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AUD/USD Bullish Breakout – Demand Zone Retest Before Targeting 📉 Chart Pattern: 🔻 Formed a descending wedge/channel pattern (yellow dots). 💥 Recently broke out upward — this is typically a bullish signal! 📦 DEMAND Zone (Support): 📘 Blue box labeled “DEMAND zone!” shows a strong area of buyer interest. 🔁 Price is currently retesting this zone — a healthy move after breakout. ✅ Holding this zone could confirm bullish continuation. 🎯 Target Point: 🚀 Marked at 0.65201 — labeled "TARGET POINT 065201". 📏 Measured move suggests this is a realistic bullish price objective. 📊 Technical Indicator (EMA 70): 📉 The 70 EMA (red line) is at 0.64037. ✅ Price is above the EMA, signaling upward momentum. Upcoming Economic Events: ⚠️ Multiple high-impact news events (USD and AUD flags) are scheduled around April 30 – May 2. 🌪️ Expect potential volatility — manage risk accordingly! Summary: ✅ Bias: Bullish 🟢 Buy Opportunity: If price holds above demand zone. 🎯 Target: 0.65201 ❌ Invalidation: Break below demand zone → support near 0.63255
by Jameshead007
2
"AUD/USD Reversal Setup – Short from Supply Zone!''🔹 Trend Overview: Price was in a strong uptrend 🔼, forming higher highs and higher lows. Key Zones: 🟦 Supply Zone (🔵 Resistance Area): 0.63803 - 0.64064 Price entered this zone and started to slow down ⏸️, showing signs of seller strength. 🔵🟤🟤🟤 📍Entry Point: 0.63803 This is where the short (sell) trade is planned. ✍️ "Let’s short it here!" 🚫 Stop Loss: 0.64064 Just above the supply zone to avoid false breakouts. 🛑 "If it goes here, we're out!" 🎯 Target Point: 0.62800 Previous support zone. 🟢💰🟢 💥 "This is where we take profit!" Indicators: 📈 EMA (7) – Black line Shows price momentum. Currently flattening ➡️, meaning bulls are losing steam. Trade Idea Summary: 📉 Bias: Bearish (Short) ✅ Entry: 0.63803 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.64064 🎯 Target: 0.62800 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3.8 (Very solid!) ⏱️ Timing: Watching for signs of reversal before entering
Short
by Jameshead007
1
AUD/USD) Resistance level pullback Short Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a possible bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind it: Key Observations: 1. Current Trend: The pair was in an uptrend, as indicated by the rising channel (parallel trendlines). However, it has now broken out of that channel. 2. Resistance Level: The price has reached a resistance zone around 0.64000, and it seems to be rejecting this level. 3. 2 Timeframe Demand Zone: Around the 0.63300 – 0.63400 range, this area previously acted as a demand zone (support), and the chart suggests price might retest it. 4. Projected Move: First, a pullback up into the resistance zone could occur. Then a drop to the demand zone. If the demand zone fails to hold, the price could head down toward the key support/FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 0.61000 – 0.61500. 5. EMA (200): The 200 EMA is below the price, suggesting longer-term bullish pressure, but it's starting to flatten, which could signal weakness in the uptrend. 6. RSI Indicator: RSI is around 52, showing neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for movement in either direction. Mr SMC Trading point --- Idea Summary: The chart suggests a potential reversal from the uptrend into a downtrend, triggered by a failure to break above resistance. The two key targets for a bearish move are: First: the 2TF demand zone Final: the key support/FVG zone Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
AUD/USD Supply Zone Rejection Trade Setup🔵 Supply Zone → (Blue highlighted area) The price is expected to reverse from here. 🔹 Entry Point → 0.60610 📍 (Marked with a blue line) The trade is planned to start here. 🟠 Stop Loss → 0.60934 ❌ (Marked with an orange line) If the price goes above this, the trade will be exited to prevent further loss. 🔻 Target Point → 0.59400 🎯 (Marked at the bottom) Expected profit zone if the trade moves as planned. 📉 Trade Plan: ✅ Short position (Sell trade) expected to drop from the supply zone. 🚀 Risk-to-reward ratio looks good as the potential profit is higher than the risk. ⚠️ Risk Factor: If price breaks above the supply zone, the setup might fail.
Short
by Jameshead007
AUDUSD Technical AnalysisThe Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected at the last meeting while dropping the tightening bias in the statement but adding a slight pushback against a March rate cut. The US CPI beat expectations for the second consecutive month with the disinflationary trend reversing. The US PPI beat expectations across the board by a big margin. The US Jobless Claims beat expectations with the data remaining steady. The latest US PMIs increased further from the prior month with the Manufacturing PMI beating expectations and the Services PMI missing. The US Retail Sales missed expectations across the board by a big margin. The market now expects the first rate cut in June. AUD The RBA left interest rates unchanged as expected with the central bank maintaining the usual tightening bias and data-dependent language. The recent Monthly CPI report missed expectations across the board which was a welcome development for the RBA. The latest labor market report missed expectations by a big margin. The wage price index surprised to the upside as wage growth in Australia remains strong. The latest Australian PMIs showed the Manufacturing PMI falling back into contraction while the Services PMI jumped back into expansion. The market expects the first rate cut in August. AUDUSD Technical Analysis 1-Day Timeframe On the daily chart, we can see that AUDUSD broke above the key resistance level where we had also the red 21 moving average for confluence and extended the rally to new highs. The buyers are targeting the next resistance at 0.6623 but the momentum seems to be waning a bit. The sellers, on the other hand, will likely wait for the price to reach the 0.6620 level before piling in for new shorts or looking for some key breakouts on the lower timeframes. AUDUSD Technical Analysis 4-hour Timeframe On the 4-hour chart, we can see that the price has been diverging with the MACD recently. This is generally a sign of weakening momentum often followed by pullbacks or reversals. In this case, we got pullbacks into the red 21 moving average where the buyers kept on stepping in to target the 0.6620 level. The moving average and the black trendline will now be key levels for the sellers as they will need to break through them to gain more conviction for a bearish trend and target new lows. AUDUSD Technical Analysis 1-hour Timeframe Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, we can see that we have a resistance zone around the 0.6580 level which the buyers will need to break to increase the bullish bets into the 0.6620 level. There is no important data till next Tuesday, so the market will likely be driven by the technicals until then. follow us for more trading ideas.
Long
by forexinworld
32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets!32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets! The Australian dollar has surged, driven by an impressive employment report that far exceeded expectations. In the month of June, Australia's net employment rose by a staggering 32,600 compared to the previous month, surpassing estimates by more than double. This development propelled the Aussie currency up by over 0.9%, reaching an intra-day high of $0.6834. The New Zealand dollar also rode the wave, gaining 0.57% to reach $0.6299. Both Antipodean currencies are now poised to reverse the losses incurred over four consecutive trading sessions. The current market sentiment favors the bulls, with both short and long-term momentum in their favor. Price action is trading above the 50 and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the positive outlook for the Australian dollar. Elsewhere in the currency market, the sterling is doing its best to counter deep losses following a sharp fall in the previous session. The decline was prompted by Britain's inflation data, which fell short of market expectations. The British pound managed a modest recovery, trading 0.15% higher at $1.2958 in the latest session.
by BlackBull_Markets
Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets Today Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets Today Yesterday, the AUD/USD experienced its third consecutive day of growth. However, the upward trend is expected to face obstacles during Tuesday's trading session due to the impending Reserve Bank of Australia meeting. Despite some analysts adopting a more hawkish stance and predicting a rate hike as the most likely outcome of today's meeting, money market traders have reduced their forecast to a one-in-three chance of an increase, down from 40 percent on Friday afternoon. Although inflation numbers in Australia have slowed down, the Consumer Price Index remains above the target range, while the key interest rate stands at 4.1 percent, below the CPI. Furthermore, recent remarks from RBA Governor Lowe have maintained a hawkish tone, leaving the possibility of further rate hikes open, even after two unexpected increases. As US markets remain closed in observance of Independence Day, the AUD/USD has been consolidating at 0.66700 prior to the RBA decision. With conflicting views from economists and traders, the meeting's outcome has the potential to inject some volatility into the pair. In terms of potential resistance levels, the initial zone to watch out for is around 0.66900, followed by 0.67200. However, it is important to note that considering the RSI's decline below the 60.00 level, the upward momentum has weakened. Nevertheless, the overall inclination remains biased towards the upside. Therefore, exploring higher levels may not be immediately feasible.
by BlackBull_Markets
#AUDUSD Uptrend MOVEMENT POTENTIAL with Risk:reward =2.3Currency pair Australian Dollar Vs US dollar, Time Frame is 4 hours. what is the analysis? Break out from the downtrend movement. what is a downtrend movement? Wave will be created in the form of upper high, upper Low, upper high, upper Low, and we can observe the breakout from the downtrend. This is the Buy call with a Risk: reward ratio of 2.4, First Target is 0.67043 second target is 0.69175. Hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey and Happy trading #tradingstrategy, #forex trading, #AUDUSD , #currency pair, #AUDUSD forecast
Long
by TanujaK
2