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Ascending Channel

India Cements Smashes Resistance, Begins Epic Breakout Rally!Get ready for a wild ride, traders! India Cements Ltd. is taking us on a rollercoaster that would make even the bravest thrill-seeker dizzy. Buckle up and let's dive into the price action analysis of this cement stock that's been anything but solid. I. Current Price Action: Price: ₹233.15 Change: +14.55 (+2.12%) Volume: 18,388M (Higher than the number of potholes on Mumbai roads) II. Key Observations: Resistance Breakthrough: After a prolonged tease, INDIACEM has finally broken through the ₹230.15 resistance level, showcasing more power than a construction site jackhammer. 200-Day Moving Average Crossover: The stock has crossed above the 200-day moving average, a bullish signal that could potentially attract more buyers like bees to honey Consolidation Phase: The stock has been stuck in a range, trading between support and resistance, indecisive as a Bollywood villain's motives. Volume Spike: The volume during the breakout is higher than the number of uncles offering unsolicited advice at a family gathering. This suggests conviction in the move, whether you like it or not. Support Zone: The stock is currently flirting with the ₹204.98 - ₹210.19 support zone. If it holds, this could be a juicy buying opportunity for the daring traders out there. If not, well, you might need a stiff drink to cope. Trading Idea: For the risk-takers, buying the breakout could be a tempting proposition. But remember, chasing a stock after a sharp move is about as safe as trying to outrun a raging bull. Set those stop-losses tighter than your budget after a night of revelry. Potential Targets: 🎯 Short-term: ₹250 (As ambitious as your New Year's resolutions) 🎯 Mid-term: ₹275 (Reaching for the stars, or at least the top shelf of the liquor cabinet) Risks: If this breakout fails to hold, the stock could tumble faster than a poorly constructed building. Keep an eye on the overall market sentiment and be prepared to run for the exit faster than a rat spotting the neighborhood cat. Final Thoughts: India Cements Ltd. has finally broken out of its consolidation range, potentially setting the stage for a new uptrend. Will it continue to build upon its gains, or crumble under the pressure? Only time will tell, but one thing's for sure – this stock is keeping traders on their toes more than a Bollywood dance number. Disclaimer: This analysis is about as reliable as that one friend who always claims to have an "inside scoop." Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Happy trading, and may your profits be as plentiful as the stars in the Mumbai night sky! 🚀💰
NSE:INDIACEMLong
by TRADING-NASA
4
NIFTY50 - Weekly Index Analysis - 15th June #indices #nifty50NIFTY50 Analysis Update (1W TF) - 15th June, 2024 - Trading outside the channel as of now - The Resistance & Support Zones are marked out - This should help choosing our Swing Trades as well If you are in FOMO: - Then ensure to choose stocks that are at Weekly support levels only - Do not jump into falling knives which are away from their support levels Note: The charts will be updated as we go along. But please ensure to keep your Risk Management in play constantly for any and all swing trades. * Disclaimer
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradeRyteStockz
GICRE - UPSIDE POTENTIAL OF 40%Hi All, General Insurance Corporation of India - CMP (406) Market Cap - 71309 Cr Stock PE - 10.7 Book Value - 315 Promoter Holding - 85% EPS - 38 As per the technical pattern on weekly timeframe, price action has formed Bullish Continuation Pattern and is currently trading at lower channel of the trend formation. An upside of 40% is clearly visible over coming months which is the upper channel of the bullish pattern. In the current week, price action has broken the horizontal resistance as well confirming the upside in near future. Relative Strength has also turned positive on all major time frames. As per fundamentals, Stocks is still undervalued at PE of just 10.7 with sector PE of 17. Healthy Dividend of 20.4% CAGR growth of 24.1% over last 5 years Hope everyone enjoys this trade! Happy Trading, Thanks, Stock-n-Shine
NSE:GICRELong
by Stock-n-Shine
2
NIFTY50 - WEEKLY ANALYSIS - 15th April #indicesNIFTY50 (1W TF) UPDATE - 15th April, 2024 Pattern: ASCENDING CHANNEL - Reversal at the top of the Weekly Channel Resistance - Done ✓ - Might expect more of a fall in the Indian markets, mainly due to the US markets sell-off on Friday - Geo-political tensions due to the Israel-Iran conflict might also have some repercussions - Volatility is going to be high - Support Levels have been marked out Going forward with any Swing Trades: - DO NOT jump into falling knives - Watch higher time frames for more accurate entries - Anyone going short on any stock, please hedge your positions - There is and will be a lot of volatility over the next 45-60 days. Until then, we need to be doing the following: ✓ Keep SL's in play for existing positions or trail your SL ✓ Ensure your position sizing is as per your rules ✓ Keep risk management in play at all times And most importantly, if the market is giving you decent returns in any trade: ✓ Then book your profits and ✓ Hold your capital Always remember: - We can live to Fight another day; but ONLY if we are in a POSITION to do so So Capital Preservation is Key !! . . . Become Emotionless & Trade Ryte #nifty50
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradeRyteStockz
2
18 Jan ’24 — FIIs sold 20000 CR in 2 days, Nifty50 in trouble?Nifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has only fallen 191pts ~ 0.88%. This does not seem to showcase what really happened during this week. We hit a new lifetime high of 22124 and then fell 839pts ~ 3.8% in 2 days. Something that we rarely see with Nifty. 16mts chart Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “Yesterday Nifty was at the top end of the ascending channel and today it closed right at the bottom end. From 26th Oct 2023, Nifty has always respected the bottom part of the ascending channel. The next support comes up at 21491 and falling below that would also mean we are breaking the channel.” 4mts chart The gap down ensured we broke the support at 21491. Further price action suggested that we may have some deep cuts today, but strangely Nifty reversed right at 10.00 at 21285 level. Not sure whether it was DIP buying, but we went past the resistance zone of 21491 by 11.59. Nifty did not have enough strength to get back into the ascending channel - but it managed to close near the SR level showing some respite. FIIs sold over 20000 crores of equity over the last 2 days. When was the last time we had this high volume of selling? 20-25k crore is the approx. volume of transactions they do for a whole month - we got that in 2 days. What do they know that we retail traders don't? 63mts chart Today’s price action has confirmed that the channel is broken, but not the support/resistance of 21491. If Nifty trades above 21491 in the morning session - the bears may really feel abandoned. Ideally, the next stop should be 21041 - that was where Nifty bounced off from the trendline on 21st Dec 2023. Our stance continues to be bearish until proven wrong.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
15 Jan ’24 — Bullish reinforcements are on the way! Nifty50Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “Till yesterday, we were looking for neutral trades with a possibility of going down. See how the tables have turned today. For Monday — we need to look out for bullish opportunities now.” 4mts chart Another gap-up of 131pts ~ 0.6% today! It was required to break the channel resistance line. There was a minor fall, but the 22000 level provided early support and we kept the gap unclosed. Once Nifty50 found its balance, it rallied steadily for the day and closed near the highs. The new ATH is 22111. 63mts chart The break away from the channel is evident in the 63mts chart. See the points Nifty is climbing every time it gets a stance upgrade from neutral to bullish. Remember how things were looking weak on the 8th and 10th of Jan and how Nifty turned from there? For tomorrow, the bullish stance continues and the first support will be the ascending channel top-line ~ 22050 levels.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
12 Jan ’24 — Traders are cold-blooded, Bias changed to Bullish🐂Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday “Nifty looks perfectly neutral from here, the moment the support of 21491 gives away — we can start looking for bearish opportunities. To go bullish the ATH has to be taken out. With the IT majors TCS and INFY declaring the results — we should have a strong swing direction tomorrow.” 4mts chart link Major highlights today Gap-up of 120pts ~ 0..56% NiftyIT gains 5.14% Nifty50 takes out the ATH, new value = 21928 Nifty goes from neutral to bullish Today’s stop came right at the ascending channel top-line Never seen NiftyIT so stubborn to go up, a gain of 5.14% far exceeds expectations, and that too when the IT majors are at their all-time highs. What we still do not understand is the reason for outperformance when the results were average. Anyway, this was the major reason Nifty50 broke out from the neutral zone to the bullish zone. 63mts chart link Today’s price action was along the top trend line of the ascending channel, and careful enough not to break it. There is no shame in saying traders are cold-blooded. We cannot stick with our bias, direction, or opinions and expect the market to behave as per our analysis. If the markets have turned, we need to adapt. Till yesterday, we were looking for neutral trades with a possibility of going down. See how the tables have turned today. For Monday - we need to look out for bullish opportunities now.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
08 Jan ’24 — Nifty Breaks the Trendline This Time — PostMortemNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “Our stance is still neutral with equal possibilities in either direction. Since Nifty50 is following the ascending channel’s top trend line — the chances of going up look more probable. To go down — we need news flow/event as there is no technical weakness.” 4mts chart link The gap up open today and a thrust upwards gave the false impression that we might have an up day. What happened on the contrary was a breach of the trend line. See the circled portions on the chart. At 09.47 the attempt was unsuccessful but at 10.51 the support gave away. Once we breached it, the price action started to pick up momentum. 63mts chart link The breach of the upper trend line of the ascending channel is quite visible in the higher time frame. Ideally, it is not a pure bearish signal as we are technically still in the bull market. We are changing the stance to bearish from neutral for the ultra-short-term only. If Nifty50 manages to crawl back up the top line - we will have to reverse the stance to neutral. In case Nifty manages to fall further - it will be interesting to see how it reacts to the bottom line of the channel.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
05 Jan ’24 —Nifty50 takes support at the trendlineNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “The first thing we had to do was to change the stance from bearish to neutral. To go bullish we need some more momentum, if it comes up in the forenoon session — I will update you via TV minds.” 4mts chart link Two things happened today A gap-up open - which did not make any sense. The rejection from the trend line - that made every sense. We repeated this earlier - our markets may be the only one that frequently opens gap-up or gap-down. The bulk of the action happens outside of the trading hours - seems like we need to grow up & mature. Today’s gap-up did not make any sense, even the opening candle. By 10.35 we lost the steam and started falling. Took a minor pause at 11.15 and then by 13.55 we went underwater. We got a nice rejection right at the trend line between 14.15 to 14.31. We are quite sure that many traders would have thought we might be falling further and that's when the reversal came. It was so intuitive to watch Nifty50 take support at the trendline and retrace the fall. Finally, we ended the day with a gain of 0.24% 63mts chart link Our stance is still neutral with equal possibilities in either direction. Since Nifty50 is following the ascending channel’s top trend line - the chances of going up look more probable. To go down - we need news flow/event as there is no technical weakness.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
04 Jan ’24 — Unexpected reversal takes out my Stop Loss - NiftyNifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty50 has fallen only 99pts ~ 0.46%. Credits to the recovery today that made up 141 of the lost points. N50 also has managed to bounce off the channel top line indicating further signs of strength. 63mts chart link Nifty Today Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from Yesterday: “On the higher time frame, you can see how N50 is just entering the channel. If the conditions stay like this for tomorrow — we can see a good trending move tomorrow. The first threat to keep in mind is the rejection that came on 21st Dec when N50 bounced from the channel topline.” 4mts chart link We were totally shocked to see a gap-up open of 89pts ~ 0.42% followed by a strong intent to go up. Since yesterday, we have been looking for bearish opportunities and what the gap-up open did was to take out the stop loss. Just like the 21st Dec, we got a perfect bounce off from the trend line showing sheer strength. Bears like me got trapped and were running for cover, this made the followthrough rally much easier today. A total swing of 161pts ~ 0.75% for today. And that too when NiftyIT was flashing red and green. BankNifty took the bulk of the weight today. 63mts chart link The first thing we had to do was to change the stance from bearish to neutral. To go bullish we need some more momentum, if it comes up in the forenoon session - I will update you via TV minds. Kindly make sure you are following @viswaram handle to get the updates via email.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
27th Dec ’23 -BankNifty gets a NEW ATH inside the ASC. channelBankNifty Analysis BankNifty is still caught between the upper & lower end of the ascending channel. Even then it managed to scale to a new all-time high of 48347. Half of the traders would have thought BN would have expiry today, the best way to remember would be to use post-it-notes saying BN expires with Nifty on the last week of the month. 4mts chart link - click here BN also had a slight gap-up, but the leg1 of the rally was quite strong. We gained 480pts ~ 1.01% till 12.07 before giving away 356pts ~ 0.74%. Leg2 it rallied 458pts ~ 0.96% but not enough to break out of the channel top line. 63mts chart link - click here Once BN got back into the channel - it is finding it difficult to break down or break away. Somehow the boundaries are getting respected. BN hitting a new top ensured that the stance changed from neutral to bullish. I am seriously thinking if the momentum is intact we should be getting that channel breakout tomorrow. Since it is a monthly expiry a bit of volatility cannot be ruled out as well.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
26th Dec ’23 - BankNifty stance changed to neutral, IV going upBankNifty Analysis Was quite surprised to see BankNifty following the ascending channel’s bottom trendline with a near correlation. Only for a brief period, we traded in RED, once BN pulled itself above water - it was able to hold its level quite strongly. 4mts chart link - click here KOTAKBANK, AXISBANK, and HDFCBANK were trading in green giving BN a much-needed green cushion. Even then there was no strong bullish momentum today - it was just that the bears did not have any control today. 63mts chart link - click here On the higher timeframe, BN is still inside the ascending channel. The bears are unable to exert any pressure post 20th December. Since BN is not ceding ground, I have to change my status from bearish to neutral for tomorrow. This week BankNifty and Nifty are expiring together on Thursday, which means we have no instruments expiring tomorrow 27th Dec. India VIX rose 7.08% today almost touching the 15 levels. Looks like VIX is creating an interim bottom. My EMA’s will show a golden crossover in 2 days if we continue the rising trend. After the news broke out about the drone attack on 2 vessels carrying Indian nationals - I seriously thought we would have a negative reaction today. Seems like the markets were not at all bothered. My next question is, will the market react to this news tomorrow? - “blast outside the Israel embassy in Delhi” VIX 1D chart - click here
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
22nd Dec ’23 - BankNifty's trades today were logical & realisticBankNifty Analysis The trades on BankNifty were more practical and appropriate to the situation we have at hand. 4mts chart link - click here We opened in line and then tested the top of the ascending channel from 10.03 to 12.03. There was rejection at those levels which took BN quickly to the bottom of the channel. We spent 13.43 to 15.11 at the lower end before breaking down. Even though the closing was below the channel, we ran out of time for conclusive evidence. Yesterday we went with a neutral stance believing BankNifty will be able to lead the fight for Nifty50 today. What really happened today was NiftyIT taking the pole position and BankNifty breaking down. 63mts chart link - click here The last 4 candles of today were in RED and we ended just below the channel. For Tuesday, I wish to go with a bearish stance. So at present, my directional view for both Nifty and BankNifty is bearish. Since we have a long weekend - anything could happen when we reopen on Tuesday. I have not taken any positions overnight and decided to play as per the situation after reopening.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by viswaram
21st Dec ’23 - Nifty50 Retraces 50% of Yesterday’s FallNifty Today Analysis Recap from yesterday: “The price action on the 63mts TF does not look bearish per se. But notice the weight of the RED candles — we retraced right up to the ascending channel top envelope.” 4mts chart link - click here Nifty started the day on a negative note fell to 20976 and then started recovering. The recovery was so strong and convincing that there was no level of hesitation or indecision in between. When the day ended and the price actions were recorded on the chat - it seemed like the domestic institutions came ready with their chest to pump in new buy orders. From a technical analysis perspective, we cannot hope that dip buyers will step in and do the needful. The best I could do was to draw a Fibonacci retracement level. The final close stands at the exact 50% retracement level. The right setting for a bearish continuation should have been below 21211 ~ 38.2% retracement. The main sector that spoiled the bear’s party today was BankNifty. 63mts chart link - click here Nifty50 takes support right at the ascending channel showing the inability of bears to overpower the bulls. I am inclined to change my stance to neutral with the developments of today. Giving the bears one more opportunity to prove their mettle, hence going with the bearish stance for tomorrow as well. All they have to do is keep Nifty50 below 21200 in the opening 2hrs for the momentum to kick in - that may require a gap down of 50+ points. Seeing how the US markets have reacted to their GDP report (strong green) - the only thing that could put them in RED would be some pointers by FED saying “...no rate cuts in 2024”
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
20th Dec ’23 - 500pts Nifty Reversal Day - Stance is Bearish NowNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “After surging past the 20875 levels — N50 is not willing to take the rest. We broke out from the ascending channel, now it has formed a trend line well above that — how do I explain this craziness to someone? For tomorrow the bullish stance continues and the first support level will be 21407.” 4mts chart link - click here The craziness needed no explanation as the excess got shaved off today. Nifty hit a new ATH @ 21593 and then fell a whopping 506pts ~ 2.34% to close at 21101.5. TradingView minds section was not functioning today, and I felt really helpless to inform you when we reversed the stance. Nifty took out the 21407 only by afternoon, but instead of going neutral - I went bearish directly. The reason was - Nifty made a climb of 146 points first and when it fell to 21400 - the fall ended up approx 193pts ~ 0.9%. That did not look like a neutral price action to me and thankfully Nifty fell another 300pts to cement that idea. 63mts chart link - click here The price action on the 63mts TF does not look bearish per se. But notice the weight of the RED candles - we retraced right up to the ascending channel top envelope. The reason for a change in stance to bearish is just because of momentum. I will explain a bit more in the BankNifty Postmortem below.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
1
18th Dec ’23 - Our market takes a pause - Nifty50 PostMortemNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “My stance continues to be bullish with the first support level revised to 21341. All we can do now is trail the stop loss and let the winners run. 4mts chart link - click here Nifty was absolutely trading in a narrow range with minor dips. More action was visible on BankNifty today which nudged me to go for a status change (will discuss this shortly). Nifty opened gap-down - the excess euphoria of Friday got shaved off and then it recovered from the LOD. Interestingly the low of the day was in the opening minutes and we never tested it. Technically 21341 was not tested and no status change is warranted. 63mts chart link - click here There was nothing special in today’s action. Nifty defended its lower side quite neatly. NiftyIT was toggling between red and green. BankNifty was in RED. Nifty Pharma was quite energetic today, but the major point gainers for Nifty were RELIANCE and Bajaj Finance. I do not wish to change Nifty’s stance - I still prefer to look for long-only trades. However, 21341 would be the laxman rekha for me tomorrow also. If we get a closing below that - I would love to go neutral. To go bearish - we need to break below the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram