15 Apr - BN 47465 has to be taken out for strong bearishness⬇️BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
BN had a unique price action today, unlike N50 we did not see a bounce from the banks. And the lows made during the closing hours were much deeper than the opening lows. Whereas Nifty's opening low was not violated that much. Ideally, that is expected, the subsectors would fall further than the main index.
I am revising the stance on BankNifty to bearish not because of technical reasons - but due to Nifty50's bearishness + worsening global macro. Ideally, BN will have to take out 47465 to go bearish, which I suppose may be done within the opening hours of tomorrow.
Bankniftytradesetup
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Apr 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Apr 2024
Sell_1- From 48260
Invalid-Above 48370
T- 48000 47750
Sell_2- Below 47700
Invalid-Above 47810
T- 47095
BANKNIFTY has closed on a complete bearish note with 1.63% cut today. We discussed in the weekend that index will be under bear's grip below 48400 (last week candle's low) as it was 2nd leg shooting star which I personally trade. But the funny thing is that it triggered with a big gap down. So one should wait for 48600 zone for taking the same into consideration. Tomorrow there is a possibility of a pullback of the down impulse.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 47700 then we will short for the target of 47095.
In case 48260 is tested via gap up move then we will short from there. T- 48000 and 47750.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Bank NIFTY trading at support
Bank Nifty is trading at support around 47750 zone.
Considering the trading holiday on Wednesday 17/04/2024. BNF expiry will be tomorrow.
BNF is now in a support zone of 47750 if broken we can expect a fall till the below two support zones
Support 1 47750
Support 2 47400
If BNF moved in a uptrend, considering the globe cues take the trades cautiously as we can see more OI in call side. Resistance for uptrend
Resistance 1 48100
Resistance 2 48250
Banknifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 16 Apr 2024Banknifty Prediction for Tomorrow :
Trend : BULLISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Strong BEARISH
Nifty and Banknifty both at strong Support level for BULLISH rally for new High in the upcoming days.. Sharp selling today is a correction, Expecting uptrend from tomorrow.
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
Banknifty ananlysis for tomorrow 15 Apr 24As we discussed, Banknifty's structure opened a gap down and fell.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is making Hammers at the top. Now, the market is in a very crucial position.
It is trading at the support trendline and support zone. The market is making a rising wedge pattern. If the market breaks the pattern to the downside, it will be a good entry for the bearish position.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.7, which shows neutral market sentiments. However, in the past three days, OI activity PCR has been falling gradually from 1.34 -> 1.18 -> 0.7. which shows bears are increasing their position in the market very actively. 48500 is Max-Pain. If this level breaks, there is no support point till 48000. on the upper side, there is resistance at each level (48500-49000).
The bulls are very weak at this point.
All important levels are marked at the chart.
If we look at the FII and DII activity, the Pros are strong and bearish, and clients are bullish. This indicates the market is going to open a gap-down (probably near 200-EMA 15m-TF).
There are 2 cases right now.
Case 1: inside the channel Sideways. (Low probability)
Case 2 : If it breaks to the downside, it is bearish. (High probability)
Reasons:
EMA(200) < Price < EMA(13), which indicates Weak bulls structure in the market. (Bearish)
RSI < 40 shows strong bears' power. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.7, which has been falling rapidly from 1.34. shows bears are actively increasing their position size. (Bearish)
Price < VWAP shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish)
Verdict:
Neutral unless the market breaks the trendline and support zone to the downside.
Plan of Action : wait for an initial 10 minutes. If it breaks to the downside, GO BEARISH.
#Banknifty directions and levels for April 15th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 15th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -120 point decrease.
I'm really sorry, I can't say exactly how the market will react today because of the geopolitical issue.
However, this is my view today: if the market finds support around the immediate support level, then structurally we can expect a 23 to 38% pullback wave. If it has a three-wave structure, it's a better confirmation for correction. Even though after that pullback, if it rejects there (at 38%), then we can expect a correction that may reach once again the previous bottom. And if it breaks, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback sustains and breaks the fib level 38%, it could consolidate between the previous high and recent low.
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down breaks or consolidates around the immediate support level, it might continue the correction further."
Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis For Next Week 15-19 Apr 2024In this video, we'll discuss about Market Movement and Tomorrow's/Next Week Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
#TheStockMantra #MarketAnalysis #LearnStockMarket
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Apr 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Apr 2024
Bullish- Above 49060
Invalid-Below 48950
T- 49650
Bearish-Below 48450
Invalid- Above 48560
T- 47890
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bearish note last week as it has closed at week low and formed a shooting star candle in weekly TF. I consider only 2nd leg shooting star to trade and last week candle is that. Below 48470 it will be activated but I will personally plan positional short in the pullback near 48850 so that our risk will be small 49080. This will be executed on a bearish reversal price structure in 5 Min TF or else we will buy above 49060. Next week looks bearish.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 49060 then we will long for the target of 49650.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 48450. T- 47890.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
12 Apr - BankNifty was not that bearish, but a HH is formed.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️️
BankNifty did not fall as much as Nifty50 today, we opened -244pts as gap-down, and the first candle itself was a strong green candle which gave the impression that the Bears may lose control.
The follow-up action was good enough and we retested the swing low by 09.47 giving some hope, but again the markets started recovering till 12.11. I was posting in our trader's chat group that if we stay like this the short covering will come in and we may end up going up and that is exactly when the 2nd round of selling came in. In the second leg, we lost another 311 points ~ 0.64%.
On the 63mts TF, BankNifty ended up creating the higher high. To know if the bullish trend is at threat or not - we should take out the support of 47465 soon, but that is around 1000pts away. We would like to start Monday with a neutral stance and then take it up from there.
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BankNifty Algo trades ended with a gain of Rs7735. Prematurely exited at 09.44 sensing the markets were beginning to crack.
HDFCBANK Update Here, is the chart or projection of HDFC BANK for the future as usual as a part of update on our earlier projection....
I hope this will definitely help you a lot so we just expect your love by boosting our ideas to strengthen and energize to post such a valuable content for you guyz ..
use this as educational purpose...
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 12 Apr 24As we discussed Banknifty, Banknifty opened a gap up and then ended sideways.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance zone. It has successfully respected the 4H-TH resistance zone, and a significant sale was made in the last 30 minutes. Banknifty gave very nice bull momentum last week. The market needs to consolidate (or correct) at this point. RSI is also showing bearish divergence.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.08 (1.18 -> 1.08), which indicates Bears are increasing their position in the market.
49000 will be acting as Max-Pain. There is not much resistance on the upper side till 49500. the lower side's next best support is 48500.
If we see FII & DII data , FII is strongly bullish on the future. Pros and Clients are Bearish on the future. Options data is indecisive, which shows that the market is likely to open sideways.
I expect the market to be sideways or bearish.
Reasons:
Price >> EMA(200), that need to be corrected. EMA(13) slop is getting flat. Which indicates bulls are getting weak.
RSI = 55 and having bearish divergence. Also, RSI is entering the 40-60 range, which might lead it to go sideways.
BN is trading in the resistance zone. And Fib 1.414.
PCR = 1.08, which has been falling from 1.34-> 1.18-> 1.08, which shows bears are increasing their positions in the market continuously.
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 49000 CE and 48600 PE (Hedge it with 20/-)
#Banknifty directions and levels for 12th April.BankNifty had a solid pullback in the last session. But it may open with a gap down. After that, if it finds support around the Fibonacci level 38% (48465 to 48378), then we can expect a range market that may experience a minimum of 38% to 61% pullback wave. On the other hand, if it doesn't sustain or undergoes minor consolidation around the Fibonacci level 38%, then the correction will likely continue.
Banknifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 12 Apr 2024BankNifty Prediction for Tomorrow
Trend : BEARISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Moderately BEARISH
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
10 Apr - The body of candles are getting shorter, end of bulls ?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Banknifty was looking strong right from the start. Unlike Nifty, BN did not have a huge gap up, but the rising trend was clear and strong. The reason it was strong was because the moves were not wild swings but slow & steady.
If you look at the 63mts candlesticks, you can notice the body becoming smaller. Usually, it is a sign of tiredness by the bulls as we are in an uptrend. We will get to know that on Friday, we wish to maintain our bullish stance till then.
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Algo Trading
Our Algos ended the day with a gain of Rs33351. I did not wait out the entire session and closed out the trades in advance expecting a wild move due to the US CPI news event.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 12/04/2024The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 12-04-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 10 Apr 24As we discussed in our last analysis, the market faced resistance from 49960. (Near Fib 1.414)
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at ATH. Also, the market is facing resistance in the resistance zone(1H-TF). The market is also showing a Bullish divergence that will force the market to be in the bull's favor. 49000 is a very strong level of resistance. So, the market is likely in the range of 48549-49000.
All important levels are marked on the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.18 shows bullish sentiments. There is huge CE unwinding at lower levels(48500, 48600) but normal CE writing at higher levels. 48800, 48900, and 49000 had good CE writing. Whereas 48500 is good PE writing. So, 48500 is going to provide good support, and the market is going to face multiple resistance at 48800, 48900, and 49000.
If we look at the FII & DII data:
FII is bullish; the Client is bearish.
I am expecting a gap-up open and then fall from 48950.
Reasons:
PCR = 1.18 indicates a bullish structure. (Bullish)
The market is trading in a resistance zone. There is a high probability that the market will take a pullback here till the Fib 0.38 level. (Bearish)
Price >> 200EMA and 13EMA >> 200 EMA that might lead to a correction in the market. (Bearish)
RSI is showing bullish divergence, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways)
Price < VWAP means the market is in the bears' favor.
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action :
Sell 49000 CE and Sell 48600 PE (Hedge with 20/- premium)
Exit either side, and it breaks.
#banknifty directions and levels for April 10th.Banknifty also has the same structural sentiment; it has closed at the Fibonacci level of 23%. If the market opens with a gap-up and sustains it, then we can expect the rally to continue with minor consolidations. In that case, we can expect a minimum range of 49,021 to 49,183.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we can expect the Fibonacci level of 38% to be reached when it breaks the previous day's low.
09 Apr - BankNifty is structurally more Bullish than Nifty50BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
BankNifty does an inverted V pattern today due to which the Algos went negative. Was quite happy that the losses were contained in the end, but what I learned is that sharp rises & falls take out the stop losses at both ends. And what is the end result? We are treading nowhere.
On the higher timeframe, BN looks more bullish than Nifty. Just like we discussed yesterday, only if we take a pause and retrace a few points - we can mark the higher high. Since the 11th is a holiday due to Ramadan, both Nifty and BankNifty will have the expiry tomorrow.
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Algo Trading
The trades ended today with a loss of -18294. There is no way the Algos can defend a V or an inverted V shape. The best I could do was firefight the same manually, but I decided otherwise.
Bank Nifty traded volatile after reaching at Imp Milestone Bank Nifty showed Recovery in 1st Half,
but witnessed Profit booking in 2nd Half of session
The Index scaled at New All Time Highs & reached near 49000 zone
Any Dips towars 48500, 48000 may look for Buying setup as trend is Positive
Overall Immediate Upside Resistance is Placed near 49000, 200 Range
Tomorrow is important US CPI Inflation Reading
* For Education Purpose
Practice and Learn price action setups
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 10/04/2024The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 10-04-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
Big Bullish Brekout of Daily Flag PatternA Bullish Breakout of Flag and Pole pattern is visible on the Daily chart of NSE:SMSPHARMA
MACD gave Positive crossover on Daily and will give positive crossover on Weekly chart. So, expecting the momentum to continue.
One can create a fresh position in the scrip as per the levels mentioned on the chart.
Risk Disclaimer:
The information provided in this analysis is based on my personal interpretation of market conditions and the available data at the time of writing. It is advisable to seek advice from a qualified financial professional and to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.