14 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty - just 0.8% to take out ATHBankNifty Analysis
Banknifty had a decent range bound day today, but the options premium had some unusual jumps. I wasn't prepared to take advantage of those - especially during the open period as I was scanning for Nifty strikes to sell. After a few minutes I still saw the exorbitantly high OTM premiums both for PE and CE - but still couldn't capitalise as my margins were totally blocked.
This scenario has occurred due to the shifting of banknifty expiry to wednesdays. The lack of liquidity is shooting up options prices and I assume most credit spread writers may be dearly paying for this.
From a price action perspective, the sudden drop from 09.40 to 10.20 is still a mystery. Was it because we had a gap up opening and then the big-boys wanted a flattish closing so they had to sell a few heavyweights?
We are just 389pts ~ 0.84% below the ATH. With the momentum gained - it's quite possible that we take this out over the next 2 sessions. I won't even be surprised if we hit it tomorrow. I wish to go with a bullish bias for tomorrow with stop loss being 45725.
Bankniftytrading
13 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty - weekly expiry special BankNifty Weekly Analysis
Between the last expiry and today BankNifty has gone up an impressive 3.2% ~ 1422pts. Quite a remarkable feat and the major reason why we had a breakout rally. The weekly chart looks pretty loaded up for further gains.
BankNifty Today’s Analysis
Yesterday I remember saying the “rally is still not dead in banknifty” although my view was only moderately bullish. But what we witnessed today was strong bullishness proving me wrong. Today’s intraday swing saw a move of 692pts ~ 1.53% and outperforming the NiftyIT index by a huge margin.
Since we had the weekly expiry today, the options premium started on the lower side. Even though the upward possibility was there, it did not show itself till 11.00. Right after that the option prices started to jump pricing in the mega move that followed. The advantage of using the options flow to guess direction is that it helps you guess the direction with a higher probability. If you club that with the chart patterns - the combination becomes unbeatable.
On the 1hr chart the next resistance should be around the 46302 levels whereas the next support will be 45615. I wish to stay moderately bullish ie. 50% bullish & 50% neutral until the resistance is not taken out. In case we have a beach in support - I wish to go short.
12 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty - Rally is still not deadBankNifty Analysis
Yesterday I had a long call on BankNifty - just because there was some room to catch up. In fact the banks did really well today not to concede the gains. Opening was a gapup like Nifty and we fell 424pts ~ 0.93% by 09.55. From there we had a minor reversal and went uptil 45620 (yesterday’s close levels) and then started falling from there.
The leg 2 had a fall of 297pts ~ 0.65% and we hit the lows for the day by 12.55. The recovery from the leg2 was not that strong. ICICI, HDFC bank did well today and did not succumb to the broad based selling.
The real reason Nifty50 had a flat close today was due to NiftyIT that rallied 2.1% between 09.55 to 12.00. 09.55 is the exact time stamp from where Nifty50 and BankNifty started its pullback.
BankNifty is yet to play out the breakout pattern. Agreed that we had a good surge from the 44068 levels - but its not enough. Whether it will go up from here really depends on many factors. Globally things are not looking that great because the OIL prices are hovering around 92 USD.
I wish to change the stance from bullish to 50% bullish & 50% neutral. My stop loss will be the 45275 levels below which I wish to reverse and go short.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 12/09/2023The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 12-09-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
11 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty - some more ground to cover BankNifty Analysis
Banknifty had a long call for today even though the I-CRR news would have impacted it more than Nifty50. One of the reasons is the distance left to ATH vs Nifty50. BankNifty had more distance to cover the ATH and for this reason I had the continuation of bullish stance from Friday.
The strength in BankNifty was obvious when NiftyIT started giving up some gains. It was BankNifty’s persistence that kept Nifty surging ahead and finally helped it take out the all time highs. Once Nifty got its boost, even NiftyIT started contributing.
During the last 1hr the boost Nifty50 got from all the sub sectors was humongous. For this same reason there could be some shaving off tomorrow unless BankNifty keeps firing.
BankNifty has to catch up 691pts ~ 1.52% to take out its personal ATH. If this comes by tomorrow - then Nifty50 will also remain in green. Ideally it should. I wish to continue my bullish stance in BankNifty for tomorrow and expect a turbulent FinNifty especially for the near ATM calls.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 11/09/2023The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 11-09-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
08 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty - Stance is still bullishBanknifty was also continuing from the momentum it got from the last hours of 6th Sep. We had an intraday rally of 563pts ~ 1.26% to hit a new swing high of 45383. Again the bulk of the contribution came from HDFCBK.
The candles at 14.30 & 14.35 took out some steam or else the 45400 levels may have been breached today. Those 2 candles are the reason why I am a bit cautious for Monday - as I said in the Nifty analysis above, I need to wait and watch how the market reacts to the I-CRR partial withdrawal news.
The important levels have been highlighted in orange horizontal lines. 44967 is already taken out today, the next resistance is 45398 and then 45719. BankNifty has a bit more ground to gain with respect to Nifty to take out the ATHs. Any positive news on the I-CRR will give it more wings, whereas negative news might create a huge fall. Since we are dependent on fundamentals on Monday - it is best advised to stay out.
Technically I wish to maintain the bullish bias and hoping for a close between 45398 and 45719 on Monday.
Banknifty daily analysis for 08/09/23.Banknifty has given a nice marubozu candle on the daily charts and there is a bullish mat hold pattern.
It broke the resistance zone of 44650 levels and has travelled to touch the resistance of 44900. Banknifty has given a nice up ward move from the first hour after retesting 44350 levels.
On the hourly charts, there is a bullish moving averages cross over and market held onto take support from the moving averages.
A nice 1% move is there in banknifty and it was stronger than nifty.
Now the major resistance area is around 45000-45100 levels and if it is cleared than the bullish trend will be confirmed.
Support :- 44650, 44500
Resistance :- 44910, 45080, 45350
Watch banknifty moving above 45000 levels, once the levels are cleared and market sustain above it, there are chance of a nice upside targets.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
07 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty, change in stance to bullishBankNifty Analysis
The real reason Nifty50 outperformed in the last 90 minutes was BankNifty. Even NiftyIT contributed, but since the weightage of banking stocks are higher - that made a real difference. BN rallied an impressive 512pts ~ 1.16% from the lows to the highs today.
You might remember the 1hr chart we discussed yesterday, as long as banknifty was staying beneath it - the sentiment would have been bearish. And the moment it broke-out from that trap - it got additional wings.
The reason 14.15 candle went up 221pts could be because of that. It is like the whistle from the pressure cooker - when the steam builds up ample pressure, it lifts the whistle and oozes out. The next resistance points are at 45353, 45727 & 46069. We will get to know tomorrow if the build of steam is good enough to cruise through. I wish to change my stance from neutral to bullish for tomorrow.
#banknifty"Good morning! As of September 7th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session; the global market sentiment is negative (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a neutral to slight gap-down. Structurally, it is a range-bound market, so we can expect some consolidation. We can anticipate a directional move after a major support or resistance level is breached."
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 07/09/2023The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 07-09-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
BANKNIFTY--Gap Down or Gap Up??Price is rejected from the trendline again and closed exactly at the trendline...
Price is given us discount @44250 level.
if tomorrow breaks this trendline, it will not test this trendline immediately...
It will reach any one of the resistance and then come back...
If opens downside...we will wait for an up move or downside continuation...
If a gapdown occurs sellers may exit or continue to take it down...we have to wait and see what happens.
If they want to break it...price will open above and continue to move upwards..and then back to the trendline from the above resistances.
will see it in the next session.
06 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty & Weekly Expiry AnalysisBankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, banknifty got only 4 trading sessions. The last expiry was on Thursday and from this series we have weekly expiries on Wednesdays now. We have gone up by 405pts ~ 0.92pts although the chart doesnt give you that impression
BankNifty Today Analysis
Banknifty had some strange price behaviour today. Firstly it was its first independent expiry after having moved out from Thursdays to Wednesdays. Strange because except HDFCBK every other bank was in the red. Price wise we fell 0.83% ~ 368pts with the low point being 44207.
HDFCBK with its 41% weightage on banknifty can single handedly dictate the terms. Firstly I am not very sure all the banks were falling today & HDFCBK outperforming by a huge margin. This screenshot was taken at 11.54 and see the anomaly.
On the 1hr TF banknifty is still respecting the triple top formation made on the descending trend line. I had a neutral call yesterday and would like to maintain the neutral stance till this status quo is maintained. If BN falls below 44068, I would prefer to go bearish. And if it goes past 44900 we can expect more bullishness.
Banknifty Expiry TradeSetup for 06-09-2023Banknifty important levels to watch are as follows
#Support: 44445
Sell below: 44445 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level.
Target 1: 44320
Target 2: 44200
#Resistance: 44575
Buy Above: 44575 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level.
Target 1: 44650
Target 2: 44780
#Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital.
Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
#banknifty"Good morning! As of September 6th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session; the global market sentiment is neutral to slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a neutral to slight gap-down. Structurally, it is a range-bound market, so we can expect some consolidation. We can anticipate a directional move after a major support or resistance level is breached."
05 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty - Neutral till 44900 brokenBankNifty Analysis
Although having all the conditions in its favor, BankNifty did not rally today. The 5mts candle at 10.15 which took out 115pts was trying to tell a story. In fact we dropped a total of 267pts from the high to the low of the day.
From the lows BN managed to climb back 140+ points but I am still unable to decode the directional intent. That is mainly because on the 1hr TF, Banknifty has almost made a triple top kind of pattern on a descending line. I wish to maintain my neutral stance for tomorrow and wish to go bullish if 44900 is getting taken out tomorrow. If we drop to 44068 levels, I would prefer to wear the bearish shorts again.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 06/09/2023The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 06-09-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
Bank Nifty future chart analysis for 05.09.2023As you can see here price is resting over atandard deviation one,which
means it has a support just below it as median line and resistance above
it as standard devition two.if it takes resistance around 44925, you
can witness sideways and if it takes support at 44623 you can witness sideways.
if it crosses above 44925 , it can again face strong resistance at 45014 (Red line), crossing
above red line price may further move upside strongly and may reach to the level of 45322.
if price goes below 44623 then it can face strong support at 44529 (*Purple Line), crossing
below purple line price may be very weak and reach to the level of 44288.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 05/09/2023The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 05-09-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
04 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty - 60% neutral 40% bullishBanknifty on the other hand had a freakish open and first 5mts move. Few of the OTM strike premiums shot up above 100% above the previous close values showing either low liquidity or very high speculation. We even fell 0.77% ~ 345pts between the open and 10.35 and the price action was indicating further weakness. But just like Nifty got support, BankNifty also turned right at this level.
We climbed back 277pts ~ 0.63% from there, but the bullish intent was not as strong as Nifty. The 2nd swing did not take out the day’s high set at open unlike Nifty.
BankNifty may need some stronger thrust to go fully bullish, currently it is in the process of forming a triple bottom or break-out from a double top pattern. I would like to wait for some more signals before going fully bullish. At present I am 60% neutral and 40% bullish for tomorrow.
Since we have FinNifty expiry tomorrow and BankNifty expiry on wednesday (Its first wednesday expiry after the NSE changes) - it may look interesting if we pick up some premiums by tomorrow. The best way for that is to have some violent moves.
Banknifty daily analysis for 05/09/23.There was gap filling trade in the very first hour of the session and after that market slowly started to gain up side momentum.
Banknifty tested the 20 ema on daily charts and has finally closed above the levels.
On the hourly charts, it took support around 200 ema and couldn't clear the 19600 level and constantly took rejection from the level.
Trending market are not be seen in last few days. Just watch the market and create small position as to preserve your capital
On 15 minute time frame, market took support from 20 and 200 averages in a single candle and reversed forming a morning star pattern.
Support :- 44330, 44100
Resistance :-44590, 44750, 44910
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Banknifty Intraday TradeSetup for 04-09-2023Banknifty important levels to watch are as follows
#Support: 44400
Sell below: 44400 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level.
Target 1: 44200
Target 2: 43960
#Resistance: 44570
Buy Above: 44570 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level.
Target 1: 44740
Target 2: 44960
#Demand Zone: 43700-43950 may act as a strong buying zone, and price may bounce from the region marked in green on the chart.
#Supply Zone: 44820-44960 may act as an immediate selling zone, and price may reject from the region marked in red on the chart.
#Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital.
Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.