22 May 2024 - BankNifty stance revised to neutral, not bullishThe trades on banknifty were going on perfectly till 14.30. The final hour took out all the profits from the intraday straddles, not just that the algos ended the day in RED. The moves that came in the 2 16mts candles 14.51 and 15.07 were not normal.
Yes, we have seen even wilder moves from BN earlier, but today was just stop loss hunting by the HFTs - how else would you explain a 500pts swing in 32mts??
We are not bearish as 47465 support was held, and the reason we are not bullish is that 48115 resistance was not taken out. Between these 2 levels, we would like to maintain a neutral stance.
Also decided against running nifty50 algos on Thursdays as the stakes are too high. It is better to sit the day out than risk my capital, effort, and time for the manipulative games by the HFTs.
BANKNIFTY
NIFTY : The tentative stage of a market melt-up stage PROB#2.1This analysis represents a modified view of the chart analysis initially published on TradingView on March 1, building upon the insights provided in my previous assessment labeled "NIFTY : The tentative stage of a market melt-up stage in PROB#2". The modifications take into account evolving market conditions and additional data, and it is important to recognize that market dynamics can change rapidly.
Please be advised that this updated analysis is subject to inherent uncertainties and should not be considered a standalone recommendation. It is highly recommended to refer to the original assessment labeled PROB#2 for a comprehensive understanding of the initial insights. Users are encouraged to exercise caution and conduct their own research before making any trading or investment decisions based on this modified view.
Remember that trading and investing involve risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always stay informed and consider your individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance.
NIFTY and other market charts were analyzed in their raw form: THE CURRENT STAGE
In October-November 2023, NIFTY exhibited a broadening pattern. Typically, such formations, following coiling, break either upward or downward. When formed at the top, it is generally considered a reversal pattern. However, in November 2023, it broke upwards and precisely reached the target measured to the R point (maximum width between 4 and 5 in the broadening formation) in January 2024. Subsequently, I evaluated whether, after reaching target R, NIFTY would experience a significant drawdown similar to BANKNIFTY, as depicted in the chart below. This outcome is a probable result after reaching the target.
Currently, NIFTY has moved out of the pennant coil, a continuation pattern. It is expected to make a move towards the 25200 levels (measured from 4 to R pole length), approximately 14% from the breaking point of the continuation pattern. This is anticipated to be achieved within the current year.
BANKNIFTY, upon reaching the minimum range target R in the broadening formation (attained by measuring the minimum width between 1 and 2), experienced a significant pullback back into the broadening pattern, as indicated by the orange trajectory line. This is a typical outcome of broadening formations, where reaching the target forms a strong resistance (R) and encounters substantial rejection.
As of now, BANKNIFTY has formed a W pattern (dotted orange trajectory line), and the W target, approximately 4.8% towards the previous resistance, is currently in progress.
NIFTY CHART LINK:
BANKNIFTY CHART LINK:
SOLARINDS | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Commodity Chemicals
Mkt Cap: 71,511 cr
Solar Industries is one of the worlds leading manufactures bulk explosives, packaged explosives and initiating systems, which find applications in the mining, infrastructure and construction industries.
SIL also ventured into the defense segment in 2010 and diversified into manufacturing of propellants for missiles and rockets, warheads and warhead explosives.
TTM PE : 88.64 (High PE)
Sector PE : 104.91
Beta : 0.33
📚 INSIGHTS
Strong Performer
Stock with consistent financial performance, quality management, and strong technical momentum indicating good investor enthusiasm. Currently valued at Good to expensive valuation
5.22% away from 52 week high
Outperformer - Solar Industries India up by 12.74% v/s NIFTY 50 up by 2.72% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 8/9 indicates Strong Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍
For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
COALINDIA | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Coal
Mkt Cap: 292,483 cr
Coal India Ltd is mainly engaged in mining and production of Coal and also operates Coal washeries. The major consumers of the company are power and steel sectors. Consumers from other sectors include cement, fertilizers, brick kilns etc.
TTM PE : 8.99 (High PE)
Sector PE : 18.79
Beta : 1.25
📚 INSIGHTS
Strong Performer
Stock with consistent financial performance, quality management, and strong technical momentum indicating good investor enthusiasm. Currently valued at Good to expensive valuation
2.67% away from 52 week high
Outperformer - Coal India up by 6.53% v/s NIFTY 50 down by -0.17% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 8/9 indicates Strong Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍
For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
#BankNifty directions and levels for May 22nd.BankNifty is forming a gramophone structure, which is a consolidation pattern. We can expect a rally only if it breaks the immediate resistance at 48,195 with minor consolidation. If this happens, the next target should be a minimum of 48,360, up to the 50% Fibonacci level.
Alternatively, if the market rejects around 48,195 or if there are sharp declines initially, we can expect a correction to a minimum of the 38% Fibonacci level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(22/05/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 48050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 48450 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 48550 level in todays session. Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 47950 level. also possible reversal downside 48450 level.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 22.05.2024Yesterday, BankNifty reacted from the supply zone mentioned in our previous post and closed below the previous day's low, indicating selling pressure in banking stocks.
Support Levels:
Nearest Small Support: 47,770 - 47,840
Far Support: 47,346 - 47,542
Resistance Levels:
Small Resistance: 48,210 - 48,260
Major Resistance Zone: 48,213 - 48,458 (remains the same)
More Distant Resistance: 48,784 - 49,011
21 May 2024 - BankNifty has a candle below Banknifty had a more flattish tone today compared to Nifty. The hesitance to get past the 48115 resistance was clearly visible. Even though Nifty closed the day flat, BN gave up some points ~ 151, -0.31%.
We wish to start the 22nd with a bullish view but switch back to neutral if the 48115 resistance is not getting taken out.
Since 22nd is the expiry day, the actual moves may not be conclusive. Will wait for the 3pm move to guess the direction with a higher confidence level
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow Expiry 22 MayAs we discussed, Banknifty was sideways today.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at 200 EMA, breaking off, which might lead to a double top neck break to the downside. The market is making a rising wedge pattern after a huge fall, which might be a preparation for next fall to the downside if it beaks to the downside. Important support levels will be 47800, 47387, and 47000. on the other hand, 48231, 48445, and 48587 are going to provide a good price action resistance.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.73, which has fallen from 0.98, which shows huge CE writing on the upper side, indicating a bearish structure in the market. 48000 is maxPain. On the higher side, there is a huge amount of resistance at each level. However, on the lower side, PE writing is less effective, which indicates that the market might fall in the upcoming session.
I am expecting a sideways market inside a rising wedge pattern. If it breaks down, I expect a good bearish move to the 47387 level.
Reason:
RSI is 40-60 shows the market is going to be sideways.
Price < EMA(13,200), which indicates weak bulls.
The market is making a rising wedge pattern. If it breaks to the downside, it's going to give a nice fall.
The market is making double the top if the price breaks the downside of 200 EMA. There is a high probability of market bearishness.
price < VWAP shows weak market structure.
Verdict: Sideways inside rising wedge. if breaks to downside Bearish.
Plan of action:
Sell 48200 CE and 48800 PE (Hedge it with 15/- premium)
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(21/05/2024)Today will be gap down opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty start trading below 48450 level then possible downside rally of 400-500 points upto 48050 Level & this rally can can extend another 400 points if market gives breakdown 47950 level in todays session.Any Major upside only expected in case banknifty starts trading above 48550 level.also possible reversal upside 48050 level.
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 21st.BankNifty has been consolidating after the sharp correction, which is totally different from Nifty. Anyway, if the gap-up sustains, we can expect the next target to be the 50% Fibonacci level.
An alternate scenario, similar to Nifty, suggests the possibility of a long correction if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. However, if it doesn’t break 38%, then the pullback will continue with some consolidation
Banknifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 21 May 2024Banknifty Prediction for Tomorrow and Current Week:
Trend : BEARISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Moderately BEARISH
Banknifty expected to be in range between 48300 & 47700 support and resistance Level this week respectively.
Tomorrow Banknifty likely to Open flat and BEARISH fall might be there before it moves on the higher side. However the weekly trend is going to be sideways this week so we cant expect trending move until the Election Result. Strong BEARISH fall will happen incase 47700 Support is compromised.
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 May 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 May 2024
Bullish-Above 48300
Invalid-Below 48190
T- 48720 49165
Bearish-Below 48000
Invalid-Above 48110
T- 47450
BANKNIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note with 1.64% gain last week. Index is taking 5th bounce from channel's lower trendline in daily TF. As per this ongoing pattern index will test the upper trendline. One need to check previous lows in daily TF, break of any previous will trigger a downside structure which be somehow strong. Topping out signs needs to be spotted in monthly TF. I will treat index decline till it is below 50k and bullish above the same.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 48300 then we will long for the target of 48720.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 48000. T- 47450.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty PSU Bank Index | Review and LevelsRSI = 50, Darvas Box formed at 23.60% retracement level of Fibonacci.
The index could be volatile in the range of 6840 to 7300.
The constituents could experience high volatility in the coming week.
A fresh trend is formed above the level of 7300.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
17, 18th May - BankNifty is above 48115, bullish tone continuesOn 16th, we bounced from 47465 and that really helped BN to reach upto 48115 on 17th. But it was unable to get past those levels.
Om 18th, BN got past 48115 resistance showing further bullish intent. Our next target would be 48661 and to go neutral we need to break 47465.
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow 20 May 24As we discussed Banknifty sideways or Bullish; it ended-up sideways with high volatility on upper side.
If we look at the chart:
The market is trading at support (Price action + 200 EMA support) right now. the important levels for tomorrow are 200 EMA, 48000, 47400 will be working as very good support. while 48445, and 49125 will be working as nice resistance.
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 0.98 shows bullish structure. if we notice most of the time today there was only position wind off. 48200 seems to be working as max-pain. while major shpport zone is 48000. on the higher side 48500 is going to provide a heavy resistance.
As market is in breakout phase I am expecting market yet to go higher.
Reasons:
RSI crossing 60 to upside that might be a starting of new bullish trend.
Price > EMA (13, 200), which shows the market can take support at 200 EMA and go bullish.
PCR = 0.98 shows a bullish sign.
Price > VWAP means bulls are getting strength.
The market has already given a breakout it was a good accumulation today; soon, it will shoot to the upside soon. unless there is some political news effect.
Verdict:
Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 48000 PE and 48400CE (Hedge with 20/- Premium)
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 18.05.2024BankNifty traded sideways yesterday after breaking the psychological level of 48000. The nearest support zone is identified between 47770 and 47840, with a farther support zone extending from 47482 to 47542. On the resistance side, the nearest level is between 48213 and 48458, while a more distant resistance level is seen at 48784 to 49011.
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 17th.Bank Nifty has a range-bound structure after the huge swing. If the market breaks the range, we can expect a rally continuation with minor consolidations. However, if the market faces rejection around the immediate resistance level, it may continue within the range further.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 17.05.2024BankNifty has entered the supply zone mentioned yesterday, ranging from 48051 to 48146. If BankNifty breaks above 48150, the nearest resistance zone remains at 48222 to 48457. On the downside, the nearest support zone is identified between 47160 and 47293, with a further support zone extending from 46870 to 47015.
16 May 2024 - BankNifty goes bullish, strong intraday rallyBankNifty Analysis — Stance Bullish ⬆️
The stance on BN also revised to bullish not because we took out the resistance, but due to the 707pts ~ 1.5% intraday rally that came right from the support level. Usually, powerful moves like this will have extended legs that could start appearing in days to follow.
We only need to know whether the move came out from a news event or not because if it did, then no amount of technical analysis can codify it. BN has also formed a W pattern showing bullishness.
On the 63mts TF, the final candle of the day almost fills the gap between the support and resistance. Hoping to see follow through tomorrow.
The algos were at a loss today, understandably so because of the wild swings we got today.
Bank Nifty Pefect Levels For 17/05/2024 Check My Previous Level**Analyzing Bank Nifty Index Levels for May 17, 2024**
*Building on the previously identified levels and market dynamics, let's explore the potential support and resistance zones for Bank Nifty on May 17, 2024, to guide traders in their decision-making process.*
### Support Levels:
1. **Primary Support Level:** 47814
2. **Secondary Support Level:** 47620
3. **Downside Support Level:** 47400
### Resistance Levels:
1. **Primary Resistance Level:** 48150
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**Key Insights:**
- **Support Dynamics:** Bank Nifty is anticipated to find support initially at 47814, followed by 47620. However, a breach below 47620 could lead to further downside movement, testing the 47400 level.
- **Resistance Considerations:** The primary resistance level stands at 48150. If the market breaks above this level, it may indicate a shift towards bullish momentum, potentially leading to an upside movement in Bank Nifty.
---
**Trading Strategy:**
- **Long Positions:** Consider initiating long positions cautiously if Bank Nifty holds above the identified support levels, with confirmation of bullish momentum. A breach above the resistance level of 48150 could provide opportunities for long trades.
- **Short Positions:** Traders looking to enter short positions may observe the market's behavior around the resistance level. If Bank Nifty fails to break above 48150, shorting opportunities may arise, with targets set around the support levels mentioned.
---
**Conclusion:**
As traders prepare for May 17, 2024, understanding the key support and resistance levels is crucial for devising effective trading strategies in Bank Nifty. Monitoring price action around these levels and staying adaptable to market dynamics will be essential for navigating potential fluctuations and achieving favorable trading outcomes.
*Disclaimer: The above analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.*
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 17 May 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 17 May 2024
Bullish- Above 48070
Invalid-Below 47960
T- 48665
Buy_2- From 47650
Invalid- Below 47540
T- 48100+
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.61% gain today. It was just too volatile the whole day. Twice it got sold into with a deep pullback. Index gave a sharp recovery and closed near day high. It has formed a Pin-bar candle in daily TF, above today's high we can expect good up move towards 48665. Index may find intra support near 47650 zone. We will maintain bullish view tomorrow but with TSL in 5 MIN TF.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 48070 then we will long for the target of 48665.
2nd buy can be done from 47650 zone. T- 48100+.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.