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Bankniftytrend

#Banknifty directions and levels for April 4th.Banknifty maintains the range market structure, so if the gap-up sustains and breaks the fib level 78% on the upside, then we can expect the rally to continue. That may reach the supply zone. After that, if it consolidates or breaks that level(SZ) then we can expect further rally continuation. However, if it sharply rejects(around the SZ), then it may retrace a minimum of 38 to 61% in the minor swing. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then it may turn into a minor correction. But that should break the fib level 38% in the minor swing. If it happens, then we can expect a minimum of 78% to 47149 level of correction
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
BN 03 Apr - The bulls are ready to charge, will N50 spoil it?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ BankNifty also defended its current levels very beautifully today. The open was pretty bad as we dropped to 47278 levels by 09.27. If you observe the charts you can quickly understand that it was well below the support and that should have triggered a further fall if the Bears had an upper hand. Unfortunately, the trend is still in favor of the Bulls as the recovery was intense. A look at the 10.11 candle that cut through the 47465 resistance will give all the proof you require. BN ended up recovering 398 points from the lows and unlike Nifty we closed near the highs of the day. If you ask me, the trend is still favoring the bulls 5 out of the 6 candles today are in GREEN with the odd RED candle being a doji. It might be very unfortunate if Nifty50 has plans to reverse now as BN looks quite ready to break out. We all know how much energy will unwind when N50 and BN are aligned in the same direction. For the last 3 sessions, we have both of the indices upward looking but with no followthrough action. Let us hope tomorrow is that day wherein we expect a directional move. – Algo Trading Our algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs44262, this is the 3rd consecutive day where I had to exit the trades prematurely as the hourly profit targets were hit.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
BankNifty- 02 Apr - 47465 support defense crucial for UP moveBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ BankNifty defends the support of 47465 today also, much-needed confirmation to hold on to our bullish stance. The next leg of the rally should ideally come from the banking sector. But the biggest concern I have is that the actual torch bearer of the directional trend has shifted to NiftyIT from BankNifty. From Jan 2024, BN has been a laggard whereas NiftyIT did drive the Nifty50’s directions. The power struggle was quite obvious as Jan to March was pretty bad for most option traders. Neither the trend following nor the option selling strategies worked out. NiftyIT is currently in a reversing trend. If BankNifty starts to move up and IT moves down and if Nifty sides with IT rather than the banks then we are in for a big disappointment. Let us hope the Banks take back the control from IT, the rationale being it is the sector with the highest weightage. The trend is safer if the highest weighted sector drives the show. The first thing BN has to do is take out the ATH. We wish to start the day tomorrow with a bullish tone and then switch to a cautious mode if 47465 support is getting broken. Tomorrow being expiry, a 100+ quick points move could surge the options premium. As it stands the premiums are not suggesting any directional move. Algo Trading Our algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs31517, again I pulled the plug early to save the transaction costs and book 2/3rd of theoretical profits.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
BankNifty 01 Apr- stance revised to bullish as 47465 brokenBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ BankNifty does what was pending for quite a long time i.e break above the 47465 resistance. Despite the sharp correction in the last 45 minutes of the previous working day, BN managed to recoup the losses and close much higher than the swing high. We took out the resistance in the opening candle itself after that there were 2 to 3 attempts to check if the support was strong enough. In the last 55mts we had a smooth surge which gave the impression that the support is here to stay. If we connect the dots from the lows of 12th Feb, it looks like a new higher high in the making. If it does go there, it will be a treat to watch as BankNifty has been lagging behind Nifty for quite a long time now. We wish to change our stance from neutral to bullish as long as 47465 support is held. – Algo Trading Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 41546 as I prematurely closed the trades at 11.22 today.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
#Banknifty directions and levels for April 1st.Bank Nifty also reflects similar sentiment. Gift Nifty is indicating a gap-up start, suggesting potential consolidation initially. After that, if it breaks the previous high, we can expect the rally to continue. Alternatively, if the gap-up is not sustained, we can anticipate a minor correction initially. If it finds support around the 38% level, it may form a consolidation structure. However, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, we could see a correctional wave ranging from 50% to 78%.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
28 Mar ’24 — BankNifty has to break 47465 to go bullishBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty made its run today, but nothing as dramatic as Nifty50. We went up 590pts ~ 1.26% and then gave up 443pts ~ 0.93% in the last 45mts. The stance on BN is still neutral. If we had broken the 47465 resistance today and closed above, we would have changed the status to bullish. At one point, breaking 47465 was looking almost certain. 4mts chart If you look at the higher time frame, you would quickly agree with my view. BN has a bullish edge but is still neutral. For a strong bullish move, the resistance has to be broken, and if we do that we might create a new higher high from the bottom made on 24th Jan. When we resume trading on 1st April, we wish to start with a neutral bias, and go long if we breach 47465. 63mts chart - Algo Trading Expecting choppiness today, did not run the Algo trades today. In hindsight, that proved to be the right decision. Otherwise, the entire month’s gain would have been wiped out.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
#Banknifty directions and levels for March 27th.Bank Nifty also has the same sentiment. If the gap-down sustains and breaks the Fibonacci level of 50%, then we can expect a minimum of 61 to 78% correctional wave. After that, if it finds support there, it may undergo a minor pullback wave of the Fibonacci level of 38%. On the other hand, if it breaks or consolidates around the Fibonacci level of 78%, then the correction will likely continue. Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and if the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, it might enter a range market between the previous high.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
26 Mar ’24 — BankNifty appears more bearish than neutralBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty started the day weak and continued to stay weak. The rebound from the opening low was not as dramatic as N50, we broke the low at 10.03 indicating further weakness. Technically BN only closed 0.56% lower vs Nifty which closed -0.42%, but the visual impact shows more negativity on BN than N50. Firstly because the recovery was almost not there and secondly because we kept on losing the lows. 4mts chart The chart pattern on BN is not bullish anyway. Even though the numbers look flat & neutral, the chart is screaming bearish. But you know we cannot go bearish until the support is broken or a new lower low is formed - so we might have to be contended with what we have. NiftyIT has made a decent reversal from the interim top, if BN also keeps falling then no way can N50 stay at these levels. Sector rotations do work for a limited period but if we have the financials and IT putting its weight on one side, all the other sectors combined cannot pull N50 back. 63mts chart – Algo Trading Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 27404. Exited the trades @ 10.54 and did not want to test my luck after that.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
#Banknifty directions and levels for March 26th.Banknifty also has the same sentiment. If the market opens with a gap-down, then the 38% to 50% zone will act as support. If it finds support there, we can expect a range-bound market. However, if it consolidates or breaks that level, then the correction will continue further. Alternatively, if the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the previous day's high, then first we should watch the breakout structure. If it has a solid structure, then we can expect sharp moves. If it breaks with less volume, then it may form a diagonal pattern, because if it breaks the previous high, then the 5th wave may continue. The 5th wave is a distribution wave.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
22 Mar ’24 — BankNifty holds ground, when NiftyIT was crashingBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty stays in the neutral zone for yet another day. Even when N50 made its 1.36%, BN went up only by 0.9%. NiftyIT was tanking on one side, but BN was holding its ground from falling. I am seriously confused about whether Nifty or BankNifty has the lower beta. Even the profit booking in the last 40mts did not have a wild impact on BN but it might have taken the profits out of N50 straddlers. 4mts chart We are almost midway between the nearest support & resistance. The slope of the 200 EMA will prove the point that we are neutral, just check its slope - it's almost parallel to the X-axis. This was the major reason why I never went bearish even though we fell 2000+ points from the ATH. We continue to maintain our neutral stance for Tuesday and would like to build fresh positions based on the price action. 63mts chart — Algo Trading Our algo trades ended today with a loss of 7029 rupees, thanks to the swing from Nifty50. So for my current month, the Nifty Algos are in loss whereas BN is in good profits. This takes me back to the earlier question, which one has the lower beta?
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Banknifty prediction for today 22 Mar 24Hello Traders, as we have been discussing the resistance line and bears and bull zone in Banknifty, it has broken the resistance line and entered the bull zone, where I expect the market to be bullish. if we look at the chart now: The market broke to the upside yesterday. It opened at +500 and ended up sideways. That means the market is not consolidating at this level now. The market is going to be sideways in the range of 46630-46950. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.91 shows the bullish market indication. There is good support at the 46500 level and Resistance at 47000. Intermediate levels have been written equally by both parties. I am expecting the market to be Bullish for this expiry session. All important levels have been marked on the chart. Support: 46627, 46277, 45907 Resistance: 47437, 46900 Verdict: Bullish Plan of action: Sell 46650 PE (Hedge it with 20/- premium )
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by finnova_
21 Mar ’24 — BankNifty was never bearish, today is proof.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty gaps up 422pts ~ 0.91% but doesn't go anywhere. We are neither bullish nor bullish again. One thing was quite clear today, the downside was quite absent today. In fact, our lows of 46651 were protected pretty well. The gaps were because of the outperformance by SPX, NDQ yesterday. Yesterday, the US FED decided to keep the rates flat and also indicated there could be up to 3 interest rate cuts this year. Even though it could be an election gimmick, the markets reacted positively and this spillover effect ensured we are also outperforming. But what it really did was abort the bearish flow. BankNifty was never bearish, but Nifty was and that flow got interrupted. 4mts chart On the higher time frame, the bearish setup did not really start but the patterns look promising. What we need to see if we are getting followthrough on the bullish side tomorrow or not. Next week the trading is cut short by 2 days due to Holi & Good Friday, so I am guessing the decision might be taken tomorrow itself. We would prefer to start the day tomorrow with the neutral stance and then take it from there. 63mts chart - Algo Trading Our algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs19360 mostly because BN maintained a small range today.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
20 Mar ’24 — BankNifty fallen for 9 Days - yet I am not bearishBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Once again BN proved to be resilient to the bearish attack. We briefly broke the bearish channel top line, hit a new intraday low of 45828, and then reversed from there. The reversal was a whopping 828pts ~ 1.81% on what we could call a bear market killer. Whatever green candles we had in that recovery were strong and had good depth. The only reason N50 had that dramatic reversal was due to BankNifty. 4mts chart Most of the analysts are bearish on BN, but I am still not convinced. Yes, we had a drop of 2317 points ~ 4.81% overall but the downside moves are not convincing enough. Primarily because the momentum is still not there, compare it with N50 and you will get the variance. All BN has to do is enter the bearish channel and then we can go short with a higher conviction. Meanwhile, I modified the bearish channel bottom line (purple color line), connected the recent price actions and finally, it is looking parallel to the top line (blue) as well. 63mts chart – Algo Trading Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 14970 points. Sensing the situation getting a bit volatile, I manually squared off the positions at 09.38 itself.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
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