02 May 2024 - BankNifty is not bearish yet, still holding gainsBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️
BankNifty's pattern is quite interesting, unlike N50, it did not even attempt to recoup the losses in the last hour of the previous session. It is too early to comment if it is bearishness as the charts do not say so. But the way a few banks dropped today was quite worrying. Despite that, BN did not cede ground - quite surprising on how the other banks came to stabilize the index after Kotak took the beating.
On the 63mts TF, BN looks bullish still - but the obvious thing it had to do was to retrace at least 50% of the RED candle @ 14.30 yesterday. The run up so far has been more than expected, so taking a pause or even giving up some gains is not bad at all. We wish to start the day with a bullish tone and then go neutral if 48934 is getting breached.
Algos made only 859 INR today.
Bankniftytradesetup
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024
bullish- Above 49550
Invalid-Below 49440
T- 50075 50685
Bearish-Below 49100
Invalid-Above 49210
T- 48550 48050
BANKNIFTY has closed with a slight cut of 0.34% today. It did not give the pullback move expected as our main criteria was that Tuesday's low should have been safe as discussed on Tuesday EOD. As index gave a breakout of ATH few days back so bulls may try to close at ATH levels, so 49550 will play an important swing to initiate a bullish move. Below 49110 index will dive towards plotted 0.618 half bat.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 49550 then we will long for the target of 50075 and 50685.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 49100. T- 48550 and 48050.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Banknifty Directions and levels for May 2nd.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for May 2nd:
The global market is still maintaining a moderately bearish trend, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +30.
Nifty and BankNifty have the same structure, and structurally there is a sub-wave 4th going on. It's a consolidation zone, so if the market opens with a gap-up and sustains it, then we can expect a range market. However, if the market sustains around the Fibonacci level of 78%, it could break out. Even though it breaks the Fibonacci level of 78%, structurally, it may not take that much of a rally because the upcoming wave is a 5th wave, and the 5th wave is typically a distribution wave.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain and declines initially, we can expect a minor correction with a pullback structure. The aggressive correction will occur only if it breaks the immediate support level with some minor consolidation.
30 Apr 2024 - BankNifty's last candle takes out the full dayBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️
Banknifty does a perfect parabola and it really went by the script. Even though my Algos are non-directional - it has a huge hit rate on expiry days as the ATMs usually go to zero and the risk: reward is quite favorable. Despite having a directional move today, the slow grinding worked out in my favor until the 13.59 candle.
We rallied 474pts ~ 0.96% in 12 minutes and then fell 723pts ~ 1.45% in the last 60. I am quite sure, there is absolutely no way you can capture that kind of move via an algo. If you know someone who made money from this move, let me know - I am ready to be his/her student.
On the 63mts TF, notice the last candle, after hitting a new ATH - the profit booking brought us down below the previous close. The entire day's gain was wiped out in a single candle.
Algos were sailing perfectly till the 13.59 candle, quite happy to have given out only 49233 INR as losses today.
BANKNIFTY | Investment opportunity in BANKBEESDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
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BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 May 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 May 2024
Sell_1- From 49700
Invalid-Above 49810
T- 49390
Sell_2- Below 49240
Invalid-Above 49350
T- 48650
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bearish note as day ended near day low. It has formed a shooting star just after the breakout so may not be of that use also day was closed flat closing basis. High chance of a bounce towards 49700 if today's low will be untouched tomorrow, same can act as intraday resistance. Below 22240 post bounce atleast 0.382 from 49975 we will short. Index may find a strong support near 48600-50 zone.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 49240 then we will short for the target of 48650.
2nd short will be planned from 49700 in case of a gap up. T- 49390
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Banknifty directions and levels for April30th.BankNifty has a solid bullish structure, so if the initial market rejects, we can expect a maximum retracement of 23 to 38% because it could be in a 4th correctional wave. Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains, then we can expect rally continuation with minor consolidation.
29 Apr 2024 - BankNifty hits a new ATH, becomes torch bearer...BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️
We were quite sure BN would be bullish today but honestly did not think we would gain 1223 points ~ 2.54% in total. ICICI Bank had good quarterly results, but the outperformance was unexpected, that really fuelled the rally today.
Can you believe, BN overshadowed NiftyIT, reclaimed the torchbearer status, and then hit a new ATH of 49473.6 today? NiftyIT is almost 13% down from its ATH, whereas BN is looking strong and roaring.
The main reason, Nifty went up 1% was attributed to the outperformance in the banks, otherwise it would have ended the day flat. Honestly, there weren't any good news for Nifty to rally, unlike Banks which had good quarterly results impact.
All 6 candles are in green today and all of them are with long bodies, such a treat to the eyes. Let us wait and watch how the expiry will play out tomorrow. My non-directional algo hit a loss of -83618 INR today, quite expected as the index went directional today.
Banknifty analysis for tomorrow 30 Apr 24As we discussed, Banknifty, if it takes support at 200 EMA, will make a higher high, but we didn't expect that heavy bullishness.
If we look at the chart:
The market is trading in the 4H-TF resistance zone; it has also broken an all-time high. That indicates bulls are very powerful, and today's moment reflects that. The price is very far from the EMAs(50, 200). there is a chance the market might consolidate here for 1 or 2 days.
All important levels have been marked at the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.65, which has risen from 0.76. it's a very strong change in OI that shows there is something very big event coming up. 49500 and 50000 are showing significant resistance levels. Other than that, not much of the CE is written on higher levels.
On lower levels, there is heavy PE writing that shows that the Bulls are in full control of the market.
FII and DII data do not give much information today.
I expect the market to consolidate here for 1 or 2 days. After that, we will plan our trade according to the price action.
Verdict: Sideways at Resistance
Plan of action : Wait for the market to make some price action here.
BankNifty Analysis for 30-04-2024 expiryBanknifty has reached its all time high of 49473.
Banknifty moved nearly 1200+ point and touched its new high. Also, its to be noted that Banknifty expiry is tomorrow as its an trading holiday on 1st May so plan your positions accordingly.
Since Banknifty is in its new high the resistance level is 49500. If it sustains above this level we can expect a move till 49800 to 50000.
If Banknifty trades below 49500 we can expect a bearishness in the market till the below support levels
Support 1 49000
Support 2 48700
Major support/Crucial level 48150.
I'm in a bullish view for Banknifty until the daily timeframe trendline is broken.
Note: This is only for educational purposes. Please do your own analysis before entry.
Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis For 30 Apr 2024In this video, we'll discuss about Today's Market Movement and Tomorrow's Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
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BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 30 Apr 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 30 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 49500
Invalid-Below 49390
T- 50085
Bearish-Below 48940
Invalid-Above 49050
T- 48480
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bold bullish note after a long time with 2.54% gain today. Buy triggered as per trade setup above 48510 and index just sky rocketed till 49470. In the weekend we discussed that 48700 and 47700 are hourly levels. Breakout of this range in the upside gave a fantastic move. Tomorrow if index opens flat and gives a small pullback towards 49230 and then crosses 49500 then we will buy. 48950 will act as a strong support, post bounce below 48940 we will plan to short.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 49500 then we will long for the target of 50085.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 48940. T- 48480.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
BANKNIFTY - GOOD TIME TO CREATE LONGS ?Symbol - BANKNIFTY
BANKNIFTY gave a breakout of ATH & touched 49000 level & then exhibited some profit booking due to global news flow. It is currently trading at 47335 which is a good support area.
I think BN will take support at these levels & will show a reversal from here.
Hence I am creating long positions in BN futures at CMP 47335.
I will add more position between 47080 - 47200, if comes.
My SL would be below 47000 & Targets I'm looking for are 47900 - 48470 - ATH.
BankNifty weekly analysisWe can see that banknifty was trading in range between 47800 & 48650 in tha last week. Also, it was a mixed week in banknifty with a small up and downs.
Resistance level for Banknifty
Resistance 1 48650
Resistance 2 49000
Support level for Banknifty
Support 1 47800
Support 2 47050
Note: This is only for educational purposes. Please do your own analysis before entry.
Banknifty Analysis for tomorrow 29 Apr 24As we discussed the live market Banknifty analysis, after that, it showed a huge fall.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the 200 EMA, which is likely a very good support point. Also, it gave a nice pullback with good volume in the last 15 min. Also, the market is trading at the 0.23 fib level, which is not likely to provide support after such a sharp fall. I expect the market to give the 0.38 fib retracement.
ALL IMPORTANT LEVELS HAVE BEEN MARKED ON THE CHART.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.82, which has fallen from 0.98, which shows bears are increasing their positions in the market continuously. On the last trading day, there was a huge call writing on upper levels at 48300, 48400, and 48500. on the lower side, 48200 and 48000 are the only PE writing left. If 48000 breaks to the downside, there is not much PE writing on the lower side.
If we look at the FII & DII data, FII and Pro are strong, bearish clients while clients are bullish, which shows that the market is going to open a gap-down.
The market is at a crucial level right now. There are two cases:
Case 1 : If it takes support at 200 EMA, it might come back strong and touch 48600 again.
Case 2: If it breaks to the downside, it's going to test the 0.5 fib level at 47800.
Reasons:
price < EMA(13) shows the market is in a bearish phase. And bears are strong. While the price is taking support at 200, EMA might force the market to take support at this point.
RSI < 50 shows strong bears' power. Bulls are weak at this point. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.82, which has been falling rapidly from 0.98. shows bears are actively increasing their position size. (Bearish)
price < VWAP shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish)
Verdict: Mild Bearish
Plan of action:
Case 1: Sell 48000 PE (Hedge with 15/- PE premium)
Case 2: Sell 48100 CE (Hedge with 15/- CE premium)
26 Apr 2024– BankNifty has to take out 48119 to go neutralBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Banknifty falls 293pts ~ 0.61% today, but I have not changed the stance to neutral yet. The charts are not as weak as Nifty50 and there was some restraint on how BN hit the lows today.
After opening gap up, BN took a dip and then got its head back by 13.11. HDFC Bank's price action was extremely unusual, making an unusual spike till 09.43 and then falling back to where it all started. In a perfect inverted V shape, how does the highest weighted stock of Nifty50, NiftyBank, and FinNifty move like a meme stock?
For Monday, we wish to start with a bullish view but switch to neutral if 48119 levels are getting taken out. Even though we hit that level intraday, the closing was much above that it did not result in a stance change. The BN algos ended the day with a modest gain of Rs570.
Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis For Next Week 29 Apr-03 May 2024In this video, we'll discuss about Lat week Market Movement and Next Week's Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
✅I hope you liked the analysis. Be sure to hit that LIKE.
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
#TheStockMantra #MarketAnalysis #LearnStockMarket
Bank Nifty Analysis for 26-04-2024BankNifty opened with a gap down of 400+ points and took the support of 47900 and reversed till resistance zone of 48550 in the second part of the trading. Now the resistance zone of 48250 is a support zone.
If BankNifty sustains above the resistance of 48550 we can expect a upward movement to below resistance levels
Resistance 1 48550
Resistance 2 48800
Resistance 3 49000
There is no change in support levels. If BNF moves downward and breaks the major support at 48350. We can expect further 200 points down move till 48150.
Below are the support levels to watch
Support 1 48350
Support 2 48150
Support 3 47900
25 Apr 2024– BankNifty goes bullish, ATH a swing away 🐂🐂🐂BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
BN also gets a stance upgrade to bullish, the momentum that was lacking till now came from sources we never knew existed. Kotakbank has a stunning 9.11% weightage on BN index and despite it being 10% down, BN managed to rally 886pts ~ 1.86% intraday today.
BN managed to surpass the 48103 resistance which gave it the bullish tinge. The ATH of 49057 is surely a swing away, but let me take a moment and think rationally - can BN take out that level when Kotak has taken so much of a beating? Was what we saw today another round of short-covering, just because the weak hands who held the shorts were not convinced to push down the prices further?
Looking at the intraday rally, I was sure the algos would get messed up. BN algos went into error @ 10.55 and auto-squared off. At the moment the losses were approx. -12341. I managed to re-activate the same to end the day with losses of -38795, in hindsight not activating again would have been the better choice 😢.
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 26 Apr 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 26 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 48650
Invalid-Below 48540
T- 48250
Bearish-Below 48050
Invalid-Above 48160
T- 47550
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.63% gain today. It opened with a big gap down of 400 points and then recovered immediately and ended closing near day high. Seeing today's daily candle if index flat tomorrow and then above 48650 we will get a clear move towards 49250 which may act as resistance. 48070 will act as an intraday support. Below 48050 bears will take charge.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 48650 then we will long for the target of 49250.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 48050. T- 47550.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Banknifty directions and Levels for April 25th.BankNifty slightly varies from Nifty. We have a clear correctional variation: if the market sustains the gap-down, it may go into flat correction, reaching a minimum of 47853 to the 38% Fibonacci level. One more thing, if it finds support around 47853-50, then we can expect a range market, possibly reaching the previous high again. But there's no problem if it's in the 38%, so here also, don't take advance long positions at the 38% Fibonacci level.
The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-down doesn't sustain and takes an immediate pullback, then it might undergo further range market. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous high, then we can expect a rally continuation.
However, if the market opens against the sentiment, which means if the market opens neutral or gap-up, then we can expect a rally, potentially breaking the previous high.
24 Apr 2024– RBI bank on Kotak credit cards will create ruckus ?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty also had a neutral day today, but the OTM options premium was so weak that I did not play expiry at all today. I frankly do not remember the last time I missed playing BN expiry day. The regular algos, which has the same logic for banknifty every day ran as usual and that is the only trade I did on BN today.
NiftyIT was totally against BankNifty today, the split showing its impact on Nifty50 (in a way helping its neutral case). But looking at the price action, BN was not able to generate any momentum to go for the next levels.
Even though the chart says there is further upside momentum left, the fundamentals may not really help BN this week. The news of RBI banning Kotak from issuing new credit cards broke after market hours (source). If the news came during trading hours, the BN would have expired at a different level altogether - but the news would have priced in and things would have settled. Now, we may have some push/pull for the price discovery tomorrow and it could really drive up some volatility. We would still prefer to maintain our neutral stance and go short only if 47465 is getting broken.
BN algos made 28600 today and I exited the trades by 13.15.
Monthly Expiry Special Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis For Apr 2024In this video, we'll discuss about Today's Market Movement and Tomorrow's Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
✅I hope you liked the analysis. Be sure to hit that LIKE.
👍Like | 💬Comment | 👥Share
Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
#TheStockMantra #MarketAnalysis #LearnStockMarket