BANKNIFTY
#Banknifty directions and levels for the 2nd week of October.Current View:
The current view based on the RSI data is as follows:
* The RSI divergence is likely to occur in the sub-wave 5. The structure suggests there is a 5th sub-wave forming. Once the market starts to bounce back, we can close the 5-wave structure in the 1st leg of the correction, leading into the 2nd leg.
* The ideal 2nd leg is a three-wave structure, which could take a minimum of 38% to 61% bounce back from the previous swing.
> In rare occasions, it could reach 78%. Structurally, it won’t go beyond this level; however, if it does, the overall trend will turn bullish.
* Once the three-wave structure (2nd leg) completes, the 3rd wave will begin. The 3rd wave is a correctional wave; if it rejects and cuts below the EMA20 line, we can assume that the downtrend may continue further. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
* The alternate view suggests that if the week starts with a negative candle, it may evolve into a diagonal structure.
* A diagonal is a time adjustment pattern, so the correction could continue with some minor bounce backs.
* However, the diagonal also indicates a sub-wave of the 5th. Once the diagonal pattern breaks upwards, the previous sentiment will apply here as well, meaning we can expect a minimum of a 38% bounce back from the previous swing.
4th Oct 2024 - BankNifty falls 2280pts ~ 4.24% - stance bearish---
BankNifty Stance Bearish ️⬇️
Banknifty also dropped 4.24% ~ 2280pts, the reversal signs were pretty clear last week and we did mention it in our weekly newsletter as well. There were 3 interesting moves this week.
Gap down on 30th Sep
Gap down on 3rd Oct
Strong price action on 4th Oct
In fact, we fell almost 800 pts on 4th Oct after 12.30 pm, negating our retracement in the morning period. 51715 may act as a strong resistance and if we break through, I would like to change my stance back to neutral. Till then would prefer to go with a bearish stance.
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On 1st October 2024, SEBI issued a new circular "Measures to Strengthen Equity Index Derivatives Framework for Increased Investor Protection and Market Stability".
In this circular, they asked the exchanges to limit the weekly expiries to just one index. They also suggested increasing the contract size from Rs5 to 10 lakhs currently to Rs15 to 20 lakhs effective from 20th of November. SEBI also asked trading members (brokers) to increase the Initial Margin (IM) and Extreme Loss Margin (ELM) even for the option buyers, this would be effective from 1st February 2025. Finally, they decided to increase the ELM for short options contracts by 2% on Expiry day.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 07.10.2024On Friday, BankNifty opened gap down but quickly recovered, reaching a high of 52,358.35, entering the 15-minute Supply Zone highlighted in the previous post. However, it faced strong selling pressure at that level and plunged 1,000 points from the day’s high, hitting a low of 51,347.25. BankNifty broke through the near Daily Demand Zone and entered the Far Daily Demand Zone, closing at 51,462.05, down 383 points from the previous session.
The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains positive, but the Daily Trend (50 SMA) has turned sideways. As BankNifty approaches the support/demand zone (50,369.40 - 51,420.15), a potential bounce could take it back up towards 52,817, near the Daily Supply Zone.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 50,369.40 - 51,420.15 (current price near the zone)
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 51,025 - 51,222.65
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 50,564.65 - 50,891.65
Supply/Resistance Zones:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 52,817.80 - 53,235.25
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 53,763.20 - 53,945.10
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 54,152.50 - 54,338.70
Keep these levels in mind for potential trading opportunities!
Market at Crossroads: Will the Next Move Be Up or Down? After 1200 points down side in 5 days, will nifty continue to fall more or it will consolidate for the new upside run ??
Nifty looks oversold in smaller time frame, looking at those it seems we should see some bounce back up !
Overall to stay cautious and stay alert on the indexes, would suggest to stay away from Futures and Options.
Top 1% Trader SecretDetermine your risk capital, i.e., the total amount of money you're willing to risk in your trading. This should be money that you can afford to lose without it affecting your lifestyle. Calculate 1% of your risk capital. This is the maximum amount you're allowed to risk on any single trade.
For day traders and swing traders, the 1% risk rule means you use as much capital as required to initiate a trade, but your stop loss placement protects you from losing more than 1% of your account if the trade goes against you.
BANKNIFTY241009C52600BANKNIFTY241009C52600
above 295
tgt 500
SL 210
we may expect good up move in banknifty today
BOB | Trendline Bull Breakout ⭕️ Swing Trading opportunity: Price Action Analysis Alert !!!⭕️
💡✍️Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :-
✅Triangle Chart Pattern Bull Breakout
✅Breakout confirmed
✅Rise in Volume
✅Good 3 touches Trendline Breakout with volume
✅Clear uptrend with HH & HLs sequence
✅ Order block as potential Target
✅Check out my TradingView profile to see how we analyze charts and execute trades.
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#banknifty directions and levels for October 4th.Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support level, we can expect a bounce back of around 23% to 38% in the minor swing. This is our first scenario. For additional confirmation, you can refer to the 20 EMA
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests a breakout trade. If the market breaks or consolidates around the support level, we can take a breakout entry and set the target at the next support level. Since I'm uncertain about the trend continuation, I’ve set the target conservatively at the next support level.
Option chain and Database Trading Nature of analysis. Option chain: An option chain primarily focuses on options contracts associated with an underlying asset, such as stocks, commodities, or indices. It provides information about the available options, their strike prices, expiration dates, bid-ask prices, and other contract-specific data.
An option chain, also known as option matrix, is a list of all the option contracts available for a given security. It shows all listed puts, calls, expiry dates, strike prices, and volume and pricing information for a single underlying asset and within a given maturity period.
Institutional Database Trading #OptionTrading Option chain data is the complete picture pertaining to option strikes of a particular stock or index in a single frame. In the Option chain frame, the strike price is at the centre and all data pertaining to calls and puts on the same strike are presented next to each other.
Options trading is a type of financial trading that allows investors to buy or sell the right to purchase or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price, at a future date. Options trading operates on the basis that the buyer has the option to exercise the contract but is not under any obligation to do so.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 04.10.2024On Thursday, BankNifty opened gap down and faced intense selling pressure, diving deep into the daily demand zone. It hit a low of 51,683.40 before closing at 51,845.20, losing a significant 1,077 points from the previous close. While the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains positive, the Daily Trend (50 SMA) has shifted to sideways, indicating a potential change in momentum.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 51,643.95 - 52,484.60 (current price inside the zone)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 50,369.40 - 51,420.15
Supply/Resistance Zones:
Near Minor Supply/Resistance Zone (30 min): 52,139.20 - 52,224.25
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15 min): 52,282.55 - 52,392.25
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30 min): 52,862.00 - 52,993.95
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75 min): 53,763.20 - 53,945.10
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75 min): 54,152.50 - 54,338.70
Stay alert as the market could experience heightened volatility in the coming sessions!
#Banknifty directions and levels for October 3rd.Current View: If the market opens with a gap-down, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are expected to continue in a bearish structure, with some minor consolidation. Even if there’s a pullback, this type of correction typically won’t break the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. This is our first scenario.
Alternate View: If the market initially rejects around the immediate support level and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it could shift into a range-bound market. In this case, targets are expected around the 78% Fibonacci level in the minor swing.
BANKNIFTY MATHEMATICAL LEVELS FOR THIS WEEKThese Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 03.10.2024On Tuesday, BankNifty opened gap down, bounced to a high of 53,235.25, and fell to a low of 52,817.80 before closing at 52,922.60, losing 55 points from the previous close. It broke the 125m Demand zone (52,847.90 - 53,136.10) mentioned in the last post, but managed to close inside the zone. As highlighted earlier, if BankNifty breaks below 52,847 with volume and sustains, further declines towards 52,285 could be expected. The Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain positive. The demand and supply zones remain unchanged.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (125 min): 52,847.90 - 53,136.10 (current price inside the zone)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 51,643.95 - 52,484.60
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 50,369.40 - 51,420.15
Supply/Resistance Zones:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75 min): 53,763.20 - 53,945.10
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75 min): 54,152.50 - 54,338.70
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 Oct 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 Oct 2024
Bullish-Above 53250
Invalid-Below 53140
T- 53850
Bearish-Below 52800
Invalid-Above 52910
T- 52200
BANKNIFTY has closed on a slight bearish note last day with 0.1% cut. Index may give a bounce only if there is a gap up and 10 o'clock range breaks in the upside or else it will be a sell on rise market. Best trade looks in the downside below 52800 on a flat opening. Next important confluence looks near 52170-200 zone as per ABCD plotted.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 53250 then we will long for the target of 53850.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 52800. T- 52200.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
What is Rsi Indicator What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to detect overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security.
The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his seminal 1978 book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.
In addition to identifying overbought and oversold securities, the RSI can also indicate securities that may be primed for a trend reversal or a corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought condition. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
Banknifty Professional Trading Setup Here are some things to know about the MACD histogram and divergences:
Divergence
A divergence occurs when the price action and momentum are not acting together. For example, if the price is making lower highs, but the histogram is making higher lows, this is a divergence.
Types of divergences
There are two types of divergences: peak-trough and slant.
Bullish divergence
A bullish divergence occurs when the MACD forms two rising lows that correspond to two falling lows in the price.
Bearish divergence
A bearish divergence occurs when the MACD forms two falling highs that correspond to two rising highs in the price.
Histogram bars
The length of the histogram bars indicate the relationship between the two moving averages. When the moving averages are moving away from each other, the bars are longer, and when they are getting closer, the bars are shorter.
MACD
The MACD is a momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of prices. It's calculated by taking the difference between a 26-day and 12-day exponential moving average.
BANKNIFTY241009P53500parallel channel formation in BANKNIFTY241009P53500
if sustain above the upper line then it may give good move
How to Draw Support and Resistance Like a Pro! Support and Resistance are one of the most important aspects of technical analysis but often I see traders doing it wrongly.
How to Draw Support and Resistance:
Imagine you have a chart filled with SR like the one below. Do you know which levels to pay attention to? When you’re about to start, how to plot support and resistance lines? It’s filled with nothing but lines and it doesn’t seem to make much meaning of the chart at all.
nah My approach to drawing Support and Resistance uses either
1 line or 2 lines. It is much cleaner and immediately tells you which area of the chart to pay attention to. I use a single line when price respect a level almost to the pip and i use 2 lines when price bounces off an area. I highlight only the key Support and Resistance of a chart meaning the obvious swing highs and lows. The intermediate SR i will not draw any lines so as to maintain my focus on the key areas. Besides, with enough screen time you can easily identify those intermediate Support and Resistance without any lines.
real world… You must keep in mind of the R.S.M. formula. These three things stands for:
Reaction Setup Management Now take notes because this is important… Reaction Here’s the truth: Drawing support and resistance lines aren’t the holy grail.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 01.10.2024On Monday, BankNifty opened with a gap down and, under selling pressure, broke the 30-minute demand zone, closing within the 125-minute demand zone mentioned in the previous post. If BankNifty breaks below 52,847 with volume and sustains, we could see further downside towards 52,285. BankNifty closed at 52,978.1, losing 856 points from the previous close. The Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (125 min): 52,847.90 - 53,136.10 (current price inside the zone)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 51,643.95 - 52,484.60
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 50,369.40 - 51,420.15
Supply/Resistance Zones:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75 min): 53,763.20 - 53,945.10
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75 min): 54,152.50 - 54,338.70