#Banknifty directions and levels for June 7th.ankNifty also exhibits the same sentiment. There is a sub-wave five, which is a distribution wave, potentially with lower volume. If this happens, the 78% Fibonacci level might act as strong resistance. On the other hand, if the pullback has a solid structure, we can expect the rally to continue with some consolidation.
The alternative variation is also the same: if the initial market takes a correction, then we can expect a range market. On the other hand, if the correction consolidates or breaks the 78% Fibonacci level, then it may fall further.
Bankniftytradesetup
Bank Nifty experienced Range bound session on Thursday Indian benchmark witnessed Range bound session after prev day recovery,
Bank Nifty remained in opening range after small positive opening
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 50k zone
whereas downside support is around 48000 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show volatility in 1st half due to RBI Policy outcome
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
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06 June 2024 -BankNifty slightly bullish above 48947BankNifty Analysis
BankNifty opened gap up and quite above the 48947 resistance line. The beauty of the price action today was that, we never fell below this support level - this could be taken as evidence of bullishness.
And like old times, the pattern appears to be a W, double bottom. Each of the levels appears perfectly landing on either the support or the resistance levels. The outperformance today was from SBI, quite on the expected lines as PSU sectors could continue the euphoric status due to policy continuation.
We are slightly bullish on banknifty and expect to take out the last ATH levels of 49952 soon, I am not sure about 51133 as of now though.
#Banknifty directions and levels for June 6th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 6th:
The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also shows a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 180 points.
Nifty and Bank Nifty both have had a solid pullback. Still, the market is moving based on events, so technical participation is less. However, let's look at the wave structure.
According to the wave structure, the market is moving in a five-three-five pattern, which means a zig-zag pattern. Currently, the first five waves are completed, and we are progressing through the three-wave pullback. Its maximum pullback level is the Fibonacci level of 78%. If the market rejects around the immediate resistance or the Fibonacci level of 78%, we can expect a trend reversal (bearish trend).
The important thing is we should take reversal confirmation by using the EMA20 or the Fibonacci level of 38% breakout in the minor swing. If these conditions are met, then we can assume the trend has turned into a correction phase. This is our wave structure. Now we can look at the basic price action structure.
Despite the market's recent drastic fall, the pullback follows the same structure. Whenever the market takes a sharp movement, it could retrace only 23 to 38%. So today, we expect that if the market rejects either one of the resistances, we can expect a 23 to 38% correction.
Note: The market does not necessarily take a correction. If it rejects sharply, then we can expect this. Otherwise, if it consolidates or breaks around the resistance, then the rally will likely continue
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 06.06.2024BankNifty gained 4.5% yesterday and closed inside the 15-minute resistance zone mentioned in the last post. If it breaks above 49,700, we might see selling pressure at the daily resistance zone starting at 50,092.
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (30m) for Intraday: 47,386 - 48,000
Near Support Zone (15m) for Intraday: 46,511 - 46,833
Near Support Zone (Daily): 45,661 - 46,330 (remains the same)
Far Support Zone (Weekly): 42,105 - 43,915
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (15m) for Intraday: 48,986 - 49,700 (remains the same)
Major Resistance/Supply Zone (Daily): 50,092 - 51,133.20
05 Jun 24 Fibonacci levels correlates to SR levels of BankNiftyBanks had a higher aggression today, but just like the comments I posted in Nifty's post mortem report - I do not wish to go long yet. Take a look at the Fibonacci levels drawn for BankNifty's price action last 3 days.
100% level is at 51119
0% at 46267 - quite near my SR level of 46284
23.6% level is @ 47412, quite near 47477 SR
38.2% level is @ 48120, my support/resistance @ 48115
50% level is @ 48693, my marked SR is 48661
61.8% level is @ 49265, my closest SR is 48947.
In the final 30 minutes, we closed below the 61.8% level. The best I could think of is to change the stance to neutral now and then go long if 50080 levels are getting taken out, but I do not have a marked level around the 50000 levels yet - mostly because the price action was quite shallow there.
From a macro perspective, it is too early to judge if what we had was the continuation of the stubborn bull rally or just a minor pull back to yesterday's near 10% drop. Would like to watch this space pretty closely before taking major directional decisions.
Bankknifty prediction for tomorrow 6 Jun 24Banknifty gave a really big bullish moment today. It's still an effect, and the market boomed 2000 points.
If we look at the chart now:
The market gave really big momentum to the upside. The market is trading above EMA, which shows that the market is really bullish right now. There is also a bullish EMA(13, 50) crossover, which indicates that the market is in a bullish phase now.
Support levels: 48639, 47475, and 46504
resistance levels: 49528, 50161, 50938
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.86, which has increased from 0.47, shows a huge bullish sign in the market. 49000 is the max-pain. Lower levels have better PE writing than higher levels. The market is making a completely bullish structure.
VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1: Sideways in range of 48639-49528.
Case 2: On either side, it breaks to either side's trade accordingly.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullishmarket structure.
PCR = 0.86 has risen from 0.47 and shows great signs of bullishness.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in range of 48639-49528. and Volatile on either side, it breaks.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 48650 PE & 49500 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks.
Banknifty prediction for today 5 Jun 24As we discussed, Banknifty, because of the event(election result) based trading, we are not going to trade. The fog is now clear, and we have which government is going to be there. Now, the market will be stable in 1 day or two.
If we look at the chart now:
The market had a massive fall yesterday because the election result was not as favorable as expected by the exit poll. Now, the market has reached a temporary support level of 46110 and a minor resistance level of 47837. The market is going to be sideways in the range of 46110-47837. The market might have good momentum on either side if it breaks.
Support levels:46110
resistance levels: 200 EMA, 47837, 49534
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.47, which shows a bearish structure. 47000 is the max pain. Maximum positions have been added at 46500 and 46000, which is going to provide good support. On the upper side, 47000 and 47500 have good CE writing.
I am expecting the market to be:
Case 1 : Sideways in range of 46110-47837.
Case 2 : On either side, it breaks to either side.
The market is going to have high volatility because the VIX is still 26.74(Very High).
Reason:
RSI is 40-60 shows a sideways structure.
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bearish market structure.
PCR = 0.47 shows a market bearish sign.
Price < VWAP shows that a bearish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in the range of 46110-47837 and Volatile on either side it breaks.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 46100 PE & 47800 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 05.06.2024Huge selling was witnessed yesterday due to election results that did not align with exit polls. A big red candle on the daily chart broke almost all near supports of the last two months, breaking the support trendline and taking support at the daily demand zone of 45,661 - 46,330 (which was already tested once in the past).
Support Levels:
Near Minor Support Zone (Daily): 45,661 - 46,330
Far Support Zone (Weekly): 42,105 - 43,915
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (15m) for Intraday: 48,986 - 49,700
Major Resistance/Supply Zone (Daily): 50,092 - 51,133.20
Bank Nifty fell by around 5000 points in Tuesday session...!Indian benchmark showed correction & lose more than 6%
on Vote counting day.
Bank Nifty broke down the trendline & showed sharp correction
to slip easily below imp support levels
A Big Long candle has formed on Daily TF, erased last few months gains
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 48600/800 level
whereas downside support is around 45950 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show Choppiness after today's sharp fall.
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
04 Jun 2024 - If Circuit triggered on BankNifty, further panicBankNifty Analysis
The intraday fall on BankNifty was approx 5028pts ~ 9.84%, a few more points would have triggered the lower circuit and we would have had a pause of 30 to 45mts. The Lower circuit hit would have opened the floor to further fall due to panic and somehow magically the reversal came and it really saved the day.
If you look at the daily chart, the reversal came right at the 46284 support level, this was after breaking 48947, 48661, 48115, and 47465 (critical) supports. How that played out today was quite panic-creating.
Our stance is revised to bearish till proven wrong. Expecting some more volatility going forward, once the situation normalizes - will be more than happy to switch on the Algos with full thrust.
A coalition government is really good for the option traders, the uncertainty will spice up the option premiums. I could say with a decent level of confidence that a bit of fear is good for financial markets, after all, we were in a blind one sided rally.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 04.06.2024After yesterday's GAP UP opening and high closing, the last Friday's high-low range will serve as a good support if we see a correction from high levels.
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (Daily): 48,569 - 49,123
Further Support Zone (Daily): 47,435 - 48,260
Bank Nifty crossed the level of 50,000 for first time ever ...!The market witnessed the session of june 3 with Robust gains,
following Exit polls results.
After Big Gap up opening Bank Nifty remained in postivie momentum & closed near 51000 level
A Big Bullish candle is formed on daily chart
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 51200 level
whereas downside support is around 50000 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show volatility during the Election Results on june 4
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
03 Jun 2024 - BankNifty has more steam left even after 4% rallyLast week we wrapped up the discussion saying BankNifty is looking more bullish than Nifty. We also said the torch bearer would be Banks in case of a positive scenario. India's growth story will have to come via Bank's is their base case, this explains the 40% plus dependency of the index on Financial Sectors.
BankNifty managed to close higher than the open value, almost 2000pts ~ 4% in what became a mega gap. The new ATH is 51106, notice that we managed to conquer 51000 levels too.
Our stance is bullish with the first support at 49937 levels.
Once the counting is in progress tomorrow - we could expect real volatility and fake moves too. We would get exact clarity only by Wednesday, Jun 5th, incidentally it's an expiry day too.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 03.06.2024As GIFTNIFTY indicates a GAP UP opening, we might see a new all-time high today for BankNifty. Here are the high time frame support and resistance zones instead of intraday levels:
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (Daily): 47,435 - 48,260
Far Support: 48,017 (61.8% FIBO level of the last swing)
Further Down Support Zone (Previous Low): 46,983
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (Daily): 49,396 - 49,974.75
Short Term Trading Opportunity in Cummins India for >15% UpsideHi,
NSE:CUMMINSIND has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly and Monthly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Bank NIfty relatively outperformed in last week Bank NIfty also gave negative returns in last week but relatively outperfomed
Bank Nifty witnessed correction in 1st half
& some recovery in 2nd part of last week
Upside hurdle is placed near 49200/400 level
whereas imp downside support zone is around 48400
Market may show volatility during the Results of elections
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024 | Loksabha TradingBANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024
Bullish-Above 49150
Invalid-Below 49000
T- 50570 52170
BANKNIFTY has closed on a neutral note last week unlike NIFTY being on a slight bearish note. This means that there is a divergence of strength which will lead BANKNIFTY being stronger than NIFTY in the coming days. As per Exit Polls it looks that there can a huge short covering rally ahead of result day. In the coming days 52250 zone can be tested. High chance of a big gap up on Monday so follow 10 o'clock range breakout.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 49150 then we will long for the target of 52170.
High chance of a gap up so follow 10 o'clock range to build trade with calculated risk.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
State Bank of India can show momentum outside the narrow Range Stocks to Keep in Radar for Next Week
⏩ SBIN
⏩ NMDC
⏩ BHEL
⏩ DLF
SBIN is consolidating in narrow range from past many sessions
If decisively sustains outside the Box range, directional movement could be possible
However in case of Bearish pattern at upper end of range
it may come back to prev week's range
Important downside support is around 800 zone
whereas upside hurdle is aroud 845/850 level
*Election Results can create Volatility in the Maket
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
BULL CALL SPREAD BANK NIFTY FOR 05 JUNE EXPIRYBANK NIFTY Bull Call Spread for Election Result Expiry
BUY 4 Lots BANK NIFTY 05 JUN 49000 CE
BUY 1 Lot BANK NIFTY 05 JUN 50000 CE
SELL 4 Lots BANK NIFTY 05 JUN 49500 CE
Margin Required : 84,409
Max Profit : Unlimited
Max Loss : 24,675 (29%)
Break Even at Expiry : 49,411
Target 1 : 50543 (3%) Projected Profit 13,400 (15%)
Target 2 : 50943 (4%) Projected Profit 20,733 (25%)
Target 3 : 51,433 (5%) Projected Profit 28,070 (33%)
Stop Loss : None/ As per your risk
Analysis Next Week 03-07 June 2024 | Lok Sabha Election ResultsIn this video, we'll discuss about Market's Last Week Movement and we will try to analyze Coming Week's probabilities in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
#TheStockMantra #MarketAnalysis #LearnStockMarket
31 May 2024 - BankNifty stance is neutral, slightly bullish toneBankNifty was unable to break the 48947 resistance today, except for the 10.18 candle, rest 5 candles touched the 48947 resistance level. In 3 instances we went above, but could not sustain. If any of the candles closed above this level, I would have changed the stance to bullish. As of now maintaining the neutral stance with a slightly bullish tone.
All eyes are on the election exit polls today and then the actual results on June 4th. Banks and financial sectors will be the first to react to any news, rumors, or press releases. Unlike other developed markets, finances are the most important sector in our listed space.
Copy pasting my expectations for markets next week, post election results
1. 400+ seats - up 5%+
2. 270 to 399 seats - down 5 to 10%
3. less than 270 seats - down 25%
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 3 June | MondayAs we discussed, the Banknifty sideways and bullish structure market gave a volatile move in the uptrending channel range, as we discussed in case 1.
If we look at the chart now:
The market took very nice support from 200 EMA and is moving in an uptrending channel. The market is also making an inverted Flag & pole pattern, which is a bearish pattern. If the market breaks the pattern to the downside, it might make a nice bearish move.
Support levels: 200 EMA, 448487, 48223, 48000
resistance levels: 49061, 49315, 49650
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.76, which has fallen from 0.82, shows the market is turning to a bearish side. 49000 is max pain. Maximum positions have been added at 49500 and 50000. on the lower side, 48500 and 48000
People are making Strange for election results. That can also be seen on the chart.
People are making short strangle in a wide range as premiums are already skyrocketing.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : Sideways in the uptrending channel.
Case 2 : if the market breaks the channel to the downside, the market will turn bearish.
With a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 24.60.
Reason:
RSI is 40-60 shows a sideways structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bullish market structure, but as it is moving in the channel bullish direction is not yet confirmed
The last two candles have given good volume at the buy candle as well as good volume at the sell-off, which indicates sideways market pressure.
PCR = 0.82 shows good market bullish sign.
Price > VWAP shows that a bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in the channel and bearish if it breaks to the downside.
Plan of action:
Case 1: Sideways: Sell 49200 CE & 48500 PE (Hedge it with 50/- premium options)
Case 2: Bearish: Sell 49200 CE (Hedge it with 50/- CE option)