuable for evaluating banks and financial institutions. 3. Return on Equity (ROE) What it Means ROE shows how efficiently a company generates profits using shareholder equity. It reflects management’s ability to create value. Formula: ROE = Net Profit ÷ Shareholder’s Equity × 100 Why ROE Matters High ROE indicates that the company uses shareholder money efficiently. It reflects competitive advantage, pricing power, and strong demand. How to Interpret ROE ROE > 20%: Excellent – shows strong efficiency and high margins. ROE 15–20%: Good – typical for stable companies. ROE < 10%: Weak – indicates poor profitability or inefficient use of equity. Limitations ROE can be misleading if the company has very high debt; equity becomes smaller because debt funds the assets. A temporary profit spike can artificially inflate ROE. Best Use Cases Compare ROE with the industry average. Use ROE along with P/B to identify high-quality compounders. Check 5–10 year ROE trends for consistency. 4. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) What it Means ROCE measures profitability based on all capital employed, including equity and debt. It gives a more holistic view than ROE. Formula: ROCE = EBIT ÷ (Equity + Debt) × 100 Here, EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) measures operating profit. Why ROCE Matters Shows how efficiently the company generates profits using both debt and equity. Crucial for capital-heavy industries like manufacturing, steel, energy, or infrastructure. How to Interpret ROCE ROCE > 20%: Excellent capital allocation, highly efficient. ROCE 15–20%: Good and sustainable. ROCE < 12%: Weak returns relative to capital employed. Limitations ROCE may fluctuate due to capital expansion cycles. Not very useful for debt-free companies where ROE already gives similar insight. Best Use Cases Compare ROCE with the company’s cost of capital (WACC). High ROCE indicates strong pricing power and effective management. How These Ratios Work Together Using P/E, P/B, ROE, and ROCE in isolation is incomplete. Successful investors combine them for a full picture of valuation and performance. 1. P/E + ROE → Identifying Growth at Reasonable Price (GARP) High ROE + reasonable P/E = High-quality stock at fair valuation. Example: A company with ROE 20% and P/E 18 is usually attractive. 2. P/B + ROE → Banking and Financial Analysis High ROE + moderate P/B = efficient bank with good asset quality. A bank with ROE 17% and P/B 1.5 is stronger than a bank with ROE 10% and P/B 1. 3. ROCE + P/E → Capital-Intensive Business Screening High ROCE suggests strong return on capital. If P/E is low while ROCE is high, the stock may be undervalued. 4. ROE vs ROCE → Debt Analysis ROE > ROCE: Company uses leverage (debt) to boost shareholder returns. ROCE > ROE: Limited debt; equity is used more efficiently. Practical Example (Simplified) Suppose a company has the following metrics: P/E = 20 P/B = 3 ROE = 22% ROCE = 18% Interpretation: P/E 20 → Fair valuation. P/B 3 → Market expects strong future performance. ROE 22% → Very efficient with shareholder capital. ROCE 18% → Strong use of total capital. Conclusion: This is a high-quality growth company trading at a fair-to-premium valuation. How Investors Use These Ratios in Real World 1. For Long-Term Investors Focus on businesses with consistently high ROE and ROCE. Avoid companies with declining profitability, even if valuation looks low. 2. For Value Investors Look for low P/E and low P/B stocks with improving ROE/ROCE. These indicate potential turnarounds. 3. For Growth Investors Accept high P/E if ROE and ROCE remain elevated for multiple years. Growth sustainability is more important than cheap valuation. 4. For Traders Use ratios to identify strong fundamentally-backed stocks for swing or positional trades. Conclusion P/E, P/B, ROE, and ROCE are essential tools of fundamental analysis. P/E and P/B help measure valuation, while ROE and ROCE measure profitability and efficiency. Together, they determine whether a stock is fundamentally sound, fairly priced, and capable of delivering long-term returns. When used consistently and compared with historical data, sector averages, and market conditions, these ratios give investors a powerful framework for making informed decisions.
NSE:BAJFINANCEEducation
by TechnicalExpress
USDJPY SELLS📉 USD/JPY – Bearish Trend With Clean Supply Rejection As we can see, UJ is clearly in a bearish trend, confirmed by the red dots on the left chart, where price continues to create new lows. Price recently retraced into a well-defined Supply zone around the 156.000 level. On the right chart, structure flipped after tapping the zone, giving a clean confirmation and creating a high-quality entry opportunity. My first partials are placed at the 15-minute low, with the remaining targets marked by the red lines below.
Short
by Tilen_FX
Understanding the Fundamental MarketCore Principles of the Fundamental Market Intrinsic Value Assessment: The central idea in the fundamental market is that every asset has an intrinsic or “true” value. Investors compare this intrinsic value with the current market price to determine whether the asset is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued. Buying undervalued assets or selling overvalued ones forms the basis of long-term profit strategies. Focus on Economic Fundamentals: Fundamental markets heavily rely on macroeconomic and microeconomic indicators. For example, GDP growth, inflation rates, employment statistics, interest rates, and government fiscal policies are crucial in assessing the overall economic environment. At the micro level, company-specific data such as revenue, earnings, debt levels, cash flow, and competitive positioning are analyzed to determine the financial health and growth potential of individual firms. Long-term Investment Horizon: Unlike traders who operate in the short-term, the fundamental market favors long-term investments. Investors anticipate that while short-term price fluctuations may occur due to market sentiment or technical factors, in the long run, the market price of an asset will converge with its intrinsic value. Key Components of Fundamental Market Analysis Company Analysis (Equity Market): In the stock market, fundamental analysis involves examining a company’s financial statements—balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Key metrics include: Earnings per Share (EPS): Indicates profitability on a per-share basis. Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): Measures whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued relative to its earnings. Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Assesses financial leverage and risk. Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Assets (ROA): Evaluate efficiency in using shareholders’ capital or assets to generate profits. Beyond numbers, qualitative factors such as management quality, brand strength, market share, regulatory environment, and competitive advantages are also critical in assessing long-term growth potential. Macroeconomic Analysis: The broader economy directly influences asset prices. Factors such as: Interest rates: Higher rates may reduce borrowing and consumer spending, negatively affecting company profits. Inflation: Rising inflation can erode the real value of returns and affect purchasing power. Fiscal and Monetary Policies: Government spending, tax policies, and central bank interventions can stimulate or constrain market growth. Global Events: Geopolitical events, pandemics, and trade policies also play a significant role in determining market trends. Industry Analysis: Understanding the industry in which a company operates helps investors identify growth opportunities or potential risks. Factors to consider include: Market size and growth potential Competitive dynamics Technological innovations Regulatory constraints Cyclical vs. non-cyclical industry characteristics Valuation Models: Investors use various models to estimate intrinsic value, including: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: Projects future cash flows and discounts them to present value. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Focuses on the present value of expected dividends. Comparable Company Analysis: Compares valuation multiples (like P/E, EV/EBITDA) with peers. Asset-Based Valuation: Evaluates the net asset value of a company by subtracting liabilities from total assets. Participants in the Fundamental Market The fundamental market attracts a wide array of participants, including: Long-term investors: Individual and institutional investors who seek wealth accumulation over years or decades. Mutual funds and pension funds: These funds invest in fundamentally strong companies with sustainable growth. Value investors: Investors who follow the philosophy of buying undervalued stocks with a margin of safety, popularized by Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. Corporate analysts and research houses: Professionals who provide insights into company performance and macroeconomic trends. Advantages of Operating in the Fundamental Market Reduced Speculative Risk: By focusing on intrinsic value, investors can avoid the herd mentality and irrational exuberance often seen in speculative trading. Long-Term Wealth Creation: Fundamental market investments are typically more stable and generate wealth over extended periods through price appreciation and dividends. Informed Decision-Making: Thorough research and analysis ensure that investment decisions are grounded in reality rather than market sentiment. Alignment with Economic Growth: Investments in fundamentally strong companies often mirror real economic growth, providing consistent returns. Challenges of the Fundamental Market Time-Consuming Analysis: Evaluating financial statements, industry dynamics, and macroeconomic trends requires significant effort and expertise. Market Inefficiency: In the short term, market prices may deviate from intrinsic value due to speculation, news events, or investor sentiment. Information Overload: Investors must filter vast amounts of data to focus on meaningful indicators. Globalization and Complexity: International exposure introduces currency risks, geopolitical factors, and cross-border regulatory challenges. Examples of Fundamental Market Strategies Value Investing: Buying stocks that trade below their intrinsic value and holding until the market recognizes their true worth. Growth Investing: Identifying companies with strong revenue and earnings growth potential even if current valuations are high. Income Investing: Focusing on companies that provide regular dividend income alongside steady capital appreciation. Sector Rotation: Moving investments across sectors based on macroeconomic cycles and industry trends. Conclusion The fundamental market is the backbone of rational, long-term investing. It emphasizes in-depth research, economic understanding, and valuation analysis to identify assets with sustainable growth potential. By concentrating on intrinsic value, participants in the fundamental market can mitigate short-term volatility and speculation, building wealth steadily over time. While it requires patience, diligence, and expertise, the fundamental market offers one of the most robust approaches to navigating the complexities of modern financial markets. Ultimately, the fundamental market is not just about buying and selling assets—it’s about understanding the economy, businesses, and human behavior to make informed decisions that align with long-term financial goals.
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
KAZIA THERAPEUTICS LTD SPONSORED ADRKZIA made double bottom with divergence with good volume and breakout at $4.45 with first target of $22.5, if and second target of $41.7 and with can expect strong resistance at $41.7 and reverse might happen. If KZIA did breakout at this level we can expect rally till $79. Analysis is made on weekly time fame for long term view It is just my chart analysis upto best of my knowledge. As it is share market anything happen because market effects on many things happen in the world. Thank you
NASDAQ:KZIALong
by satyagajula
1
Gold direction today November 17📊 Support – Resistance – Fibonacci Analysis 1. Trend Overview Price has broken below the ascending channel, signaling a shift into a corrective downtrend phase. 2. Key Resistance Zone 4,215 – 4,230 Confluence of Fibonacci retracement 0.5 – 0.618 Overlaps with a supply zone + EMA89 → Strong resistance, high probability of selling pressure. This is also the expected pullback/retest area before the next bearish leg. 3. Key Support Levels Support 1 – 4,000 Fibonacci extension 0.5 Horizontal support → Likely to generate a short-term reaction. Support 2 – 3,890 Major downside target if the structure fully breaks → Primary bearish target for a deeper continuation. 4. Price Scenario Price may pull back toward 4,215 – 4,230. BUY GOLD : 4000 - 3997 Stoploss : 3987 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4212 - 4215 Stoploss : 4225 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
BUY AGAIN BREAKOUT TREND LINE🕯SELL GOLD: 4018- 4015 ⚠️ SL: 4015 ✔️ TP: 4024→ 4030→3934( 60- 170 pips) The 4018–4015 zone has just been broken, and with the temporary bearish structure on M15 also violated, there is a high probability that price will pull back and retest this zone. If that happens, we’ll have a beautiful and technically clean BUY pullback opportunity aligned with the post-breakout structure. 📌 Notes: This is a BUY pullback setup based on the M15 break of structure Only BUY with clear candle confirmation Small lot size + tight SL for safety I’ll update again when price approaches the retest zone. 🔔🔥
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
Pressured Below 4050$ as Bears Target the 4,000$ Liquidity BreakGold continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, staying capped beneath 4,050$ and hovering just above the major liquidity floor at 4,000$. With fading expectations for a December Fed cut and cautious global sentiment, buyers remain defensive while sellers maintain structural control. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price remains inside a tight 4,053$ → 4,000$ distribution zone, with the descending trendline keeping gold suppressed. The POC around 4,053$ is acting as a firm ceiling; every retest so far has been rejected. Fibonacci projections from the last drop highlight two major downside liquidity zones: 3,945$ → first liquidity cluster 3,876$ → deeper extension and key demand Current structure resembles a bear flag, hinting that the market may be preparing for another downside expansion. 🎯 Key Scenarios 1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown (Primary Scenario) If gold loses 4,000$, expect momentum to accelerate into: 3,945$ 3,876$ This remains the most probable path while price holds below 4,053$. 2️⃣ Liquidity Sweep → Short-Covering Bounce If price sweeps 3,945$ and forms bullish rejection wicks: A relief bounce could develop back toward 4,000$, Then 4,053$ (POC) And possibly 4,098$ if buyers gain traction. Still a corrective move unless bulls reclaim the upper structure. ❌ Invalidation (Bearish Bias Weakens) H4 acceptance above 4,098$ → would shift the narrative and force a reassessment of trend direction. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING Insight Gold is still trading below value and below the trendline — this is not a bullish environment yet. The market must either break 4,000$ or reclaim 4,053$–4,098$ before any stronger directional conviction returns. “Let the market show its hand. In a downtrend, weak rallies are opportunities — not reversals.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
ETHUSDT/BTCUSDT Short idea 11/11/2025Wassup Lads! This looks like a very enticing short setup simply because 1. Price in a daily bearish fair value gap 2. We have SMT Divergence between BTC and ETH on the daily time frame Switching over to the H1 time frame I'm clearly seeing price print out a bearish orderflow, I have not yet entered but will look to enter a sell postion on retracement to the H1 Bearish fair value gap, targeting a basic 1 to 2 risk to reward ratio. So basically, if price retraces to the h1 bearish fair value gap I'll look for shorts or I'm happy waiting on the sidelines for a new setup. As always - 1. Manage your risk 2. Stay disciplined 3. Do your own research One wrong trade can spoil months of discipline Keep winning!!
Short
by Ksha3ya_99
1
Nykaa - Strong Growth Cup & Handle with Detailed fundamentalsFSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited (Nykaa) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis Company Overview: FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited (Nykaa) is a digitally native consumer technology platform, delivering a content-led, lifestyle retail experience. Since its incorporation in 2012, the company has focused on designing a differentiated brand discovery journey for its consumers. It offers a diverse portfolio of beauty, personal care, and fashion products, including owned-brand products manufactured in-house. Nykaa provides an omnichannel experience to cater to consumer preferences and convenience. Technical Analysis Chart Patterns: Cup and handle breakout; Today 1-hour parallel channel breakout Current Market Price (CMP): ₹260 Targets: ₹301, ₹350 Support Levels: ₹230, ₹195 Recent News & Highlights ✅Q1 FY26 Results: Consolidated net profit surged 142% YoY to ₹23.30 Cr; revenue up 23.4% to ₹2,155 Cr ✅Arbitration Win: Nykaa Fashion received ₹10 Cr compensation from arbitration award Q1 FY26 Guidance: Management anticipates consolidated net revenue growth at lower end of mid-twenties range YoY ✅Fashion Segment Target: Company expects EBITDA breakeven in fashion by FY26 ✅Organic Portfolio Expansion: Aims to increase organic portfolio by 30% annually to reach ₹6,000 Cr GMV ✅Q4 FY25 Performance: EBITDA ₹133 Cr vs ₹93.28 Cr YoY; EBITDA margin improved to 6.47% from 5.59% ✅Corporate Action: NCLT approved merger of Iluminar Media (LBB) into Nykaa Fashion Analytical Summary Operational Excellence: Revenue growth of 24.5% YoY with net profit doubling to ₹66.08 Cr demonstrates strong execution and operating leverage. The company is scaling both beauty and fashion verticals while expanding margins. Capital Structure: Debt increased 41% to ₹961 Cr, but debt-to-equity remains negligible at 0.04, showing conservative leverage. ROE at 5.9% suggests room for improvement in capital efficiency. Valuation Risk: PE of 675.77 and PB of 40.5 reflect aggressive growth expectations. EV/EBITDA of 117.5 leaves minimal margin of safety, requiring caution for long-term investors. SWOT Analysis Strengths (16 Factors): Rising net and operating cash flows for 2 consecutive years Strong EPS growth; quarterly profit margins expanding Improving RoCE, ROE, and ROA Consistent revenue growth for past 2 quarters Clean governance; zero promoter pledge Weaknesses (3 Factors): Promoter shareholding dilution Expensive valuation (PE > 40) limits margin of safety Opportunities (1 Factor): Increasing FII/FPI shareholding validates institutional interest Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing in stocks involve risks, and individuals should conduct their own due diligence or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any gains or losses arising from the use of this analysis.
NSE:NYKAALong
by Madhumitha_Prabhu
Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd (CFHL) Triangle Breakout 1DCholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd (CFHL) – Triangle Breakout & 1-Year Resistance Breakout 🚀 📊 Technical View: CFHL has given a triangle breakout along with a 1-year resistance breakout, indicating strong bullish momentum. If Trend continues, The price action also shows a successful retest of the breakout zone, shows trend continuation. Resistance Turned Support: ₹1650 – previously a resistance, now acting as strong support. Current Action: Price broke above the ₹1650 range, retested the level today , and is now moving upward again. Next Resistance Targets Levels: ₹1824 / ₹2004 Support Levels: ₹1536 / ₹1410 🏦 Company Overview: Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (CFHL), incorporated in 1949, is a part of the Murugappa Group, one of India’s most diversified business conglomerates. CFHL is a Non-Deposit Taking Systemically Important Core Investment Company (CIC) registered with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The company holds substantial investments in group companies and provides a diverse range of financial products and risk management services to individual and corporate clients through its subsidiaries and group companies. 📈 For educational purpose only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
NSE:CHOLAFINLong
by Madhumitha_Prabhu
Tamilnad Mercantile Bank (TMB) – Update | 3.5% Move from Our Lvl🟢 Tamilnad Mercantile Bank (TMB) – Update | 3.5% Move from Our Level 🚀 Latest Update : Our analysis shared around ₹499 has played out well — TMB made an intraday high of ₹517, gaining nearly 3.5% from the mentioned level. 🏦 Company Overview: Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Limited is one of the oldest and leading old private sector banks in India. The bank offers a wide range of banking products and services to retail, MSME, agricultural, and corporate customers. Retail Products: Home loans, personal loans, auto loans, educational loans, business loans, and security-backed loans. MSME Portfolio: Loans for manufacturing, traders, and service sector enterprises. Agricultural Loans: Offered to individual farmers, farmer groups, agri-businesses, and agri-corporates. 📊 Technical View: High Reached: ₹517 (▲3.5%) Resistance: ₹510 – price tested and faced mild rejection here. Supports: ₹466 / ₹440 💡 View: The stock showed strong momentum from the support zone and approached its major 1-year resistance area near ₹510–₹515. A sustained close above ₹515 can confirm a breakout and open the next upside targets of ₹535 / ₹600. 📈 For educational purpose only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
NSE:TMBLong
by Madhumitha_Prabhu