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Bankniftytrading

13 June 2024 - BankNifty is not making a new top, bulls tired?BankNifty Stance Bullish ⬆️ The stance of banknifty is still bullish, but the pattern is not like Nifty50. Banks are a bit weaker than Nifty. If you notice today, Nifty50 hits its intraday low around 11.20 whereas BN hit it around 15.00. Till 11.20 both N50 and BN were moving alike after which BN did not recover but kept melting down slowly. Still, we ended the day almost flat, thanks to the gap up open. Last year we had a similar repetitive pattern, open high and then close the day near the previous day's close. Much of the action is happening outside of market hours prompting a gap. BankNifty is yet to reclaim its top of 51133, seems like it may take a bit longer. I am still sticking to the view of 11th June, where we said we would switch the stance to neutral if BN is unable to break free from these levels.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 13.06.2024BankNifty broke the intraday supply zone (15m) yesterday, reaching a high of 50,233. However, due to selling pressure from the major resistance zone (Daily) mentioned in earlier posts, it could not sustain and close above the 50,000 mark. BankNifty closed near the 15m demand/support zone created yesterday. If this support holds, we might see fresh buying in BankNifty. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is positive, while the daily trend remains sideways. Support/Demand Levels: Near Support/Demand Zone (15m, Tested): 49,728 - 49,860 Far Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 49,225 - 49,451 Far Support Zone (15m): 48,801 - 49,055 Resistance/Supply Levels: Near Minor Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 50,129 - 50,227 Major Resistance/Supply Zone (Daily): 50,092 - 51,133.20
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by PriteshPal
#Banknifty directions and levels for June11th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 11th: There are no significant changes in the global market. It is still maintaining a moderately bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also maintains a bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a neutral start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 30 points. Nifty and BankNifty both have the same sentiment; both consolidated in the previous session. So, as usual, structurally it’s a bullish trend, but we should wait for the range breakout. If it breaks, we can expect the rally to continue. If you want precise directions, here is a step-by-step guide: > In the short term, the market is moving within a minor range. If the market opens neutrally, we can initially expect range continuation. That means if the market takes a pullback initially or if it takes support around the immediate support level, the market may bounce back a minimum of 78% in the minor swing. > The rally will continue only if it breaks the previous high. > The correction may be expected only if the market takes a sharp decline initially. If the decline sustains, we can expect the correction to continue with minor consolidations around 49,268 for BankNifty.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
07 June 2024 - BankNifty not as bullish as Nifty, who will be FMWho will be the next finance minister would be something that Banks and Financial services sector would be keenly watching. For a stronger banking sector, we might need a tougher PM - someone who can make rational decisions. Will people who did not contest Lok Sabha elections be given a financial ministry berth? I hope not, personally I think FM is more important to stock markets than PM and Banks are the heartbeat. A stronger bank and a powerful central banking system will propel India to a powerful economy in a shorter time span. On the other hand, a weaker bank and ratifying middle class (of course with the non-considerate tax policies) will slow us down. Technically the stance is still bullish on BankNifty, but we are yet to reclaim the tops.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
Banknifty prediction for today 7 Jun 24As we discussed yesterday, Banknifty traded in a sideways-bullish zone. If we look at the chart now: The market has taken support from 200 EMA. The market is trading above EMA, which shows that the market is really bullish right now. There is also a bullish EMA(13, 50) crossover, which indicates that the market is in a bullish phase now. also, we got a golden crossover, which shows the market's strong bullish structure. Support levels: 48937, 48639, and 47547 resistance levels: 49600, 50503, and 50919 If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.62, which has decreased from 0.82, shows a mild bearish sign in the market. There is no such max-pain that means the market can easily achieve 49500, which shows a significant CE writing on higher levels. Next, good CE writing is at 50000, which is also at the psychological level. On the other hand, the lower side, at 48500 and 49000, has good PE writing. VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled. I am expecting the market: Case 1: Sideways in range of 48937 - 49600. Case 2: Bullish if it breaks 49600 to the upside. Reason: RSI > 60 shows a bullish structure. Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullishmarket structure. EMA Golden crossover of EMA(50, 200). PCR = 0.62 has decreased from 0.82, which is a sign of worry that might lead to a sideways if 200 EMA holds good support. Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure. Verdict: Sideways in range of 48937 - 49600. bullish if it breaks 49600 to the upside. Plan of action: Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 48900 PE & 49500 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options) Case 2 : Exit 49500 CE if it breaks to the upside.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by finnova_
06 June 2024 -BankNifty slightly bullish above 48947BankNifty Analysis BankNifty opened gap up and quite above the 48947 resistance line. The beauty of the price action today was that, we never fell below this support level - this could be taken as evidence of bullishness. And like old times, the pattern appears to be a W, double bottom. Each of the levels appears perfectly landing on either the support or the resistance levels. The outperformance today was from SBI, quite on the expected lines as PSU sectors could continue the euphoric status due to policy continuation. We are slightly bullish on banknifty and expect to take out the last ATH levels of 49952 soon, I am not sure about 51133 as of now though.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
05 Jun 24 Fibonacci levels correlates to SR levels of BankNiftyBanks had a higher aggression today, but just like the comments I posted in Nifty's post mortem report - I do not wish to go long yet. Take a look at the Fibonacci levels drawn for BankNifty's price action last 3 days. 100% level is at 51119 0% at 46267 - quite near my SR level of 46284 23.6% level is @ 47412, quite near 47477 SR 38.2% level is @ 48120, my support/resistance @ 48115 50% level is @ 48693, my marked SR is 48661 61.8% level is @ 49265, my closest SR is 48947. In the final 30 minutes, we closed below the 61.8% level. The best I could think of is to change the stance to neutral now and then go long if 50080 levels are getting taken out, but I do not have a marked level around the 50000 levels yet - mostly because the price action was quite shallow there. From a macro perspective, it is too early to judge if what we had was the continuation of the stubborn bull rally or just a minor pull back to yesterday's near 10% drop. Would like to watch this space pretty closely before taking major directional decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Bankknifty prediction for tomorrow 6 Jun 24Banknifty gave a really big bullish moment today. It's still an effect, and the market boomed 2000 points. If we look at the chart now: The market gave really big momentum to the upside. The market is trading above EMA, which shows that the market is really bullish right now. There is also a bullish EMA(13, 50) crossover, which indicates that the market is in a bullish phase now. Support levels: 48639, 47475, and 46504 resistance levels: 49528, 50161, 50938 If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.86, which has increased from 0.47, shows a huge bullish sign in the market. 49000 is the max-pain. Lower levels have better PE writing than higher levels. The market is making a completely bullish structure. VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled. I am expecting the market: Case 1: Sideways in range of 48639-49528. Case 2: On either side, it breaks to either side's trade accordingly. Reason: RSI > 60 shows a bullish structure. Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullishmarket structure. PCR = 0.86 has risen from 0.47 and shows great signs of bullishness. Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure. Verdict: Sideways in range of 48639-49528. and Volatile on either side, it breaks. Plan of action: Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 48650 PE & 49500 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options) Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by finnova_
Banknifty prediction for today 5 Jun 24As we discussed, Banknifty, because of the event(election result) based trading, we are not going to trade. The fog is now clear, and we have which government is going to be there. Now, the market will be stable in 1 day or two. If we look at the chart now: The market had a massive fall yesterday because the election result was not as favorable as expected by the exit poll. Now, the market has reached a temporary support level of 46110 and a minor resistance level of 47837. The market is going to be sideways in the range of 46110-47837. The market might have good momentum on either side if it breaks. Support levels:46110 resistance levels: 200 EMA, 47837, 49534 If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.47, which shows a bearish structure. 47000 is the max pain. Maximum positions have been added at 46500 and 46000, which is going to provide good support. On the upper side, 47000 and 47500 have good CE writing. I am expecting the market to be: Case 1 : Sideways in range of 46110-47837. Case 2 : On either side, it breaks to either side. The market is going to have high volatility because the VIX is still 26.74(Very High). Reason: RSI is 40-60 shows a sideways structure. Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bearish market structure. PCR = 0.47 shows a market bearish sign. Price < VWAP shows that a bearish market structure. Verdict: Sideways in the range of 46110-47837 and Volatile on either side it breaks. Plan of action: Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 46100 PE & 47800 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options) Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by finnova_
04 Jun 2024 - If Circuit triggered on BankNifty, further panicBankNifty Analysis The intraday fall on BankNifty was approx 5028pts ~ 9.84%, a few more points would have triggered the lower circuit and we would have had a pause of 30 to 45mts. The Lower circuit hit would have opened the floor to further fall due to panic and somehow magically the reversal came and it really saved the day. If you look at the daily chart, the reversal came right at the 46284 support level, this was after breaking 48947, 48661, 48115, and 47465 (critical) supports. How that played out today was quite panic-creating. Our stance is revised to bearish till proven wrong. Expecting some more volatility going forward, once the situation normalizes - will be more than happy to switch on the Algos with full thrust. A coalition government is really good for the option traders, the uncertainty will spice up the option premiums. I could say with a decent level of confidence that a bit of fear is good for financial markets, after all, we were in a blind one sided rally.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by viswaram
03 Jun 2024 - BankNifty has more steam left even after 4% rallyLast week we wrapped up the discussion saying BankNifty is looking more bullish than Nifty. We also said the torch bearer would be Banks in case of a positive scenario. India's growth story will have to come via Bank's is their base case, this explains the 40% plus dependency of the index on Financial Sectors. BankNifty managed to close higher than the open value, almost 2000pts ~ 4% in what became a mega gap. The new ATH is 51106, notice that we managed to conquer 51000 levels too. Our stance is bullish with the first support at 49937 levels. Once the counting is in progress tomorrow - we could expect real volatility and fake moves too. We would get exact clarity only by Wednesday, Jun 5th, incidentally it's an expiry day too.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 3 June | MondayAs we discussed, the Banknifty sideways and bullish structure market gave a volatile move in the uptrending channel range, as we discussed in case 1. If we look at the chart now: The market took very nice support from 200 EMA and is moving in an uptrending channel. The market is also making an inverted Flag & pole pattern, which is a bearish pattern. If the market breaks the pattern to the downside, it might make a nice bearish move. Support levels: 200 EMA, 448487, 48223, 48000 resistance levels: 49061, 49315, 49650 If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.76, which has fallen from 0.82, shows the market is turning to a bearish side. 49000 is max pain. Maximum positions have been added at 49500 and 50000. on the lower side, 48500 and 48000 People are making Strange for election results. That can also be seen on the chart. People are making short strangle in a wide range as premiums are already skyrocketing. I am expecting the market: Case 1 : Sideways in the uptrending channel. Case 2 : if the market breaks the channel to the downside, the market will turn bearish. With a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 24.60. Reason: RSI is 40-60 shows a sideways structure. Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bullish market structure, but as it is moving in the channel bullish direction is not yet confirmed The last two candles have given good volume at the buy candle as well as good volume at the sell-off, which indicates sideways market pressure. PCR = 0.82 shows good market bullish sign. Price > VWAP shows that a bullish market structure. Verdict: Sideways in the channel and bearish if it breaks to the downside. Plan of action: Case 1: Sideways: Sell 49200 CE & 48500 PE (Hedge it with 50/- premium options) Case 2: Bearish: Sell 49200 CE (Hedge it with 50/- CE option)
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by finnova_
#Banknifty Directions and Levels for May31st.The Banknifty structure differs slightly from Nifty, but the sentiment is the same. The current variation suggests that if the initial market takes a solid pullback and breaks the level of 48938, we can expect it to reach 61%. Notably, the market will continue the rally only if it sustains above the level of 48938. If it doesn't sustain above this price, the range market might continue. Alternatively, if the initial market corrects, the downside 61% Fib level will act as minor support. My personal opinion is that if the market declines initially, it may enter a range market.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
30 May 2024 - BankNifty defended 48661 quite aggressively todayBankNifty Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty had an awkward-looking opening today, a decent gap-down, and breaking the 48661 support. The intraday lowest point was the level at which we opened today. More importantly, we retraced the fall and even re-tested the 48947 levels. Fortunately for the bears, 48947 resistance was not broken, if it had given away - then we would have been forced to go long. Between 14.55 to 15.15 we tested the support levels of 48661 and it was defended again. The final closing is so positive for the banks that I am really worried about how Nifty50 is going to gather momentum for a breakdown. We might have to break either of the 48661 or 48947 levels tomorrow and be prepared for what is coming next week. I seriously hope we find some bearish momentum soon.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Banknifty analysis for tomorrow 31 MayAs we discussed, the Banknifty bearish or Sideways structure market gave a volatile move in range, as we discussed in case 1. If we look at the chart now: The market took very nice support from 200 EMA. And it was quite volatile for the whole day. The Price is struggling to break the 50-EMA resistance. The market is going to be sideways in the range of 48487-48899 unless it breaks to the upside (high probability). If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.82, which has risen from 0.63. shows a good amount of PE writing on the lower side. There has been good CE and PE writing at 48500 and 49000. The next support point is 48000 on the lower side and 49500 on the upper side. People are making Strange for election results. I am expecting Case 1: Sideways in the range 48487-48900. Case 2: if the market breaks 48900 to the upside- Bullish With a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 24.2. Reason: RSI is 40-60 shows a sideways structure. (Bearish) EMA(50) > Price > EMA(200), which indicates indecisive or rather sideways market. The market has taken support from 200 EMA, which might lead to a bullish market in the upcoming session. The market has given a good volume spike that shows this level is good support. PCR = 0.82 shows good market bullish sign. Price> VWAP shows that a bullish market structure can lead to a Bull market. Verdict: Sideways (70% chances) or Bullish (30% chances) Plan of action: Case 1: Sideways: Sell 48500 PE & 48900 CE (Hedge it with 50/- premium options) Case 2: Bullish: Sell 48600 PE (Hedge it with 50/- CE option)
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by finnova_
29 May 2024 - BankNifty stance revised to neutral, not bearish!Banknifty closed just below the SR of 48603 and for the same reason, I am going neutral. Unlike Nifty, BN has few SR zones nearby hence the decision to go neutral instead of bearish. Although we fell 640pts ~ 1.3%, none of the 63mts candles closed distinctly below 48603 which is a sign of worry for the Bears, Meanwhile, the drop seen in ICICI will be considered with a lot of seriousness. Earlier when HDFC and KOTAK were taking beatings, ICICI had stayed strong. In fact, the major contributor to the BN points came from the rally of ICICI than HDFC. I would prefer to start the day tomorrow with a neutral bias and then go short if 48351 is taken out during the first 2 hours. Ideally, BN and N50 have to face the same direction before going to the election results.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow 30 May As we discussed, the Banknifty bearish structure market gave a very nice momentum to the downside. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading at 200 EMA(30 min TF), which can provide potential support. Also, bank nifty is trading between fib 0.50 and 0.61, which might also be a good support zone. The price is trading lower than EMA(13,50) and above EMA(200). this zone is perfect for taking support for Banknifty. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.63 shows a bearish signal in the market. There is good writing on both sides at 48400 and 48500. 48000 has good PE writing, so it is going to provide a good support zone. on the upper side, 49000 is going to be a hard resistance zone because of heavy CE writing. I am expecting Case 1: Sideways in range 48400-48853. Case 2: if the market breaks 48400 to the downside- Bearish With a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 24.2. Reason: RSI < 40 shows a weak bull structure. (Bearish) EMA(13) > Price >= EMA(200), which indicates indecisive or rather sideways market. The market might receive support at 200 EMA. The market has given a good volume spike that shows this level is good support. PCR = 0.63 indicates bearish. price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. Verdict: Bearish or Sideways. Plan of action: Case 1: Sideways: Sell 48400 PE & 48850 CE (Hedge it with 15/- premium options) Case 2: Bearish: Sell 48400 CE (Hedge it with 15/- CE option)
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by finnova_
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28 May 2024 - 48947 critical support just a swing awayIn the last session, we informed that a stance revision may be required if we fall below 48947. Luckily we did not fall below that level today - hence the bullish stance continues. Today we lost over 139pts ~ 0.28%, but the price action proved quite dangerous. The next 1 week to 10 days may be very critical for our stock markets as the election results are coming up. The first sector to get an impact will be banks, hence we might have to watch this space very closely. Ideally both Nifty and BankNifty should be facing the same direction, and if we get it right on the previous day of the election - an year's profit can be made in a week. Luckily, I do not play hero zero and would prefer to wait out during this period.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 29 Mar | Expiry SpecialAs we discussed, the Banknifty sideways or bearish structure market was bearish while having sideways volatility. If we look at the chart now: The market has broken the support level to the downside with a continuously increasing volume. If the market fails to take support at 50 EMA, it will fall rapidly to the 48631 level. RSI is also below 50 and about to cross 40, which will lead to a strong, bearish structure, and the market can correct itself to 200 EMA levels. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.80, which has fallen from 0.98. That indicates that there is good CE writing at higher levels, which can also be seen in the OI chart. 49000 is the max pain for Banknifty. Also, the next good PE writing is at 48500. there is not much CE writing on lower levels. I am expecting a bearish market with a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 24.2. Reason: RSI < 50 falling from the upside shows a good reduction in the bull's strength. If it crosses 40 on the downside, the market will be strong and bearish. EMA(13) > Price > EMA(200), which indicates indecisive or rather sideways market. the market can correct itself till 200 EMA. The market has formed a lower high that indicates the market is bearish. PCR = 0.80 indicates mild bullish, but this has fallen from 0.98, which shows good CE writing on higher levels. price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. Verdict: Bearish Plan of action: Sell 49100 CE (Hedge it with 15/- PE premium) Note: you can target 200 EMA.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by finnova_
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow 28 MayAs we discussed, Banknifty's bullishness in past sessions has hit its target today. If we look at the chart now: The market has touched the target (49471), as we mentioned in the previous analysis. A huge fall was registered once the given target got hit. That means it's working as a good resistance zone for the upcoming session. Now, for the market to go further, it has to take some consolidation in the range (49168-49650), which is Fib level (0.38). If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.98, which has fallen from 1.34. That indicates that it had a huge PE winding today, which can also be seen in the OI chart. There is a CE addition for 49500 and 50000, which is going to provide good resistance from now on. 49000 is good support at lower levels. I am expecting a sideways in the range (49168-49650) with a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 23+. Reason: RSI ~ 60 falling from the upside shows a good reduction in the bull's strength. EMA(13) > Price > EMA(200), which indicates indecisive or rather sideways market.. The market is still making HH & HL, which shows bullishness, but a huge selling pressure from the upside shows lots of sellers' interest that might lead to a sideways market. PCR = 0.98 indicates bullishness, but this has fallen from 1.34, which shows lots of profit booking on the upside. price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish or sideways market. Verdict : Sideways or Bearish Plan of action: Sell 49600 CE and 49100 PE (Hedge it with 15/- premium) Note: Exit CE if it breaks 49700 to the upside & Exit PE if it breaks 49100 to the downside. But right now, there are more chances for the market to be sideways or bearish.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by finnova_