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Ascendingtrianglebreakout

INTERARCH : Swing Pick (1-3 Months)#INTERARCH #vcppattern #chartpattern #ascendingtrianglepattern #breakoutstock #patterntrading #Swingtrading INTERARCH : This will test Patience >> VCP formation in process >> Ascending Triangle forming >> Breakout candidate >> Good Strength & Volumes Dried up >> Trending Stock in consolidation Swing Traders can lock profits at 10% & Keep Trailing Pls Comment , Boost and Follow for more such Analysis Disc : Charts shared are for Learning Purpose and not a Trade recommendation, Consult your Financial advisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking position in it.
NSE:INTERARCHLong
by moneyfesttrading
2
ELGIEQUIP: Breaks Out of its Ascending Triangle PatternNSE:ELGIEQUIP Breaks Out of its Ascending Triangle Pattern: This Industrial Giant Could Be Your Next Multi-Bagger as Manufacturing Boom Accelerates Price Action: - Current Price: ₹589.75 (as of chart date) - 52-Week High: ₹752.95 - 52-Week Low: ₹401.00 - Daily Change: +₹35.95 (+6.41%) - Market Cap: ₹18,703 Cr. Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile Assessment: - Breakout Volume: 6.8M shares (significantly above average) - Volume Trend: Increasing volume during breakout phase - Volume-Price Relationship: Positive correlation during an uptrend - Distribution vs Accumulation: Clear accumulation pattern visible Volume Indicators: - 20-day Average Volume: 1.24M shares - Breakout Volume Confirmation: Yes (above average volume) - Volume Concentration: Higher volumes at support levels indicate buying interest My Key Technical Observations: - Stock has successfully broken out from a major ascending triangle pattern - Strong volume confirmation on the breakout day - Price action showing momentum acceleration after months of consolidation - Clear trend reversal from the March 2025 lows Pattern Recognition and Structure Analysis: Primary Pattern: Ascending Triangle Breakout - Formation Period: Jan 2025 to July 2025 (7 months) - Resistance Level: ₹570-580 (horizontal resistance) - Support Trendline: Rising from ₹401 lows in March 2025 - Breakout Confirmation: Volume spike accompanying price breakout - Pattern Target: ₹680-700 (measuring the height of the triangle base) Secondary Patterns: - Double Bottom formation at ₹401 levels (March 2025) - Flag and pennant consolidations during the uptrend - Higher highs and higher lows structure since March 2025 Key Support and Resistance: Key Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance: ₹600-610 (psychological level) - Major Resistance: ₹650-680 (pattern target zone) - 52 Week High Resistance: ₹750-755 (previous swing high) Key Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹560-570 (breakout level, now support) - Strong Support: ₹520-530 (previous consolidation zone) - Major Support: ₹480-490 (ascending trendline support) - Critical Support: ₹440-450 (50% retracement of current move) Base Formation Analysis: - Primary Base: ₹480-580 consolidation zone (7 months) - Base Characteristics: Tight consolidation with reduced volatility - Base Quality: High-quality base with multiple retests of support/resistance - Accumulation Evidence: Consistent volume during the consolidation phase Trade Setup and Entry Strategy: Primary Trade Setup - Momentum Play: - Entry Strategy: Buy on pullback to ₹570-575 (breakout retest) - Alternative Entry: Current levels for aggressive traders - Entry Rationale: Ascending triangle breakout with volume confirmation Secondary Trade Setup - Swing Trade: - Entry Strategy: Accumulate on dips to the ₹520-530 zone - Entry Rationale: Strong support zone with multiple bounce history - Time Horizon: 3-6 months Entry Levels and Execution: Aggressive Entry (Short-term): - Entry Price: ₹585-590 (current market price) - Quantity: 30% of planned position - Rationale: Momentum continuation play Conservative Entry (Medium-term): - Entry Price: ₹570-575 (breakout retest) - Quantity: 50% of the planned position - Rationale: Better risk-reward ratio Value Entry (Long-term): - Entry Price: ₹520-530 (support zone) - Quantity: 70% of planned position - Rationale: High probability support zone Exit Levels and Profit Targets: Short-term Targets (1-3 months): - Target 1: ₹620-630 (5-7% upside from current levels) - Target 2: ₹650-660 (10-12% upside) - Target 3: ₹680-690 (pattern target) Medium-term Targets (3-12 months): - Target 1: ₹700-720 (psychological resistance) - Target 2: ₹750-760 (52 Week high retest) - Target 3: ₹800-820 (extension target) Exit Strategy: - Partial Profit Taking: 25% at each target level - Trailing Stop: Implement after reaching the first target - Final Exit: Technical breakdown below key support Stop-Loss Strategy: Initial Stop-Loss Levels: - Aggressive Traders: ₹555 (5% below entry) - Conservative Traders: ₹530 (below support zone) - Long-term Investors: ₹480 (below ascending trendline) Stop-Loss Management: - Initial Risk: 5-10% of entry price - Trailing Strategy: Move stop-loss to breakeven after 5% profit - Progressive Tightening: Reduce stop distance as price advances Position Sizing and Risk Management: Position Sizing Framework: - Conservative Approach: 2-3% of portfolio - Moderate Approach: 3-5% of portfolio - Aggressive Approach: 5-7% of portfolio Risk Management Rules: - Maximum Risk per Trade: 2% of total capital - Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2 for all trades - Portfolio Concentration: Maximum 10% in a single stock - Sector Exposure: Maximum 20% in the capital goods sector Capital Allocation Strategy: - 30% on initial breakout entry - 40% on pullback to support - 30% reserved for additional weakness Sectoral Backdrop: Capital Goods Sector Overview: - Sector Performance: Outperforming broader markets in 2025 - Government Support: PLI schemes boosting manufacturing - Infrastructure Push: Continued focus on industrial development - Export Opportunities: Growing global demand for Indian machinery Industrial Compressor Market Dynamics: - Market Size: India air compressor market valued at $1.09 billion (2023) - Growth Projection: Expected to reach $1.64 billion by 2030 - CAGR: 5.4% growth from 2024 to 2030 - Volume Growth: From 64,000 units (2023) to 120,000 units (2030) Manufacturing Sector Tailwinds: - Target Achievement: Manufacturing sector expected to reach $1 trillion by 2025 - Industrial Growth: Rapid expansion in the automotive and electronics sectors - Policy Support: Make in India and PLI schemes driving demand - Infrastructure Development: Continued capex cycle supporting industrial equipment demand Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: - Business: Leading manufacturer of air compressors and pneumatic tools - Market Position: Strong presence in the industrial compressor segment - Product Range: Oil-lubricated piston compressors, reciprocating compressors - Employee Strength: 2,172 employees Financial Highlights: - Market Capitalization: ₹ 18,703 Cr. - EPS (TTM): ₹11.05 - Book Value per Share: ₹58.90 - Price to Book Ratio: 10 - Dividend Yield: 0.37% Recent Performance: - Q4 FY25 Revenue: ₹ 993 crore - Q4 FY25 Net Profit: ₹102.00 crore - Annual Revenue (FY25): ₹3,510 crore - Annual Net Profit (FY25): ₹350 crore Earnings Outlook: - Next Earnings Report: July 30, 2025 (Expected) - Annual General Meeting: August 12, 2025 (Expected) - Dividend Declared: ₹2.20 per share for FY25 - Management Assessment: Economic quality in terms of earnings and margins Risk Factors and Considerations: Technical Risks: - False Breakout Risk: Potential failure to sustain above resistance - Market Correlation: High correlation with broader market movements - Sector Rotation: Risk of funds moving away from capital goods - Volume Sustainability: Need for continued volume support Fundamental Risks: - Economic Slowdown: Impact on industrial capex cycles - Competition Intensity: Pressure from domestic and international players - Raw Material Costs: Inflation in steel and component prices - Export Dependency: Global economic uncertainty affecting demand Market Risks: - Interest Rate Sensitivity: Impact of monetary policy changes - Currency Fluctuation: Export revenue exposure to forex volatility - Regulatory Changes: Potential policy modifications affecting industry - Liquidity Risk: Lower institutional participation during market stress My Take: NSE:ELGIEQUIP presents a compelling technical setup with its successful breakout from a 7-month ascending triangle pattern. The combination of strong volume confirmation, favourable sectoral tailwinds, and robust fundamental positioning makes it an attractive investment opportunity. The stock is well-positioned to benefit from India's manufacturing sector growth and the expanding industrial compressor market. The risk-reward profile appears favourable for both short-term momentum traders and long-term investors, with multiple entry strategies catering to different risk appetites. However, proper position sizing and disciplined stop-loss management remain crucial for the successful execution of this trade setup. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:ELGIEQUIPLong
by Karanshah137
17
SHILPA MEDICARE : Breakout Candidate - Swing Pick#SHILPAMED #breakout #chartpattern #vcppattern #trianglepattern #continuationpattern SHILPAMED : Swing Trade >> VCP pattern Visible >> Ascending Triangle Pattern which is a Continuation pattern >> Trending Setup >> Good Strength & Volumes >> Low Risk High Reward Trade Swing Traders can lock profit @ 10% and keep trailing Note : In the Current market scenario, Setup's can fail easily so Trade only best Setups with Good Risk Management and proper Position Sizing Disclaimer : This is not a Trade Recommendation, Charts shared are for Learning Purpose. Do not take Positions without consulting ur Financial Advisor
NSE:SHILPAMEDLong
by moneyfesttrading
1
SUMICHEM : Breakout Candidate#SUMICHEM #patterntrading #chartpattern SUMICHEM : Swing Trade >> Ascending Triangle Pattern >> Trending Setup >> Good Strength & Volume in Stock >> Good Risk Reward Trade Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep trailing Please give a Boost or comment if u r Liking the analysis & Learning from it. Keep showing ur Love by following Disclaimer : This is not a Trade Recommendations & Charts/ stocks Mentioned are for Learning/Educational Purpose. Do your Own Analysis before Taking positions.
NSE:SUMICHEMLong
by moneyfesttrading
4
TANLA PLATFORMS - Swing Trade Analysis - 15th July #stocksTANLA PLATFORMS (1W TF) - Swing Trade Analysis given on 15th July, 2024 Pattern: ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT - Weekly Resistance Breakout Initiated - Done ✓ - Volume Buildup at Resistance - Done ✓ - Demand Zone Retest & Consolidation (for a small SL and a better RR) - In Progress Please Note: - Going to be extremely careful with this trade and my SL - Will do a partial entry and then will add into it when it rises * Disclaimer
NSE:TANLALong
by TradeRyteStockz
3
YATRA : Swing Trade#yatra #swingtrade #breakout #patterntrading #ascendingtrianglepattern #momentum YATRA : Swing Trade >> Momentum stock >> Ascending Triangle Breakout >> Expect some Big Volumes in coming days >> Good Relative Strength in Stock >> Low Risk High Reward Trade Swing Trade can lock profits at 10% and keep trailing Disclaimer : This is not a Trade Recommendations & Charts/ stocks Mentioned are for Learning/Educational Purpose. Do your Own Analysis before Taking positions.
NSE:YATRALong
by moneyfesttrading
1
TVSMOTOR Analysis!TVSMOTOR Analysis on Daily Timeframe! Ascending Triangle Pattern in TVSMOTOR! Resistance Breakout in TVSMOTOR! TVSMOTOR has made an Ascending Triangle Pattern on Daily Timeframe. It has given a decent gap up breakout to it's resistance trendline before that price is making Higher Low's and formed an Ascending Triangle Pattern. TVSMOTOR tasted it's resistance about 2 times but couldn't break it. Today it has given breakout to it's resistance. As TVSMOTOR trading about All Time High so for price forecasting I have applied Fib Retracement from it's recent high to recent low and now we have our upside levels. These fib levels we can consider as our upside targets as well as resistances. Also TVSMOTOR has taken a good support at 50EMA and now trading above it so we can expect the price will go upwards. Trade Psychology and Setup = 1190 after retesting Entry = One can enter after Retesting Target = Projected Target Will be 1696.65 and Fib Levels Stop Loss = Below 1142.60 Disclaimer = All my analysis are for Educational Purpose only. Before entering into any trade - 1) Educate Yourself 2) Do your own research and analysis 3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio 4)Don't trade with full capital
NSE:TVSMOTORLong
by Avinash9087
2
Long Setup in GRASIM on WTFA Ascending Triangle Chart Pattern Breakout happened on the weekly Time frame of NSE:GRASIM Price Action supported by volume. The stock is currently in uptrend making higher highs and higher lows. One can add this stock into their stocks to buy list. One can initiate the long trade as per the lavel mentioned on the chart. Stop loss will be on a Weekly closing basis. Trend Analysis :- UP Trend Chart Pattern :- Bullish Ascending Traingle Chart Pattern Technical Indicator :- Positive MACD Crossover Disclaimer: This is for Education purpose only.
NSE:GRASIMLong
by raigvivek