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2nd Post -Predicted In Afternoon but Didnt posted TATA POWER 216Tata power broke out the rising channel then falling down and will take support on the channel and will rise again till 215-216 which will be our first target. It looks like a medium level of risistence if it is broken we will see our next target at 222. startegy is to sell 40-50% stocks near 215-216, take stopless to 213-214 then sell 40-50% (might hold for more profit)at 222. NOTE - ITS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE ITS MY STARTGY , AM NEW SO SUGGESTIONS , CORRECTION ARE APPRICIATED
NSE:TATAPOWERLong
by ramanku990
1
madras fertilizers - continuation wedge bullish patternA continuation wedge bullish is a technical chart pattern that can indicate a potential bullish trend continuation. This pattern forms when the price of an asset has been in an uptrend and then starts consolidating in a tightening range, forming a wedge shape. In a continuation wedge bullish pattern, the price tends to break out of the wedge pattern in the direction of the previous trend, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. Traders and investors can use this pattern to identify potential buying opportunities in the asset. Madras fertilizers chart has been identified in my study as " continuation wedge bullish pattern has formed". In chart its clearly drawn and explained. Disclaimer However, it is important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and patterns such as the continuation wedge bullish can sometimes fail to play out as expected. Therefore, it is essential to use other forms of analysis and risk management strategies to mitigate potential losses. Note: This study is for educational purpose only.
NSE:MADRASFERT
by hardeepssethi
Jubilant Foodworks - Bullish DivergenceJubilant Foodworks analysis 1. Bullish divergence on the daily chart. 2. The RSI (daily, 14) is clearly forming a bullish divergence as can be seen from the chart above, which indicates bullish. 3. in today’s session (20th March 2023), the relative strength of the stock is good. 4. Volume in today's session was more than average volume. 5. Bullish engulfing candle has formed All above gives sentiment of price reaching the target as marked in chart in short term. Note: This is just for educational Purpose.
NSE:JUBLFOOD
by hardeepssethi
2
BHARTIARTL UNDER BEARS SPECTRUM !!!!Chart Patterns insist me the above titled opinion REASONS 1. BhartiArtl has been trading inside a Ascending channel pattern(bright red & green trendlines )and right now down swing move is under process(in the form of descending channel) 2. In the weekly time frame , it looks alike a Bearish pennant formation and given breakdown out of consolidation(shown below) 3. In the daily timeframe , Head & Shoulders pattern too visible (shown below) 4. There is Consolidation zone(in form of a rectangle box). 5. SL can be day candle closing above 796 (candle escaping out of the box) 6. Target - 730,717,700 7. Strong support down near 675 levels(rectangle box shown) Let's see how it moves!!! NOTE - Just sharing my view....not a tip nor advice!!!
NSE:BHARTIARTLShort
by mmjimm
Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2In my previous post , we started to analyze the most popular financial ratio in the world – Price / Earnings or P/E (particularly one of the options for interpreting it). I said that P/E can be defined as the amount of money that must be paid once in order to receive 1 monetary unit of diluted net income per year. For American companies, it will be in US dollars, for Indian companies it will be in rupees, etc. In this post, I would like to analyze another interpretation of this financial ratio, which will allow you to look at P/E differently. To do this, let's look at the formula for calculating P/E again: P/E = Capitalization / Diluted earnings Now let's add some refinements to the formula: P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year (*) (*) In my case, by year I mean the last 12 months. Next, let's see what the Current capitalization and Diluted earnings for the last year are expressed in, for example, in an American company: - Current capitalization is in $; - Diluted earnings for the last year are in $/year. As a result, we can write the following formula: P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year = $ / $ / year = N years (*) (*) According to the basic rules of math, $ will be reduced by $, and we will be left with only the number of years. It's very unusual, isn't it? It turns out that P/E can also be the number of years! Yes, indeed, we can say that P/E is the number of years that a shareholder (investor) will need to wait in order to recoup their investments at the current price from the earnings flow, provided that the level of profit does not change . Of course, the condition of an unchangeable level of profit is very unrealistic. It is rare to find a company that shows the same profit from year to year. Nevertheless, we have nothing more real than the current capitalization of the company and its latest profit. Everything else is just predictions and probable estimates. It is also important to understand that during the purchase of shares, the investor fixates one of the P/E components - the price (P). Therefore, they only need to keep an eye on the earnings (E) and calculate their own P/E without paying attention to the current capitalization. If the level of earnings increases since the purchase of shares, the investor's personal P/E will decrease, and, consequently, the number of years to wait for recoupment. Another thing is when the earnings level, on the contrary, decreases – then an investor will face an increase in their P/E level and, consequently, an increase in the payback period of their own investments. In this case, of course, you have to think about the prospects of such an investment. You can also argue that not all 100% of earnings are spent paying dividends, and therefore you can’t use the level of earnings to calculate the payback period of an investment. Yes, indeed: it is rare for a company to give all of its earnings to dividends. However, the lack of a proper dividend level is not a reason to change anything in the formula or this interpretation at all, because retained earnings are the main fundamental driver of a company's capitalization growth. And whatever the investor misses out on in terms of dividends, they can get it in the form of an increase in the value of the shares they bought. Now, let's discuss how to interpret the obtained P/E value. Intuitively, the lower it is, the better. For example, if an investor bought shares at P/E = 100, it means that they will have to wait 100 years for their investment to pay off. That seems like a risky investment, doesn't it? Of course, one can hope for future earnings growth and, consequently, for a decrease in their personal P/E value. But what if it doesn’t happen? Let me give you an example. For instance, you have bought a country house, and so now you have to get to work via country roads. You have an inexpensive off-road vehicle to do this task. It does its job well and takes you to work via a road that has nothing but potholes. Thus, you get the necessary positive effect this inexpensive thing provides. However, later you learn that they will build a high-speed highway in place of the rural road. And that is exactly what you have dreamed of! After hearing the news, you buy a Ferrari. Now, you will be able to get to work in 5 minutes instead of 30 minutes (and in such a nice car!) However, you have to leave your new sports car in the yard to wait until the road is built. A month later, the news came out that, due to the structure of the road, the highway would be built in a completely different location. A year later your off-road vehicle breaks down. Oh well, now you have to get into your Ferrari and swerve around the potholes. It is not hard to guess what is going to happen to your expensive car after a while. This way, your high expectations for the future road project turned out to be a disaster for your investment in the expensive car. It works the same way with stock investments. If you only consider the company's future earnings forecast, you run the risk of being left alone with just the forecast instead of the earnings. Thus, P/E can serve as a measure of your risk. The higher the P/E value at the time you buy a stock, the more risk you take. But what is the acceptable level of P/E ? Oddly enough, I think the answer to this question depends on your age. When you are just beginning your journey, life gives you an absolutely priceless resource, known as time. You can try, take risks, make mistakes, and then try again. That's what children do as they explore the world around them. Or when young people try out different jobs to find exactly what they like. You can use your time in the stock market in the same manner - by looking at companies with a P/E that suits your age. The younger you are, the higher P/E level you can afford when selecting companies. Conversely, in my opinion, the older you are, the lower P/E level you can afford. To put it simply, you just don’t have as much time to wait for a return on your investment. So, my point is, the stock market perception of a 20-year-old investor should differ from the perception of a 50-year-old investor. If the former can afford to invest with a high payback period, it may be too risky for the latter. Now let's try to translate this reasoning into a specific algorithm. First, let's see how many companies we are able to find in different P/E ranges. As an example, let's take the companies that are traded on the NYSE (April 2023). As you can see from the table, the larger the P/E range, the more companies we can consider. The investor's task comes down to figuring out what P/E range is relevant to them in their current age. To do this, we need data on life expectancy in different countries. As an example, let's take the World Bank Group's 2020 data for several countries: Japan, India, China, Russia, Germany, Spain, the United States, and Brazil. To understand which range of P/E values to choose, you need to subtract your current age from your life expectancy: Life Expectancy - Your Current Age I recommend focusing on the country where you expect to live most of your life. Thus, for a 25-year-old male from the United States, the difference would be: 74,50 - 25 = 49,50 Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 50. For a 60-year-old woman from Japan, the difference would be: 87,74 - 60 = 27,74 Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 30. For a 70-year-old man from Russia, the difference would be: 66,49 - 70 = -3,51 In the case of a negative difference, the P/E range of 0 to 10 should be used. It doesn’t matter which country's stocks you invest in if you expect to live most of your life in Japan, Russia, or the United States. P/E indicates time, and time flows the same for any company and for you. So, this algorithm will allow you to easily calculate your acceptable range of P/E values. However, I want to caution you against making investment decisions based on this ratio alone. A low P/E value does not guarantee that you are free of risks . For example, sometimes the P/E level can drop significantly due to a decline in P (capitalization) because of extraordinary events, whose impact can only be seen in a future income statement (where we would learn the actual value of E - earnings). Nevertheless, the P/E value is a good indicator of the payback period of your investment, which answers the question: when should you consider buying a company's stock ? When the P/E value is in an acceptable range of values for you. But the P/E level doesn’t tell you what company to consider and what price to take. I will tell you about this in the next posts. See you soon!
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by Be_Capy
8
ASHOK LEYLAND Analysis!Ashok Leyland Monthly Analysis Long Tern view on Ashok Leyland Ashok Leyland Consistently Taking Support on Support Trendline We can see How beautifully price has taken support on Support Trendline. We can say price is respecting the Support Trendline. This is the characteristic of a trendline. The support trendline acts as a support to the price which can stop the price to move further downwards. One can initiate long position if price reaches and takes support on the Support Trendline.
NSE:ASHOKLEY
by Avinash9087
2
Breakout Trap (Educational Purpose)Breakout Trap in PENIND Daily Analysis of PENIND This is how investers traps in a breakout trap PENIND has made double bottom patten and as per Double Bottom Pattern analysis the projected target has been reached but the picture is not over yet!!! Some investers do re-entery in it after it breaks recent resistance level. Same thing happend in PENIND after reaching projected profit it gave breakout to it's recent resistance level and after only 5 trading sessions it fells upto 16% and here is Stop Loss comes into picture. If someone has put a strict Stop Loss in a system he /she may exit the trade as per their Risk to Reward ratio. He/She may end up with only 5%-6% loss. But what if someone has not set Stop Loss in a system he/she may have 16% of loss till the date. That's why stop loss plays very important role in Investing as well as trading. There is also small loophole, the abnormal increased in volume may indicate there may be operators comes into picture to trap the retail traders/investors. As soon as retailers enters into a trade there has sharp fall happened. It may caused by operators have exit their position. This is my view and not a theory. If you like this Educational Analysis please do boost and share. Thank You All for your support
NSE:PENIND
by Avinash9087
1
Nifty Prediction For coming daysFirst thing first : This is a probability as the patterns are not yet completed ... On a weekly timefram we can see a H&S formation in process which is also the same in daily Timeframe. nothing much to say about that as long as we dont see one more bearish bar closing below. Coming to confluence in lower timeframes.. 1hr Timeframe. Crucial Pattern to look for as this pattern will decide if this whole analysis is about to happen or not... Bearish Gartley pattern targets are point B and C, Point B in this scenario turns out to be the breakaway gap or you can see breakout area (CHoCH) that had not been tested. Remember this that Point B should act as support for the market to move up from here. If point c is broken then the Higher timeframe Pattern H&S will get activated. Keeping in mind that nothing is madatory to happen in the market but as we aknow a retest is a possibility. which completes the whole analysis, and giving birth to another pattern in higher timeframe. Looking this structure in Eliott wave gives us much more clear picture,(I'm no expert in EW yet believe that this is just a basic pattern,) Now Concluding the whole analysis .. I'm Bearish. Only if 17750 is breached upside i'm going to avoid this analysis ..
NSE:NIFTY
by TeamTaurus
7
Welent looks goodDouble Bottom pattern is formed in Welent. A bullish reversal pattern that is formed when the price reaches two distinct lows, or bottoms, at approximately the same price level. This is usually a sign that the selling pressure has been exhausted, and buyers are starting to take control. The volume tends to decrease as the pattern forms, which is an indication that there is less selling pressure in the market. However, there may be a slight increase in volume at each low as some traders may try to buy at what they perceive to be a bargain price. The confirmation of the Double Bottom pattern occurs when the price breaks above the highest high between the two bottoms. This is often accompanied by an increase in volume, indicating that there is a renewed buying interest in the market. Overall, the Double Bottom pattern is a popular chart pattern among traders and can be a useful tool for identifying potential buying opportunities. However, like all technical analysis tools, it should be used in conjunction with other indicators and not relied upon solely for making trading decisions. Note for everyone who came across this study: This chart is only for educational purpose. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:WELENT
by hardeepssethi