#Banknifty Direction and levels for FEB 12Banknifty has a solid pullback. If the market opens with a gap-up, then we can expect rally continuation with minor consolidation. However, if the market opens with a gap-down or rejects around the immediate resistance (45898 to 46031), then we can expect a range market. Structurally, there is no indication of a significant correction.
Bankniftytrading
Banknifty weekly expiry analysis for 07/02/24.Banknifty is consolidating in a range for last two trading session and chances are of a trending market on the expiry.
Vix is trading around 15, if it increases there will be another sideways market, else there can be a trend market if the Vix cools off.
Still, it is taking rejection from the 20 ema on the hourly charts, even the closing is below it.
In case of a gap down opening, bearish trend can be capture upto the support zone.
If there is a gap up opening, there will be confusion in the market and the expiry may remain silent.
Major bearish targets :- 45300, 4500
Enter the bearish move only when the market sustains below 45560 and shows some negative price action.
It has been respecting a trend line and taking rejection from it. Bullish entries should be avoided until markets start trading above 46500 level.
Resistance :- 46040, 46550
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
#Banknifty directions and levels for FEB 7.Banknifty hasn't formed a proper reversal structure; however, if it breaks the supply zone, we can expect a further rally in the upcoming session. On the other hand, if it rejects around the supply zone, we can expect a correction of at least 78% to the swing low, especially if it breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%."
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow 6th Feb 24As we discussed yesterday, the market went sideways, and after 2 PM, bearish momentum started.
If we look at the chart data:
Prices have broken to the downside and have consolidated nicely today. It might touch the target marked on the chart. It has also broken 200 EMA to the downside. EMA has given an EMACrossover(13, 200), which shows the market has turned bearish.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.64 shows the market has a bearish sentiment. 45800 is MAXPain; also, 46000 has huge CE writing, which will provide a nice resistance to the upside.
I am expecting the market to fall more till the target is marked in the chart.
Reasons
The market has already given a breakout to the downside. (Bearish)
Price < EMAs shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish)
RSI < 40, which shows bulls are weak right now. (Bearish)
Price < VWAP shows a bearish sentiment in the market. (Bearish)
OI data shows PCR = 0.64, which shows the market is having bearish structure. (Bearish)
Verdict:
Bearish
Plan of action:
Sell 45700 CE (hedge it with 30rs CE).
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 05 FEB 24As we discussed, Banknifty touched Target 1 and then fell from there.
Now, if we look at the charts ,
The market is making a rectangular pattern in an uptrend; now, it has broken to the downside. Also, we have 200 EMA support here. Banknifty is sitting in a make-and-break situation. It might take support, but if we look at RSI, bulls do not have strength. Also, the last 5 candles were intensely selling volume candles, which indicates the market will go bearish in upcoming sessions.
OI data:
PCR = 0.70 indicates the neutral behavior of the market. 46000 is the MaxPain. If it breaks to the downside, the next level of support is 45400. Also, on the upside, 46500 is a strong level of resistance.
FII & DII data:
FII is mildly bullish, whereas PRO seems to be mildly bearish, which gives neutral market behavior.
I am expecting the market to go bearish in upcoming sessions:
Reasons:
The Market has broken to the downside of the Uptren rectangle pattern. (Bearish)
The market is at 200 EMA, which might provide support. (Bullish Hope) (Neutral)
13EMA > Price ~= 200 EMA, which indicates market direction depends on price action on 200 EMA.
RSI < 40, which shows the weak bulls sign in the market. (Bearish)
Price < VWAP (Bearish)
OI data PCR = 0.7 indicates neutral market behaviour. (Neutral)
Verdict:
Neutral (Mild Bearish)
Plan of Action:
Observe PA at 200 EMA. If the price is below the outside rectangle, go Bearish.
02 Feb ’24 — There is something bothering the Banks, is it PayTMBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty surprises everyone today, the meltdown first started in the banks and persisted in the banks. Nifty was near the ATH - understandable, but BankNifty is a long way from its top - so the fear of highs could not be the reason for the fall today. The price action showed something deeper is troubling the banks - is it the PayTM & RBI tussle to be blamed? Or are the unsecured short-term small-amount loans turning RED?
4mts chart
Anyway, the big-boys know it better than us and soon we will all know. Unfortunately from a technical analysis perspective, we cannot plan for these events. Today’s price action shows a big RED, but a week’s data looks neutral.
63mts chart
Just when BN was trying to recover from the blow on 17th and 23rd Jan, we got the RED today. The recovery from 25th Jan via bouncing off the support looked promising and when the 45399 resistance was cut through - our hopes got pinned for a bullish comeback. The charts however still show neutral trade possibilities and the support of 45399 and resistance of 47465 as the first hurdle for a directional trend.
Bank Nifty at make Or break zone Both the indices are the make or break zone.. But when we look the bank nifty we can specially say that the bank nifty gone up for the retest of earlier breakout zone and today it slipped from there which gives strong convictions of downfall but still it is really interesting to see if bank nifty doesn't close below the make or break zone then we will not go for bear trade but if bank nifty daily candle break and close below that zone then we can see great downfall in the indices in near future ....
Educational purpose only ....
TRADE IDEA BANKNIFTY FOLLOWING A STRONG TREND LINETRADE IDEA BANKNIFTY FOLLOWING A STRONG TREND LINE
The BANKNIFTY following a strong trend line
It's look like follow more
Duee to bullish momentum is showing on day chat
hense it looks like follow the trendline
If it's follow s
Then the possible resistance
Or target lables are mentioned
In the graph
TRADE IDEA BANKNIFTY FOLLOWING A STRONG TREND LINE
The BANKNIFTY following a strong trend line
It's look like follow more
Duee to bullish momentum is showing on day chat
hense it looks like follow the trendline
If it's follow s
Then the possible resistance
Or target lables are mentioned
In the graph
Bank Nifty - 01/02/2024 - LevelsHello Traders, Welcome to SriTrader5121
--------------------------------------------------
Bank Nifty - 01/02/2024 - Levels
IMPORTENT ZONE FOR THE DAY: 45870 – 45897
Important Support and Resistance for the Day...
Support - Resistance -
Support-1: 45900 Resistance-1: 46120
Support-2: 45677 Resistance-2: 46180
Support-3: 45518 Resistance-3: 46370
Support-4: 45200 Resistance-4: 46600
____________________________________________
Happy Learning and Trading – TST5121
Rules to fallow...
1) Trade with Strict Stop Loss.
2) Trade with Small Quantity.
3) Take entries based on Support & Resistance Levels.
Please take the trade according to the levels marked, with Risk-Reward.
This is not a Buy or Sell recommendation to anyone.
Take entries after your own analysis.
This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in market.
NOTE: Trade with Strict Stop Loss. It may or may not hit all levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
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SHORT FORM &FULL FORM
0.5 -> 0.5% Swing
PDH -> Previous Day High
PDL -> Previous Day Low
PDC -> Previous Day Close
PDO -> Previous Day Open
PWH -> Previous Week High
PWO -> Previous Week Open
PWC -> Previous Week Close
PWL -> Previous Week Low
D_S -> Day Support
D_R -> Day Resistance
W_S -> Week Support
W_R -> Week Resistance
W_O -> Week Open
W_C -> Week Close
LW_O -> Last Week Open
LW_C -> Last Week Close
IMP -> Important
R@1, R@2, R@3... -> Resistance-Zones
S@1, S@2, S@3... -> Support-Zones
MS -> Major Support
SH -> Swing-High
SL -> Swing-Low
DT -> Double Top
DB -> Double Bottom
TT -> Triple Top
TB -> Triple Bottom
TF -> Time Frame
BO -> Break-Out
RR -> Risk-Reward
SL -> Stop-Loss
GAP -> The area b/w Previous Day Close and Today Open
Blue Color Text (S@*, R@*) -> Act as Major Support or Resistance-Zones (Be Alert, Chances to Market take Reversals)
Banknifty Mathematical Levels for this ExpiryThese Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 30 JAN 24As we discussed, Banknifty it has given a breakout today.
By looking at the chart has given a breakout for the falling wedge pattern, which indicates the Market is going to get bullish in upcoming sessions.
By looking at the Oi data, PCR = 0.86, which is bullish. Also, the budget is about to be announced on the 1st FEB., which needs to be good as the election is near. The whole Market is showing a positive sentiment.
I am expecting Market to go bullish as of now
Reasons:
Price > EMAs, which indicates a bullish signal. (Bullish)
RSI > 60, which shows bulls are in the control of the Market now. (Bullish)
PCR = 0.86 shows bulls are more prominent in the Market. 45500 seems to be the MAX Pain. Once this level is clear, the Market is expected to go higher. (Bullish)
The Market has given a breakout for the Falling wedge pattern, which is a clear sign of bullishness. (Bullish)
46300 seems to be a crucial level of resistance as it's also conceding with 200 EMA, which is probable to give some résistance. (Target Resistance)
Verdict:
Bullish
Plan of action:
SELL 45400 PE (hedge is with Buy 30rs PE)
BankNifty prediction for tomorrow 29 JAN 24As we discussed, NIFTY is to be "SIDEWAYS in the range 44600 - 45481" in our last analysis. It resulted in a sideways while facing good resistance on 50-EMA.
Now, if we look into the Chart data, EMA(50) is providing nice resistance. Also, 44500 is Hard SUPPORT, and 45370 is Hard RESISTANCE, resulting in a zonal movement. Also, the market is making a falling wedge pattern, which is bullish.
while OI data PCR= 0.68 shows bearishness while PCR=0.90(next week expiry) shows bullishness. means people are expecting a good budget decision announcement on 1st FEB.
As people are waiting for a budget day, I am expecting the market to be sideways till 1 FEB in the given Zone unless we get a breakout.
Reasons:
Market is making falling wedge pattern which is bullish.
Price < EMAs, which shows bearish market structure.
RSI ~ 40-60, which shows sideways market momentum.
EMA 50 and 200 will be acting as resistance.
An upper resistance trendline will provide good resistance.
OI data PCR = 0.69 shows Bearish wherelse PCR = 0.90 shows bullish sign in upcoming week.
Verdict:
Sideways unless it gets breakout.
Plan of Action:
Sell 44500 PE and 45400 CE (hedge it with 35rs premium)
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 25 JAN 24As we discussed, NIFTY has a "Bearish structure," but at the price action level of 21200, it took support and recovered really well. It gave a double bottom breakout and also reached level 21500, which is a resistance zone for now. If it enters into the zone marked in blue, it's going to be sideways. Also, 200 ema is going to act as a resistance point inside the blue zone.
If we look at the OI data, PCR = 0.82, which leans towards a bullish market structure. Meanwhile, Banknifty PCR = 0.59 is bearish as both are not aligned. So tomorrow, I am expecting the market to be sideways in the blue zone and high volatility in the lower zone.
All important levels have been marked on the chart.
Reasons:
Price 200 EMA, which will also act as resistance in the upward direction.
RSI ~ 40-60, which indicates the sideways market structure.
Price > EMA(13) is also sitting at 50 EMA, which will be acting as resistance.
OI data PCR = 0.82 shows bullish signal. (Bullish)
Verdict:
SIdeways
Plan of action:
Wait for 15 min candle. Make position according to PA levels marked on charts.
BankNIFTY prediction for tomorrow 25 JAN 24As we have been discussing, BN is bearish; it took support from the marked zone and then recovered but again fell in 2nd half session today.
If we look at chart data right now, the 44600 level showed nice support twice today with a nice volume. As the market is still making LL and LH, it represents a bearish market structure. I am expecting it to come again to 44600 and then bullishness in the market.
Also, OI data PCR confirms the bearishness in the market with a PCR value of 0.59 ( BEARISH ). FII ad Pro clients data indicates the market to be getting bullish.
I am expecting the market to be sideways in the range of 44600 - 45481. both levels are going to provide nice support and resistance.
Reasons:
Price < EMAs shows bearishness in the market.
RSI 40-60 shows the sideways momentum along with the bulls' weak power.
OI data PCR = 0.59 indicates a bearish signal in the market.
Vwap is still high value. Price << VWAP indicated market price has to settle. It's not going to make a huge bearish move in the market.
Verdict:
SIDEWAYS in the range 44600 - 45481.
Plan of action:
look for 15-min candle and make a bound position in 44600-45481.
I will update the idea once a market trend is set.
24 Jan ’24 — BN still looks bearish to me, will it go neutral?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
The stance of BankNifty continues to be bearish as it was nothing like the Nifty today. The major reason is the rejection of resistance at 45399. After opening near the support level of 44542, BN made a quick surge to the resistance of 45399 by 09.59. The rejection came by 10.43 and that RED candle spoke for itself.
4mts chart
We started falling and BN went underwater again by 11.27. Interestingly BN made a W pattern on the 4mts chart today - but it means nothing if the resistance is not taken out.
63mts chart
The first candle steals all the show today - its low right at the support of 44542, its high right at the resistance of 45399. Nifty will not be that strong in the upward direction until BN joins it. Right now N50 is neutral and BN is bearish. To lose bearishness, BN has to take out the resistance and close near 46151. Since both BN and N50 have expiry tomorrow, it will be an option sellers day as the premiums will be juicy enough.
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow (weekly) 24 Jan 24According to our past discussion, BANKNIFTY had a bearish nature for a couple of days. It had a nice fall today.
If we look at chart data now, 46617 is a good support point. But if it breaks to the downside, it is going to give a nice target of 43850 level. Important levels have been marked on the chart.
There are two different possibilities marked green (Bullish) and red (bearish) on the chart.
If we look at the OI data, PCR = 0.51 indicates a huge bearishness in the market, which is also supported by the chart data. 45000 is the MAXPAIN for the current market structure. If it breaks to the downside, then good targets of levels 43850 and 43267 can be achieved easily.
All important levels have been marked on the chart.
Data shows the market is going to be bearish in the upcoming week.
Reasons:
Price < EMAs shows the market's bearish nature. (Bearish)
The market has given the Death crossover, which is a strong signal of a Bearish market. (Bearish)
OI data PCR = 0.51 shows the bearish structure of the market. (Bearish)
RSI < 40, which shows weakness in bulls strength. (Bearish)
Verdict:
Bearish
Plan of action:
Look for a 15-minute candle; make a position based on the PA marked on the chart.
BANKNIFTY Special session analysis 20 Jan 24NSE is running special trading sessions to test the disaster management platform. There is no compulsion to participate in the trading for today. But if you wish to, here is the analysis that you can follow.
Banknifty has been in the range of 45600-46200, which is marked as a sideways zone for BN.
They were also looking at OI data PCR = 0.58, which is super bearish. But NIFTY is bullish. Also, BN monthly expiry data is bullish, indicating a chance of recovery. As it has also formed a triple bottom, it can recover. But as it is testing day, only a few traders might participate, which might lead to sideways momentum.
I am expecting it to end in a sideways zone only if it does not break the zone to the downside.
Reasons :
Price < EMAs shows bearishness in the market.
RSI < 40, which shows the weakness of bulls; even though it goes up, it has to cross 60 to be bullish—so there are more chances for it to end sideways today.
OI data PCR = 0.58 shows a very bearishness signal in the market.
It's trading in the sideways zone right low looking on the chart, and OI data doesn't break either side. More chances are to end up a sideways day.
Verdict:
Sideways or Bearish
Plan of Action :
Don't go for option BUYING; you can sell options after seeing 15 min candle PA.
Huge selling in Banknifty. Analysis for 18/01/24.Single day fall of 2k points in banknifty is showing a bearish sentiments.
A break out of the consolidaiton box is confirmed. Now the market is standing at 46050 and a clear support of 46k can be seen.
If 46k levels is gone another day of selling may be there.
Major support :- 46000, 45650
Market closing below the 20 ema and near to day low. Watch market price action for 1 hour as after a huge selling overnight positions will be initiated and in the first 15 minutes there will be profit booking, in case of gap down opening.
Avoid bullish trades for tomorrow.
The banking sector is down because of the HDFC bank single handed fell 8%, almost 150 points lower.
Gap up will create confusion. In this case avoid trading.
Wait and watch price action.
Bank Nifty on Thursday 18/01/2024Bank Nifty shows big fall as per price action, I said before market was pumped for a big fall, Now market have no more liquidity at this place, so market will show again up side momentum for next few days to accumulate liquidity... but still one more big fall is remaining as per price action.. market will not go down until it breaks 45979 (major support)
Here is the levels (Marked Red) for day basis,
Resistance: 47113
46949
46641
46466
46389
46238
Support: 45979 (This is major support on 5 min,15 min,1 hr., 4 hr. time frame)
Note : Market may show false brake down
This is my personal view only for educational purpose
BANKNIFTY prediction for tomorrow 18 JAN 2024As we have been discussing BankNifty in the last few days, it's going to be bearish. Today, it gave a massive bearish momentum with 2000 points to the downside, which is registered as the biggest fall of BN after Corona.
If we look at the chart data now, it was in the range of 47000 se 48250, which has been broken to the downside successfully.
Now, the next levels of support are 45693 and 44938, which I45693 is achievable easily if it gains momentum. Also, the BN target of range breakdown is still not completed (target 45680).
If we look into OI data PCR = 0.65 (weekly), 1.1 (next expiry). Looking at the levels, 46000 has huge PE writing. If it breaks to the downside, there is not much obstacle. We can easily achieve the target marked on the charts.
I expect the market to fall tomorrow. It will provide a very nice target if you are able to short the market at a high point after a retracement.
Reasons:
Price < EMAs, which indicates the weakness of bulls or bearishness.
RSI < 40, oversold zone shows bulls are weak at this point. So some retracement and then again fall is expected.
Price < VWAP that shows bearishness in the market.
OI data shows PCR = 0.65 which is bearish. 46000 still has nice PE writing left, but once it breaks, it will fall smoothly. (Bearish)
46680 and 45000 are potential support zones for now if they behave nicely in Price Action.
EMA(50,200) bearish death crossover, which indicates a trend reversal. (Bearish)
Verdict:
Bearish if breaks 46000 will provide a nice target.
Plan of Action:
Sell 46000 CE + BUY ~25rs CE (for hedge protection) after a retracement.