Analysis
Kotak Mahindra Bank - Range ConsolidationKotak Mahindra Bank Limited offers a range of banking services covering commercial and investment banking on the wholesale side and transactional/branch banking on the retail side.
Book Value Per Share: 562.55
Dividend Yield: 0.08
TTM EPS: 86.40
TTM PE: 21.12
P/B: 3.25
Sector PE: 25.38
Positives:
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ)
Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 4 Quarters
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Companies with current TTM PE Ratio less than 3 Year, 5 Year and 10 Year PE
Brokers upgraded recommendation or target price in the past three months
Decrease in NPA in recent results
Mutual Funds have increased holdings from 9.45% to 9.63% in Sep 2023 qtr.
Negatives:
Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash
Seems to be overvalued vs the market average
Lagging behind the market in financials growth
Net Profit TTM Growth % - Low in industry
Price to Book Ratio - High in industry
Promoters have decreased holdings from 25.94% to 25.93% in Sep 2023 qtr
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION.
DEN Network - Multiyear BreakoutDEN Networks Limited is a cable television distribution company. The Company is engaged in distribution of television channels through analog and digital cable distribution network and provision of broadband services.
TTM EPS: 5.71
TTM PE: 8.25
P/B: 0.75
Face Value: 10
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 2,247
Sector PE: 30.81
Book Value Per Share: 63.15
Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (YoY)
Company with No Debt
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Near 52 Week High
Stock with Low PE (PE < = 10)
RSI indicating price strength
High Volume, High Gain
Negatives:
Inefficient use of capital to generate profits - RoCE has declined in the last 2 years
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
Vedanta Ltd. - Demand ZonesNSE:VEDL is a global diversified natural resource company operating across segments which are Copper; Aluminium; Iron Ore; Power; Zinc, Lead and Silver; Oil and Gas, and Others.
TTM EPS: 23.65
TTM PE: 8.84
P/B: 0.94
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 77,689
Dividend Yield: 48.56
Sector PE: 6.57
Book Value Per Share: 222.49
My Opinion: Vedanta, once soaring at an all-time high of 298, now faces a significant decline. The immediate demand zone lies between 175 and 150, where investors are eyeing a potential rebound. However, the next crucial support level stands at 122, serving as a critical turning point. As the stock navigates these challenging waters, investors must exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making decisions. Market sentiment and company fundamentals will play a crucial role in determining Vedanta's future trajectory. Keep a close watch, as opportunities may emerge amidst the volatility.
Recommendated: I do recommend reading about Vedanta's Bond Repayment which is due in January 2024. Vedanta is still exploring the ways for the repayment. Also Moody's downgrade of Vedanta Resources' corporate family rating to Caa2 is a factor to consider before making any decision.
Here I would like to reflect upon some learning aspects that can help in decision-making:
Accumulating volume near a demand zone suggests that there is increasing buying interest and potential support for the stock in that price range. When traders and investors perceive a particular price range as a demand zone, they anticipate that the stock's price may find support and possibly reverse its downtrend.
If the volume of trading activity is increasing within this demand zone, it indicates growing investor confidence in the stock's value at that price level. This can be seen as a positive sign, as it suggests that buyers are accumulating shares, possibly with the expectation of a price increase in the future. However, it's essential to consider other factors such as market sentiment, news, and overall market conditions before making investment decisions solely based on accumulating volume.
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
CESC - Cup and Handle BreakoutCESC Limited is an integrated electrical utility and holding company. The Company is engaged in the generation and distribution of electricity across approximately 570 square kilometers of licensed area in Kolkata and Howrah, West Bengal.
TTM EPS: 10.92
TTM PE: 8.99
P/B: 1.20
Face Value: 1
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 13,017
Dividend Yield: 4.58
Sector PE 17.62
Book Value Per Share: 82.30
Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long-term moving averages
New 52-week high today
Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 2 quarters
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Negatives:
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Inefficient use of capital to generate profits - RoCE declining in the last 2 years
Inefficient use of shareholder funds - ROE declining in the last 2 years
Inefficient use of assets to generate profits - ROA declining in the last 2 years
Poor cash generated from core business - Declining Cash Flow from Operations for last 2 years
Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
KCP - Breakout CandidateThe KCP Limited is engaged in cement, engineering, power and other businesses.
Market Capitalization Cr: 1,726.3
Price to Book: 1.1
PE TTM: 30.9
PEG TTM PE to Growth: -0.51
Price to Book Value: 1.14
Oper Rev Qtr Cr: 31.4%
Net Profit Qtr Cr: 21.4%
1Yr Beta: 1.14
RSI: 69.1
Positives:
Quarterly Net profit rose 21.47% YoY to Rs 30.31 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth YoY for the quarter was 56.47%.
Quarterly Revenue rose 31.38% YoY to Rs 757.27 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth YoY for the quarter was 16.43%.
Price to Earning Ratio is 30.95, lower than its sector PE ratio of 53.86.
Annual Revenue rose 6.77%, in the last year to Rs 2,292.08 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth for the last fiscal year was 19.46%.
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Company with Low Debt
Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 3 quarters
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Near 52 Week High
Negatives:
Inefficient use of shareholder funds - ROE declining in the last 2 years
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash
Major fall in TTM Net Profit
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION.
Thanks
CHENNPETRO - Multi-year BreakoutChennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CPCL) is a company, which offers high speed diesel (HSD) and motor spirit (MS). The Company operates in the downstream petroleum sector.
TTM EPS: 116.21
TTM PE: 4.12
P/B: 2.39
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 7,126
Dividend Yield: 5.64
Sector PE: 30.01
Book Value Per Share: 200.57
Some Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Strong Annual EPS Growth
New 52 week high today
Effectively using its capital to generate profit - RoCE improving in last 2 years
Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Company reducing Debt
Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation for last 2 years
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Stock gained more than 20% in one month
Some Negatives:
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Decline in Quarterly Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (YoY)
Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash
Major fall in TTM Net Profit
Fall in Quarterly Revenue and Net Profit (YoY)
Recent Results: Declining Operating Profit Margin and Net Profits (YoY)
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
The Jan to Dec of Technical Analysis - 1 strategy per month1. January - The Value at Play
Before we start discussing the different technical chart patterns, we need to have some clarity on how buying and selling happens on stocks and options. Every trade has a buyer or seller. That means at a specific point in time, for a specific price there are 2 conflicting thoughts
Someone who thinks the price is too cheap
Someone who thinks the price is damn expensive
The guy who thinks the stock/option is cheap is ready to buy and the guy who thinks it is expensive and it is a good time to sell.
Just think, how is it that two people can have conflicting mindsets about the same instrument at the same time? I am 100% sure that both of them cannot be right, one of them is making a wrong decision. Over time - 5 minutes, 50 minutes, 5 hours, 50 hours, 5 days, 50 days, or 500 days - whatever the period be, that particular instrument will tick away from the quoted price - either move up or move down.
This leads to the important question - what is the fair value? If you have an internal price gauging mechanism - you can quickly calculate if the price quoted is below or above the fair value. Wow, that looks exciting - can you give me the shortcut to calculate the fair price?
Unfortunately, there is no holy grail that does it for you, over time you need to develop that tool or spreadsheet. Have you heard the saying, “Veterans are good stock pickers” - It is mainly because of their experience in the markets. They have developed the intuition to guess the fair value when they see the ticker tape without relying on a spreadsheet or calculator.
The first rule is “Never buy anything at a premium and never sell anything at a discount”. This rule does not guarantee that you will not lose money - but it is a filter that weeds out poor decision-making. The question arises - how do I calculate the fair price of a stock or options strike?
A good place to start would be to start reading “The Little Book of Valuation: How to Value a Company, Pick a Stock and Profit (Little Books. Big Profits) by Aswath Damodaran” - you can even finish the book in 2 straight hours. It gives some insights into valuation techniques.
Most valuation methods available in the markets are part of “Fundamental Analysis”, you might ask me - “What does that have to do with Technical Analysis?”. My answer is everything. Technical Analysis is the process of guessing the future price by looking at the historical data. But what the stock/option has to do with the price today is mostly due to fundamental reasons. A mix of fundamental + technical study is much better than pure fundamental or pure technical analysis.
These days lot of people have turned to options trading as a side gig to make some extra money. Someone would have told them, that it is easy to make money in options trading. The biggest mistake they make would be to short-sell a strike too cheap and buy a strike too pricey. Option premiums do not move in a linear pattern and are totally different from the valuation techniques used to gauge the underlying. If you are able to calculate the fair value of a particular strike with some level of accuracy - then you can avoid selling it cheap and buying it pricey. More often than not, not taking a trade would be the best trade there is. If something is way above your price level, choose not to buy. If way below, choose not to sell. Have faith that a better opportunity will come and gather the courage to skip the trade.
There are 2 option types - CALLS and PUTS. The option strikes above the current trading price are called CALLS and the strikes below the price are called PUTS. The premiums of these far-away strikes are not that easy to calculate or guess, mainly because the prices are derived by a few factors like price movements, time, level of uncertainty & the interest rates in the markets.
This makes options trading like a double-edged sword. You get it right - it will reward you more than you can imagine. You get it wrong - it will take away what you have and more. I think hard guessing the fair value of a particular strike of a stock or index is 10 times more complicated than assessing the intrinsic value of that index/stock. This means if you took 15mts to find out the fair value of say “PQR” stock, you might take 150+ minutes to assess the price of a strike say 2600 CE when PQR is trading at 2500. The challenge here is that, once you calculate the fair price - the goal post would have shifted. A change in time will affect the strike prices as “time” is a variable that contributes to its value - so it is a moving target.
Now tell me, what would you call someone when they say “Options trading is easy”, “You can make 100000 in 1 month with just Rs1000 capital”, “100% guaranteed success in options trading…” etc.
The next thing to know is the difference between trading and investing. Both are tools intended to make money but the main difference is the “time” component. Investing is usually done with no particular “time” value in mind whereas trading is done for a specific “time period”. That is why you hear people say, I have bought “XYZ” stock for the long term - Even if it appreciates in price say 10% in 10 days, the investor may not sell it. Partly because they do not want to miss out on further gains after selling.
On the other hand, trading is done with a specific time frame in mind. The trader is only worried about the prices during that window. What happens after that is none of this botheration. The fear of missing out seldom affects the trader because they know their next opportunity will come if they keep looking.
Time has more relevance & weightage than you can possibly imagine. In fact, price is relative to time and it is not the other way around. You can physically measure this concept in options trading wherein strikes go to zero value on the expiry date. The major index options have weekly expiry and the stock options have monthly expiry. So a particular strike will go from “X” value to “0” value in a week. Also important to note that during this lifecycle the strike could swing between X to 4X to 100X to 0.5X to 0.2X and end at 0 after the expiry. The prices of a strike are much more volatile than their underlying - this is the main reason options trading is a double-edged sword.
Generally, people do not respect time. Most of them respect money more than time. The decisions they make are usually to save money even if it means to waste time. If you are into stock markets - that should change. Even though your purpose is to make money - you should give the due credit to the “time factor”. Let me explain with an example. A trader buys 100 qty of ABC at 1500 intending to sell it at 1600 once the results are out. If on the results day the prices drop to 1400 - that trader will say “Let me not book the loss, I will hold it for some more time for the prices to recover”. In this particular instance, the trader is not ready to book the loss but hoping that his money will recover. Most long-term investors are traders who forget to close their trades.
A trader has to have a 180-degree opposite mindset of an investor because we are playing with limited resources. If your money is blocked on a particular trade for a period longer than your calculation - then it is 100% true that you will not be able to take another trade when there is an opportunity. No trader in the world has unlimited resources and unlimited leverage but all of them have got the exact same amount of time per day. If you know how to manage the time - the money will find a way.
This comes to the final segment of this chapter - “Value at Play”. It means the amount of money adjusted for the time factor to the reward it brings in. You might be familiar with the word “Value at Risk” (VaR). Value at Play is something similar but not measured in the same way.
.... to be continued...
EURUSD licks its wounds at fortnight-low ahead of Fed MinutesEURUSD dropped the most in three weeks on Tuesday after a downside break of an ascending trend line from mid-November and the 50-SMA. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals. However, the nearly oversold RSI (14) line joins the 100-SMA support of 1.0935 to restrict short-term declines of the Euro pair. Even if the pair slides beneath 1.0935, the bottom line of a two-month-long bullish channel, close to 1.0840 at the latest, acts as the last defense of the pair buyers. Following that, the bears will be able to aim for the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0725.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s recovery hinges on the quote’s ability to stay beyond the 1.1020-25 resistance confluence comprising the 50-SMA and previous support line stretched from December 18. In a case where the Euro bulls keep the reins past 1.1025, the previous monthly high near 1.1140 and the aforementioned channel’s top line, around 1.1160 by the press time, will gain the market’s attention ahead of the year 2023 peak surrounding 1.1275.
Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely to recover unless the Fed Minutes bolster the US Dollar strength, which is least expected. It’s worth noting, however, that the upside room appears limited.
NIIT Learning Systems Ltd | A investment pickNIIT Learning Systems Ltd | A investment pick
NIIT Learning Systems Limited offers Managed Training Services to companies across 30 countries. The NLSL has comprehensive suite of Managed Training Services includes Custom Content and Curriculum Design, Learning Delivery, Learning Administration, Strategic Sourcing, Learning Technology, and L&D consulting services. The company also offers specialized solutions including immersive learning, customer education, talent pipeline as a service, DE&I training, digital and IT trainings well as leadership and professional development services.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap = ₹ 5,538 Cr. ROCE = 36.5 % ROE = 31.8 %
Debt to equity = 0.15 Promoter holding = 34.8 % Return on assets = 15.8 %
its almost debt free learning solution based company its upcoming future is bright .
good financial . we will closely track financial in upcoming years .
If you like my ideas and find some valuable knowledge than follow me and boost my ideas.
note: I am not SEBI registered financial adviser. pls do your own research first.
Swing trade for 6-12 months🚀 Exciting News for #WiproStock 🚀 After 540 days of consolidation, Wipro is set to soar! 📈 Reverse from the 0.61 Fibonacci zone, breakout of the supply zone, and breaking the 0.5 Fibonacci level. 🌐 This looks like a promising setup for a 6-12 month swing trade with a solid risk-reward ratio. 🎯 Don't miss out on this potential winner! 💹 #StockMarket #TradingOpportunity #SwingTrade #Wipro #Investing 📊
🚨 Disclaimer: Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This information is for educational and informational purposes only. Make informed decisions and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment. #InvestResponsibly 🚨
Laurus Labs Ltd | Pharma multibagger momentum stockLaurus Labs Ltd | Pharma multibagger momentum stock
Founded in 2005, Laurus Labs is a research-driven pharmaceutical and biotechnology company having a global leadership position in select Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs)
Financial: excellent
Market Cap = 23,185 Cr. ROCE = 22.2 % ROE = 20.4 %
Debt to equity = 0.45 Promoter holding = 27.2 % Piotroski score = 5.00
Quick ratio = 0.64 Current ratio = 1.31 Profit Var 3Yrs = 41.6 %
Sales growth 3Years = 27.3 % Return on assets = 11.2 %
in sector rotation now its pharma time to move up.
big player heavily buying in pharma sector.
this stock is big one momentum stock. since long consolidation RSI up move in momentum zone.
we have to ready for participate and grab the opportunity . moreover financially also stable pharma company.
Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation.
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Indian Energy Exchange Ltd |The Next Multibagger Indian Energy Exchange Ltd |The Next Multibagger
Incorporated in 2007, Indian Energy Exchange Ltd provides an automated platform and infrastructure for carrying out trading in electricity units for physical delivery of electricity
Financial: Excellent
Market Cap = 14,980 Cr. ROCE = 51.8 % ROE = 39.4 %
Debt to equity = 0.01 Quick ratio = 1.47 Current ratio = 1.47
Piotroski score = 4.00 Profit Var 3Yrs = 20.3 % Sales growth 3Years = 16.0 %
This stock is technically strong bullish candidate. RSI is now entering momentum zone.
since long time it was consolidated and now its seems over and big player enter in this stock.
Gem: Do not enter in stock randomly. wait for stock momentum and then participate. yo will see stock moves fast than normal speed.
Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation.
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Symmetrical Continuation Triangle patternIt seems that the price of KAMDHENU has recently experienced a bullish breakout from a consolidation period. This breakout suggests that the prior uptrend is likely to continue.
A Symmetrical Continuation Triangle pattern has formed , which is a technical chart pattern characterized by converging trendlines. In this pattern, the price forms lower highs and higher lows, indicating a period of indecision and uncertainty in the market. During this time, the trading volume typically decreases.
However, before the triangle pattern reaches its apex (the point where the trendlines converge), the price breaks out above the upper trendline. This breakout above the upper trendline serves as confirmation that the pattern is a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Please note that this explanation is based on the assumption and is related to technical analysis in financial markets. It's important to consider other factors and conduct thorough analysis before making any investment decisions.
Note for everyone who came across this reference:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
BREAKOUT IN AVALON TECHNOLOGY 📌SWING TRADE FOR NEXT WEEK🚀
Hello guys,
I am a swing trader by passion i only trade on swing stocks.
📌I post daily SWING CHARTS analysis on my trading view profile..
so let's start
📌TRADE ANALYSIS OF AVALON TECHNOLOGIES' :-
•Breakout of symetrical pattern on DTF with strong candle
•Break counter trend line
•Volume increases last few days high
•Bullish trend/ make good structure also
•Made good price action
•Make higher highs/higher lows
📌 If you have any questions about any stock you can comment on post 📱
📌Disclaimer:-
This all chatrs analysis are only for educational purposes only
I do not provide any CALL or Tips
CRUDE ANALYSIS FOR BUY OR SELL.!!Crude is in consolidating phase so as per the 30 min TF if crude is giving breakout and trade above 74.35 on 30 min candle we can plan BUY till 75.00.
And if it goes down we have to wait for the 30 min candle close below 73.50 and we can get Target upto 72.80.
We can get Trade around 13:30 (IST) Or 15:30 (IST)
NOTE- The TF should be 30 min.
EURUSD gyrates within bullish pennantEURUSD seesaws within a week-long bullish pennant formation, bracing for the second weekly gain, as markets await this week’s key US data. Not only the bullish pennant but the bullish crossover of the 50-SMA to the 100-SMA also keeps the Euro buyers hopeful. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI and MACD fail to inspire the pair bulls. As a result, a fresh long position can wait until the quote confirms the bullish chart pattern by crossing the 1.0980 immediate hurdle. To make matters more clear, in case of big positions, the buyers should seek the pair’s successful trading beyond the 1.1010-20 resistance area. Following that, a run-up toward 1.1100 will be imminent before highlighting the yearly peak of 1.1275 for the bulls.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s downside break of 1.0920 support will defy the bullish pennant and can drag the prices toward the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA, respectively near 1.0880 and 1.0870. However, an upward-sloping support line from early November, close to 1.0800 by the press time, will be a crucial support to watch for defending the bulls, a break of which will give control to the bears targeting the monthly low of 1.0723 and early November bottom surrounding 1.0650.
Overall, the EURUSD remains on the buyer’s radar despite the recent inaction.
Tamil Nadu Petro Products Ltd| A Momentum StockTamil Nadu Petro Products Ltd| A Momentum Stock
Tamilnadu Petroproducts Limited, headquartered at Chennai, Tamilnadu, India is jointly promoted by Southern Petrochemical Industries Corporation Limited (SPIC) and Tamilnadu Industrial Development Corporation Limited (TIDCO) and is engaged in the business of petrochemical products viz, Linear Alkyl Benzene (LAB), Caustic Soda, Chlorine and Propylene Oxide.
Friends
you can clearly seen down rectangle pattern break out with rsi above 55(indicate momentum start).
my motto: I learn simple ways and earn simple ways. Though I present all my ideas with simple presentation . so everyone can understand and learn simple ways to make money.
Financial: excellent
Market Cap = ₹ 900 Cr. ROCE = 15.1 % ROE = 11.8 %
Debt to equity = 0.03 Promoter holding = 34.5 %
Quick ratio = 3.65 Current ratio = 4.45 Piotroski score = 4.00
Profit Var 3Yrs = 13.6 % Sales growth 3Years = 20.6 % Return on assets = 8.88 %
company is in well stable financial with momentum zone.
nugget: stock market me shadi vaha hoti hai jaha dol nahi bajate. yani ki jab koi bat na kare us stock ke bare me tab usko buy karna chahie.
Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation.
If you like my ideas than like boost and follow me for more ideas.
Thanks and comment freely