Bajaj Finance - Intraday Set up 3 The stock has come back to its 50 EMA . The structure is already provided for reference along with S&R LEVELS. Check out optionchain.
The Indicator Used:
1) Daily Lines Plots Daily 20 (BLACK) & 50 EMA (GREY), BLUE (200 DAILY EMA ) On Lower Time Frame Charts.
2) Valuation band
KEYS: Red Faded Cloud: Over Valuation.
Grey Faded Cloud: Proper Valuation.
Green Faded Cloud: Under Valuation.
3) TE-REKAB - Proprietary Indicator
KEYS:
PB: Pullback
Blue Candle: Selling Divergence
Yellow Candle: Buying Divergence
If you like the analysis, do leave a like and follow for more such content coming up.
The analysis is my POV , hope you got bucks in your pocket to consult a financial advisor before investing :P :)
HAPPY TRADING!!!
Bajajfinance
Bajaj Finance - Positional tradeExecute Long if the Trend line breakout happen in RSI and Price chart with 15 mins candle close for a Target of Minimum 80 points.
Execute Short if the RSI and price chart break the trendline in downside with 15 mins candle close for a minimum target of 50 points.
Stock has 5450 strong support and it shows some bullish indications.
Kindly share your valuable feedback.
Disclaimer: Consult your advisor or do your own analysis before taking any trade. This view is for educational purposes only.
Bajaj Finance to complete wave (c) decline in five wavesA quick recap for those not familiar with Elliott Waves. Index / Stock rises in five waves of major trend (up or down) and correct in three waves in opposite direction (down or up). The power of Elliott waves is that it's a fractal, so this happens at all time frames starting from Month/ week all the way down to hourly and even 5-min chart.
The last major low for most stocks including Bajaj Finance is Mar'20 pandemic low, when NIFTY fell by as much as 40% within six weeks, the sharpest ever fall in Indian stock market history. Starting from the March '20 low, on the daily chart, Bajaj Finance had completed wave (3) when it hit the peak of INR 5822 on 16-Feb. (Not shown here as this is only an hourly chart). Bear in mind that wave (3) is the strongest wave, so the best of bull market in Bajaj Finance is behind us now. That said, don't lose heart. Wave (5) is still left and I expect it to be stronger and take the stock higher, though we are not there as yet. The pandemic
is raging insanely and causing devastation in our nation, the last thing you expect is a strong bull wave. Though markets are known to be insane, not that insane thankfully and hopefully.
Back to the present, Bajaj Finance is correcting in Wave (4) since Feb 16th and has completed waves (a) and waves (b) of the three wave a-b-c correction. The wave (c) correction has commenced and the stock will drop steeply in coming days. Buying a put option expiring on 27-May is a viable option.
Alternate scenario: You can never be 100% sure in foresight, so its' always wiser to look at an alternate scenario. The alternate scenario would be that Bajaj Finance already completed correction in wave (4) when it hit the bottom on 19-Apr @4362. In that case, the stock is now on wave (1) of wave (5) bull wave. As you can see from the wave counts after 19-Apr, which I have marked, Bajaj has already completed five waves up, meaning it has completed sub-wave (1) of wave (5). This will be now followed by wave (2), which will at least correct the rise in wave (1) from Apr 19th till 4-May peak of 5749 by at least 50%, if not 61.8%.
Whichever scenario plays out, it's safe to assume the next move for the stock in the coming days is way down.
Bajaj Finserv - Ascending Triangle Breakout- Good breakout after forming an ascending triangle pattern
- Volume expansion and bullishness exists
- Finance and Banking sector might do well ahead
- Medium term holding and little skeptical regarding short term
- Good entry at 10,870 with stoploss of 10,230 levels
How much Downside might be due in Bajaj Finance? A few levels on which Bajaj Finance should find support while it corrects its full post Covid journey past one year.
These levels are illustrated to understand how much downside is still left as a probability.
Generally it comes down beyond 200 SMA before it bounce Upside, so 4200-4300 level works to support NSE:BAJFINANCE .
Look out for these levels of rejection and wait for confirmation to Up-side when it breaks out from a Trend line drawn in the Chart.
Predictions are merely for education purposes. No Trading Advice whatsoever in this profile.
BAJAJ FINSERV / BAJAJ FINANCE The pair chart is suggesting a reversal in Relative Strength from this level as it takes support near a rising trend line, suggesting Bajaj Finserv will outperform Bajaj Finance from here onwards. As per this the spread could now resume its uptrend till 1.95 and then 2.10, view negates below 1.72