24th Nov ’23 - BankNifty has to take out a crucial resistance.BankNifty Analysis
BankNifty had a positive-looking chart today, it was kind of obvious from the optimism it showed in the last 2 days. The first thing it did today morning was to take support from the 43566 area i.e. between 09.45 to 10.05
5mts chart link - click here
At 10.40 it had a strong green candle and it looked like it was going for the next resistance area, but that momentum was cut short. Between 13.00 and 13.15 we started falling again and luckily we did not reach the SR area of 43566 to reverse. The recovery from 13.15 to close was decent enough and we gained 216pts ~ 0.5%. The main factor that kept Nifty neutral today was the outperformance by banks today, most of them would not have realized that NiftyIT lost almost a percent today.
1hr chart link - click here
Looking at the 1hr TF, I am still inclined to go neutral unless we take out the 44063 resistance. To go bearish, 43253 has to be broken - in between we have 2 more support levels.
Bankniftytrading
#Banknifty directions and levels for NOV 24th"Good morning, friends! As of November 24th, there is no significant difference in the global and our local market sentiments compared to the last session. The global market sentiment remains bullish, indicated by the Dow Jones. However, our local market shows a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a slight gap-up or a neutral start, considering the GiftNifty value at +10.
Subsequently, if the market experiences a pullback, we shouldn't anticipate a significant move unless it breaks the immediate resistance.
Simultaneously, if it faces rejection around the immediate resistance, the market will likely continue within a range.
Conversely, if the gap-up isn't sustained or if it opens with a gap-down, we can anticipate a similar range-bound market sentiment. Correction may occur if the market breaches the immediate support zone."
23rd Nov ’23 - BankNifty takes out a resistance today 🐂 soonBankNifty Analysis
BankNifty made some interesting strides today. After opening inline, it went to the resistance level of 43566 really quickly. By 10.00 we had a close above this level on the 5mts TF. I did update on the trading view minds that, I changed my stance from bearish to neutral because of this.
5mts chart link - click here
Even though we did not go much higher, BankNifty was able to retain the lead and hold the ground. The Final close was also above this level opening up opportunities for further up moves. Fundamentally I still don't know if the banks have priced in the CAR and risk weight increment news perfectly, but from a technical chart perspective - it seems like the bearishness is almost over.
1hr chart link - click here
BankNifty has a lot of ground to cover to get back at the bullish trend line. The first target would be to take out the 44063 resistance level and give some food for the bulls to charge. Over the last few sessions, I had a bearish view on the 17th & 20th, a neutral view on the 21st, and then a bearish view on the 22nd. Today I have changed the stance to neutral again. At present Nifty and BankNifty are in a neutral stance. Logically the directional bias has to be in sync for both Nifty and BankNifty, that's when the real magic happens. I am quite sure if BankNifty goes bullish tomorrow, Nifty will also get its stance changed.
22nd Nov ’23 BankNifty PostMortem - stance changed to bearish 🐻BankNifty Analysis
BankNifty was a total support and resistance play today. Unline Nifty, BankNifty did not retest yesterday’s swing high instead it started falling right from the open. We were at the 43566 support level till 10.20 after which it got broken. By 11.45 we broke the next support level at 43404 & that is when I changed my stance from neutral to bearish. I did update via the TradingView Minds on my stance change. TradingView minds is an excellent tool to inform everyone, if you are following me - you get an email instantly.
5mts chart link - click here
The best way to go short today was to sell the calls as it was expiry day. The only way your calls retain value is if BankNifty moved up. After BankNifty broke the 43404 support it went to the next support of 43253 and was rejected. The rejection took BN back above the 43404 level. Reiterating that there is no way Nifty can go up with BankNifty looking bearish.
1hr chart link - click here
BN is right at the 50% retracement from the recent run-up from 42105 to 44400. The 38.2% retracement level is at 43566 🙂, 61.8% retracement is at 43012. It is not quite usual that I get my support and resistance levels exactly in line with the Fibonacci retracement lines. My stance is currently bearish with the first target of 43012 and then 42576. In case we reverse course and go up, it has to take out 44063 before any bullish activity has to resume.
BANKNIFTY prediction for 22 Nov As we discussed yesterday Banknifty was sideways it has been forming ascending trangle if it breaks to downside it will be touching the 43430 level. on upside it has the 200 EMA resistance and price action resistance level at 43770.
Reasons:
PCR = 0.65, its expiry today mostly its sideways. but OI shows as Bearish.
200 EMA resistance to upside. (Bearish)
RSI 40-60 mostly Sideways. (sideways)
Price < 200 EMA (Bearish)
Very nice price action support (4H-tf) downside. (Bullish level)
43450 has huge PE Calling. (Bullish)
Verdict:
If breaks downside it will give nice Bearish target.
Plan of action:
Sell 43700 CE if breaks to downside buy 43600 PE
#banknifty directions and levels for NOV 22"Good morning, friends! As of November 22nd, the global market sentiment is bullish, as indicated by the Dow Jones. However, our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. It may open with a slight gap-up or a neutral start, as the GiftNifty indicates a value of +10. If the market breaks the immediate resistance, we can expect a pullback continuation. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if it opens gap-down, we can expect a correction, but it should break the Fibonacci level of 38%."
Banknifty Future chart analysis for 22.11.2023if price goes above 43918 then it will reach 44091, 44091 strong resistance price may again
retrace down to the level of 43800, but if price goes above 44091, you may see a strong upside
current and price may achieve its full target.
As you can see here, that bollinger bands made a short squeeze , there is a high chance that
it will burst tomorrow, if it goes below 43648, it mat take support at 43564, but if it crosses
down 43564 , you may see weakness in price and it masy reach 43294.
Sideways situations- if price rejects from or near the level of 43918,
if price takes support near or at 43648,
BankNIFTY Sideways prediction for 21 Nov 23BankNIFTY seems to be going sideways in the range of 43400 - 43800 as levels have been marked on the chart.
for past few days BANKNIFTY have been sideways mostly perfect DOJI. level 43400 will be providing a nice support and 43800 will be acting as resistance unless it's broken to the upside.
Reasons:
Expiry is mostly sideways also PCR = 0.65 (Bearish)
200 EMA resistance to upside. (Bearish)
RSI 40-60 mostly Sideways. (sideways)
Price < 200 EMA (Bearish)
Very nice price action support (4H-tf) downside. (Bullish level)
43500 has huge PE Calling. (Bullish)
Verdict:
SIdeways range 43400-43800.
Plan of action:
IRON Condor range 43400-43800.
20th Nov ’23 BankNifty PostMortem - Selling hasnt started yet 🐻BankNifty Analysis
BankNifty started the day on a flat note and was not falling, which came as a surprise because towards the end of Friday’s session the short build-up was pretty intense. The low of the day was hit in the opening 5mts only and did not even go to the support level of 43404. We even had a recovery of 278pts ~ 0.64% by 10.30.
5mts chart link - click here
During this recovery, the options premium on the CE side fell which gave a clue that we may not be having further strong selling today. However, towards the end of the day, we had a similar build-up of short positions as of Friday. This option flow is still suggesting me to go bearish on BankNifty.
1hr chart link - click here
On the 1hr TF, BankNifty showed no interest in getting back into the ascending channel. I suppose that channel can be removed as it will not make any sense going forward. Seems like its just a support and resistance game for some time now. My first support comes at 43566 and 2nd one at 43404 (unchanged as we did not break any SR today). The main resistance is still at 44063 which looks quite far away. I wish to maintain my bearish stance till 44063 resistance is not taken out.
Bank Nifty Future chart analysis for 20.11.2023if price goes above 43849 then it may reach 43982 easily, 43982 is a strong resistance and may again go
down to the level of 43688, if it crosses above 43982 the it will easily reach to the level of 44124.
If price goes below 43563, then it may take support at 43386, 43386 is a super strong
support price may bounce back from this area and may reach to the level of 43688,
if price crosses below 43386 they you may see weakness in price and it may go pass
below final target.
17th Nov ’23 BankNifty PostMortem - Buying groceries on CC EMI🚩BankNifty Analysis
We will discuss the Capital Adequacy Ratio news in detail today as I was unable to find time yesterday due to an unscheduled hospital emergency. In yesterday’s postmortem, I mentioned that I would be changing the stance to bearish if the support of 44063 does not hold. Hope you would have got my tradingview minds update.
5mts TF chart link - click here
We opened gap down at 43694 well below the support level of 44063. In the opening candle itself, we tested the next support level of 43566. Unlike Nifty, there was no recovery in sight for BankNifty. By 10.15 we retested the 43566 support again. The price action was not at all aggressive, we were only falling gradually. Its just that the opening candle had a swing of 565pts and I guess that was the maximum target the big-boys had in mind today.
Towards close we broke the 43566 support and closed lower, which means we knocked out 2 support levels today.
What is the news from RBI that has spooked the financial sector?
RBI's tighter regulatory risk weight to hit banks' capital adequacy by 60 bps: S&P
Axis Bank shares fall 2% after RBI raises risk-weight on consumer loans, imposes penalty
Bajaj Finance, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank stocks tank as RBI's risk-weight move hits tier-1 capital
RBI's New Guidelines To Have Capital Impact Of 55 Basis Points, Says SBI Chairperson
SBI Card's Capital Adequacy To Fall 400 Basis Points After RBI Raises Credit Risk Weights
If time permits, request you to go through these news snippets to get a fair idea of what transpired. When RBI decided to up the risk weight for personal loans and credit-card loans by 25%, it means the lender has to maintain adequate capital to cover those risks. CAR is basically for the health of the lender.
From a macro perspective when Inflation goes up uncontrolled, people resort to personal loans and credit card EMIs to fund consumption. This is especially true for those segments of the population that did not have a proportionate rise in income. Think like this, if people start buying groceries using a credit card loan - it shows their inability to afford. It definitely is a red flag as the interest on these loans will catch up soon and the end-user could default if his income is staying as it is.
1hr TF chart link: click here
Most importantly we broke out from the ascending channel pattern and created an island day today. If you read that price action along with 2 supports getting clean-bowled, it may be true that the bears are making a comeback. For Monday, I wish to maintain my bearish stance, the next targets would be 43404, 43253 and 43012. If we reverse and go up, the first major resistance will be 44063 and if we are unable to get into the ascending channel by Monday, I will be happy to remove that.
Bank Nifty Future chart analysis for 17.11.2023If price takes resistance at 44395 then it may again retrace back to its yesterday's
low. if price crosses over 44395 then you can witness a new upside move and
price may reach 44526 pretty easily.44526 again a strong resistance, if price
crosses over it then it will reach its final target, but if it retraces from here
then it can give you 200 points downside.
As you can see here that bollinger bands bursted at the last moment may
be much downside moves still waiting, if price goes below 44129, then it may reach
to the level of 43950 , 43950 is a strong support price may bounce from here
to the level of 44317. if price crosses below 43950 then it may reach to the
level of 43797.
Bank Nifty Intraday levels 16th Nov 2023Good Morning Everyone
After opening on gap up, bank nifty wiped our around 200 points gain from day's high and closed higher by 310 points at 44202, with above average volume. Well index has formed bearish candlestick pattern n daily chart pattern because the closing was lower than the opening levels.
Market is on buying on dips. So in case you see any dip try to take in down and sale on high. World market is showing mix cues, Gift nifty is ready to give minor gap up opening.
Important levels for Banknifty:-
Intraday support zone 44000
Intraday resistance zone 44300
Important support zone 43800
Important resistance zone 45000
Buy above 44261, if levels sustains at least for 30 Mints
Targets we can see in upside 44381/44484
Keep stop loss at 44155
Sale below 44155, if levels sustains at least for 30 mints.
Targets we can see in downside 44049/43899
Keep stop loss at 44261
Note:- Always wait for the best entry or levels to execute trades. And always follow strict stop loss to save your capital from unexpected market direction.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou
Banknifty Intraday levels || Expiry Day special Hero Zero TradeGood Morning Traders,
In monday session Banknifty was totally under pressure for the entire session, falling 105 points to settle at 43891. Banknifty tried inching towards 44000 mark, but remained unsuccessful, which is expected to be crucial resistance for further up move towards 44500 levels. But As America has given a huge closing on yesterday session we can see some bullish momentum in coming days. SGX nifty is suggesting huge gap up opening, seems banknifty should open above 43400, but you do not have to worry about, let the market settle first, once banknifty come in between 44300-44200, try to accumulate and go long with the target of 44500/44600/44700+
Important levels for Bank nifty:-
Intraday support zone 43800
Intraday resistant zone 44300
Important support zone 43500
Important resistant zone 44500
Buy above 44039, if levels sustains at least for 30 Mints
Targets we can see in upside 44255/44515/44749
Keep stop loss at 43861
Note:- Hero Zero Trade will be in 2nd half somewhere 1:15pm. So, we will update in afternoon according to price action, so stick with us and follow us to get notity at right time. Till then enjoy but don't overtrade and Always wait for the best entry or levels to execute trades. And always follow strict stop loss to save your capital from unexpected market direction.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
BANKNIFTY analysis for 15 NOV (today)BankNifty has been in the rising wedge pattern which is usally Bearish Pattern. as it has also been taking resistance from the 1H-tf trendline. also its expiry today that means mostly its sideways. But if it breaks the rising wedge to downside it might give a nice target of 350-400 points to bearish side.
Reason:
EMA 200 support line to downside. will provide a nice support if it breaks to downside. (Bearish)
we also have Priceaction support level in range of 43350-43450. (Bearish)
RSI is in range of 40-60 means mostly sideways. (Sideways)
PCR = 0.96 (Bullish)
Price > EMAs(13,50,200) (Bullish)
Verdict:
Unless it breaks to downside odds are Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 44000 CE and Buy 43900 PE
13th Nov ’23 - BankNifty Postmortem Bullish Channel or Bearish🏴BankNifty Analysis
Banknifty also erased the gains it made on Diwali Mahurat trading. Today’s close is almost at the same level as of 10th Nov. Interestingly BN tested the resistance of 44063 on Sunday from where it was rejected.
Sunday’s trade could be thought of as manipulated (legally) as most of them come with a bullish bias for Muhurat trades. Few of them deploy their Diwali corpus on stocks, etf, gold etc. But today’s initial price moves suggest the sellers are not done yet. After opening gap down, we went another 252pts lower and then climbed back - just like a warning shot.
But BankNifty recovered much more elegantly compared with Nifty. By 14.35 we almost closed the gap.
There are 2 ways to look at the ascending channel. Either it's a strong breakout candidate or it may be a downward flag consolidation phase on a weekly time frame. The only way to confirm is to wait for clarity. If it's an upmove, 44063 has to be taken out immediately. If we are staying as it is or dipping, the bears will take it up from here. For Wednesday, I wish to maintain my neutral stance till one of these levels gets broken (44063, 43566).
Bank Nifty AnalysisResistance at 43800 and buyer more active above 43800 only
Support at 43540 if open gap down may fall till 43300 and bounce back
If sustain above 43800 then may buyers can come till next reisitance 44000
As per trend analysis buyers are saving the falls but unable to make higher highs might today it can be CE buyers day!
note : Do your own analysis before taking trade or making invesment
BANK NIFTY - Target Levels - 10.11.23.Its Helpful & Useful For Freshers, Newers & Beginners Of Trading...
Learn & Earn With You Own...
Nifty Spot Price : 19395.3 India Vix Spot : 10.98% -
Nifty Daily Range : 43433 To - 43935
See My Reversal Target Level - Long Wick Is Shown Only. The Reversal Trend Is Activated. OtherWise Leave It. And Achieve The Target Point.
Second By Second Change The Trailing Stop Loss.. Don't Loss Your Hard Money..
Draw & Watch The Target Points :
Entry Point... & Stop Loss... & Target Point ...Is Yours...
In UpTrend (CE Buy).. Or DownTrend (PE Buy).. Every Target Point Is a Buy Entry Of After Small Retracement. Please Check.
(Watch 5 Days See My Option Strike Target Levels Is Accurate Or Not)
I Am Not Sebi Registered Analysis, This Is Education Purpose Only.
Dear Followers.. Trend Is Our Friend..
1. Draw The Lines In Your Trading View.. Then Only You Understand My Statistical Startegy.
2. Kindly Watch My Break Even Point. Every Day..
3. Above The Break Even Point.. Resistance Break.. UPTrend Starts.. Buy CE..
4. Below The Break Even Point.. Support Break.. DownTrend Starts.. Buy PE..
5. After Retracement.... Stop Loss is Above Or Below Break Even Point..
6. Stop Loss Is Must..
7. Watch 5 Mins Time Frame.. & 15 Mins Time Frame..
8. In Future i Analysis & Focus On Option Strike - Entry, Target, Stop Loss. Also..
9. Above The Target Point Create One 3 min / 5 min Candle. Then One You Take The Buy Entry.
Don"t Enter Blindly.
1. We Focus On Our Daily Analysis..
2. Combination Theory Of Delta, Gamma, Thetta, & Vega.
3. Selection Of OI Analysis.. & Determination Of Volume Calculation.. & Sum Of Implied Volatility Theory
4. We See 4 Types Of Fibinacci Retracement Levels..
(1.High To Low Fib Level, 2.Low To High Fib Level, 3.Long Fib Level & 4. Short Fib Level),
5. Techninal View On Break Even Point.. & Prediction Of Entry, Targets, & Stop Loss..
6. Wait For Support Breaking or Resistance Breaking.. That Time Watch The Market Carefully..
7. Market Moves in UpTrend or DownTrend..
8. Kindly Watch Both The Nifty Target Levels & Bank Nifty Target Levels in your Trading View..
Its Most Important For Daily Tradings..
9. Buy At Low.... Sell At High.... Is The Concept Of Day Tradings..
Kindly Follow My Channel & Like Your Support & Share My Ideas.
TAMIL.. TAMIL... TAMIL.... Engum Tamil.. Ethilum Tamil.. VALGA VALAMUDAN..
Ithu Oru Tamilanin Thoguppu..
Like Pannunga.. Comment Pannunga.. Share Pannunga.. & Profit Pannunga...
Marakkama Unga Friends & Relatives a - market1tomorrow - la Join Panna Sollunga..
This Is My Trading Phychology Of
market1tomorrow