AUDNZD - READY FOR A REVERSAL?Symbol - AUDNZD
CMP - 1.14180
AUDNZD continues to maintain its upward trajectory, supported by fundamental divergence between the two economies. The Australian dollar remains resilient and continues to outperform the New Zealand dollar after the RBNZ implemented an aggressive 50 basis point rate cut, lowering the official cash rate to 2.5% - the lowest level in over three years. The central bank also signaled a willingness to ease further as the domestic economy continues to struggle.
Despite this fundamental backdrop favoring the Australian dollar, the currency pair is showing signs of exhaustion in its bullish momentum and now appears poised for a corrective phase. Selling pressure is becoming evident at higher levels, and if this activity intensifies, AUDNZD could transition into a deeper correction in the near term.
Resistance levels: 1.1430, 1.1455, 1.1472
Support levels: 1.1387, 1.1350
While the overall trend remains upward, the near-term bias has turned bearish as momentum wanes. However, if buyers manage to defend key support levels and regain control, a renewed cycle of bullish momentum may emerge - potentially extending toward higher resistance levels before a broader reversal unfolds.
Audnzdsell
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance — Bearish Outlook Below 0.65381. Major Resistance Zone: 0.65380
Price is currently testing a strong horizontal resistance level at 0.65380, a level that has been tested multiple times (as shown by the pink circles).
This level has acted as a historical turning point, which increases its significance.
2. Price Structure: Lower Highs and Equal Highs
The chart reveals a potential double top or distribution pattern, forming under the 0.65380 resistance.
This suggests weakening bullish momentum and increases the probability of a bearish reversal.
3. Projected Bearish Path (White Dotted Lines):
If price fails to break above 0.65380 decisively, the expected move is a stepwise decline.
The projected path targets several support levels:
0.65003
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
Final target: 0.63627, a key support from early May.
4. Support & Resistance Zones:
Resistance Levels:
0.65380 (Major)
0.65003
Support Levels (Sequential Targets):
0.64647
0.64213
0.63957
0.63627
5. Confluence with Fundamentals:
U.S. economic events (highlighted at the bottom with calendar icons) may act as volatility triggers, potentially accelerating this move.
✅ Summary & Trading Implications:
Bias: Bearish below 0.65380
Trade Idea: Watch for rejection at resistance or break below 0.65003 for confirmation.
Bearish Targets: Gradual move toward 0.63627 with key pauses at intermediate support levels.
Invalidation: Daily close above 0.65380 would negate the bearish setup and open potential for new highs.
AUD/USD TRADE SETUP Yesterday AUD made it 3months low $0.64404 and today little bit positive but still making on daily time frame lower low . Aud will continue it’s downside move to $0.63000 .
Better stay away from aud trade or made short side positions till do not made higher high formation formations / closed above daily based higher to previous high .
Stay tuned with me for more updates:-





