13 Mar ’24 — BankNifty stays cool today unlike N50 that broke 2.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BN was calm as a cucumber, on one side the Nifty50 heavyweights were tanking but BN kept its cool. Usually, Banks are the first to react to any news related to “froth”, “valuation” etc. Mainly because the valuation, loan against shares, etc all depend on the underwriters and financial institutions that did the due diligence. When the markets are going up, nobody is really worried. But when the stocks start crashing, the valuations get impacted and people start getting margin calls. When this situation is combined with a contracting money supply - businesses could face restrictions in raising new capital.
4mts chart
The only reason I can think of why the Banks did not fall today would be due to the expiry aspect. If that is the case, we should be seeing the FOMO effect in tomorrow’s morning session. Since BN held its ground, the algo trades all performed exceptionally well, and the heightened volatility improved the option selling margins.
From the recent top of 48161, BN is falling, but yet to make a lower low or lower high. Unless the 2nd leg starts, we wouldn't know with clarity what it has in mind. To go bearish, we need to fall below 46176 another 800pts away. If both BN and N50 are facing the same direction - then we can expect the big boys to enter the shorting arena. If we are to get a relief rally or retracement, it should be driven by the banks - because they are still the strongest sub-sector in Nifty.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 14380.
Bankniftytrend
Bank Nifty Analysis for tomorrow Thrusday | 14 March 24 As we discussed in our video analysis, the bank's nifty bearish nature broke to the downside and gave a nice bearish target today.
If we look at the chart now:
The price has broken 200 EMA, HNS Neckline support zone to the downside. The market is quite bearish. RSI is also showing weakness in bulls.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.67 shows a bearish market structure. Also, there is a huge CE and PE writing at 47000, which will work as maxPain. There is not much of support levels except 46500 which is also confirmed by Price Action levels.
I am expecting the market to fall till 46500.
Reasons:
RSI < 40 shows weakness in bulls.
price < EMAs shows bearish strengthen market.
PCR = 0.67 shows a bearish market.
price < VWAP indicates bearish sentiment in the market.
Verdict: Bearish
Plan of Action : Sell 46900 CE (Hedge it with 20 rs CE).
12 Mar ’24 — BankNifty Algo Trades almost killed me today.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
The 10.43 candle was more profound on BankNifty, we had a drop of 656pts ~ 1.38% in that single candle. We had a positive swing of 612pts ~ 1.3% between 09.27 to 09.59 and then a negative reaction of 931pts ~ 1.95% between 09.59 to 10.47. If these 2 swings did not take out your stop loss - then I don't know what will. Since we run algo trades, the entire positions went into a tailspin showing a huge MTM loss. Miraculously, the system recovered and ended the day with a reduced loss. If this same move happened on a Wednesday or Thursday, then the losses would have been 10x of what we had today.
4mts chart
On the higher time frame, the stance continues to be neutral as BN was unable to take out the 47465 resistance today. The 10.18 candle showed some bearish intent, but it did not get any follow-through action. The current market texture is weak hands holding CE short positions. So if we break the resistance tomorrow either by a gap-up or via 1hr trading, then the short covering will result in further momentum. This market structure is really pissing off some serious traders too, mostly because overnight positions are not bringing the kind of benefit it should. The premiums for which they are sold do not cover the risks taken.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a loss of 15896. The positions went into deep RED during the 10.43 candle, but with time the positions started recovering.
Banknifty Chart & Levels for tomorrow Here we are providing Banknifty charts are only for educational purpose. Please observe the chart clearly as the game will be some tricky for tomorrow and most importantly don’t buy/sell based on these charts. Clearly mentioned the levels & directions for just observation and learning purpose.
Bank Nifty analysis for 12th march 2024It looks like the bank nifty is forming a head and shoulders patern. if it breaks the support level (47200 to 47300 range) downside, it may go to the next possible support (46300 to 46500 range) marked in the chart.
if it crosses the level 48200 upside, we may go for a bullish trade after forming a price action.
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
11 Mar ’24 — BankNifty breaks 47465, next SR 1000 points lowerBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
We have a change in stance on BN today, As soon we had a closing below 47465 we changed the stance from bullish to neutral. We fell 693pts ~ 1.45% today and the structure was pretty negative. BN never really tried to retrace the fall today, just had 1 minor rejection at the support at 11.23, but yielded by 11.55. The ease with which the support got broken got me thinking, what was the real bad news today? I remember seeing the Japan Nikkei trading with cuts of -2.3%. But other than that, I really dont remember reading any other bad news.
4mts chart
On the higher time frame, notice the depth of the RED candles till the support was broken. The single GREEN candle of 6th Mar 09.15 has been negated. Since we broke the support of 47465, the stance is now neutral. For tomorrow we wish to start with non-directional trades on BankNifty and go long if the 47465 resistance gets broken. To go short, BN will have to re-enter the bearish channel and that is like 1000pts away. If we were to fall that many points in a day, we are quite sure Nifty50 will also fall equivalently and most likely go bearish as well. Honestly, why would markets fall that much, what is the reason?
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 20165. Manually squared off the trades at 14.21 just when the markets started to get volatile.
Bank Nifty 12-03-2024 Analysis
Hello Traders, Welcome to SriTrader5121
_______________________________________
Overall view for the day.
Buy - with support of PDL / Strong- Resistance
Sell - with rejection of PDL / support
See the price action at our zones, take the trade according to your Risk - Reward.
Happy Learning and Trading – SriTrader5121
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Rules to fallow...
1) Wait for conformation.
2) See the price action at our zones.
3) Trade with Strict Stop Loss.
4) Trade with Small Quantity.
5) Take entries based on Support & Resistance Zones.
_____________________________________________________
Please take the trade according to the zones marked, with Risk-Reward.
This is not a Buy or Sell recommendation to anyone.
Take entries based on your own analysis and risk.
This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in live market.
NOTE: Trade with Strict Stop Loss. It may or may not hit all levels / Zones. So one can book profit / loss based on your risk-reward or considering price action at respective zone how it works near that zone.
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Bank Nifty Small down trade .. for 12-03-2024Bank nifty after a sharp fall from today the market looks like its trying to go with negative side for few days as a small pull back ....
Look for level 47650 to test and show the weakness .. and then can trade for a low with small target .... can expect a market fall about 900 points ... mostly trade is for Expiry day movement ....
be carefull of the level 47000 and if market stucks there set as marginal profit zone ...
BANKNIFTY MATHEMATCIAL LEVELS FOR THIS EXPIRYThese Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only
Weekend Wrap-Up: Nifty & Bank Nifty AnalysisNifty & Bank Nifty look in strong position to march towards higher level,
Nifty is creating a Flag in a 30 min Time frame, breakout is above 22530 level
Bank Nifty has broken out of a Flag in a 30 min time frame, the flag height is 1800 points, target is 49300 level.
Both Indexes placed well !!
#Banknifty directions and levels for March 7th.Banknifty has the same sentiment; there is a completed motive structure. So, if the initial market declines sharply, then we can expect a minimum of 23% to 38% Fibonacci correction. If it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, that's a sign of a trend reversal (bearish trend). On the other hand, if it finds support there (23%), it might consolidate a little bit.
Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains and breaks the supply zone, here also the same extension might happen. So, if the market breaks the supply zone, we can expect a rally continuation in the upcoming sessions."
06 Mar ’24 — Nobody believed us when we said Banks are bullish..BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
The major move in Banknifty in the opening hour itself. See the encircled region and see how the 47465 support came into play. Support and resistance have the highest weightage in my technical indicators arsenal. If you have been reading my reports - you may agree to it without doubt. The only thing is, you need to draw the horizontal lines carefully.
4mts chart
Two things happened when BN rallied 713pts ~ 1.5% in the opening hours. Firstly it gave so much of positive momentum to Nifty50 that even a laggard like NiftyIT had to reverse course and align with the GREENs. Secondly, it threw our algo positions under the bus. The swift movement ensured whatever MTM loss the positions went into, we were sure that the end was never going to be in green.
Not quite sure if we will take out the ATH tomorrow, but seems like we are going to have another green day tomorrow. As long as the support of 47465 is respected, the bulls are going to have a nice time.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a loss of 19656. The opening hour casting its spell, the MTM loss was almost 65710 at a point, so we are quite thankful for the wonderful recovery we had post that trauma.
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 07 Mar 24As we discussed, the Banknifty breakout gave quite a nice target today. As it was expiry today, the market turned sideways in the afternoon.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance zone right now. Today, it has been sideways at resistance. After that, some selling came with good volume, which may be because of expiry today. The RSI trendline has also broken down to the downside.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.9 shows bullish market sentiments. But as it is just the start of the week, this does not contribute much for now.
There can be 2 cases, as marked on the chart.
Case 1: if it takes support at 47850, then it can move till 48600(ATH).
Case 2: Might consolidate in the range 47500-48000.
Reasons:
BN is trading at the resistance Zone.
4H-TF resistance trendline.
All-time high resistance Zone
The RSI trendline has broken down to the downside. There might be some correction or consolidation.
PCR = 0.9 shows bullish sentiments. 48000 is maxPain while 47500 is a good resistance according to the OI data. The above side is not much CE writing that shows the market is going to be HIGHER HIGH in upcoming sessions.
VWAP = Price shows price is balanced.
Verdict:
Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Case1: Sell 47800 PE (Hedge it with 20 rs PE)
Case 2: Iron condor in range 47500-48000.
BankNifty Bullish Move Toward All Time High If you observe the chart above, it clearly indicates that it's forming higher highs and higher lows. A few days ago, on January 17th, 2024, there was a significant gap down below the resistance level of 47520. Many times it attempted to break this resistance level, but today it finally broke through with a strong bullish candle. Therefore, we can confidently say that it's likely to reach all-time highs.
Note: I will maintain charts in a simple way. Only those with basic knowledge of technical analysis will be able to understand what I am posting.
#Banknifty directions and levels for March 6th.The Banknifty structure is a little different; as per the wave structure, there is a pullback wave bending (minor sub-wave 5th). So, if the market breaks yesterday's high, then we can expect a range between 47821 to 47957. Since this is the 5th wave, once it rejects there, we can anticipate a correctional wave that may take a 23 to 38% Fibonacci correction to the minor swing. however, if it sustains there(47957) then we can expect further extension.
Alternatively, if it declines initially, the 47427 level will act as a crucial support. If it finds support there, then we can initially expect a range market for rally continuation. However, if it breaks, it might turn into an overall correction phase."
05 Mar ’24 — BankNifty Algos gave 50% profit in opening hour!BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
BankNifty gets a status change today to bullish. Look at the 12.47 candle that took out the resistance of 47465. Even the next candle formed was strongly bullish. We are now at a stage where BankNifty is strongly bullish and Nifty is showing some weakness due to the tech sector. If Nifty starts falling, there is no way BankNifty can remain in green, although it has happened many times in the past. Over the last many months, the IT sector has gained more weightage on Nifty50, I started noticing this after the inclusion of LTIM in the index.
4mts chart
On the higher timeframe, BankNifty managed to get 2 63mts candles above the resistance line. Our stance change came right after the 12.24 candle as the signs were pretty clear. On a normal day, a resistance break usually signifies a much more powerful breakout rally. We are quite not sure whether we will get that tomorrow as US markets are trading in deep RED.
If BN falls below 47465 or opens gap-down below this support level we will revert to a neutral stance. And since it is the weekly expiry tomorrow - we expect the premiums to pick up if that happens. As it stands the premiums of the OTM are not good enough for some serious speculation.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 17997 rupees. Again pulled the plug early today i.e. at 10.24. As per my backtests the max possible gain intraday is Rs36000 and since we hit 50% of that in the opening hour - decided to exit prematurely.
#Banknifty directions and levels for March 5thBanknifty is following a 5th ending diagonal pattern. So if the market breaks yesterday's high, it will reach the fib level 78% with minor consolidation. After that, if it rejects there, we can expect a minimum of a 23 to 38% correctional wave. However, if it sustains there (consolidates), then it might turn into an extension variation. On the other hand, if the initial market declines, then we can consider that as an expanding flat variation, meaning the 4th wave continuation. If it finds support around the demand zone, then we can expect consolidation for the 5th impulse wave. However, if it breaks the demand zone, then the correction will continue.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 05/03/2024The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 05-03-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.