Banknifty prediction for today 19 APR 24As we discussed, Banknifty has been falling for the last four sessions.
If we look at the charts:
The market is reaching near the support trendline, which is going to provide a potential support zone for Banknifty.
if we look at the OI:
PCR = 0.67 shows the market is in a bearish phase. 47000 is going to provide a good support zone as it has good PE writing and also a logical level of support. On the higher side, above 47500, there is good CE writing at each level.
If we look at the FII & DII data , FII is strong, and bearish clients are bullish, which shows the market is going to open a gap-down.
The market should open a gap down. If the Mmarkettakes support near 46500, then a bullish comeback might be seen in the market
Reasons:
Price < EMAs shows the market is in a bearish phase. And bears are strong.
RSI < 40 shows strong bears' power. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.67, which has been falling rapidly from 1.34. shows bears are actively increasing their position size. (Bearish)
Price < VWAP shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish)
The war situation is also having a negative impact on the market. (Bearish)
Verdict : Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 47000 PE (Hedge with 15/- PE premium)
Bankniftyanalysis
#Banknifty Directions and levels of April 19th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 19th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -350 point decrease.
GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be open. Structurally, the fall may continue Unless the market breaks the fib level of 38% we can expect a decline.
My expectation is correction. The market may undergo some consolidation around any one of the support levels, but there's a possibility of further downside breaks. We can anticipate a minor trend reversal only if it breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, using the Fibonacci swing from yesterday's high to the upcoming low. If it breaks, we can assume that the minor trend has reversed."
Bank Nifty Analysis for 19-04-2024BNF is trading near the 1hour timeframe support of 47000. As mentioned in my previous analysis, once the ascending channel pattern was broken in 1 day time frame BNF took the support of 47000 zone and reversed. Still BNF is trading between zones of 47000 & 47400.
It is to be noted that BNF has fall 2000 points from its ATH in this week.
If BNF moves upward we will have a immediate resistance of 47750.
Below are the resistance levels to watch
Resistance 1 47750
Resistance 2 48250
If BNF moves downward and breaks the major support at 47000. We can expect a fall till 46600.
Below are the support levels to watch
Support 1 46600
Support 2 46000
BANKNIFTYENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.
18 Apr - BankNifty Algos did well as it was not expiry todayBankNifty Analysis — Stance Bearish⬇️
“The power of a strong support/resistance zone will help you in your technical analysis” — Anonymous.
See what happened today, BN started strong and was keeping its head above the 47465 support for a long time. Between 10.19 to 10.31, there was an attempt to break this SR, but it failed. BN reclaimed the 47700 levels and was coasting perfectly when the flash crash happened. Between 13.23 to 13.27, BN gave away 557pts ~ 1.17% also ensuring the SR breach.
By 13.39, the breach was confirmed and BN continued its downward moves. A session low of 46982 was hit at 15.15 post which we had a 240+ pts recovery.
The last 4 candles on the 63mts TF are all red and the support of 47465 has yielded. I am yet to mark the next support level, which I will do by tomorrow. I wish to hold on to my bearish view for tomorrow as well.
The Algo on BN was in good shape till the 13.23 impact took away the gains. Ended the day with a loss of 40,724.
#Banknifty directions and levels for April 18th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 18th:
Nifty and BankNifty both consolidated in the previous session, so structurally, if the gap-up doesn't sustain then we can expect further consolidation for correction.
On the other hand, if the market initially takes a pullback, the 23% Fibonacci level will act as crucial resistance. This means that after the pullback, if it rejects around the Fibonacci level of 23%, it will continue the range between the previous bottom and the recent high, and it may undergo correction. On the other hand, if it breaks or sustains (around fib 23%), then we can expect further continuation, and we can fix our next target at 38%.
If we want to simplify it, this is a range market, so we can try range breakout entries."
Bank Nifty Analysis for 18-04-2024BNF is trading near the 1hr TF support of 474000. Also it to be noted that BNF has fall 1400 points from its ATH. Still BNF is trading near the support zone of 47400 & 47600.
If BNF moves upward we will have a immediate resistance of 47800.
Below are the resistance level to watch
Resistance 1 48100
Resistance 2 48250
If BNF moves downward we can expect a major support at 47000.
There is no major support level but if breaks 47000 zone we can expect a fall till next support of 46600
While checking the chart in 1D TF we could see that its in ascending channel pattern. Probably there shouldn't be much fall but it falls breaking the pattern we can expect the fall till 46600 zone.
16 Apr - BankNifty takes support, 47465 crucial for trend conti.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
BN managed to hold on to 47465 levels quite decently. All intraday straddlers would have had a decent day as there were no swings or whipsaws. We opened below the 47465 level but managed to close above it giving some hope to the Bulls.
If we close above 47465 levels on the 18th, I might change my stance from bearish to neutral. For bearish continuation, we need strong downside momentum - agreed that we lost 288pts ~ 0.6% today, but not breaking the support level is considered a negation of the trend.
In the higher time frame, this is more obvious. See the closing 63mts candle, it is strong green with the lower part of the body right at the 47465 level. The next move would be more based on news than technical analysis, so it would even make sense to keep a close eye on macros like Iran-Israel conflict.
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BN algos ended the day with a profit of 26757, again exited prematurely in the opening 30mts itself as the time condition of the profits were met.
Banknifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 18 Apr 2024Bank nifty Prediction for Thursday:
Trend : BULLISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Strong BULLISH
Banknifty is at Fibonacci 50% retracement on the higher timeframe, and it currently sustaining for BULLISH move. If this level holds good we can expect good move on the higher side.
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
#banknifty Directions and levels for April 16th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 16th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -220 point decrease.
GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be opening. I'm just sharing Fibonacci levels. After the gap-down, if the market consolidates around any one of those levels, then we can expect further correction.
On the other hand, if it rejects sharply, then we should seek additional confirmation for a reversal. If the pullback breaks the Fibonacci level of 38% in the minor swing, then we can consider it a reversal and set our targets at 61 and 78%. However, if it doesn't break the Fibonacci level of 38%, the correction may continue as usual."
15 Apr - BN 47465 has to be taken out for strong bearishness⬇️BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
BN had a unique price action today, unlike N50 we did not see a bounce from the banks. And the lows made during the closing hours were much deeper than the opening lows. Whereas Nifty's opening low was not violated that much. Ideally, that is expected, the subsectors would fall further than the main index.
I am revising the stance on BankNifty to bearish not because of technical reasons - but due to Nifty50's bearishness + worsening global macro. Ideally, BN will have to take out 47465 to go bearish, which I suppose may be done within the opening hours of tomorrow.
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Apr 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Apr 2024
Sell_1- From 48260
Invalid-Above 48370
T- 48000 47750
Sell_2- Below 47700
Invalid-Above 47810
T- 47095
BANKNIFTY has closed on a complete bearish note with 1.63% cut today. We discussed in the weekend that index will be under bear's grip below 48400 (last week candle's low) as it was 2nd leg shooting star which I personally trade. But the funny thing is that it triggered with a big gap down. So one should wait for 48600 zone for taking the same into consideration. Tomorrow there is a possibility of a pullback of the down impulse.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 47700 then we will short for the target of 47095.
In case 48260 is tested via gap up move then we will short from there. T- 48000 and 47750.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Banknifty weekly expiry analysis for 16/04/24.The market has reacted to the war situation and has given a fall of around 800 points.
Banknifty has taken support from the 20 ema on the daily charts and the support zone around 47740 level.
Even on the hourly charts, the market is trading between both the moving averages and chances of taking support around 200 ema is there.
Tomorrow is weekly expiry and there is chance of a trending expiry move in the market as last few expiry were side ways.
Major support level :- 47750, 47400.
The market is looking bearish and the closing is below 38.2% fib levels. 50% fib level can be tested and a support around the level can be seen.
If there is a gap down opening, a recovery can be seen as many will be booking profits. Flat opening and a break down in the second half can keep the market trending.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Banknifty ananlysis for tomorrow 15 Apr 24As we discussed, Banknifty's structure opened a gap down and fell.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is making Hammers at the top. Now, the market is in a very crucial position.
It is trading at the support trendline and support zone. The market is making a rising wedge pattern. If the market breaks the pattern to the downside, it will be a good entry for the bearish position.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.7, which shows neutral market sentiments. However, in the past three days, OI activity PCR has been falling gradually from 1.34 -> 1.18 -> 0.7. which shows bears are increasing their position in the market very actively. 48500 is Max-Pain. If this level breaks, there is no support point till 48000. on the upper side, there is resistance at each level (48500-49000).
The bulls are very weak at this point.
All important levels are marked at the chart.
If we look at the FII and DII activity, the Pros are strong and bearish, and clients are bullish. This indicates the market is going to open a gap-down (probably near 200-EMA 15m-TF).
There are 2 cases right now.
Case 1: inside the channel Sideways. (Low probability)
Case 2 : If it breaks to the downside, it is bearish. (High probability)
Reasons:
EMA(200) < Price < EMA(13), which indicates Weak bulls structure in the market. (Bearish)
RSI < 40 shows strong bears' power. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.7, which has been falling rapidly from 1.34. shows bears are actively increasing their position size. (Bearish)
Price < VWAP shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish)
Verdict:
Neutral unless the market breaks the trendline and support zone to the downside.
Plan of Action : wait for an initial 10 minutes. If it breaks to the downside, GO BEARISH.
#Banknifty directions and levels for April 15th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 15th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -120 point decrease.
I'm really sorry, I can't say exactly how the market will react today because of the geopolitical issue.
However, this is my view today: if the market finds support around the immediate support level, then structurally we can expect a 23 to 38% pullback wave. If it has a three-wave structure, it's a better confirmation for correction. Even though after that pullback, if it rejects there (at 38%), then we can expect a correction that may reach once again the previous bottom. And if it breaks, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback sustains and breaks the fib level 38%, it could consolidate between the previous high and recent low.
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down breaks or consolidates around the immediate support level, it might continue the correction further."
Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis For Next Week 15-19 Apr 2024In this video, we'll discuss about Market Movement and Tomorrow's/Next Week Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
#TheStockMantra #MarketAnalysis #LearnStockMarket
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Apr 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Apr 2024
Bullish- Above 49060
Invalid-Below 48950
T- 49650
Bearish-Below 48450
Invalid- Above 48560
T- 47890
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bearish note last week as it has closed at week low and formed a shooting star candle in weekly TF. I consider only 2nd leg shooting star to trade and last week candle is that. Below 48470 it will be activated but I will personally plan positional short in the pullback near 48850 so that our risk will be small 49080. This will be executed on a bearish reversal price structure in 5 Min TF or else we will buy above 49060. Next week looks bearish.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 49060 then we will long for the target of 49650.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 48450. T- 47890.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 12 Apr 24As we discussed Banknifty, Banknifty opened a gap up and then ended sideways.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance zone. It has successfully respected the 4H-TH resistance zone, and a significant sale was made in the last 30 minutes. Banknifty gave very nice bull momentum last week. The market needs to consolidate (or correct) at this point. RSI is also showing bearish divergence.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.08 (1.18 -> 1.08), which indicates Bears are increasing their position in the market.
49000 will be acting as Max-Pain. There is not much resistance on the upper side till 49500. the lower side's next best support is 48500.
If we see FII & DII data , FII is strongly bullish on the future. Pros and Clients are Bearish on the future. Options data is indecisive, which shows that the market is likely to open sideways.
I expect the market to be sideways or bearish.
Reasons:
Price >> EMA(200), that need to be corrected. EMA(13) slop is getting flat. Which indicates bulls are getting weak.
RSI = 55 and having bearish divergence. Also, RSI is entering the 40-60 range, which might lead it to go sideways.
BN is trading in the resistance zone. And Fib 1.414.
PCR = 1.08, which has been falling from 1.34-> 1.18-> 1.08, which shows bears are increasing their positions in the market continuously.
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 49000 CE and 48600 PE (Hedge it with 20/-)
#Banknifty directions and levels for 12th April.BankNifty had a solid pullback in the last session. But it may open with a gap down. After that, if it finds support around the Fibonacci level 38% (48465 to 48378), then we can expect a range market that may experience a minimum of 38% to 61% pullback wave. On the other hand, if it doesn't sustain or undergoes minor consolidation around the Fibonacci level 38%, then the correction will likely continue.
Banknifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 12 Apr 2024BankNifty Prediction for Tomorrow
Trend : BEARISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Moderately BEARISH
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
10 Apr - The body of candles are getting shorter, end of bulls ?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Banknifty was looking strong right from the start. Unlike Nifty, BN did not have a huge gap up, but the rising trend was clear and strong. The reason it was strong was because the moves were not wild swings but slow & steady.
If you look at the 63mts candlesticks, you can notice the body becoming smaller. Usually, it is a sign of tiredness by the bulls as we are in an uptrend. We will get to know that on Friday, we wish to maintain our bullish stance till then.
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Algo Trading
Our Algos ended the day with a gain of Rs33351. I did not wait out the entire session and closed out the trades in advance expecting a wild move due to the US CPI news event.