AUDUSD needs validation of Thursday’s bullish DojiWhile justifying Thursday’s bullish Doji candlestick, AUDUSD not only bounces off the yearly bottom but tries to regain above 100-day SMA and a three-week-old horizontal resistance. However, daily closing above 0.7620 becomes necessary for the AUDUSD buyers to eye the 0.7700 threshold. It should, however, be noted that the 50-day SMA level of 0.7730 and January tops close to 0.7720 are extra upside filters that stand ready to test the bulls ahead of directing them to the multi-month top marked February around 0.8000.
Meanwhile, a daily closing below 0.7560 should recall the AUDUSD bears targeting December 21, 2020 low near 0.7460. However, the 0.7500 round-figure can offer an intermediate halt during the fall. Also, tops marked during early December 2020, near 0.7450 offer extra supports to test the sellers.
AUDUSD
AUDUSDAs I said last week ....AU started the descent as we anticipated last week when it hit the trend channel line!
....AU it dropped 300 pips from the 700 forecast last week and now will have a range period in this area of 100-150 pips after which it will continue the descent towards 0.74500 and then towards 0.70000
THIS WEEK...I will bet on the same analysis from last week and I think it will test once again the trend line and the edge of the Ichimoku cloud and from there ... DOWN AGAIN for at least 300-500 pips
NOTE: Starting this week I will try to highlight in parallel the chart for 1 week and the one for 1 month for a better accuracy of the analyzes
- This pair may be influenced in the short term by any news
GREAT ATTENTION: Our analyzes have an accuracy of over 91% but due to market manipulations during this period we will avoid putting exact values on SL!
We also recommend avoiding short-term trades during this period because news can appear at any time that can destabilize the market.
*This information is not a Financial Advice.
AUDUSD remains vulnerable despite corrective pullback above 0.76AUDUSD wavers around 11-week-old support during early Tuesday, recently bouncing off the monthly low. However, the pair’s sustained trading below an ascending trend line from November 02 and 50-day SMA keeps sellers hopeful. While fresh selling should begin following a daily closing below the immediate support line, at 0.7650 now, the yearly bottom around 0.7560 and the 100-day SMA level near 0.7530 will test the bears afterward.
Meanwhile, an upside break of 50-day SMA and the support-turned-resistance line, respectively around 0.7735 and 0.7775, will have to refresh the monthly top near 0.7840 to recall the AUDUSD bulls. Following that, the 0.7900 round-figure may offer an intermediate halt during the rally targeting to refresh February’s peak close to the 0.8000 psychological magnet.
💡 Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.7785). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. AUDUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 50.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.7745
TP2= @ 0.7725
TP3= @ 0.7695
TP4= @ 0.7650
TP5= @ 0.7580
SL: Break Above R2
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AUDUSD looks promising for 100-pip upsideDespite recently easing from the yearly high, AUDUSD stays well beyond the 50-day SMA, not to forget being inside the ascending triangle, amid the absence of overbought RSI conditions. As a result, the buyers are hopeful of crossing January’s peak near 0.7820, which in turn enables the optimists to eye 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level around 0.7910 during the further upside. It should, however, be noted that the quote’s upside momentum past-0.7910 will not hesitate to challenge the 0.8000 threshold.
On the downside, pullback moves may eye the 0.7700 round-figure but even the short-term bears may remain cautious until witnessing a clear downside break of 50-day SMA, currently around 0.7660. Also acting as the key support is a convergence of the ascending trend line from November 13, forming part of the stated triangle, as well as 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of November-January upside, around 0.7630-25. Overall, AUDUSD benefits from the market optimism backed by the vaccine optimism and hopes of US stimulus, which in turn highlights it for the bulls.
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDUSDTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.76060).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDUSD is in a downtrend and the continuation of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 37.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.75630
TP2= @ 0.75440
TP3= @ 0.75170
TP4= @ 0.74830
TP5= @ 0.74500
TP6= @ 0.74040
SL: Break Above R2
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AUDUSD stays depressed inside three-week-old falling channelDespite no change in RBA’s interest rate announcement, AUDUSD remains depressed below a short-term bearish chart formation. The reason could be traced from the RBA statement suggesting the downward pressure on the inflation target, which in turn pushed the Aussie central bank to extend the Quantitative Easing (QE) beyond the current expiry of April by the same $100 billion bundle. That said, AUDUSD bears are currently targeting the support line of the stated channel, near 0.7575. However, any further downside is less likely amid market optimism. It should, however, be noted that a sustained weakness past-0.7575 will direct the quote towards late-December bottom surrounding 0.7460.
Meanwhile, a confluence of one-week-old falling resistance line and 200-SMA, around 0.7675, offers a tough nut to crack for the AUDUSD bulls. Also acting as the key upside barrier is the upper line of the aforementioned channel, at .7735 now. In a case where the market’s upbeat sentiment propels the quote beyond 0.7735, January’s multi-month top above 0.7800 will be refreshed.
💡 Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.7668). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. AUDUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 40.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.7592
TP2= @ 0.7525
TP3= @ 0.7450
TP4= @ 0.7370
TP5= @ 0.7315
SL: Break Above R2
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💡 Don't miss the great buy opportunity in AUDUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (0.77). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. AUDUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 66.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.7780
TP2= @ 0.7820
TP3= @ 0.7850
SL= Break below S2
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AUDUSD teases weekly support inside short-term falling channelWith the virus-led risk-off weighing on the Antipodeans, not to forget the surprise drop in the Aussie retail sales, AUDUSD sellers attack an upwards sloping support line from Monday, currently around 0.7733. While expectations of the continuous cautious sentiment favor the pair’s further weakness, the 0.7700 round-figure and lower line of a descending trend channel formation established since January 06, near 0.7650, probe the AUDUSD bears. In a case where the quote remains weak past-0.7650, the 200-SMA level of 0.7630 will be the key to watch.
Meanwhile, an upside clearance of the stated channel’s resistance line, at 0.7780, needs to refresh the monthly top of 0.7819 to regain the AUDUSD bulls’ confidence. Following that, AUDUSD buyers will get a green signal to challenge the March 2018 peak surrounding 0.7915. It should also be noted that the 0.8000 psychological magnet will gain the market’s attention once the pair rises beyond 0.7915.
AUDUSD is still in the long-term uptrend channel.AUDUSD is still in the long-term uptrend channel.
The Australian Dollar (AUDUSD) fell from the high of 0.7820 on January 6 to the low of 0.7659 on January 18. It rebounded in the past two trading days and returned to above the 0.7700 integer.
From the long-term trend and the FED Chairman Powell's dovish attitude, as well as the 1.9 trillion dollar stimulus plan of the new President Joe Biden, the long-term trend of the US Dollar Index is still downward, so the long-term trend of the AUDUSD is upward.
By technical analysis, the AUDUSD is still in the long-term uptrend channel, so it is recommended to Buy operations.
As shown in the figure: it can be buy now (entry market price around 0.7740), or price falling to above 0.7650 support.
Jan.20.2021
Reliability: 3-10 Market Days.
AUDUSD eases from weekly resistance inside monthly ascending chaAUDUSD fades the previous day’s upside momentum as risks turn heavy amid the coronavirus (COVID-19) fears. The quote steps back from a downward sloping trend line from last Wednesday while staying inside an ascending trend channel formation established from December 17. Also portraying the bull’s dominance is the pair’s successful trading above 200-SMA. As a result, a short-term pullback towards the channel support of 0.7700 can’t be ruled out. However, any further weakness will direct AUDUSD sellers to attack 200-bar SMA, currently near 0.7550, ahead of highlighting the late December low near 0.7460.
Meanwhile, an upside clearance of the immediate resistance line, at 0.7775 now, will recall the 0.7800 threshold on the chart. Though, any further upside will have to cross the latest multi-month high of 0.7819 before challenging the stated channel’s upper line surrounding 0.7885. If at all the AUDUSD buyers defy the channel formation, by crossing the 0.7885 hurdle, the 0.7900 round-figure will add filters to the further rise. Overall, AUDUSD is well directed to the north but intermediate pullback can’t be ruled out.
Rising wedge at multi-month top teases AUDUSD bearsAUD/USD teases a 33-month high around 0.7780 inside a bearish chart pattern as global markets await Georgia’s Senate runoff. Although Democrats are likely to snatch Republicans’ control over the upper US House, the thin majority and odds of President Trump’s likely plot to defy the results can probe the bulls. As a result, the AUDUSD is knocking the multi-month top, refreshed recently, amid US dollar weakness. However, surprises for Democrats won’t be taken lightly as Trump will use all he can to stop losing GOP control over the Senate, which in turn can trigger the US dollar’s corrective recovery from the lowest since April 2018. In that case, AUDUSD traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish chart pattern, by a sustained break below 0.7675 support, to eye the theoretical target near 0.7300. During the fall, an ascending trend line from early November, at 0.7550 now, followed by a 200-SMA level of 0.7490, will be important to watch.
Meanwhile, risk-positive news from Georgia will initially eye the 0.7800 round-figures before directing the AUDUSD bulls to April 2018 top near 0.7810. Should Joe Biden and Company announces readiness to distribute $2,000 paychecks, the much-awaited stimulus, the early 2018 peaks near 0.7900 and 0.8130 may return to the chart. In doing so, the 0.8000 psychological magnet will be the key to watch. Overall, AUDUSD remains strong but the bearish chart pattern at the multi-month top can derail the bull’s confidence if confirmed.
💡 Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (0.768). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. AUDUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 47.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.7635
TP2= @ 0.7556
TP3= @ 0.7483
TP4= @ 0.7405
TP5= @ 0.7270
SL: Break Above R2
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ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️