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Ascending Triangle

NETWEB: AI Infrastructure Goldmine ? Chart of the MonthNSE:NETWEB MarchingTowards 4,000: Is This the AI Infrastructure Goldmine You've Been Waiting For? Let's analyze in the "Chart of the Month". As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: - Current Price: ₹3,695.40 - 52-Week Range: ₹738.60 - ₹3,745.00 - Recent Performance: +64% gain in a Month with strong momentum - Price structure shows consistently higher highs and higher lows pattern - Stock has demonstrated remarkable resilience with a 380% rally from its 52-week low Volume Spread Analysis: - Volume surge visible during recent breakout phases - High volume of 24.25M shares traded, indicating institutional participation - Volume expansion coinciding with price breakouts confirms genuine buying interest - Strong volume accumulation during consolidation phases suggests smart money positioning Chart Patterns Identified: - Symmetrical Triangle Breakout: Successfully broken above the triangle pattern - Ascending Triangle: Multiple resistance tests followed by decisive breakout - Flag and Pennant Patterns: Short-term consolidation after sharp moves Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹3,200 (recent consolidation zone) - Strong Support: ₹2,800 (previous resistance turned support) - Major Support: ₹2,400 (trendline support and psychological level) - Critical Support: ₹2,000 (long-term ascending trendline) Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹3,745 (52-week high) - Next Resistance: ₹4,000 (psychological round number) - Extended Resistance: ₹4,400 (measured move projection) - Long-term Resistance: ₹5,000 Base Formation: - Primary Base: ₹1,200-₹1,600 range (established during deep consolidation) - Secondary Base: ₹2,400-₹2,800 range (recent re-accumulation zone) - The stock has clearly established a strong foundation above the ₹2,400 levels Technical Indicators Assessment: Momentum Indicators: - RSI is in overbought territory but showing positive divergence - MACD showing bullish crossover with expanding histogram - Stochastic indicates strong upward momentum - ADX suggesting strong trending behaviour Moving Averages: - Price trading well above all major moving averages - 20 EMA, 50 EMA, and 200 EMA in perfect bullish alignment - Strong uptrend confirmed by ascending moving averages - No signs of trend reversal in the near term Sectoral and Fundamental Backdrop: AI Infrastructure Sector Outlook: - India's IndiaAI Mission with ₹10,372 crore budget creating massive opportunities - Government's push for sovereign AI infrastructure benefiting domestic players - Global demand for AI computing infrastructure is experiencing exponential growth - Limited domestic competition in the high-end computing solutions space Company-Specific Fundamentals: - Netweb's supercomputers have appeared 15 times across three entries in the global Top 500 supercomputers ranking - The company is almost debt-free with a market cap of ₹20,936 crore - Recent order wins worth ₹1,734 crore for IndiaAI Mission and ₹450 crore additional order - Order pipeline of ₹4,142.1 crore as of June 2025, excluding new mandates Key Growth Catalysts: - Delivery of servers built on NVIDIA's Blackwell Architecture for India's Sovereign AI System - Expanding presence in high-performance computing and AI systems - Strong relationships with global technology partners - Beneficiary of the government's Digital India and AI initiatives Financial Performance Metrics: - Strong revenue visibility from a large order book - Improving profit margins due to premium product offerings - Healthy cash flows supporting future expansion - Zero debt structure providing financial flexibility Strategic Outlook: - Expect continued momentum driven by the AI infrastructure theme - News-driven volatility possible around order execution updates - Sector rotation into a technology infrastructure play is expected - Quarterly results will be the key catalyst for sustained momentum - India's AI infrastructure buildout is a multi-year opportunity - The company is well-positioned to capture significant market share Risk Factors to Monitor: Technical Risks: - Overbought conditions may lead to profit-taking - High volatility expected given the stock's momentum - Any break below ₹3,000 would signal trend weakness Fundamental Risks: - Execution risk on large government orders - Competition from global players in AI infrastructure - Technology disruption risks in a rapidly evolving sector - Dependence on government spending cycles Market Risks: - Overall market correction could impact high-beta stocks - Sector rotation away from technology themes - Global supply chain disruptions affecting component availability My 2 Cents: NSE:NETWEB presents a compelling technical setup with strong fundamental support from India's push for AI infrastructure. The stock's breakout from multiple chart patterns, combined with substantial order wins and sector tailwinds, creates an attractive risk-reward proposition. However, position sizing and disciplined risk management remain crucial given the stock's high volatility and premium valuation. Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:NETWEBLong
by Karanshah137
3
Gold Daily Chart – Ascending Triangle Breakout!Gold has formed a strong ascending triangle pattern on the daily timeframe. The price has successfully broken above the resistance zone, confirming bullish momentum. Such patterns generally indicate continuation of the uptrend, especially when supported by volume and strong price action. Chart Observation: As long as price holds above 3,450, the bullish setup remains valid. A retest of the breakout zone can provide the best risk-to-reward entry opportunity. Traders should keep an eye on volume confirmation while entering trades. Note: If levels sustain and setup remains intact, I will share live trade updates in real time. Stay tuned. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before taking trades.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal
Muthoot Fin. bounce from Polarity LevelsNSE:MUTHOOTFIN made a good bounce from Polarity Levels with a huge candle again with high Volumes and closing above 50 DEMA, taking Support of 200 DEMA. On the back news of the finance ministry seeking relaxation in the new rules on gold loans proposed by the central bank, they proposed that small ticket borrowers below 200,000 rupees should be excluded from the tighter rules to ensure speedy disbursements. Price Action & Volume Analysis: The stock has been consolidating in a well-defined range between ₹2,060-2,070 (support zone) and ₹2,400-2,435 (resistance zone) since April 2025. Today's strong move with above-average volume of 1.16M shares (compared to the 20-day average) suggests institutional participation and potential breakout momentum. The price action shows a classic "coiling" pattern within the broader range, with decreasing volatility over the past few weeks, often a precursor to significant directional moves. Key Technical Levels: Support Zones: - Immediate Support: ₹2,169-2,180 (50 EMA confluence) - Strong Support: ₹2,060-2,070 (tested multiple times since April) - Critical Support: ₹1,950-1,980 (October 2024 breakout level) Resistance Zones: - Immediate Resistance: ₹2,300-2,320 - Major Resistance: ₹2,400-2,435 (multiple rejections) - Extension Target: ₹2,500-2,550 Base Formation & Pattern Recognition: The stock has formed a robust Ascending Triangle pattern since the October 2024 lows. The horizontal resistance at ₹2,400-2,435, combined with rising support levels, creates a bullish continuation pattern. The triangle's apex is approaching, suggesting an imminent breakout. Additionally, there's a clear Flag and Pole formation visible from the March-April rally, with the current consolidation representing the flag portion. Moving Average Analysis: - 50 EMA (Orange): Currently at ₹2,169, acting as dynamic support - 200 EMA (Red): Located around ₹2,000, providing long-term trend support - The stock is trading above both key EMAs, confirming the bullish trend structure Trade Setup & Strategy: Bullish Breakout Play: Entry Strategy: - Primary Entry: ₹2,320-2,330 (on volume breakout above resistance) - Alternative Entry: ₹2,280-2,290 (pullback entry if direct breakout fails) Target Levels: - Target 1: ₹2,500 (measured move from triangle base) - Target 2: ₹2,650 (extension target) - Target 3: ₹2,800 (psychological resistance) Risk Management: - Stop Loss: ₹2,150 (below 50 EMA and swing low) - Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 Position Sizing: Risk should only be 1-2% of portfolio capital, given the stop loss distance. Volume Confirmation: Today's volume spike to 1.16M shares is encouraging, representing nearly 25% above the average. This volume expansion, coinciding with price advancement, suggests institutional accumulation. Watch for sustained volume above 1M shares for breakout confirmation. Sectoral & Fundamental Backdrop: NBFC Sector Dynamics: The Non-Banking Financial Company (NBFC) sector has been gaining traction due to: - Improving the credit growth environment - RBI's supportive regulatory stance - Rising rural credit demand - Digital transformation initiatives Muthoot Finance Fundamentals: - Dominant player in gold financing with 5,000+ branches - Strong asset quality with minimal NPAs - Consistent dividend payout history - Beneficiary of rising gold prices and rural credit demand - Digital initiatives expanding customer base Macro Tailwinds: - Monsoon predictions favouring the rural economy - Wedding season demand for gold loans - Formalization of the gold loan market - Potential interest rate stabilization Risk Factors: Technical Risks: - Failure to sustain above ₹2,300 could lead to range continuation - Broader market correction could impact individual stock performance - Sector rotation away from financials Fundamental Risks: - Gold price volatility affecting loan demand - Regulatory changes in the NBFC space - Competition from banks in the gold loan segment My Take: NSE:MUTHOOTFIN presents an attractive risk-reward setup with its ascending triangle breakout potential. The combination of strong fundamentals, sector tailwinds, and technical setup creates a compelling investment thesis. However, strict adherence to stop losses and position sizing remains crucial given the inherent market volatility. The stock appears poised for a significant move, with the technical pattern suggesting a higher probability of an upside breakout. Traders should wait for volume confirmation above ₹2,320 levels before initiating positions. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:MUTHOOTFINLong
by Karanshah137
10
JSW ENERGY - SwingJSW Energy is transitioning aggressively toward renewables, with investments in solar, wind, energy storage, and green hydrogen. P/E ratio stands at 46.36, indicating a premium valuation compared to the sector average of 32. While growth is underwhelming, the company maintains good asset quality. Debt levels are manageable, and promoter holding remains strong. The stock recently showed consolidation between 510 - 530, with support near ₹500 and strong resistance around 540. Technical indicators suggest a bullish bias, with MACD showing early signs of upward momentum. Traders may consider swing opportunities if the stock breaks above ₹542 with volume confirmation.
NSE:JSWENERGYLong
by CannySunny
INTERARCH : Swing Pick (1-3 Months)#INTERARCH #vcppattern #chartpattern #ascendingtrianglepattern #breakoutstock #patterntrading #Swingtrading INTERARCH : This will test Patience >> VCP formation in process >> Ascending Triangle forming >> Breakout candidate >> Good Strength & Volumes Dried up >> Trending Stock in consolidation Swing Traders can lock profits at 10% & Keep Trailing Pls Comment , Boost and Follow for more such Analysis Disc : Charts shared are for Learning Purpose and not a Trade recommendation, Consult your Financial advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking position in it.
NSE:INTERARCHLong
by moneyfesttrading
2
Swing Trade Idea: Vardhman Special Steels Ltd (NSE: VSSL)Technical Setup Ascending Triangle Breakout on Daily Timeframe Volume Spike 4x average volume on breakout day — strong institutional confirmation. both the EMAs Bullish crossover (Price trading above both the EMAs). RSI showing bullish momentum (60-65). Price Action Strategy Price broke out from resistance zone with strong bullish candle and closed near the high. Previous resistance of ₹270 now acts as support. Fundamentals Promoter Holding: High, backed by Aichi Steel (Toyota Group). Debt/Equity: Low (~0.12) → Strong solvency. Strong financials: ROE / ROCE ~12.4% / ~17.8% Revenue Growth: Consistent YoY Valuation: Reasonable P/E (~18–20x) My View: Entered at breakout with strong confirmation. Trail SL and book profits step-by-step. Holding for higher targets as long as price respects 9 EMA.
NSE:VSSLLong
by Airborn_trader
7
Solana Long-Term Cup & Handle | +300% Potential🔍 #OnRadar | #Crypto #SOLUSD (#Solana) Solana Long-Term Cup & Handle | +300% Potential CMP: $174 Support Zone: $123.00 – $100.00 Pattern Invalidation Level: $95 (MCB - Monthly Closing Basis) 📊 Technical Overview: Solana (SOLUSD) is showing signs of a long-term Cup & Handle pattern forming on the higher timeframes. ☕️ Cup formation appears complete. 📐 Handle is likely developing within an Ascending Triangle . 🔄 Neckline Resistance: ~$305 🎯 Potential Target on Breakout: ~$560 🚀 Upside Potential: Approx. +300% from CMP While it's early to confirm a breakout, this structure is worth keeping on the radar for long-term trend traders and pattern watchers. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis observation shared for educational purposes only. Not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research ( #DYOR ) and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. #Crypto | #Solana | #SOL | #TechnicalAnalysis | #ChartPatterns | #CupAndHandle | #AscendingTriangle | #LongTermView
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by Stocks_Mario
RRKABEL: Cup & Handle Pattern Could Trigger 30% Upside RallyNSE:RRKABEL Perfect Storm: How Cup & Handle Pattern Could Trigger 30% Upside Rally Price Action Analysis: Candlestick Patterns: - Doji Formation: Multiple doji candles during handle formation indicate indecision and potential reversal - Bullish Engulfing: Strong bullish engulfing pattern on breakout day, showing buying pressure - Higher Highs/Lows: Clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows post-breakout - Rejection Candles: Long lower wicks during handle formation show buying support Price Structure: - Swing: Clear swing low at ₹853 (March 2025) and swing high at ₹1,850 (previous year) - Impulse Waves: Strong impulsive moves during the breakout phase indicate institutional participation - Corrective Waves: Orderly corrective structure during cup and handle formation - Price Momentum: Accelerating price momentum post-breakout with minimal pullbacks Market Structure: - Trend: Transition from downtrend to sideways consolidation to uptrend - Support Respect: Multiple tests of support levels without breakdown showing strength - Resistance Breaks: Clean break above multiple resistance levels with conviction - Price Velocity: Increasing price velocity on breakout indicates strong momentum Intraday Price Action: - Opening Gaps: Positive opening gaps during the breakout phase show overnight interest - Closing Strength: Consistent closing in the upper portion of the daily range - Pullback Behaviour: Shallow pullbacks with quick recoveries indicate a strong underlying bid - Volume-Price Sync: Price advances accompanied by volume expansion Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Patterns: - Base Formation: Declining volume during cup formation indicates a lack of selling pressure - Handle Volume: Minimal volume during handle formation, showing controlled supply - Breakout Volume: Significant volume spike on breakout confirming institutional participation - Volume Trend: Above-average volume sustaining post-breakout Volume Indicators: - Accumulation Phase: Volume patterns suggest institutional accumulation during the base - Breakout Confirmation: 2-3x average volume on breakout day - Follow-through: Consistent volume support in subsequent sessions - Volume Price Analysis: Positive volume-price correlation during upward movement Technical Patterns: Primary Pattern: Cup & Handle Formation - Cup Formation: The stock formed a classical cup pattern from Jan 2025 to March 2025, with the left rim at approximately ₹1,420 levels - Handle Formation: A clean handle pattern developed from May to July 2025, showing controlled consolidation with diminishing volume - Breakout Confirmation: Strong breakout above ₹1,420 resistance with increased volume, signalling pattern completion - Pattern Reliability: The 6-month cup formation provides a strong technical foundation for sustained upward momentum Secondary Pattern: Ascending Triangle - Formation Period: June to July 2025 within the handle structure - Resistance Level: Horizontal resistance at ₹1,420 tested multiple times - Support Trend: Rising support line indicating accumulation phase - Breakout: Clean breakout above triangle resistance with volume expansion Support & Resistance Levels: Key Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹1,350 (breakout pullback level) - Secondary Support: ₹1,280 (handle low) - Major Support: ₹1,200 (psychological level and previous resistance) - Critical Support: ₹1,080 (cup base level) Key Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹1,500 (psychological level) - Target Resistance: ₹1,650 (cup depth projection) - Extended Target: ₹1,800 (previous swing high) - Long-term Resistance: ₹1,850 (52-week high) Base Analysis: Base Characteristics: - Base Type: Cup with handle base formation - Duration: 7 months (Jan 2025 to July 2025) - Depth: Approximately 35% correction from highs - Volume Pattern: Declining volume during base formation, expanding on breakout - Base Quality: High-quality base with proper structure and time frame Base Strength Indicators: - Volatility Contraction: Price volatility decreased during handle formation - Volume Dry-up: Minimal selling pressure during consolidation - Support Holding: Multiple tests of support levels without breakdown - Institutional Activity: Likely accumulation phase based on volume patterns Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Primary Entry: ₹1,420-1,430 (on breakout confirmation) - Secondary Entry: ₹1,380-1,400 (on pullback to breakout level) - Aggressive Entry: ₹1,350-1,360 (deeper pullback support) Entry Confirmation Signals: - Volume Expansion: Minimum 1.5x average volume on entry - Price Action: Close above ₹1,420 for two consecutive sessions - Momentum: RSI above 50 and trending upward - Moving Averages: Price above 20 and 50-day moving averages Exit Levels: Profit Targets: - Target 1: ₹1,500 (5.5% upside) - Psychological resistance - Target 2: ₹1,650 (16% upside) - Cup depth projection - Target 3: ₹1,800 (27% upside) - Previous swing high - Extended Target: ₹1,850 (30% upside) - 52-week high Exit Strategy: - Partial Profit: Book 25% at Target 1 - Scale Out: 50% at Target 2 - Trailing Stop: Implement 8-10% trailing stop after Target 2 - Final Exit: Complete exit at Target 3 or on stop-loss trigger Stop-Loss Strategy: Stop-Loss Levels: - Conservative: ₹1,320 (7% below entry) - Moderate: ₹1,280 (10% below entry) - Aggressive: ₹1,250 (12% below entry) Stop-Loss Management: - Initial Stop: Below handle low at ₹1,280 - Trailing Stop: Move to breakeven after 5% profit - Progressive Stops: Raise stops with each target achievement - Time Stop: Exit if no progress within 4-6 weeks Position Sizing: Risk-Based Sizing: - Conservative Approach: 1-2% of portfolio risk - Moderate Approach: 2-3% of portfolio risk - Aggressive Approach: 3-5% of portfolio risk Position Calculation: - Risk Per Share: Entry price minus stop-loss level - Position Size: (Portfolio Risk Amount) / (Risk Per Share) - Example: For ₹1,400 entry with ₹1,280 stop, risk = ₹120 per share - Capital Allocation: Maximum 5-8% of total portfolio in a single position Risk Management: Risk Control Measures: - Position Sizing: Limit individual position to 5% of portfolio - Stop-Loss Discipline: Strict adherence to predetermined stop levels - Diversification: Maintain exposure across multiple sectors - Correlation Risk: Avoid concentration in similar cable stocks Risk Monitoring: - Daily Monitoring: Track volume, price action, and sector performance - Weekly Review: Assess progress toward targets and adjust stops - News Monitoring: Stay updated on company and sector developments - Market Correlation: Monitor broader market conditions Sectoral Backdrop: Indian Cable Industry Outlook: - Market Growth: The market is projected to grow from USD 10.01 billion in 2025 to USD 17.08 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.94% during the forecast period - Infrastructure Push: India's National Grid capacity is expanding continuously under the PM Gati Shakti National Master Plan, which is expected to add around 26,988 circuit km capacity by 2024-2025 - Renewable Energy: India has observed a substantial rise in the demand for wires and cables due to the country's ambitious renewable energy goals Growth Drivers: - Smart Cities: The development of smart cities in the country, along with the increase in electronic devices in the household, would increase the demand - Government Investment: India Wires and Cables Market would grow on the back of rapidly growing investment by the government towards the development of infrastructural projects - Electrification: Growing electricity demand is driving transmission and distribution network expansion Fundamental Backdrop: Company Profile: - Market Position: RR Kabel is now the 4th largest W&C Company in India by value. - Global Presence: With a global presence spanning over 67 countries, this electrical company has established a strong international footprint - Financial Performance: Revenue: 7,618 Cr · Profit: 312 Cr Financial Metrics: - Market Cap: Mkt Cap: 16,529 Crore (down -17.5% in 1 year) - Valuation: Stock is trading at 7.68 times its book value - Promoter Holding: Promoter Holding: 61.8% - 52-Week Range: The 52-week high is ₹1825 and the 52-week low is ₹750 Investment Considerations: - Sector Tailwinds: Strong sectoral growth prospects with government infrastructure push - Market Leadership: Established position as the 4th largest cable company in India - International Exposure: Diversified revenue streams from 67 countries - Valuation Concerns: Recent 22.8% decline in market cap may indicate value opportunity My Take: The technical setup for NSE:RRKABEL presents a compelling opportunity with the successful completion of a cup and handle pattern. The 8-month base formation, combined with strong sectoral tailwinds and the company's market leadership position, creates a favourable risk-reward scenario. The breakout above ₹1,420 with volume confirmation suggests institutional participation and potential for sustained upward momentum toward the ₹1,650-1,800 target range. Key success factors include strict adherence to stop-loss levels, proper position sizing, and monitoring of broader market conditions. The sectoral growth prospects, driven by infrastructure development and renewable energy initiatives, provide fundamental support for the technical breakout. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:RRKABELLong
by Karanshah137
27
KIRLPNU: Technical Breakout Attempt That Could Deliver 25% ReturNSE:KIRLPNU : A Technical Breakout Attempt That Could Deliver 25% Returns Price Action Analysis: - Current Price: Rs 1,511.20 - Day's High: Rs 1,817.00 - Day's Low: Rs 953.00 - Volume: 152.69K shares Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile: - Significant volume spike during recent breakout attempt - Volume during consolidation was relatively lower - Current volume suggests institutional buying - Volume trend supports price movement authenticity Volume Indicators: - Volume surge above 20-day average confirms breakout attempt - Price-volume divergence absent, indicating a healthy move - The accumulation phase is visible in the volume profile during base formation Key Technical Observations: - The stock has shown a strong upward momentum with a significant gap-up movement - Price has moved from the consolidation zone around Rs 1,350-1,400 to the current levels - Strong volume surge indicating institutional participation - Daily candlestick pattern shows bullish momentum with long green candles Technical Levels & Pattern Analysis: Support Levels: - Immediate Support: Rs 1,350-1,380 (previous resistance turned support) - Strong Support: Rs 1,250-1,300 (multiple touch points) - Major Support: Rs 1,100-1,150 (significant accumulation zone) Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: Rs 1,550-1,580 (red horizontal line marked on chart) - Next Resistance: Rs 1,650-1,700 (psychological level) - Major Resistance: Rs 1,800-1,850 (day's high region) Base Formation: - Multi-month base formation visible from December 2024 to June 2025 - Consolidation range: Rs 1,100 to Rs 1,400 - Base breakout occurred around Rs 1,380-1,400 levels - Volume expansion during breakout confirms strength Technical Patterns: - Cup and Handle pattern completion with breakout attempt - Ascending triangle formation during the consolidation phase - Bullish flag pattern on shorter timeframes - Higher highs and higher lows trend intact Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Primary Entry: Rs 1,480-1,520 (current market price on dips) - Secondary Entry: Rs 1,350-1,380 (on pullback to support) - Aggressive Entry: Rs 1,540-1,560 (breakout continuation) Target Levels: - Target 1: Rs 1,650-1,700 (8-12% upside) - Target 2: Rs 1,800-1,850 (18-22% upside) - Target 3: Rs 1,950-2,000 (25-30% upside) Stop Loss Levels: - Conservative Stop Loss: Rs 1,320 (below major support) - Aggressive Stop Loss: Rs 1,420 (below immediate support) - Trailing Stop Loss: Rs 1,480 (after first target achievement) Risk Management: Position Sizing: - Conservative traders: 2-3% of portfolio - Moderate traders: 4-5% of portfolio - Aggressive traders: 6-8% of portfolio - Risk per trade should not exceed 1-2% of total capital Risk Assessment: - Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 to 1:3 (favorable) - Maximum drawdown potential: 12-15% - Probability of success: 65-70% based on technical setup Money Management Rules: - Never risk more than 2% of capital per trade - Use position sizing based on stop loss distance - Maintain diversification across sectors - Book partial profits at predetermined levels Sectoral Backdrop: Industry Overview: - NSE:KIRLPNU is engaged in the manufacturing and service of engineering goods, operating through the Compression Systems Segment, comprising air and gas compressors, air-conditioning and refrigeration - Industrial air compressor market to grow at 8.2% CAGR (2023-2033) with market share to reach US$6.86 Billion by 2033 Market Dynamics: - India Air Compressor Market is forecast to reach $995 million by 2030, after growing at a CAGR of 5.2% during 2024-2030 - Manufacturing is expected to contribute 39.1% share of the market in 2025, as the industry relies heavily on compressed air for pneumatic tools Growth Drivers: - Increasing industrialization and infrastructure development - Rising demand from the manufacturing and automotive sectors - Energy-efficient compressor adoption - Government initiatives supporting industrial growth Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Performance: - Market Cap: 9,797 Crore with Revenue of 1,629 Cr and Profit of 211 Cr - Revenue: ₹583Cr as on March 2025 (Q4 FY25) with Net Profit: ₹81Cr - Annual revenue growth of 23% is outstanding, Pre-tax margin of 17% is great, ROE of 21.1% is exceptional, ROCE of 28.3% is also exceptional Key Metrics: - The stock is trading at 8.95 times its book value - The company is debt-free and has a strong balance sheet, enabling stable earnings growth - Promoter holding has decreased over the last 3 years: -14.8% with current Promoter Holding: 38.85% Analyst Outlook: - Recent research reports show an average share price target of 1784 - Strong financial metrics support technical breakout - Debt-free status provides financial flexibility - Consistent profitability across business cycles Investment Thesis Summary: Bullish Factors: - Strong technical breakout attempt with volume confirmation - Robust financial performance with 23.14% revenue growth - Favourable industry growth prospects - Debt-free balance sheet providing stability Risk Factors: - General market volatility - Sector-specific cyclical risks - Global economic uncertainties - Promoter holding reduction trend My Take: NSE:KIRLPNU presents a compelling technical setup with strong fundamental backing. The recent breakout attempt from multi-month consolidation, supported by volume surge and positive sector outlook, creates an attractive risk-reward opportunity for medium-term investors. The company's strong financial metrics and debt-free status add confidence to the technical setup. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:KIRLPNULong
by Karanshah137
14
KIRLOSENG: Post-Results Breakout and Consolidation. F&P PatternNSE:KIRLOSENG : How This Hidden Gem Could Be Your Next Big Winner After Post-Results Breakout and Consolidation Let's Analyze in my "Chart of the Week" Price Action: - The stock shows a classic recovery pattern from March 2025 lows around ₹590-600 - Current price at ₹914.85 represents a significant 52% recovery from the March bottom - The stock has been forming higher lows since March, indicating underlying strength - Recent breakout above the ₹850 resistance level with strong volume confirmation Volume Spread Analysis: - Volume spike during the recent breakout suggests institutional participation - The post-results reaction shows a healthy volume of 724.08K against a 20-day average of 5.73M - Volume patterns indicate an accumulation phase during the consolidation period from April to June Base Formation: - Primary base established between ₹590-650 (March 2025 lows) - Secondary base formed around the ₹750-800 level during April-May consolidation - Current base being built around ₹880-920 after the recent breakout Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support Levels: - Immediate support: ₹880-890 (recent breakout level) - Strong support: ₹830-850 (previous resistance turned support) - Major support: ₹780-800 (secondary base level) - Ultimate support: ₹590-650 (primary base) Resistance Levels: - Immediate resistance: ₹950-970 - Major resistance: ₹1,000-1,020 (psychological level) - Long-term resistance: ₹1,100-1,150 (previous highs from late 2024) - Ultimate target: ₹1,400+ (all-time high region) Technical Patterns: Flag and Pole Pattern: - The chart clearly shows a flag and pole formation - The flag represents the consolidation phase from May to June 2025 - Recent breakout confirms the pattern completion with an upward trajectory Ascending Triangle: - The stock has formed an ascending triangle pattern with higher lows and consistent resistance around ₹850 - The breakout above this level validates the bullish continuation pattern Post-Results Reaction: - Kirloskar Oil Engines shares settled slightly, trading at Rs 803.75, representing a 9.36% increase, while the BSE Sensex was up by 0.25%. - The positive reaction to results indicates market confidence in the company's performance Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: - Primary entry: ₹900-920 (current levels on any dip) - Secondary entry: ₹880-890 (on pullback to support) - Aggressive entry: ₹930-950 (on breakout above current resistance) Entry Levels: - Conservative traders: Wait for pullback to ₹880-890 support - Moderate traders: Enter at current levels around ₹910-920 - Aggressive traders: Enter on a breakout above ₹950 Exit Strategy: Target Levels: - Target 1: ₹1,000 (8-10% upside) - Target 2: ₹1,100 (18-20% upside) - Target 3: ₹1,250 (35-40% upside) - Ultimate target: ₹1,400+ (50%+ upside) Exit Timing: - Book 30% profits at Target 1 - Book 40% profits at Target 2 - Hold the remaining 30% for the ultimate target with a trailing stop loss Risk Management: Stop-Loss Levels: - Conservative stop-loss: ₹850 (6-7% downside) - Moderate stop-loss: ₹830 (8-9% downside) - Aggressive stop-loss: ₹800 (11-12% downside) Position Sizing: - Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio - Position size calculation: Portfolio value × 2% ÷ (Entry price - Stop loss) - For ₹1,00,000 portfolio with entry at ₹910 and stop at ₹850: Position size = ₹2,000 ÷ ₹60 = 33 shares Sectoral Backdrop: Industrial Machinery Sector: - The industrial machinery sector has been showing resilience amid economic recovery - Infrastructure push by the government supports demand for engines and pumps - Agricultural mechanization trends favour companies like NSE:KIRLOSENG Market Position: - The company caters to the agriculture, ... Clients (Marine, Defence, etc), After Sales Support, Retail Channel – Tractor spares, Oil, Batteries. - Diversified revenue streams provide stability across economic cycles Fundamental Backdrop: Financial Performance: - Netprofit is up for the last 2 quarters, 68 Cr → 127 Cr (in ₹) - Revenue is up for the last 2 quarters, 1454 Cr → 1753 Cr (in ₹) - As of 31-Mar-2025, Kirloskar Oil Engines has a trailing 12-month revenue of 6349 Cr Market Valuation: - Its current market cap is 13,289 Cr with 14.5 Cr shares. - Stock is trading at 4.30 times its book value - Promoter holding has decreased over the last 3 years: -18.3% Growth Outlook: - The B2B business grew 5 per cent year on year, and the B2C business also witnessed a double-digit growth of 14 per cent year on year - Strong positioning in agriculture and industrial segments provides sustainable growth prospects - The final dividend of Rs 4 per equity Share indicates management confidence My Take: Investment Rationale: - Technical breakout supported by improving fundamentals - Diversified business model reduces concentration risk - Strong balance sheet with consistent profitability - Attractive valuation after the recent correction from highs The combination of technical breakout, improving fundamentals, and supportive sectoral trends makes NSE:KIRLOSENG an attractive investment opportunity for medium to long-term investors with appropriate risk management measures in place. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:KIRLOSENGLong
by Karanshah137
12
PCBL: The Sleeping Giant Ready to BreakOut of Its TriangleNSE:PCBL : The Sleeping Giant Ready to Break Out of Its Consolidation Triangle Price Action Analysis: • Stock has been trading in a well-defined ascending triangle pattern since early 2025 • Current price at ₹434.40 represents a +2.53% gain, showing bullish momentum • The pattern shows a higher low formation with resistance around ₹450-460 levels • Recent price action suggests an accumulation phase with controlled volatility Volume Spread Analysis: • Volume has been consistently above average during recent sessions (4.79M vs 1.71M average) • Volume spike visible in recent trading sessions, indicating increased institutional interest • The volume pattern supports the price consolidation with periodic accumulation phases • Higher volume during up-moves compared to down-moves suggests buying interest Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: • Primary Support: ₹420-425 (recent swing low) • Secondary Support: ₹390-395 (ascending trendline support) • Major Support: ₹360-370 (previous consolidation zone) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: ₹450-460 (triangle upper boundary) • Key Resistance: ₹480-490 (previous highs) • Major Resistance: ₹520-530 (psychological level) Base Formation: • The stock has formed a strong ascending triangle base over 6-7 months • Base depth of approximately 15-20% from highs to lows • Duration suggests a sustainable breakout when it occurs • Base shows characteristics of institutional accumulation Technical Patterns: • Primary Pattern: Ascending Triangle (Bullish) • Secondary Pattern: Flag formation on shorter timeframes • Volume-Price Relationship: Positive divergence during recent consolidation • Moving Average Setup: Price trading above all its key moving averages Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Breakout Entry: ₹465-470 (above triangle resistance with volume confirmation) • Pullback Entry: ₹440-445 (on any dip to support with volume) • Accumulation Entry: ₹420-430 (for longer-term investors) Exit Levels: • Target 1: ₹520-530 (measured move from triangle base) • Target 2: ₹580-590 (previous swing high zone) • Target 3: ₹650-680 (extension target based on base depth) Stop-Loss Levels: • For Breakout Trades: ₹445-450 (below breakout level) • For Accumulation Trades: ₹410-415 (below key support) • Trailing Stop: Use an 8-10% trailing stop after the first target Position Sizing: • Conservative Approach: 2-3% of portfolio • Moderate Approach: 3-5% of portfolio • Aggressive Approach: 5-7% of portfolio (only for experienced traders) Risk Management: • Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 for all trades • Maximum risk per trade: 2% of total capital • Use the position sizing calculator based on stop-loss distance • Avoid adding to losing positions • Book partial profits at each target level Sectoral Backdrop: Chemical Sector Overview: • Indian chemical sector showing strong fundamentals with export growth • The speciality chemicals segment is experiencing robust demand • The government's PLI scheme supports domestic chemical manufacturing • Global supply chain diversification benefiting Indian chemical companies Industry Trends: • Increasing demand for agrochemicals and pharmaceutical intermediates • Focus on sustainable and green chemistry practices • Rising input costs are being managed through pricing power • Strong export opportunities in speciality chemicals Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: • NSE:PCBL is a leading player in speciality chemicals and carbon black • Strong presence in the tire industry through carbon black manufacturing • Diversified product portfolio, reducing concentration risk • Established relationships with major tire manufacturers Financial Highlights: • Consistent revenue growth over the past few quarters • Improving margin profile due to operational efficiency • Strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels • Increasing return on equity and asset efficiency Growth Drivers: • Expanding tire industry in India and globally • New product launches in speciality chemicals • Capacity expansion plans for key products • Focus on high-margin speciality products Risk Factors: • Raw material price volatility • Environmental regulations compliance costs • Competition from global players • Cyclical nature of the tire industry My Take: NSE:PCBL presents a compelling technical setup with its ascending triangle pattern nearing completion. The combination of strong volume accumulation, supportive sectoral trends, and improving fundamentals creates a favourable risk-reward scenario. Traders should wait for a decisive breakout above the ₹465 levels, accompanied by volume confirmation, for optimal entry. Meanwhile, investors can consider gradual accumulation at current levels, exercising proper risk management. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:PCBLLong
by Karanshah137
8
Tirumalai: The Anatomy of a BreakoutOn the daily chart, TIRUMALCHM appears to be approaching a potential breakout from an ascending triangle pattern, a formation often associated with bullish continuation. Notably, the price has managed to close above all key EMAs, including the 200-day EMA, which is widely regarded as a long-term trend indicator. From a momentum perspective, both the RSI and MACD indicators are showing strength on the daily and weekly timeframes. These signals may suggest the early stages of a sustained upward trend, contingent on broader market conditions and follow-through price action. Given the current technical setup, the stock may be considered for gradual accumulation near the CMP. Alternatively, more conservative participants might prefer to wait for a potential retest of the breakout zone in the coming sessions, which could offer a more favourable risk-reward entry with a next long term resistance of ₹340 . A technical invalidation level could be considered below the ₹251 mark, depending on individual risk tolerance and trading strategy. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market participants are strongly encouraged to conduct their own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:TIRUMALCHMLong
by NiftyNotion
LTF Breaking Out of Consolidation and ascending triangleNSE:LTF : Breaking Out of Consolidation and ascending triangle with heavy volumes today - Is This the Next Big NBFC Move? Price Action Analysis: • Base Formation: Clear sideways movement between ₹160-172 levels • Breakout Confirmation: Recent breach above ₹172 resistance with volume expansion • Trendline Break: White descending trendline from December highs decisively broken • Market Structure: Shift from the consolidation phase to the potential trend resumption • Time Frame: A six-month base provides a strong foundation for sustained movement Volume Analysis: • Current Volume: 5.57M against 20-day average of 15.94M • Volume Pattern: Accumulation visible during the base formation period • Support Tests: Volume spikes coinciding with successful ₹160-164 support tests • Breakout Volume: Adequate but not exceptional - requires monitoring for follow-through • Distribution Signs: No significant selling pressure visible during consolidation Key Support & Resistance Levels: Support Levels: • Immediate Support: ₹172 (new floor post-breakout) • Secondary Support: ₹168 (previous resistance turned support) • Major Support: ₹160-164 (primary consolidation base) • Critical Support: ₹155 (breakdown level) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: ₹190-195 (measured move target) • Next Resistance: ₹205-210 (psychological and technical zone) • Long-term Target: ₹220-225 (extension target) Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Aggressive Entry: Current levels ₹183-184 for momentum traders • Conservative Entry: ₹175-177 on pullback to breakout zone • DCA Approach: Scale in between ₹175-185 levels Exit Strategy: • Target 1: ₹192 (measured move from rectangle pattern) • Target 2: ₹205-210 (next significant resistance) • Target 3: ₹220+ (extension target for long-term holders) Stop Loss: • Closing Basis: Below ₹170 • Intraday Basis: Below ₹168 • Risk Percentage: 7-8% from current levels Position Sizing & Risk Management: Position Sizing: • Conservative: 1% portfolio risk • Moderate: 1.5% portfolio risk • Aggressive: 2% portfolio risk (maximum recommended) Risk Management: • Stop Loss Discipline: Strict adherence to ₹170 closing stop • Position Scaling: Reduce position if breaks ₹175 intraday • Profit Booking: Book 30% at ₹192, 40% at ₹205 • Trailing Stop: Implement above ₹195 levels Sectoral Backdrop: NBFC Sector Positives: • Credit Growth: NBFC credit growth outpacing bank credit • Market Share: Gaining share in retail and SME segments • Asset Quality: Improving collection efficiency post-COVID • Regulatory Support: Favourable policy environment Sector Trends: • Digital Lending: Increased adoption of technology platforms • Rural Focus: Growing emphasis on semi-urban and rural markets • Partnership Models: Collaborations with fintech companies Fundamental Backdrop: Company Strengths: • Group Support: Strong L&T Group parentage and backing • Diversified Portfolio: Exposure across infrastructure and retail segments • Quality Borrowers: Access to L&T Group ecosystem clients • Management Quality: Experienced leadership team Recent Developments: • Asset Quality: Improving NPA ratios • Profitability: Better margins and ROE metrics • Growth Strategy: Focus on profitable growth segments Risk Factors: Technical Risks: • False Breakout: Possibility of returning to the consolidation range • Volume Confirmation: Need for sustained volume support • Market Correlation: High beta to financial sector performance Fundamental Risks: • Interest Rate Risk: Rising rates impacting lending margins • Credit Quality: Potential stress in the retail lending portfolio • Economic Slowdown: Impact on borrower repayment capacity • Regulatory Changes: Policy shifts affecting NBFC operations Market Risks: • Sector Rotation: Money moving away from financial stocks • Liquidity Concerns: Tightening of wholesale funding markets • Competition: Increased competition from banks and fintech My Take: The technical setup suggests accumulation phase completion with potential for a significant move higher. Follow the Strict Trade Plan as Explained Above. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:LTFLong
by Karanshah137
17
Venus Pipes Explodes 12% Breaking Out of 6-Month BaseNSE:VENUSPIPES Explodes 12%: Breaking Out of 6-Month Base Could Target ₹1,600 as it made a Beautiful Chart Structure Just Before Q4 FY25 Results. Price Action Analysis NSE:VENUSPIPES is experiencing a significant breakout moment, currently trading at ₹1,452.00 with an impressive 12.37% gain (₹159.80). The stock has decisively broken above a critical resistance zone around ₹1,400-1,420 after consolidating in a well-defined base for nearly six months. This breakout comes with strong momentum and represents a potential shift from accumulation to the markup phase. Volume Analysis: Volume is exceptionally strong at 626.33K shares compared to the average of 85.02K - nearly 7.5x times normal volume. This massive surge in participation validates the breakout and suggests institutional buying interest. The volume spike coinciding with the price breakout is a textbook confirmation signal that significantly increases the probability of continuation. Key Support & Resistance Levels: - Newly Broken Resistance: ₹1,400-1,420 zone (now potential support) - Next Major Resistance: ₹1,500-1,520 (psychological level and previous resistance) - Ultimate Target Resistance: ₹1,900-1,950 (red horizontal line - major resistance from earlier highs) - Strong Base Support: ₹1,100-1,150 zone (multiple green arrows showing successful tests) - Immediate Support: ₹1,380-1,400 (previous resistance becomes support) Technical Patterns: 1. Rectangle Breakout: Clean break above the 6-month consolidation range (₹1,100-1,420) 2. Multiple Bottom Formation: Several tests of the ₹1,100-1,150 support zone (marked with green arrows) 3. Ascending Triangle: Recent price action shows higher lows approaching the ₹1,420 resistance 4. Volume Breakout Pattern: Classic high-volume breakout from a prolonged base Trade Setup - Breakout Continuation Primary Entry Strategy: - Entry Point: ₹1,440-1,460 (current levels or minor pullback) - Aggressive Entry: ₹1,420-1,430 (on any retest of breakout level) Target Levels: - First Target: ₹1,520-1,540 (psychological resistance and measured move) - Second Target: ₹1,650-1,680 (extension target based on base width) - Ultimate Target: ₹1,800-1,850 (major resistance zone approach) Risk Management: - Stop Loss: ₹1,350 (below the breakout zone and recent support) - Tight Stop: ₹1,390 for short-term traders - Position Size: Maximum 2-3% of portfolio at risk Alternative Setup - Conservative Approach For risk-averse traders: - Entry: ₹1,480-1,500 (after clearing first resistance convincingly) - Stop Loss: ₹1,420 (below confirmed breakout level) - Targets: ₹1,600, ₹1,750 Pattern Analysis: The stock has formed a solid 6-month base between ₹1,100-1,420, allowing for significant accumulation. The multiple tests of support around ₹1,100-1,150 (green arrows) demonstrate strong buying interest at lower levels. The recent ascending triangle formation within the larger rectangle pattern suggests building momentum that has now been released. Risk-Reward Assessment: - Primary Setup R:R: 1:2.8 (Entry ₹1,450, Stop ₹1,350, Target ₹1,730) - Breakout Target: Rectangle pattern suggests potential for 25-30% move - Failure Risk: Breakdown below ₹1,380 would invalidate the bullish setup Key Technical Factors: The convergence of multiple bullish signals - rectangle breakout, volume confirmation, successful base building, and momentum surge - creates a high-probability setup. The stock has spent considerable time building this base, and the breakout with such strong volume suggests genuine institutional participation rather than retail speculation. Trading Strategy: Traders should look for any minor pullbacks to the ₹1,420-1,440 zone as ideal entry opportunities. The key is to ensure the breakout level holds as support. A sustained move above ₹1,500 would confirm the pattern and likely attract momentum buying, potentially accelerating the move toward the ₹1,650-1,700 zone. Monitor for any evening star or shooting star patterns at resistance levels, which could signal temporary exhaustion and provide profit-taking opportunities. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:VENUSPIPESLong
by Karanshah137
15
Aptus Rising Channel Pattern with Prior Triple Bottom PatternNSE:APTUS : Rising Channel Pattern with Prior Triple Bottom Pattern Signals Major Reversal - Could This Be the Next Multi-Bagger? Pattern Recognition & Base Formation: NSE:APTUS presents a compelling technical setup with a Triple Bottom reversal pattern formed at the ₹267-275 support zone. This pattern, completed over several months from late 2024 to early 2025, represents one of the most reliable bullish reversal formations in technical analysis. The stock has also carved out a distinct ascending triangle pattern with the upper trendline acting as dynamic resistance around ₹340-350 levels. The recent breakout above this consolidation zone, accompanied by increased volume participation, signals a potential trend change from the prolonged correction phase. Key Technical Levels Analysis: Critical Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹330-335 (recent breakout consolidation) - Major Support: ₹290-295 (triple bottom neckline and 50% retracement) - Ultimate Support: ₹267-275 (triple bottom base - absolute floor) Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹359 (marked horizontal resistance zone) - Next Target: ₹380-385 (psychological resistance before ATH) - Ultimate Target: ₹401.65 (all-time high retest) - Extension Target: ₹420-430 (measured move from triple bottom pattern) Volume Profile Assessment: The volume pattern shows significant improvement during the recent bounce from the triple bottom lows. Today's volume at 900.31K represents a 44% increase from the 20-day average, indicating institutional interest returning to the stock. The volume during the formation of the triple bottom showed classic accumulation characteristics - high volume on declines (smart money buying) and lower volume on any bounces, until the recent breakout attempt. Technical Pattern Breakdown: Primary Pattern: Triple Bottom Reversal - Formation Period: December 2024 - February 2025 - Support Base: ₹267-275 - Neckline: ₹290-295 - Measured Target: ₹350+ (already achieved), next target ₹420-430 Secondary Pattern: Ascending Triangle - Formation Period: February 2025 - Present - Base: Rising support from ₹275 to ₹330 - Apex: ₹340-350 resistance zone - Breakout Status: In progress with volume confirmation pending Trade Setup Strategy: Setup Classification: Reversal Play with Pattern Confirmation Entry Approaches: - Aggressive Entry: ₹340-345 (current levels on any minor dip) - Conservative Entry: ₹330-335 (on pullback to breakout support) - Value Entry: ₹290-295 (if neckline retest occurs - lower probability) Position Management: - Initial Position: 1-1.5% portfolio allocation - Add-on Levels: ₹330-335 (if pullback materialises) Profit Booking Strategy: - Target 1: ₹365-370 (6-8% upside) - Book 25% position - Target 2: ₹385-390 (12-15% upside) - Book 40% position - Target 3: ₹410-420 (20-25% upside) - Book remaining 35% Risk Management: - Tight Stop: ₹325 (5-6% downside for aggressive traders) - Swing Stop: ₹310 (10% downside for position traders) - Pattern Stop: ₹285 (below neckline - invalidates bullish thesis) Sector & Fundamental Backdrop: Housing finance companies are experiencing renewed interest due to: - Improving real estate cycle momentum - Regulatory clarity on lending norms - Credit growth revival in retail segments - Government policy support for affordable housing Risk-Reward Assessment: Bullish Catalysts: - Triple bottom completion - highly reliable reversal signal - Volume expansion during the recent bounce - Sector tailwinds supporting fundamentals - Technical breakout from months of consolidation - Strong support base established at ₹270 levels Risk Factors: - Overall market volatility could impact momentum - NBFC sector sensitivity to interest rate changes - Need to sustain above ₹340 to confirm breakout - High beta nature amplifies market moves Bottom Line: NSE:APTUS offers an attractive risk-adjusted opportunity with the completion of a triple bottom reversal pattern. The stock appears to be in the early stages of a potential trend reversal after months of base building. The most prudent approach would be to initiate positions around current levels (₹340-345) with a tight stop below ₹325, targeting the ₹365-370 zone initially. Any pullback to the ₹330-335 support area would present an even better entry opportunity. The key technical milestone will be a decisive break and hold above ₹350, which would likely trigger the next leg of the move toward the ₹380-400 zone. Until then, trade with defined risk parameters and respect the established support levels. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:APTUSLong
by Karanshah137
4
INDUSINDBK-Intraday/short term positional After the big fall, stock is consolidating from last month. It has formed Ascending tringle pattern. From past 2 days i.e. 8th and 9th April 2025. It is trading in range. which states that buyers are accumulating. It has potential to move if it opens between 692-700. It may go sideways for one more day it is a good opportunity for Long Intraday/short term positional trade. If it opens 666, avoid. Any confusion, feel free to drop msg. Happy to help :) This is only for educational purpose, please manage your risk accordingly.
NSE:INDUSINDBKLong
by Rushikesh_09
7
The Ascending Triangle Pattern: A Bullish Continuation GuideHello Traders! In today's post, we’ll explore the Ascending Triangle Pattern , one of the most reliable bullish continuation patterns that traders look for during uptrends . It’s an important tool for identifying potential breakout points in trending markets. If you want to learn how to trade these breakouts effectively, mastering the Ascending Triangle is essential. Chart Pattern: The Ascending Triangle is a strong bullish continuation pattern. In the case of ASIAN PAINTS LTD , we see the price action forming a flat resistance at the top and a rising upward sloping support at the bottom, indicating that the bulls are gradually taking control of the stock. Key Points to Note: The stock is respecting the flat resistance , which has been tested multiple times (marked by the red circles). The upward sloping support is strengthening with each new low, showing growing buying pressure. The price has recently broken out above the resistance , confirming the breakout pattern. Trading Strategy: Entry Point : Once the price breaks the resistance level, consider entering at 1,172.45 . Stop Loss : Set your stop loss just below the upward sloping support at 1,151.25 to manage risk. Profit Target : The ideal target after the breakout is approximately 1,261.65 , which is calculated by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it upward from the breakout point. Real-World Application: This is a bullish setup , and traders should keep an eye on volume confirmation post-breakout. A breakout with increased volume would make the setup even stronger. A price move towards the target of 1,261.65 would indicate a successful breakout trade. Risk Management: Ensure that you follow your stop loss at 1,151.25 to avoid unnecessary losses in case the breakout fails. Position size properly to align with your risk tolerance and the potential reward. What This Means for Traders: Bullish Setup : The ascending triangle signals that the bulls have control, and we expect the stock to continue higher. Watch for confirmation of the breakout and enter with confidence, but always be prepared with your stop loss. Conclusion: This ascending triangle is a classic pattern, and it offers a great opportunity for long traders . Keep an eye on the breakout, manage your risk, and this trade could potentially yield solid returns.
NSE:ASIANPAINTEducation
by TraderRahulPal
11