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AUDUSD Technical AnalysisThe Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting while dropping the tightening bias in the statement but adding a slight pushback against a March rate cut. The US CPI beat expectations for the second consecutive month with the disinflationary trend reversing. The US PPI beat expectations across the board by a big margin. The US Jobless Claims beat expectations with the data remaining steady. The latest US PMIs increased further from the prior month with the Manufacturing PMI beating expectations and the Services PMI missing. The US Retail Sales missed expectations across the board by a big margin. The market now expects the first rate cut in June. AUD The RBA left interest rates unchanged as expected with the central bank maintaining the usual tightening bias and data-dependent language. The recent Monthly CPI report missed expectations across the board which was a welcome development for the RBA. The latest labor market report missed expectations by a big margin. The wage price index surprised to the upside as wage growth in Australia remains strong. The latest Australian PMIs showed the Manufacturing PMI falling back into contraction while the Services PMI jumped back into expansion. The market expects the first rate cut in August. AUDUSD Technical Analysis 1-Day Timeframe On the daily chart, we can see that AUDUSD broke above the key resistance level where we had also the red 21 moving average for confluence and extended the rally to new highs. The buyers are targeting the next resistance at 0.6623 but the momentum seems to be waning a bit. The sellers, on the other hand, will likely wait for the price to reach the 0.6620 level before piling in for new shorts or looking for some key breakouts on the lower timeframes. AUDUSD Technical Analysis 4-hour Timeframe On the 4-hour chart, we can see that the price has been diverging with the MACD recently. This is generally a sign of weakening momentum often followed by pullbacks or reversals. In this case, we got pullbacks into the red 21 moving average where the buyers kept on stepping in to target the 0.6620 level. The moving average and the black trendline will now be key levels for the sellers as they will need to break through them to gain more conviction for a bearish trend and target new lows. AUDUSD Technical Analysis 1-hour Timeframe Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, we can see that we have a resistance zone around the 0.6580 level which the buyers will need to break to increase the bullish bets into the 0.6620 level. There is no important data till next Tuesday, so the market will likely be driven by the technicals until then. follow us for more trading ideas.
Long
by forexinworld
32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets!32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets! The Australian dollar has surged, driven by an impressive employment report that far exceeded expectations. In the month of June, Australia's net employment rose by a staggering 32,600 compared to the previous month, surpassing estimates by more than double. This development propelled the Aussie currency up by over 0.9%, reaching an intra-day high of $0.6834. The New Zealand dollar also rode the wave, gaining 0.57% to reach $0.6299. Both Antipodean currencies are now poised to reverse the losses incurred over four consecutive trading sessions. The current market sentiment favors the bulls, with both short and long-term momentum in their favor. Price action is trading above the 50 and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the positive outlook for the Australian dollar. Elsewhere in the currency market, the sterling is doing its best to counter deep losses following a sharp fall in the previous session. The decline was prompted by Britain's inflation data, which fell short of market expectations. The British pound managed a modest recovery, trading 0.15% higher at $1.2958 in the latest session.
by BlackBull_Markets
Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets Today Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets Today Yesterday, the AUD/USD experienced its third consecutive day of growth. However, the upward trend is expected to face obstacles during Tuesday's trading session due to the impending Reserve Bank of Australia meeting. Despite some analysts adopting a more hawkish stance and predicting a rate hike as the most likely outcome of today's meeting, money market traders have reduced their forecast to a one-in-three chance of an increase, down from 40 percent on Friday afternoon. Although inflation numbers in Australia have slowed down, the Consumer Price Index remains above the target range, while the key interest rate stands at 4.1 percent, below the CPI. Furthermore, recent remarks from RBA Governor Lowe have maintained a hawkish tone, leaving the possibility of further rate hikes open, even after two unexpected increases. As US markets remain closed in observance of Independence Day, the AUD/USD has been consolidating at 0.66700 prior to the RBA decision. With conflicting views from economists and traders, the meeting's outcome has the potential to inject some volatility into the pair. In terms of potential resistance levels, the initial zone to watch out for is around 0.66900, followed by 0.67200. However, it is important to note that considering the RSI's decline below the 60.00 level, the upward momentum has weakened. Nevertheless, the overall inclination remains biased towards the upside. Therefore, exploring higher levels may not be immediately feasible.
by BlackBull_Markets
#AUDUSD Uptrend MOVEMENT POTENTIAL with Risk:reward =2.3Currency pair Australian Dollar Vs US dollar, Time Frame is 4 hours. what is the analysis? Break out from the downtrend movement. what is a downtrend movement? Wave will be created in the form of upper high, upper Low, upper high, upper Low, and we can observe the breakout from the downtrend. This is the Buy call with a Risk: reward ratio of 2.4, First Target is 0.67043 second target is 0.69175. Hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey and Happy trading #tradingstrategy, #forex trading, #AUDUSD , #currency pair, #AUDUSD forecast
Long
by TanujaK
2
AUDUSDAs I said last weeks ...as I said AU is in a very strong area where it has been in range for a few weeks ... but as long as it is on the trend line , I will keep the SELL idea until the 0.74990 area and from there ... I will reanalyze! THIS WEEK...as I was saying since April 2021 ... AUDUSD went down and made the 800 pips we were talking about, reaching the 2nd target where it rejected strongly! (see red line) in the next period I expect to see a range between zone 1 and zone 2 and only a closure even for 1 day below these zones will make me rethink the whole strategy! now I will wait to touch one of these areas and then I will decide an entry with BUY or SELL NOTE: Please, give a LIKE if you find this idea useful! GREAT ATTENTION: Our analyzes have an accuracy of over 92% in the last 5 months We also recommend avoiding short-term trades during this period because news can appear at any time that can destabilize the market. *This information is not a Financial Advice.
by BloomFX_SIGNALS