11th Dec ’23 - BankNifty stalled today after hitting new ATHBankNifty Analysis
Banknifty disappointed a bit today. After a shaky start just like Nifty, we hit a new ATH by 10.23 - 47588. From there we cooled off a little bit and then closed flat. From the last post-mortem we hoped that it would be a day of out performance today and sadly the price action today did not live up to that expectation.
4mts chart link - click here
BankNifty was staying positive most of the day, but FinNifty was dipping below water intermittently. Was it because the banks wanted some rest today after the chilling performance on Friday? I thought they got the weekend for ample rest.
63mts chart link - click here
Conditions are still looking favorable for BankNifty’s breakout-dance. Maybe it could take a day or two to get some breath. Since we have FinNifty expiry tomorrow, the price action may not be purely natural. FinNifty option sellers would prefer to keep it range-bound. I wish to maintain the bullish stance on BankNifty tomorrow also and if we fall or close below 47000 level, I may have to take a pause and change stance to neutral.
Bankniftyintradaysetup
4th Dec ’23 - BankNifty has more firepower than Nifty for upmoveBankNifty Analysis
The real reason for the outperformance on Nifty50 = BankNifty today. In the last newsletter, we discussed how relevant BankNifty’s next move would turn out to be. Would you believe we took out the ATH today and the new value is 46484.45?
5mts chart link - click here
BankNifty went on to take out the 45399 resistance in the gap-up open itself. The momentum was so strong that it was not retested at all. We went flat for a bit but started trending after 12.10. The total gains today was an astonishing 1617pts ~ 3.61%. The options premiums were going crazy today - even the OTM put options. Such was the euphoria today. NiftyIT was not participating at all in the rally today, but I am sure no one would have noticed that as it was overshadowed by BankNifty’s outperformance.
1D chart link - click here
BankNifty has just managed to climb back up to the double top pattern set on 21st July & 15th Sep. Since today’s green marubozu looks pretty strong, we can safely assume we are past that threat. Momentum-wise, BN has more firepower than Nifty for the immediate short term. I prefer to stick with my long stance until 45399 support level is taken out.
30th Nov ’23 - BankNifty stalled today, not sure of the reasonBankNifty Today Analysis
From yesterday’s analysis, I was long into BankNifty and was quite surprised to see the breach of support level 44542 by 09.45. The candle that crossed this SR line took out 154pts, luckily no damage was done and we found a safety net at 44280 levels.
5mts chart link - click here
I have not fully subscribed to the idea that the opening fall was due to the over-buying yesterday. Anyway, the bears were not able to overpower the bulls today, if so then we should have retested the 44063 levels. I do not plan to change my stance to neutral until that happens.
1hr chart link - click here
The exit polls declared after hours today might show its impact in the forenoon session. I did not carry forward any position for tomorrow and decided to play as it is after the opening. If Banknifty is not able to accelerate to the next resistance of 45399, it could pose some trouble to the current trend. We all know how important the banks are for Nifty’s ATH recoup.
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BankNifty Monthly and Weekly Analysis
BankNifty gained an impressive 1023pts ~ 2.36% over the last week, whereas the monthly gains of 1446pts ~ 3.36% were sub-par compared with Nifty. One of the reasons could be attributed to the news event on 17th Nov that took out some bullish momentum on banks.
21st Nov ’23 BankNifty PostMortem - Stance changed to Neutral !BankNifty Analysis
BankNifty was perfectly neutral in trade today. I had a bearish call from yesterday but seeing the moves today it makes sense to switch back to the neutral mode. One reason why its not picking up direction would be attributed to the unavailability of information on the recent announcement by RBI. When the risk weights of consumer loans and credit cards were increased by 25% - maybe the market is still gauging the impact of this news.
5mts chart link - click here
Few major banks had reported the decision would be similar to a 55bps to 60bps rate in interest. Note, the interest rates are not getting raised, the sucking of liquidity will give such a perception. According to me, a 55bps rate hike kind of feeling is not something that should be taken lightly. Meanwhile as a trader, I would prefer to wait for the markets to decide on where it goes next.
1hr chart link - click here
On the 1hr TF, BankNifty has fallen from the recent swing high of 44420, it had amassed gains of 2321pts ~ 5.51% between 26th Oct to 16th Nov (A short span), so it looks like the bulls have not given up yet, and the bears are still not able to make inroads. The support of 43566 has proven quite strong in the last 3 sessions and the next resistance of 44063 is quite far away. Since we are in an indecision zone, I would like to revise my stance from bearish to neutral and go short only if the 43404 support is also getting knocked out.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 01/11/2023The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 01-11-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
Banknifty daily analysis for 10/10/23.Banknifty has closed more than 1% lower on the daily charts but it took support around the major support levls of 43800.
The market remained in a first hour candle and has closed below both the moving averages on the hourly chart.
There are chance of a trending market as there is weekly expiry of another finance index.
For last 2 weeks there were no trend expiry of the 2 finance indices. So there is much possibility of market giving a trend move.
On 15 minutes charts, it has closed below both the moving averages. 20 ema is providing market a resistance and it has been retested.
The RSI indicator is showing a bullish divergence. The Indian market are strong but due to the global news there was a gap down opening.
Support :- 43840, 43740, 43480
Resistance :- 44120, 44250
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 6th OctBankNifty is under performing Nifty from last a few trading sessions but if sustains above 44300 we expect to see some up move and more strength above 44400 can be seen.
Expectations: Volatile Day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 44300
Sell Below - 44100
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
NiftyBank Expiry Trade setup 24th Aug 2023NiftyBank Expiry Trade setup 24th Aug 2023
Looking for profitable Options trading opportunities for the week of 24th Aug-25th In this Blog I'll be sharing the option buying and selling levels for Banknifty for the week 24th Aug 2023,Learn how to make informed decisions and maximize your returns in the stock market. Don't miss out on this valuable trading insight! Join me as we analyze the market and identify potential winning trades. Get ready to take your trading game to the next level.
Disclaimer:
I do not give any tips or buy sell recommendation I only teach trading strategies.
These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my view.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision
Banknifty daily analysis for 22/08/23.Banknifty opened gap up and retested the trendline. The market has closed 150 points higher and remained in a upmove during the first half of the trading session.
It has formed a perfect doji on the daily charts but is still not showing some conviction of holding higher levels.
On the hourly charts, market gave a nice upmove and took resistance around 44100 levels and there was a sell off from the exact same levels. Banknifty has closed around the 20 ema and looks as it is taking some kind of a support from the level.
In the second half of the session market slowly lost points and closed around the round figure number of 44000.
On 15 minutes time frame, the market looked jittery as there was not a steady up or down move in the market. Market is still in a confusion state.
Support :- 43930, 43740
Resistance :- 44090, 44320
Market test the resistance zone of 44100 levels many time and tomorrow if there is a break out chance of a nice trending market can be seen.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Banknifty daily analysis for 08/08/23.Banknifty today was too volatile and closed almost flat to negative losing 42 points.
It has been trading below the 20 ema and today also it closed below the levels while nifty has closed above its 20 ema.
Both the indices were range bound and traded in opposite direction. Even after a gap up opening banknifty couldn't keep the gain.
On the hourly charts, dojis were formed and it tried to cross 45k levels but took rejection from the levels and closed around 44800 levels. Market traded around the 20 ema and has closed below both the movinga averages.
It remained in a 250 points range which is good as the breakout will be good after consolidation.
Support :-44800, 44625
Resistance :- 45000, 45100, 45500
Upper Long wick rejection can be in hourly charts and a constant rejection from 20 ema seems that market can test lows.
Scalp trades can be done in this market as intraday trades can fetch loses due to the volatility market is creating.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 10th JulyBankNifty has formed bearish price action, be cautious on buying particularly for tomorrow.
Expectations: Volatile Day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 45230
Sell Below - 44870
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team