Cup & Handle Chart Pattern Breakout | APLAPOLLO⭕️ Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE ONLY!!!
✅Overview of APL Apollo Tubes Ltd.
👉It is India’s leading manufacturer of structural steel tubes and hollow sections, widely used in construction, infrastructure, and industrial applications
👉Focused on substituting traditional building materials with advanced steel solutions.
✅Fundamental Analysis
📍The company maintains healthy profit margins due to cost-efficient operations and strong pricing power.
📍 Managed to keep its debt under control, maintaining a strong balance sheet.
📍High ROE and ROCE
📍Stock valuation due to strong growth potential, market leadership, and consistent performance.
✅Technical Analysis:
1️⃣Cup&Handle chart Pattern Bo
2️⃣Supporting Volume
3️⃣Supporting EMA
4️⃣BO Confirmation
5️⃣Strong Support
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Apollohospital
A Healthcare Face-Off: Apollo vs. Narayana◉ Abstract
India's hospital industry is growing rapidly, valued at ₹8.35 lakh cr. ($98.98 B) in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 5.8-8.0% from 2024 to 2032. Apollo Hospitals and Narayana Hrudayalaya are two leading players, with Apollo being the largest private hospital network and Narayana Hrudayalaya known for cost-effective cardiac care. Narayana Hrudayalaya appears undervalued with a P/E ratio of 33.5 and more profitable (ROCE: 27%), making it an attractive investment option. Apollo Hospitals seems overvalued with a P/E ratio of 83.4 but remains viable for strategic entry points. Both companies are poised for growth driven by increasing healthcare demands and infrastructure expansion.
Read full analysis here........
◉ Introduction
The hospital industry in India is experiencing significant growth, with the market valued at approximately ₹8.35 lakh cr. ($98.98 B) in 2023. Projections indicate a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8% to 8.0% from 2024 to 2032, potentially reaching between 13.87 lakh cr. and 16.33 lakh cr. ($164.4 B - $193.6 B) by 2032, depending on various market analyses.
◉ Growth Drivers of the Indian Hospital Industry
● Increased Healthcare Expenditure:
➖ Rising public and private spending on healthcare, with government health expenditure aiming for 2.5% of GDP by 2025.
➖ Expanding middle class with higher disposable incomes and greater access to health insurance.
● Technological Advancements:
➖ Adoption of healthcare technologies such as telemedicine and robotic automation, improving service delivery.
➖ National Digital Health Blueprint promoting innovations in e-health.
● Policy Support and Foreign Investment:
➖ Favourable government policies allowing 100% FDI in healthcare, attracting significant investments.
➖ Public-private partnerships enhancing healthcare access, especially in underserved areas.
● Demand for Specialized Services:
➖ Increasing incidence of lifestyle diseases driving demand for specialized healthcare.
➖ Growth in medical tourism as India becomes a preferred destination for cost-effective treatments.
These factors are collectively propelling the growth of the hospital industry in India, positioning it for a promising future.
◉ Key players in the Indian hospital sector
1. Apollo Hospitals leads the sector with a market capitalization of approximately ₹98,646 Cr, establishing itself as the largest private hospital network in India.
2. Max Healthcare closely follows, boasting a market capitalization of around ₹97,820 Cr.
3. Fortis Healthcare is another key participant in the market, with a market capitalization of ₹48,249 Cr.
4. Global Health also ranks among the premier healthcare institutions, holding a market capitalization of ₹28,786 Cr.
5. Narayana Hrudayalaya is recognized for its cost-effective cardiac care services and maintains a notable market share with a market capitalization of ₹26,086 Cr.
In this report, we will conduct an in-depth analysis and comparison between two of India's leading healthcare providers, Apollo Hospitals and Narayana Hrudayalaya. This comprehensive evaluation will assess their technical and fundamental aspects,
◉ Company Overviews
● Apollo Hospital NSE:APOLLOHOSP
Apollo Hospitals was founded in 1983 by Dr. Prathap C Reddy, a visionary in the evolution of modern healthcare in India. As the first corporate hospital in the country, Apollo Hospitals is celebrated for leading the charge in the private healthcare transformation.
Today, Apollo Hospitals stands as Asia's leading integrated healthcare services provider, boasting a strong footprint throughout the healthcare landscape. This includes a diverse range of services such as hospitals, pharmacies, primary care and diagnostic clinics, as well as various retail health models.
● Narayana Hrudalaya NSE:NH
Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited is involved in providing medical and healthcare services both in India and abroad. It functions through two main divisions: Medical and Healthcare Related Services, and Others. The organization is responsible for acquiring, owning, and managing a variety of healthcare facilities, including hospitals, clinics, health centres, diagnostic centres, and nursing homes, among other related operations. Its range of services encompasses cardiology, cardiac surgery, nephrology, urology, neurology, neurosurgery, endocrinology, orthopaedics, internal medicine, obstetrics, gynaecology, pediatrics, neonatology, gastroenterology, and oncology. Additionally, the company is active in the health insurance sector. Established in 2000, its headquarters is located in Bengaluru, India.
◉ Technical Analysis
● Apollo Hospitals
➖ The stock faced a significant obstacle near the 5,800 level, resulted in a steep drop.
➖ It later found support around 3,500 and rebounded.
➖ Following an extended period of consolidation, the price developed a Rounding Bottom pattern.
➖ A breakout ensued, leading to a price increase, but it encountered resistance close to 6,800, which triggered a pullback to the breakout point.
➖ Following a successful retest, the price surged past the previous high, reaching a new peak at 7,545.
➖ However, due to prevailing negative market sentiments, the price has since retraced and is currently trading just above its immediate support zone.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ The stock price is overall in an uptrend.
➖ After reaching an all-time high close to the 1,445 level, the price experienced a decline and has since entered a consolidation phase.
➖ A Symmetrical Triangle pattern has formed on the chart.
➖ We expect an upward breakout from this pattern, which could lead to a significant price rally.
◉ Relative Strength
➖ The chart reveals that both Apollo and Narayana Hrudayalaya have underperformed the Nifty Healthcare index. Although Apollo has given a descent 31% return, Narayana lagged significantly, yielding a modest 17% return. In contrast, the Nifty Healthcare index delivered an impressive 41% return.
◉ Service Wise Revenue Breakdown
● Apollo Hospitals
The company operates through three primary segments, each contributing significantly to its revenue.
➖ Healthcare services account for approximately 52% of total revenue, forming the largest share.
➖ The retail pharmacy business generates nearly 41% of total sales, while the retail health and diagnostics segment contributes the remaining 7%.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ The company operates exclusively in the healthcare services sector, deriving all its revenue from this single segment.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Apollo Hospitals
Year-over-Year
➖ The company's fiscal year 2024 performance was marked by strong growth, with revenue reaching ₹19,059 crore, a 15% increase from ₹16,612 crore in FY23.
➖ EBITDA surged to ₹2,394 crore, up from ₹2,065 crore in FY23, while the EBITDA margin improved to 13% from 12%.
Quarter-over-Quarter
➖ In the latest quarter ending September 2024, the company achieved its highest-ever sales of ₹5,589 crore, significantly up from ₹5,086 crore in June 2024. This quarter-on-quarter growth has been consistent since March 2022.
➖ EBITDA for the quarter was an impressive ₹816 crore, a 21% increase from ₹675 crore in June 2024.
➖ Diluted EPS (LTM) rose substantially to ₹83.31 from ₹72.13 in June 2024.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
Year-over-Year
➖ In FY24, our company achieved remarkable sales growth, surging 11% to ₹5,018 crore from ₹4,525 crore in FY23.
➖ EBITDA soared to ₹1,173 crore, up from ₹987 crore in the same period, with an impressive EBITDA margin of 23%.
Quarter-over-Quarter
➖ Our quarterly sales reached an all-time high of ₹1,400 crore in September, representing a 4% increase from ₹1,341 crore in June.
➖ Although EBITDA growth was modest, it still improved to ₹308 crore in September from ₹304 crore in June 2024.
➖ However, Diluted EPS experienced a decline, dropping to ₹38.85 from ₹39.72.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ Apollo Hospitals' current P/E ratio stands at 83.4, down from its 1-year median of 107.7. However, this remains significantly above the industry average of 56.9, indicating overvaluation.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya's P/E ratio of 33.5 is slightly above its 1-year median of 32.8 and substantially below the industry average, suggesting undervaluation.
● P/B Ratio
➖ Apollo's P/B ratio of 13.15 indicates considerable overvaluation compared to the industry average of 7.18.
➖ Narayana Hrudalaya's P/B ratio of 8.14 also suggests overvaluation, albeit to a lesser extent.
● PEG Ratio
➖ Narayana's PEG ratio of 0.49 positions it as an attractive investment opportunity, especially when compared to Apollo's considerably higher PEG of 2.43.
◉ Profitability Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals ROCE - 15% in FY24
➖ Narayana Hrudalaya ROCE - 27% in FY24
The significant difference in ROCE between the two healthcare giants underscores Narayana Hrudalaya's superior profitability. Narayana's impressive ROCE of 27% demonstrates its ability to efficiently utilize its total capital, comprising both equity and debt, to generate substantially higher returns.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals has demonstrated impressive growth in its operating cash flow, surging 39% to ₹1,920 crore in FY24 from ₹1,377 crore in FY23. This robust growth underscores the company's efficiency in converting profits into cash, highlighting its strong financial health and liquidity position.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya has shown sluggishness in turning profits into cash, with its operating cash flow declining 2% to ₹1,067 crore in FY24 from ₹1,085 crore in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals' debt stands at ₹7,371 crore, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.98, which, although relatively high, is not alarming. However, the company's low interest coverage ratio of 4.69 raises concerns about its ability to service its debt. This vulnerability may complicate repayment of borrowed loans, potentially straining Apollo's financial stability.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya's debt of ₹1,703 crore and debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53 indicate robust financial health. Furthermore, its impressive interest coverage ratio of 8.34 suggests the company is well-positioned to manage its debt obligations, ensuring greater financial flexibility and stability.
◉ Shareholding Pattern
● Apollo Hospitals
➖ In the September quarter, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) increased their stake in Apollo Hospitals to 45.37%, up from the previous quarter.
➖ Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) reduced their holdings to 19.94%, a significant decrease from 24.77% in the last quarter.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya witnessed a decline in institutional investor holdings. FIIs reduced their stake to 9.69%, down from 10% in the previous quarter.
➖ Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) also decreased their holdings to 7.9%, down from 8.22% in the June quarter.
◉ Conclusion
Following a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, we conclude that Narayana Hrudalaya appears to be favorably positioned from a valuation perspective, presenting an attractive investment opportunity.
However, this does not diminish Apollo Hospitals' potential. Although the stock currently appears overvalued, investors can consider accumulating shares during dips, making it a viable option for those seeking strategic entry points.
The healthcare sector's promising growth trajectory, fueled by rising healthcare demands and infrastructure expansion, positions both companies for potentially excellent returns in the near future.
Thyrocare for 70%+ gains after correctionDate: 3 Nov’24
Symbol: THYROCARE
Timeframe: Daily
Apparently, Thyrocare seems to be in Wave III which could conclude around 1000. Post which Wave IV correction could come down to 840-820 levels marked as Demand Zone in the chart. And Wave V then will be heading to 1430 to 1500 levels (70%+ from 830 levels) depending on where Wave IV ends. Its all time high price is 1465.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
HINGLISH VERSION
Jaahir taur par, Thyrocare Wave III mein lagta hai jo 1000 ke aaspaas samaapt ho sakta hai. Jiske baad Wave IV chart mein Demand Zone ke roop mein ankit 840-820 ke star tak neeche aa sakta hai. Aur Wave V tab 1430 se 1500 ke star (830 ke star se 70%+) ki taraf badh jaega, yah is baat par nirbhar karega ki Wave IV kahaan samaapt hota hai. Thyrocare ki all time high keemat 1465 hai.
Yah koi trade lene ki salah nahin hai. Kripya apana vishleshan khud karein.
Metropolis Healthcare for 140%+ gainsDate: 12 Oct’24
Symbol: Metropolis
Timeframe: Weekly
Metropolis Healthcare seems to be in Wave 3 in larger timeframe which is heading towards its all time high (ATH) of 3575 (~57% from current price of 2275) as seen in the chart. Wave 4 is likely to come down to around 2700 levels and in Wave 5, it could target 5500-6000 (140%+ from current price). A good year ahead likely for this diagnostic company.
Interestingly, the waves could also coincide with a Cup & Handle pattern formation as seen in the chart. Please note this is a long shot so take it with a pinch of salt. However, one can be confident to enter until the ATH (whatever route the price movement takes).
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis. And I’ve the right to be wrong.
Aisa lagta hai ki Metropolis Healthcare badi samay seema mein Wave 3 mein hai, jo 3575 ke apane sarvakaalik uchch (ATH) (2275 ki vartamaan keemat se ~57% high) ki or badh raha hai, jaisa ki chart mein dekha gaya hai. Wave 4 ke 2700 ke star tak neeche aane ki sambhaavana hai aur Wave 5 mein, yeh 5500-6000 (maujooda keemat se 140%+) ka lakshya rakh sakta hai. Is diagnostic company ke lie aane vaala saal achchha rahane kee sambhaavana hai.
Dilchasp baat yah hai ki Waves Cup aur Handle ke gathan ke saath bhee mel kha sakti hain jaisa ki chart mein dekha gaya hai. Kripya dhyaan den ki yah ek lamba shot hai isliye ise thodi satarkta se trade karein. Haalaanki, koi bhi ATH (keematon mein utaar-chadhaav chaahe jo bhee raasta apanae) tak pravesh karne ke lie aashvast ho sakta hai.
Yeh koi trade karne ki salah nahin hai. Kripya apna vishleshan swayam karen. Aur mujhe galat hone ka adhikaar hai.
APOLLOHOSP_Hormonic Reversal_Short sellingHarmonic 4-Point Pattern
pattern has formed in the daily timeframe for apollo hospital and its reverse zone where between ( 7276 & 7391 ), we are expecting reversal start form this zones.
RSI
Day rsi had crossed 70+ which indicates the stock is in the overbought area.
Conclusion
It's nearly to harmonic reversal zone & Rsi also is over bought, so we are excepting 3-5℅ sell target, Plan accordingly to your trading plan setup coz nifty is getting HH formation
trend is up side (All time High).
Education Purpose only.
Regards
Sathish
LONG TERM TARGET FOR APOLLO HOSPITALSWe can see a strong breakout on monthly basis in " Apollo Hospitals ". The current monthly candle is undergoing a retracement to test the level of breakout. If the breakout is genuine, after retracement, there will be signs of bullish reversal. This indicates that the current trend is about to continue and for that I've used the ABCD pattern of Harmonics to find the next target of the current impulse wave. For entry with a good Risk-to-Reward Ratio, we need to switch to a lower timeframe and look for that "Bullish Reversal Pattern".
Apollo hospitals positional trading ideasIt is forming a falling wedge pattern. inside the falling wedge, there is a double bottom pattern you can see.
Stock is in a up trend.
it also retesting the weekly breakout level.
If it breaks the wedge pattern upside. it may go higher.
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets. Do your own analysis or consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
APOLLOHOSP - SWING TRADE - 27th December #stocks#APOLLOHOSP (1D TF)
Swing Trade Analysis given on 27th December, 2023
Pattern: RECTANGLE BOX BREAKOUT
- Volume Spike Buildup - Done ✓
- Breakout of Resistance - In Progress
- Retracement & Consolidation - In Progress
#stocks #swingtrade #chartanalysis #priceaction #traderyte
APOLLOHOSP Signaling Bearish Point Of ViewAfter years of rallying up, then it turns to a fall forming a double top pattern. When we draw from the high point to the low point using Fibonacci retracement, I believe it reaches the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and continues the fall. After reaching this level, confirm and make an entry
"One reason for the fall is because there are ongoing court issues regarding hospitals."
"Note: I will maintain charts in a simple way. Only those with basic knowledge of technical analysis will be able to understand what I am posting."
APOLLOHOSP - Weekly - All time high breakoutThe analysis is done on Weekly TF hence price may take few weeks to few months in order to reach the targets.
This is a Life time high breakout setup. Usually strong stocks shows strength even during market correction. And becomes the winner of upcoming rally. A stock giving all time high breakout comes under that category. One can plan to invest or trade in such stocks for greater risk-reward
The above analysis is purely for educational purpose. Traders must do their own study & follow risk management before entering into any trade
Checkout my other ideas to understand how one can earn from stock markets with simple trade setups. Feel Free to comment below this or connect with me for any query or suggestion regarding this stock or Price Action Analysis.
Rectangle Breakout & Pull Back Pattern Seen in Apollo HospitalHello Guy's,
Guy's we have seen small rectangle pattern breakout and pullback pattern in APOLLO HOSPITAL. Now chances are high, we can see uptrend continuation from here. I have already explained earlier about this pattern, but again i will copy and paste from gail, so it will be easy to understand to those who newly joined with us.
Q:- What is Rectangle Pattern and How to Use Rectangle Chart Patterns to Trade Breakouts?
Rahul:-
A rectangle is a chart pattern formed when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels.
A rectangle exhibits a period of consolidation or indecision between buyers and sellers as they take turns throwing punches but neither has dominated.
The price will “test” the support and resistance levels several times before eventually breaking out.
From there, the price could trend in the direction of the breakout, whether it is to the upside or downside.
we can clearly see Above in APOLLO HOSPITAL chart that the pair was bounded by two key price levels which are parallel to one another.
So, Traders, i hope you Guy's have learned today how to Trade Rectangle Pattern, but Mates We just have to wait until one of these levels breaks and go along for the ride!
Remember, when you spot a rectangle: THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX! That's it.
So now let's focus about company background:-
Apollo Hospitals was established in 1983 by Dr. Prathap C Reddy, renowned architect of modern healthcare in India. As the nation’s first corporate hospital, Apollo Hospitals is acclaimed for pioneering the private healthcare revolution in the country.
Apollo Hospitals has emerged as Asia’s foremost integrated healthcare services provider and has a robust presence across the healthcare ecosystem, including Hospitals, Pharmacies,
Primary Care & Diagnostic Clinics and several Retail Health models.
Market Cap
₹ 80,392 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 5,591
High / Low
₹ 5,688 / 4,078
Stock P/E
115
Book Value
₹ 453
Dividend Yield
0.27 %
ROCE
14.5 %
ROE
13.7 %
Face Value
₹ 5.00
Industry PE
37.9
Debt
₹ 4,889 Cr.
EPS
₹ 48.5
Promoter holding
29.3 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 933
Pledged percentage
16.1 %
EVEBITDA
38.0
Change in Prom Hold
0.01 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
67.1 %
Sales growth 5Years
15.0 %
Return over 5years
35.1 %
Debt to equity
0.75
Net profit
₹ 730 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
10.4 %
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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Apollo Hospital 1 Hour Time Frame - 28th DECApollo hospital has been bullish in past 3 days after it formed a positive reversal in the Daily-Time-Frame and took support at 5275 close to the 50 SMA.
Today im observing a positive reversal once again in the 1Hr Time Frame.
My Entry in Apollo Hospital would be at 5688, with a stop loss at 5653 and a target at 5759.
Happy Trading!!
Bullish Flag BO in Shalby HospitalIntroduction: Shalby Limited (NSE: SHALBY) and Stock Exchange Information (BSE: 540797) is India’s leading multi-specialty hospital operating a chain of 11 tertiary hospitals with an aggregate bed capacity of over 2,000 hospital beds. It is one of the top hospitals in joint replacement surgery in India. Shalby is the number one player worldwide for knee replacement surgery and has a 4,000 plus in-house team of skilled doctors, surgeons and support staff.
A bullish flag & pole Chart Pattern Breakout on the Daily Time frame of NSE:SHALBY
Price Action supported by very good volume.
The stock is currently in uptrend making higher highs and higher lows.
One can add this stock into their stocks to buy list and initiate the long trade as per the levels mentioned on the chart
Stop loss will be on a Weekly closing basis.
Trend Analysis :- UP Trend
Chart Pattern :- Bullish flag & pole Chart Pattern
Technical Indicator :- Positive MACD Crossover
Risk Disclaimer:
The trading ideas and analyses presented here are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk. You should carefully consider your own financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any investment decisions.
The information provided in this analysis is based on my personal interpretation of market conditions and the available data at the time of writing. It is subject to change without notice, and I cannot guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided.
Trading and investing carry the risk of substantial losses, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always be aware that markets can be unpredictable, and prices may move against your trade or investment.
It is advisable to seek advice from a qualified financial professional and to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. You should only invest funds that you can afford to lose.
I am not responsible for any trades or investments made based on the information presented in this analysis. By reading and using this information, you acknowledge and accept that you are solely responsible for any losses you may incur.