#banknifty directions and levels for October 11th.Bank Nifty Current View:
The sentiment is similar to Nifty. If the market starts neutral or negative, it may consolidate between minor 38% and the upside level of 51,812. After this, if a breakout occurs, we can follow the direction, whether to the upside or downside. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market breaks or consolidates around the immediate support level (minor 38%), the correction may continue towards 51,065 to 50,806 on the downside.
Bankniftytradesetup
PCR Option Trading Investors use several financial measures to gauge the market temperament before parking their money into the same. Put call ratio is one such financial tool which proves useful for investors in more than one way.
To understand the application and role of this financial measurement one needs to be well-versed in its basics. Here, we have elucidated the nitty-gritty of the same, including the put call ratio formula and other facts.
Put Call Ratio Meaning
Typically, a put-call ratio is a derivative indicator. It is designed to enable traders to determine the sentiment of the options market effectively. This ratio is computed either by factoring in the open interest for a given period or based on the volume of options trading.
Also known as PCR, this particular ratio serves as a contrarian indicator and is mostly concerned with options build-up. Such an indicator helps determine the extent of bullish or bearish influence in the market.
In other words, it helps traders to understand whether a recent increase or decrease in the market is excessive or not.
Based on this information, traders decide if they should opt for a contrarian call in the prevailing market.
Such an investment strategy is based on the practice of purchasing or selling investment units against the prevailing market conditions, to combat mispricing in the securities market.
How is Put Call Ratio Calculated?
Before learning about the put call ratio formula, it is crucial to understand the components of this ratio individually.
For instance, the put option provides traders with the right to purchase assets at prefixed prices, whereas, the call option offers the right to purchase assets at the current market prices.
Put call ratio calculation can be done in the following ways -
Based on Open Interests of a Specific Day
PCR is computed by dividing open interest in a put contract on a particular day by open call interest on the very same day.
PCR (OI) = Put Open Interest/ Call Open Interest
Based on the Volume of Options Trading
Here PCR is computed by dividing the put trading volume by the call trading volume on a specific day.
PCR (Volume) = Put Trading Volume/Call Trading Volume
Here, Put volume indicates the total put options initiated over a specific time-frame. Conversely, Call volume indicates the total call options initiated over a specific time-frame.
Notably, the interpretation of this said ratio differs as per the type of investor.
#banknifty directions and levels for October 10th.Bank Nifty Current View:
Similar to Nifty, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or the market rejects near the immediate resistance level of 51,535, the correction may likely continue with a minimum downside of 78%. Again, confirmation is needed: after rejection, the market should break the lower trendline or the previous day's closing candle. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up sustains, the market could reach the 51,535 level. After that, if the market consolidates or breaks this level, we can expect the pullback to continue, targeting a minimum upside level of 51,812 to 51,895. This forms our alternate variation.
BANKNIFTY MATHEMATICAL LEVELS FOR THIS WEEKThese Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only
Nifty Intraday Levels | 9-OCT-2024This trading strategy focuses on scalping Nifty options based on institutional support and resistance zones and executing trades using order flow data. Here's a quick summary of the key points:
1️⃣ Zones to Focus on:
👉Green Zone: Represents institutional support.
👉Red Zone: Indicates institutional resistance.
👉Gap Between Zones: Typically ranges from 100-200 points.
👉Zone Creation: Uses pivot points and Fibonacci levels.
👉Price Action: An advanced version for refined entries and exits.
👉Chart Reference: Trades are executed based on the Nifty futures chart.
2️⃣ Trade Execution:
👉Order Flow Data: Trades are triggered by tracking the market's order flow.
👉Timeframes: Focus on the 1-minute and 5-minute charts for quick scalps.
👉Risk-Reward Ratio: Strict 1:2 (Risk 1 to gain 2).
👉Strike Price: Target at-the-money (ATM) or slightly in-the-money (ITM) options.
👉Position Sizing: Customize based on personal risk tolerance.
3️⃣ House Rules:
👉Sharp Execution: Be ready at 9:15 AM for market open.
👉Risk Management: Always a priority.
👉Quick Trades: Fast execution "morning breakfast".
👉Strict Stop-Loss: Set at 10 points to limit losses.
This method is well-structured for traders who prioritize risk management and quick scalping opportunities in the Nifty market.
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Short term trading opportunity in Hindalco Ind for > 10% upsideHi,
NSE:HINDALCO has given a Bullish Inverted Head & SHoulder Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
#banknifty directions and levels for October 9th.Today, we have a major event: the RBI monetary policy announcement. This means the market is likely to move based on this data, which will be released around 10 AM. Therefore, technical analysis may not play a significant role today.
However, structurally, both the Nifty and Bank Nifty remain in a bearish bias since they haven't broken the 38% Fibonacci level in the overall correction. So, if the market rejects the key resistance level, we can expect the correction to continue.
#BANKNIFTY #BANKNIFTYANALYSIS #NIFTYBANKBankNifty Analysis:- BankNifty is running divergent on hourly. It will take dip by tomorrow or day after tomorrow. Supports are marked post correction we will rise for last time before going into major correction. If it takes 1st support, target of top is marked accordingly.
BANKNIFTY - SHORT TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - BANKNIFTY
BANKNIFTY is currently trading at 53920
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting BANKNIFTY Futures at CMP 53920
I will be adding more position if 54400 comes & will hold with SL 54720
Targets I'm expecting are 52800 - 51800 - 51100 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Banknifty: falling knife got a support #banknifty
As the graph says Bank Nifty is falling like a knife and today Bank Nifty showed almost 3000 points of intraday movement also today it hit a previous trend line which is there after covid rally.
there is the possibility that Banknifty can take support here.
After almost 5000 points fall or 7% correct from the top. bank nifty can take support at this level.
#Banknifty directions and levels for the 2nd week of October.Current View:
The current view based on the RSI data is as follows:
* The RSI divergence is likely to occur in the sub-wave 5. The structure suggests there is a 5th sub-wave forming. Once the market starts to bounce back, we can close the 5-wave structure in the 1st leg of the correction, leading into the 2nd leg.
* The ideal 2nd leg is a three-wave structure, which could take a minimum of 38% to 61% bounce back from the previous swing.
> In rare occasions, it could reach 78%. Structurally, it won’t go beyond this level; however, if it does, the overall trend will turn bullish.
* Once the three-wave structure (2nd leg) completes, the 3rd wave will begin. The 3rd wave is a correctional wave; if it rejects and cuts below the EMA20 line, we can assume that the downtrend may continue further. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
* The alternate view suggests that if the week starts with a negative candle, it may evolve into a diagonal structure.
* A diagonal is a time adjustment pattern, so the correction could continue with some minor bounce backs.
* However, the diagonal also indicates a sub-wave of the 5th. Once the diagonal pattern breaks upwards, the previous sentiment will apply here as well, meaning we can expect a minimum of a 38% bounce back from the previous swing.
4th Oct 2024 - BankNifty falls 2280pts ~ 4.24% - stance bearish---
BankNifty Stance Bearish ️⬇️
Banknifty also dropped 4.24% ~ 2280pts, the reversal signs were pretty clear last week and we did mention it in our weekly newsletter as well. There were 3 interesting moves this week.
Gap down on 30th Sep
Gap down on 3rd Oct
Strong price action on 4th Oct
In fact, we fell almost 800 pts on 4th Oct after 12.30 pm, negating our retracement in the morning period. 51715 may act as a strong resistance and if we break through, I would like to change my stance back to neutral. Till then would prefer to go with a bearish stance.
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On 1st October 2024, SEBI issued a new circular "Measures to Strengthen Equity Index Derivatives Framework for Increased Investor Protection and Market Stability".
In this circular, they asked the exchanges to limit the weekly expiries to just one index. They also suggested increasing the contract size from Rs5 to 10 lakhs currently to Rs15 to 20 lakhs effective from 20th of November. SEBI also asked trading members (brokers) to increase the Initial Margin (IM) and Extreme Loss Margin (ELM) even for the option buyers, this would be effective from 1st February 2025. Finally, they decided to increase the ELM for short options contracts by 2% on Expiry day.
Advanced MACD with Professionals The moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator is a technical tool that helps traders identify entry and exit points for buying or selling securities. It's made up of three time series calculated from historical price data, and the metrics are highly adaptable: MACD series:
The main series Signal or average series: The second series Divergence series: The difference between the first two series Momentum Trading Otimize your MACD strategies with ... The MACD indicator is often displayed with a histogram that shows the distance between the MACD and its signal line. The histogram is positive when the faster EMA line is on top, and negative when it's on the bottom.
Here are some tips for using the MACD indicator: Buy or sell: Traders may buy when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, and sell when it crosses below. Understand moving averages: Moving averages tend to trail behind price movements, but the MACD can transform this into a trading strategy. Look at the difference between two moving averages: This shows how fast a trend is moving.
Market at Crossroads: Will the Next Move Be Up or Down? After 1200 points down side in 5 days, will nifty continue to fall more or it will consolidate for the new upside run ??
Nifty looks oversold in smaller time frame, looking at those it seems we should see some bounce back up !
Overall to stay cautious and stay alert on the indexes, would suggest to stay away from Futures and Options.
Medium term trading opportunity in VPRPL for v. good upsideHi,
NSE:VPRPL has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Long term trading opportunity in Suratwala for huge upsideHi,
NSE:SBGLP has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
CAN MARKETS SURPRISE US??? BANK NIFTYIndian markets are at an all-time high. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty are trading near their resistance levels.
Technically, a correction is due. I'm not expecting any big upside move in Indian indices.
I won't be surprised if Bank nifty corrects by 3000 points in the coming days.
This would correspond to the length of wave 3 as well as 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
Trade with appropriate stop-loss.
PS: MARKET is always RIGHT!
Medium term trading opportunity in Tirupati for > 20% upsideHi,
NSE:TIRUPATI has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Short term trading opportunity in AISL for > 20% upsideHi,
NSE:AISL has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Daily time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
#banknifty directions and levels for October 4th.Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support level, we can expect a bounce back of around 23% to 38% in the minor swing. This is our first scenario. For additional confirmation, you can refer to the 20 EMA
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests a breakout trade. If the market breaks or consolidates around the support level, we can take a breakout entry and set the target at the next support level. Since I'm uncertain about the trend continuation, I’ve set the target conservatively at the next support level.