Bankniftytrading
#Banknifty Directions and levels for March 19th.Banknifty showed a solid pullback structure in the last session. Giftnifty indicates a negative start, but structurally, it has a minor pullback continuation. So, If the market finds support around 46296 to 46176, we can expect a range market or pullback continuation. On the other hand, if it breaks the previous low, then the correction will likely continue."
19th March - BankNifty Analysis: Gap-Up Opening Signals Bullish The BankNifty's gap-up opening above 46200 suggests a bullish outlook for the day. Traders may anticipate upward momentum, particularly considering the channel pattern observed in higher time frames.Conversely, a gap-down opening below 46000 could lead to a sideways to bearish trend. However, the prevailing channel pattern increases the likelihood of a bullish move.Stay tuned for updates as market conditions evolve throughout the trading session.Feel free to adjust the content to better suit your audience and platform!
Banknifty Intraday Prediction Levels for 18 March 2024The chart indicates 15 min time frame. These Levels act as Support and Resistance according to position of price. These are strictly for Intraday Trading only. Execution only after break out and close above the Resistance zone or break down and close below the Support zone.
These levels act as support and resistance. You have to trade according to level breakout or breakdown.
To buy or sell you can follow Buy/Sell Indication given by indicator or you can follow cloud also.
If you are a new trader then just watch (No Trade) these levels for some days.
Happy trading.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst. Anything posted here is my own analysis and views. This is created for educational purposes only. Always consult with your Financial Advisor before taking any decision or trade.
18 Mar ’24 — BankNifty tests its feet below the bearish channelBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty had to fall 400pts to enter the bearish channel. Well, it did not happen today but we had an interesting candle at 11.15, for a brief period BN dips into the bearish channel and then pulls out. Much like testing how deep the water is before taking the jump. The shorts were strong then and the recovery would have prompted the short covering that took BN up 488pts ~ 1.06% above the high of the 11.15 candle.
4mts chart
BN is still neutral as the momentum is missing on the bearish side. Just take a look at the 10.18 (-248pts) and 11.21 (+405pts) 63mts candle. Something tells me the momentum should favor the bulls if we have some consensus. As the CALL shorters are weak, we would need the big boys to enter to really move the needle. FII selling is not really helping. Agreed that NiftyIT tanked today, but the fear factor is still missing on the large caps. If you watch the Nifty sub-sectors you can see how quickly the market breadth changes from GREEN to RED and then back to GREEN. Markets are really on the edge and all it requires is a small push.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a loss of Rs3430. The charges and the transaction costs were more than the losses as the Algos did quite a lot of adjustments today.
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 19 Mar 24As we discussed in our analysis market closed sideways today.
I am expecting market to be sideways for tomorrow.
all important levels have been marked at the chart.
Support: 46343, 46000
Resistance: 46690, 46900
Verdict: Sideways
Plan of action: Sell 46300 PE and Sell 46700 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium )
bankNifty analysis for 18th March 2024bank nifty is travelling inside a channel. 46300 to 46500 is a strong support level as marked on the chart.
if this level is broken, bank nifty may go downside to the next support level marked on the chart.
or, if it takes support to this level, it may go up to the next upper level marked on the chart
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
BANKNIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 18 Mar 24As we have discussed in our Video, BANKNIFTY was making HNS, whose target was 46470. that has been achieved.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the support trendline(1-H TF). Banknifty is also trading at 0.61 fib level, which might be crucial for banknifty to take support. Price is volume balanced, which indicates the market can make a move soon.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.72, which indicates a neutral behavior for the market. Bulls have written 46500 and bear heavily, which will be acting as max pain for now. On the upper side, 47000 is a good resistance that also coincides with 200 EMA.
Looking at the FII Data, we can say the market might open a gap-down.
I am expecting the market to be sideways for one day at least. After that, once it moves to the Green zone, it will turn bullish. unless it breaks to Bearish zone(RED ZONE)
Reasons:
The market is trading at the strong support trendline.
46350 - 46680 is a sideways range. If it breaks into the RED ZONE market, it might fall heavily, but the possibility of breaking down is less right now.
PCR = 0.72 is neutral. 46500 is acting as MaxPain. 46500 is also working as good support. Whereas 47000 is working as good resistance.
RSI ~ 50 shows the market is going to be sideways for the next trading day.
VWAP ~ price shows that the price is volume balanced, which means the market will soon be ready to make a move in either direction.
Verdict: Sideways
Plan of Action:
Sell 46500 PE and 46650 CE (hedge with 20/- option). Exit the leg once it breaks to either side.
Bank Nifty analysis for 15th march 2024The banknifty is travelling in a downward channel. also the possible support and resistances are marked in the chart. if it breaks the channel in upside direction, may be a bullish movement is possible. if it breaks the support of 46500 level, a bearish movement may happen.
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
Banknifty Live trading idea discussDisclaimer: My videos, presentations, and writing are only for educational purposes and are not intended as investment advice. I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any information provided.
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13 Mar ’24 — BankNifty stays cool today unlike N50 that broke 2.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BN was calm as a cucumber, on one side the Nifty50 heavyweights were tanking but BN kept its cool. Usually, Banks are the first to react to any news related to “froth”, “valuation” etc. Mainly because the valuation, loan against shares, etc all depend on the underwriters and financial institutions that did the due diligence. When the markets are going up, nobody is really worried. But when the stocks start crashing, the valuations get impacted and people start getting margin calls. When this situation is combined with a contracting money supply - businesses could face restrictions in raising new capital.
4mts chart
The only reason I can think of why the Banks did not fall today would be due to the expiry aspect. If that is the case, we should be seeing the FOMO effect in tomorrow’s morning session. Since BN held its ground, the algo trades all performed exceptionally well, and the heightened volatility improved the option selling margins.
From the recent top of 48161, BN is falling, but yet to make a lower low or lower high. Unless the 2nd leg starts, we wouldn't know with clarity what it has in mind. To go bearish, we need to fall below 46176 another 800pts away. If both BN and N50 are facing the same direction - then we can expect the big boys to enter the shorting arena. If we are to get a relief rally or retracement, it should be driven by the banks - because they are still the strongest sub-sector in Nifty.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 14380.
Bank Nifty Analysis for tomorrow Thrusday | 14 March 24 As we discussed in our video analysis, the bank's nifty bearish nature broke to the downside and gave a nice bearish target today.
If we look at the chart now:
The price has broken 200 EMA, HNS Neckline support zone to the downside. The market is quite bearish. RSI is also showing weakness in bulls.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.67 shows a bearish market structure. Also, there is a huge CE and PE writing at 47000, which will work as maxPain. There is not much of support levels except 46500 which is also confirmed by Price Action levels.
I am expecting the market to fall till 46500.
Reasons:
RSI < 40 shows weakness in bulls.
price < EMAs shows bearish strengthen market.
PCR = 0.67 shows a bearish market.
price < VWAP indicates bearish sentiment in the market.
Verdict: Bearish
Plan of Action : Sell 46900 CE (Hedge it with 20 rs CE).
Bank Nifty analysis for 12th march 2024It looks like the bank nifty is forming a head and shoulders patern. if it breaks the support level (47200 to 47300 range) downside, it may go to the next possible support (46300 to 46500 range) marked in the chart.
if it crosses the level 48200 upside, we may go for a bullish trade after forming a price action.
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
#Banknifty directions and levels for March 7th.Banknifty has the same sentiment; there is a completed motive structure. So, if the initial market declines sharply, then we can expect a minimum of 23% to 38% Fibonacci correction. If it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, that's a sign of a trend reversal (bearish trend). On the other hand, if it finds support there (23%), it might consolidate a little bit.
Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains and breaks the supply zone, here also the same extension might happen. So, if the market breaks the supply zone, we can expect a rally continuation in the upcoming sessions."
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 07 Mar 24As we discussed, the Banknifty breakout gave quite a nice target today. As it was expiry today, the market turned sideways in the afternoon.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance zone right now. Today, it has been sideways at resistance. After that, some selling came with good volume, which may be because of expiry today. The RSI trendline has also broken down to the downside.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.9 shows bullish market sentiments. But as it is just the start of the week, this does not contribute much for now.
There can be 2 cases, as marked on the chart.
Case 1: if it takes support at 47850, then it can move till 48600(ATH).
Case 2: Might consolidate in the range 47500-48000.
Reasons:
BN is trading at the resistance Zone.
4H-TF resistance trendline.
All-time high resistance Zone
The RSI trendline has broken down to the downside. There might be some correction or consolidation.
PCR = 0.9 shows bullish sentiments. 48000 is maxPain while 47500 is a good resistance according to the OI data. The above side is not much CE writing that shows the market is going to be HIGHER HIGH in upcoming sessions.
VWAP = Price shows price is balanced.
Verdict:
Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Case1: Sell 47800 PE (Hedge it with 20 rs PE)
Case 2: Iron condor in range 47500-48000.
05 Mar ’24 — BankNifty Algos gave 50% profit in opening hour!BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
BankNifty gets a status change today to bullish. Look at the 12.47 candle that took out the resistance of 47465. Even the next candle formed was strongly bullish. We are now at a stage where BankNifty is strongly bullish and Nifty is showing some weakness due to the tech sector. If Nifty starts falling, there is no way BankNifty can remain in green, although it has happened many times in the past. Over the last many months, the IT sector has gained more weightage on Nifty50, I started noticing this after the inclusion of LTIM in the index.
4mts chart
On the higher timeframe, BankNifty managed to get 2 63mts candles above the resistance line. Our stance change came right after the 12.24 candle as the signs were pretty clear. On a normal day, a resistance break usually signifies a much more powerful breakout rally. We are quite not sure whether we will get that tomorrow as US markets are trading in deep RED.
If BN falls below 47465 or opens gap-down below this support level we will revert to a neutral stance. And since it is the weekly expiry tomorrow - we expect the premiums to pick up if that happens. As it stands the premiums of the OTM are not good enough for some serious speculation.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 17997 rupees. Again pulled the plug early today i.e. at 10.24. As per my backtests the max possible gain intraday is Rs36000 and since we hit 50% of that in the opening hour - decided to exit prematurely.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 05/03/2024The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 05-03-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
BANKNIFTY prediction for tomorrow 5th MAR 24As we discussed BANKNIFTY yesterday, Banknifty resulted sideways. Bulls guarded the support level tightly.
If we look at the chart data now:
The market has been taking support at the 47300 level. We were expecting some consolidation in the market today, which happened today. Now we have to wait for it to break the range (47200-47500) to the upside.
If we look at the OI data:
Pcr = 1.22 (Bullish), which has fallen from 1.44 because of the market's sideways momentum.
47500 is MAXPAIN. Once it's broken to the upside, we can say the market is good to go till 48000. there is not much CE writing on higher levels.
I am expecting the market to consolidate for 1 or 2 days and then a good bullish move till the 48600 levels ass target.
Reasons:
Price > EMAs(13,50,200) shows markets is having bullish sentiment. (Bullish)
RSI > 60 having bearish divergence. The market needs some more consolidation to correct the value of RSI.
PCR = 1.22 shows good strength of bulls; there is not much CE writing at higher levels.
RSI is reaching 77, which was working as resistance previously. (sideways)
Verdict:
Bullish
Plan of action:
Case 1: Sell 47500 PE (Hedge it with 20 rs PE)
Case 2: wait for the market to take support to get bullish.