16 Aug 2024 - BankNifty stance is neutral, magical recovery.BankNifty Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty gets an upgrade, but not to bullish but to neutral from bearish. We have managed to go up by 27pts ~ 0.05% in the current week, but this after a dramatic fall and then a recovery. 82% of this recovery coming on Friday the 16th, i.e. 698pts out of 851.
BankNifty went down to 49654 a level that we last saw on 6th Aug, and then magically rebounded. I know the frustration of the bears to drive down the prices because I am one of them.
I am a bear not because I do not negate the belief in India's growth story, but because of 2 important facts.
The primary reason for the huge influx of money to stock markets was that the average business owners felt the capital markets were giving better returns than their own enterprises.
People look at the order book and hope that there is someone else ready to buy the stock at a higher price and hence they are saved.
LIC To Invest Around Rs 1.3 Lakh Crore In Stock Market In Fiscal 2025
The news that LIC is ready to invest 130,000,000,000 in stock markets will definitely give courage to the average retail investor. All of them believe if they buy the shares of a company XYZ for Rs2000, the influx of more money will be forced to buy XYZ for a higher price and hence they are safe. For me that is froth.
The only reason the markets are going up even when the FIIs are not on a buying spree is due to the accidental courage the retail investors have got as they think the domestic institution is there to catch them.
Bankniftytradesetup
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 19 Aug 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 19 Aug 2024
Bullish-Above 50610
Invalid-Below 50500
T- 51175
Bearish-Below 50100
Invalid-Above 50210
T- 49650
BANKNIFTY has closed on a flat note last week. However it has formed double Pinbar candle in weekly TF indicating a potential bullish reversal above 50850. Index has been trading between 51800 and 49700 in daily since last 8 sessions. Breakout in the upside will be followed by 50 EMA breakout in daily TF. 50610 and 50110 will be intraday levels for tomorrow. Sell on rise approach to be halt till we get fakeout scenario now.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 50610 then we will long for the target of 51175.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 50100. T- 49650.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Banknifty direction's and levels for August 16th. Bank Nifty has a range-bound market structure. There are two possible scenarios:*
1. *If the market finds support around at the 78% Fibonacci level, we can expect a bounce back that may once again reach today's high.*
2. *If the market consolidates around those support levels, (the 78% Fibonacci level), then the correction may continue further.*
*In my personal opinion, if you're a conservative trader, it's advisable to go with the latter scenario(2nd one), as there is a 60% probability of success.*
BankNifty - Inventory Analysis with Market Profile - 16 Aug 2024Hi hope you all are doing good, and in today's video i want to share where the positions are being accumulated in BankNifty and why i am long biased.
Area where price stability is seen = 49969
Stops seen = 49817
Area where sellers are competing = 51000
Area where buying interest or supply will shut off = 47500
Disclaimer: Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.08.2024Support Levels:
Major Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 49530 - 50253 (currently inside the zone)
Far Support: 48858 level (61.8% FIBO Retracement level)
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 50200 - 50343
Far Resistance Level: 51750
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m) for Weekly Trade: 51309 - 51609
BANKNIFTY FOR 16 AUG#Execution only after break and close above or below from resistance or support 15-minute candle.
#Stop Loss above or below from resistance or support 15-minute candle.
(S/R Levels Will be Flipped in The Situation of Gap up OR Gap down Open, Support Will Turn in Resistance and Resistance Will Turn in Support)
(This Analysis and idea is based only on support and resistance mechanism, Buy after resistance break and close above sell after support break and close below, Closing below resistance after trade will be stop loss likewise closing above support will be a stop loss after trade)
NOTE- Only for Education Purpose. This is not any kind of Trading advice I am giving by this analysis.
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Bank Nifty Reversal Trade-Setup with Great RRBank Nifty is trading at big demand zone and and we see significant potential for an upside move for several reasons:
Reasons for Going Long in Bank Nifty:
1. Ichimoku Daily Cloud Bottom
2. Ichimoku Weekly KS Support
3. Bullish MACD Divergence on the 1-hour time frame
4. Completing Triple Correction—WXYXZ (considering a truncated scenario; otherwise, BN might aim for the 127% and 161.8% levels mentioned in the earlier post)
CMP: 49,718
Expected Targets: 51,300, 51,700
Stop Loss: 49,590
Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bank Nifty Next Move and Possible Reversal Zones. Bank Nifty is in a nice downtrend, and we feel it's forming a "WXYXZ" wave pattern.
Ichimoku Signals: One hour Cloud SSB rejected the price and currently trading below TS KS, indicating the bearish trend will continue and go down for wave Z, and expected destinations are:
127.2% == 49342
161.8% == 48935
Stop Loss = One hour candle above TS KS (50573) should be fine.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 14.08.2024On Monday, BankNifty opened with a gap down, breached the 30m Demand zone, and closed at 49831.85, losing 746 points. After yesterday's decline, the weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, but the daily trend (50 SMA) has turned negative.
Support Levels:
Major Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 49530 - 50253 (currently inside the zone)
Far Support: 48858 level (61.8% FIBO Retracement level)
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 50222 - 50268
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 51325 - 51400 (inside the 125m Supply Zone)
Far Resistance Level: 51750
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m) for Weekly Trade: 51309 - 51609
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 14th.1st Scenario:
>Even if the market opens with a gap-up, structurally it may not sustain. If this happens, we can expect the correction to continue towards the levels of 49,697 to the demand zone when it breaks the previous day’s low.
>After that correction, if the market finds support around the major support levels, we might see a 23% to 38% bounce back. However, this bounce is not guaranteed; if it doesn’t occur, the correction may continue with minor consolidations.
2nd Scenario:
If the gap-up sustains structurally, we can expect an initial bounce back of 23% to 38%. Usually, sharp movements bounce back within this range. If the price gets rejected at this level, the major trend will likely continue. However, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level solidly, the current movement may shift to a range-bound market. But the probability of this is less likely.
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 14 AugAs Banknifty is showing a huge sell-off today, the market is in bearish sentiments, followed by the Heisenberg report on the SEBI chairperson.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the 4H-TF support trendline zone(Marked in Green) and 200 EMA (4H-TF). price is trading below the ema(13, 50, 200) shows market is in bearish phase. The market might take support here, or if it breaks down to the downside, it's going to take support at 49000 next, as can also be confirmed with OI data.
Support levels : 49683, 200 EMA (4H-TF)
Resistance levels : 50 EMA, 200 EMA
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.55 shows bearish market behavior. There has been a huge PE sell-off today, which shows bulls are not trusting the market anymore and come out. There is too much CE writing at higher levels than PE writing at lower levels, which shows a high chance of a bearish market in the upcoming session.
I am expecting the market to follow 3 cases which are marked on the chart.
Case 1 : if it opens the gap down, it might touch the trendline and take support 49000.
Case 2 : if the market opens a gap-up, it will take resistance at 50 EMA, and then it might continue the bearish momentum.
Case 3: If it opens sideways, wait for the price action at the green trendline zone.
Reason:
RSI < 40, showing the market is going to be in a bearish structure.
Price trading at 200 EMA (4H-TF), which might provide good support.
PCR = 0.55 shows that the market is huge Bearish.
Price < VWAP shows a Bearish market structure.
Verdict : Bearish or sideways
Plan of action:
See the price action at the green trendline zone. There have been marked three cases.
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 14 Aug 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 14 Aug 2024
Sell_1- From 50440
Invalid-Above 50550
T- 48900
Sell_2- Below 49700
Invalid-Above 49810
T- 48900
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 1.48% cut today. Index has been trading between 54800 and 49700 in daily TF since last 7 sessions. Breakout will give us the next directional move with momentum. As of now index looks ready to dive below 49700. 48900 will be 1st target if sell triggers tomorrow. As stated many time index is still sell on rise, follow the same approach.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 4700 then we will long for the target of 48900.
In case of a gap up we will short from 50440. T- 49800.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 13th.Bank Nifty Analysis
Bank Nifty is showing a diagonal pattern. In the previous session, it had significant swings, but they closed near neutral by the end of the day. If we simplify it, we can say it's a range market. However, structurally, it’s a diagonal pattern, and there’s no real difference between the two because both are time adjustment patterns.
So, we should wait for a breakout from this range, whether to the upside or downside. If it breaks out, we can expect only a minor trend initially because the structure suggests there isn’t a big move ahead. But if we see a solid breakout candle, then we can expect stronger momentum. This forms our basic structure. However, if the range isn’t broken, the market will likely continue moving within it.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.08.2024On Monday, BankNifty opened with a minor gap down but rebounded over 650 points from the day's low, reaching a high of 50830.70 before closing at 50577.95, up by 93 points. During the session, BankNifty breached the resistance level of 50750 but could not sustain above it for long. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is negative.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 50149 - 50305
Major Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 49530 - 50253
Far Support Level: 48858 (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level)
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Level: 51750
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 51325 - 51400 (inside the 125m Supply Zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m) for Weekly Trade: 51309 - 51609
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 12th. In the previous session, Bank Nifty closed with consolidation after a significant gap-up. If the market breaks the previous high, then we can expect a minor rally, but not a big one. A big rally is expected only if the breakout occurs with a solid green candle and some consolidation around the immediate resistance level. However, if this doesn't happen, the market may reject at that level and continue in its current range, which is our first scenario.
Alternatively, if the market initially declines, the 38% Fibonacci level will act as a key support. If the market finds support there, the range-bound movement may continue. On the other hand, if it breaks below the 38% level, we can expect the correction to continue.