Banknifty prediction for today 7 Jun 24As we discussed yesterday, Banknifty traded in a sideways-bullish zone.
If we look at the chart now:
The market has taken support from 200 EMA. The market is trading above EMA, which shows that the market is really bullish right now. There is also a bullish EMA(13, 50) crossover, which indicates that the market is in a bullish phase now. also, we got a golden crossover, which shows the market's strong bullish structure.
Support levels: 48937, 48639, and 47547
resistance levels: 49600, 50503, and 50919
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.62, which has decreased from 0.82, shows a mild bearish sign in the market. There is no such max-pain that means the market can easily achieve 49500, which shows a significant CE writing on higher levels. Next, good CE writing is at 50000, which is also at the psychological level. On the other hand, the lower side, at 48500 and 49000, has good PE writing.
VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1: Sideways in range of 48937 - 49600.
Case 2: Bullish if it breaks 49600 to the upside.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullishmarket structure.
EMA Golden crossover of EMA(50, 200).
PCR = 0.62 has decreased from 0.82, which is a sign of worry that might lead to a sideways if 200 EMA holds good support.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in range of 48937 - 49600. bullish if it breaks 49600 to the upside.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 48900 PE & 49500 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit 49500 CE if it breaks to the upside.
Bankniftytrend
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/06/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 49050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 49450 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 49550 level in todays session. Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 48950 level. also possible reversal downside 49450 level.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 07.06.2024BankNifty stayed inside the 15-minute resistance/supply zone mentioned yesterday. It closed above the important level of 61.8% retracement (of the last swing) at 49,202, which is a positive sign. If BankNifty can sustain this level, we might see further upward movement.
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (30m) for Intraday: 47,386 - 48,000
Near Support Zone (15m) for Intraday: 46,511 - 46,833
Near Support Zone (Daily): 45,661 - 46,330
Far Support Zone (Weekly): 42,105 - 43,915
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (15m) for Intraday: 48,986 - 49,700 (remains the same)
Major Resistance/Supply Zone (Daily): 50,092 - 51,133.20
#Banknifty directions and levels for June 7th.ankNifty also exhibits the same sentiment. There is a sub-wave five, which is a distribution wave, potentially with lower volume. If this happens, the 78% Fibonacci level might act as strong resistance. On the other hand, if the pullback has a solid structure, we can expect the rally to continue with some consolidation.
The alternative variation is also the same: if the initial market takes a correction, then we can expect a range market. On the other hand, if the correction consolidates or breaks the 78% Fibonacci level, then it may fall further.
Bank Nifty experienced Range bound session on Thursday Indian benchmark witnessed Range bound session after prev day recovery,
Bank Nifty remained in opening range after small positive opening
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 50k zone
whereas downside support is around 48000 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show volatility in 1st half due to RBI Policy outcome
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06 June 2024 -BankNifty slightly bullish above 48947BankNifty Analysis
BankNifty opened gap up and quite above the 48947 resistance line. The beauty of the price action today was that, we never fell below this support level - this could be taken as evidence of bullishness.
And like old times, the pattern appears to be a W, double bottom. Each of the levels appears perfectly landing on either the support or the resistance levels. The outperformance today was from SBI, quite on the expected lines as PSU sectors could continue the euphoric status due to policy continuation.
We are slightly bullish on banknifty and expect to take out the last ATH levels of 49952 soon, I am not sure about 51133 as of now though.
#Banknifty directions and levels for June 6th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 6th:
The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also shows a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 180 points.
Nifty and Bank Nifty both have had a solid pullback. Still, the market is moving based on events, so technical participation is less. However, let's look at the wave structure.
According to the wave structure, the market is moving in a five-three-five pattern, which means a zig-zag pattern. Currently, the first five waves are completed, and we are progressing through the three-wave pullback. Its maximum pullback level is the Fibonacci level of 78%. If the market rejects around the immediate resistance or the Fibonacci level of 78%, we can expect a trend reversal (bearish trend).
The important thing is we should take reversal confirmation by using the EMA20 or the Fibonacci level of 38% breakout in the minor swing. If these conditions are met, then we can assume the trend has turned into a correction phase. This is our wave structure. Now we can look at the basic price action structure.
Despite the market's recent drastic fall, the pullback follows the same structure. Whenever the market takes a sharp movement, it could retrace only 23 to 38%. So today, we expect that if the market rejects either one of the resistances, we can expect a 23 to 38% correction.
Note: The market does not necessarily take a correction. If it rejects sharply, then we can expect this. Otherwise, if it consolidates or breaks around the resistance, then the rally will likely continue
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 06.06.2024BankNifty gained 4.5% yesterday and closed inside the 15-minute resistance zone mentioned in the last post. If it breaks above 49,700, we might see selling pressure at the daily resistance zone starting at 50,092.
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (30m) for Intraday: 47,386 - 48,000
Near Support Zone (15m) for Intraday: 46,511 - 46,833
Near Support Zone (Daily): 45,661 - 46,330 (remains the same)
Far Support Zone (Weekly): 42,105 - 43,915
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (15m) for Intraday: 48,986 - 49,700 (remains the same)
Major Resistance/Supply Zone (Daily): 50,092 - 51,133.20
05 Jun 24 Fibonacci levels correlates to SR levels of BankNiftyBanks had a higher aggression today, but just like the comments I posted in Nifty's post mortem report - I do not wish to go long yet. Take a look at the Fibonacci levels drawn for BankNifty's price action last 3 days.
100% level is at 51119
0% at 46267 - quite near my SR level of 46284
23.6% level is @ 47412, quite near 47477 SR
38.2% level is @ 48120, my support/resistance @ 48115
50% level is @ 48693, my marked SR is 48661
61.8% level is @ 49265, my closest SR is 48947.
In the final 30 minutes, we closed below the 61.8% level. The best I could think of is to change the stance to neutral now and then go long if 50080 levels are getting taken out, but I do not have a marked level around the 50000 levels yet - mostly because the price action was quite shallow there.
From a macro perspective, it is too early to judge if what we had was the continuation of the stubborn bull rally or just a minor pull back to yesterday's near 10% drop. Would like to watch this space pretty closely before taking major directional decisions.
Bankknifty prediction for tomorrow 6 Jun 24Banknifty gave a really big bullish moment today. It's still an effect, and the market boomed 2000 points.
If we look at the chart now:
The market gave really big momentum to the upside. The market is trading above EMA, which shows that the market is really bullish right now. There is also a bullish EMA(13, 50) crossover, which indicates that the market is in a bullish phase now.
Support levels: 48639, 47475, and 46504
resistance levels: 49528, 50161, 50938
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.86, which has increased from 0.47, shows a huge bullish sign in the market. 49000 is the max-pain. Lower levels have better PE writing than higher levels. The market is making a completely bullish structure.
VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1: Sideways in range of 48639-49528.
Case 2: On either side, it breaks to either side's trade accordingly.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullishmarket structure.
PCR = 0.86 has risen from 0.47 and shows great signs of bullishness.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in range of 48639-49528. and Volatile on either side, it breaks.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 48650 PE & 49500 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks.
Banknifty prediction for today 5 Jun 24As we discussed, Banknifty, because of the event(election result) based trading, we are not going to trade. The fog is now clear, and we have which government is going to be there. Now, the market will be stable in 1 day or two.
If we look at the chart now:
The market had a massive fall yesterday because the election result was not as favorable as expected by the exit poll. Now, the market has reached a temporary support level of 46110 and a minor resistance level of 47837. The market is going to be sideways in the range of 46110-47837. The market might have good momentum on either side if it breaks.
Support levels:46110
resistance levels: 200 EMA, 47837, 49534
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.47, which shows a bearish structure. 47000 is the max pain. Maximum positions have been added at 46500 and 46000, which is going to provide good support. On the upper side, 47000 and 47500 have good CE writing.
I am expecting the market to be:
Case 1 : Sideways in range of 46110-47837.
Case 2 : On either side, it breaks to either side.
The market is going to have high volatility because the VIX is still 26.74(Very High).
Reason:
RSI is 40-60 shows a sideways structure.
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bearish market structure.
PCR = 0.47 shows a market bearish sign.
Price < VWAP shows that a bearish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in the range of 46110-47837 and Volatile on either side it breaks.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 46100 PE & 47800 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 05.06.2024Huge selling was witnessed yesterday due to election results that did not align with exit polls. A big red candle on the daily chart broke almost all near supports of the last two months, breaking the support trendline and taking support at the daily demand zone of 45,661 - 46,330 (which was already tested once in the past).
Support Levels:
Near Minor Support Zone (Daily): 45,661 - 46,330
Far Support Zone (Weekly): 42,105 - 43,915
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (15m) for Intraday: 48,986 - 49,700
Major Resistance/Supply Zone (Daily): 50,092 - 51,133.20
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(05/06/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 47050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 47450 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 47550 level in todays session. Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 46950 level. also possible reversal downside 47450 level.
Bank Nifty fell by around 5000 points in Tuesday session...!Indian benchmark showed correction & lose more than 6%
on Vote counting day.
Bank Nifty broke down the trendline & showed sharp correction
to slip easily below imp support levels
A Big Long candle has formed on Daily TF, erased last few months gains
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 48600/800 level
whereas downside support is around 45950 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show Choppiness after today's sharp fall.
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
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04 Jun 2024 - If Circuit triggered on BankNifty, further panicBankNifty Analysis
The intraday fall on BankNifty was approx 5028pts ~ 9.84%, a few more points would have triggered the lower circuit and we would have had a pause of 30 to 45mts. The Lower circuit hit would have opened the floor to further fall due to panic and somehow magically the reversal came and it really saved the day.
If you look at the daily chart, the reversal came right at the 46284 support level, this was after breaking 48947, 48661, 48115, and 47465 (critical) supports. How that played out today was quite panic-creating.
Our stance is revised to bearish till proven wrong. Expecting some more volatility going forward, once the situation normalizes - will be more than happy to switch on the Algos with full thrust.
A coalition government is really good for the option traders, the uncertainty will spice up the option premiums. I could say with a decent level of confidence that a bit of fear is good for financial markets, after all, we were in a blind one sided rally.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 04.06.2024After yesterday's GAP UP opening and high closing, the last Friday's high-low range will serve as a good support if we see a correction from high levels.
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (Daily): 48,569 - 49,123
Further Support Zone (Daily): 47,435 - 48,260
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(04/06/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 51050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 51450 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 51550 level in todays session. Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 50950 level. also possible reversal downside 51450 level.
Bank Nifty crossed the level of 50,000 for first time ever ...!The market witnessed the session of june 3 with Robust gains,
following Exit polls results.
After Big Gap up opening Bank Nifty remained in postivie momentum & closed near 51000 level
A Big Bullish candle is formed on daily chart
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 51200 level
whereas downside support is around 50000 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show volatility during the Election Results on june 4
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
03 Jun 2024 - BankNifty has more steam left even after 4% rallyLast week we wrapped up the discussion saying BankNifty is looking more bullish than Nifty. We also said the torch bearer would be Banks in case of a positive scenario. India's growth story will have to come via Bank's is their base case, this explains the 40% plus dependency of the index on Financial Sectors.
BankNifty managed to close higher than the open value, almost 2000pts ~ 4% in what became a mega gap. The new ATH is 51106, notice that we managed to conquer 51000 levels too.
Our stance is bullish with the first support at 49937 levels.
Once the counting is in progress tomorrow - we could expect real volatility and fake moves too. We would get exact clarity only by Wednesday, Jun 5th, incidentally it's an expiry day too.
Cup and Handle Bullish Breakout levels in Weekly ChartBank nifty Bullish view in weekly chart, aggressive and conservative traders levels
CONSERVATIVE TRADER ENTRY ZONE 44180 - 44250
AGGRESSIVE TRADER ENTRY ZONE 41700 - 41800
STOP-LOSS >>DAY'S CANDLE CLOSE BELOW 37350
T2 >> PROFIT BOOKING ZONE 50300 -50400
T1 >> PROFIT BOOKING ZONE 45900 - 46000
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 03.06.2024As GIFTNIFTY indicates a GAP UP opening, we might see a new all-time high today for BankNifty. Here are the high time frame support and resistance zones instead of intraday levels:
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (Daily): 47,435 - 48,260
Far Support: 48,017 (61.8% FIBO level of the last swing)
Further Down Support Zone (Previous Low): 46,983
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (Daily): 49,396 - 49,974.75
Bank NIfty relatively outperformed in last week Bank NIfty also gave negative returns in last week but relatively outperfomed
Bank Nifty witnessed correction in 1st half
& some recovery in 2nd part of last week
Upside hurdle is placed near 49200/400 level
whereas imp downside support zone is around 48400
Market may show volatility during the Results of elections
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
What Is India VIX & Its impact on the Market Q: What is India VIX?
Ans) India VIX, or India Volatility Index, measures the market's expectation of volatility
over the near term. It is often referred to as the "Fear Gauge" as it indicates
the level of fear or risk in the market.
Higher VIX values indicate higher expected volatility,
while lower values suggest lower expected Volatility.
Q: What does a High India VIX indicate?
Ans) A High India VIX indicates that traders expect significant volatility
in the market. This often corresponds with market uncertainty or fear,
possibly due to Economic Events, Political instability, or other factors that
might cause large price swings.
Q: What does a L ow India VIX indicate?
Ans) Low India VIX suggests that traders expect the market to be relatively
stable in the near term. This typically corresponds with periods of market
confidence and lower perceived risk.
Q: How do major events affect India VIX?
Ans) Major Events such as Elections, Economic Announcements, Geopolitical Tensions,
or Natural Disasters can significantly impact India VIX. These events often lead to increased uncertainty and Fear, causing India VIX to spike as traders anticipate greater market volatility.
These are some of the Basic information about the India VIX and its impact on the Market
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