18 Mar ’24 — BankNifty tests its feet below the bearish channelBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty had to fall 400pts to enter the bearish channel. Well, it did not happen today but we had an interesting candle at 11.15, for a brief period BN dips into the bearish channel and then pulls out. Much like testing how deep the water is before taking the jump. The shorts were strong then and the recovery would have prompted the short covering that took BN up 488pts ~ 1.06% above the high of the 11.15 candle.
4mts chart
BN is still neutral as the momentum is missing on the bearish side. Just take a look at the 10.18 (-248pts) and 11.21 (+405pts) 63mts candle. Something tells me the momentum should favor the bulls if we have some consensus. As the CALL shorters are weak, we would need the big boys to enter to really move the needle. FII selling is not really helping. Agreed that NiftyIT tanked today, but the fear factor is still missing on the large caps. If you watch the Nifty sub-sectors you can see how quickly the market breadth changes from GREEN to RED and then back to GREEN. Markets are really on the edge and all it requires is a small push.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a loss of Rs3430. The charges and the transaction costs were more than the losses as the Algos did quite a lot of adjustments today.
Bankniftytrend
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 19 Mar 24As we discussed in our analysis market closed sideways today.
I am expecting market to be sideways for tomorrow.
all important levels have been marked at the chart.
Support: 46343, 46000
Resistance: 46690, 46900
Verdict: Sideways
Plan of action: Sell 46300 PE and Sell 46700 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium )
bankNifty analysis for 18th March 2024bank nifty is travelling inside a channel. 46300 to 46500 is a strong support level as marked on the chart.
if this level is broken, bank nifty may go downside to the next support level marked on the chart.
or, if it takes support to this level, it may go up to the next upper level marked on the chart
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
#banknifty directions and levels for March 18th.Banknifty has a diagonal structure. So, if the market breaks the previous low, then the diagonal will continue further, and we can expect a minimum of 46197 to 45948. If it finds support there, then we can expect a minimum of 23 to 38% pullback wave.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and breaks the diagonal pattern, then we can expect a range market initially, and if it breaks 47034, then the pullback will continue further.
BANKNIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 18 Mar 24As we have discussed in our Video, BANKNIFTY was making HNS, whose target was 46470. that has been achieved.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the support trendline(1-H TF). Banknifty is also trading at 0.61 fib level, which might be crucial for banknifty to take support. Price is volume balanced, which indicates the market can make a move soon.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.72, which indicates a neutral behavior for the market. Bulls have written 46500 and bear heavily, which will be acting as max pain for now. On the upper side, 47000 is a good resistance that also coincides with 200 EMA.
Looking at the FII Data, we can say the market might open a gap-down.
I am expecting the market to be sideways for one day at least. After that, once it moves to the Green zone, it will turn bullish. unless it breaks to Bearish zone(RED ZONE)
Reasons:
The market is trading at the strong support trendline.
46350 - 46680 is a sideways range. If it breaks into the RED ZONE market, it might fall heavily, but the possibility of breaking down is less right now.
PCR = 0.72 is neutral. 46500 is acting as MaxPain. 46500 is also working as good support. Whereas 47000 is working as good resistance.
RSI ~ 50 shows the market is going to be sideways for the next trading day.
VWAP ~ price shows that the price is volume balanced, which means the market will soon be ready to make a move in either direction.
Verdict: Sideways
Plan of Action:
Sell 46500 PE and 46650 CE (hedge with 20/- option). Exit the leg once it breaks to either side.
Bank Nifty analysis for 15th march 2024The banknifty is travelling in a downward channel. also the possible support and resistances are marked in the chart. if it breaks the channel in upside direction, may be a bullish movement is possible. if it breaks the support of 46500 level, a bearish movement may happen.
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
Bank Nifty 15-03-2024 Analysis
Hello Traders, Welcome to SriTrader5121
_______________________________________
Overall view for the day.
Buy - with support of Important / Support
Sell - with rejection of Important / Side-ways-zone
See the price action at our zones, take the trade according to your Risk - Reward.
Happy Learning and Trading – SriTrader5121
_______________________________________
Rules to fallow...
1) Wait for conformation.
2) See the price action at our zones.
3) Trade with Strict Stop Loss.
4) Trade with Small Quantity.
5) Take entries based on Support & Resistance Zones.
_____________________________________________________
Please take the trade according to the zones marked, with Risk-Reward.
This is not a Buy or Sell recommendation to anyone.
Take entries based on your own analysis and risk.
This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in live market.
NOTE: Trade with Strict Stop Loss. It may or may not hit all levels / Zones. So one can book profit / loss based on your risk-reward or considering price action at respective zone how it works near that zone.
I hope you all like my analysis. Follow me to get regular updates.
Please do share your thoughts in comment section.
Please Hit a LIKE, it motivates me to do analysis and do share with your trading friends.
Banknifty Live trading idea discussDisclaimer: My videos, presentations, and writing are only for educational purposes and are not intended as investment advice. I cannot guarantee the accuracy of any information provided.
Don't miss out on this viral short video for all the latest market insights and trends. Stay informed and ahead of the game with #banknifty #viral #shorts #viralshorts!
13 Mar ’24 — BankNifty stays cool today unlike N50 that broke 2.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BN was calm as a cucumber, on one side the Nifty50 heavyweights were tanking but BN kept its cool. Usually, Banks are the first to react to any news related to “froth”, “valuation” etc. Mainly because the valuation, loan against shares, etc all depend on the underwriters and financial institutions that did the due diligence. When the markets are going up, nobody is really worried. But when the stocks start crashing, the valuations get impacted and people start getting margin calls. When this situation is combined with a contracting money supply - businesses could face restrictions in raising new capital.
4mts chart
The only reason I can think of why the Banks did not fall today would be due to the expiry aspect. If that is the case, we should be seeing the FOMO effect in tomorrow’s morning session. Since BN held its ground, the algo trades all performed exceptionally well, and the heightened volatility improved the option selling margins.
From the recent top of 48161, BN is falling, but yet to make a lower low or lower high. Unless the 2nd leg starts, we wouldn't know with clarity what it has in mind. To go bearish, we need to fall below 46176 another 800pts away. If both BN and N50 are facing the same direction - then we can expect the big boys to enter the shorting arena. If we are to get a relief rally or retracement, it should be driven by the banks - because they are still the strongest sub-sector in Nifty.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 14380.
Bank Nifty Analysis for tomorrow Thrusday | 14 March 24 As we discussed in our video analysis, the bank's nifty bearish nature broke to the downside and gave a nice bearish target today.
If we look at the chart now:
The price has broken 200 EMA, HNS Neckline support zone to the downside. The market is quite bearish. RSI is also showing weakness in bulls.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.67 shows a bearish market structure. Also, there is a huge CE and PE writing at 47000, which will work as maxPain. There is not much of support levels except 46500 which is also confirmed by Price Action levels.
I am expecting the market to fall till 46500.
Reasons:
RSI < 40 shows weakness in bulls.
price < EMAs shows bearish strengthen market.
PCR = 0.67 shows a bearish market.
price < VWAP indicates bearish sentiment in the market.
Verdict: Bearish
Plan of Action : Sell 46900 CE (Hedge it with 20 rs CE).
12 Mar ’24 — BankNifty Algo Trades almost killed me today.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
The 10.43 candle was more profound on BankNifty, we had a drop of 656pts ~ 1.38% in that single candle. We had a positive swing of 612pts ~ 1.3% between 09.27 to 09.59 and then a negative reaction of 931pts ~ 1.95% between 09.59 to 10.47. If these 2 swings did not take out your stop loss - then I don't know what will. Since we run algo trades, the entire positions went into a tailspin showing a huge MTM loss. Miraculously, the system recovered and ended the day with a reduced loss. If this same move happened on a Wednesday or Thursday, then the losses would have been 10x of what we had today.
4mts chart
On the higher time frame, the stance continues to be neutral as BN was unable to take out the 47465 resistance today. The 10.18 candle showed some bearish intent, but it did not get any follow-through action. The current market texture is weak hands holding CE short positions. So if we break the resistance tomorrow either by a gap-up or via 1hr trading, then the short covering will result in further momentum. This market structure is really pissing off some serious traders too, mostly because overnight positions are not bringing the kind of benefit it should. The premiums for which they are sold do not cover the risks taken.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a loss of 15896. The positions went into deep RED during the 10.43 candle, but with time the positions started recovering.
Banknifty Chart & Levels for tomorrow Here we are providing Banknifty charts are only for educational purpose. Please observe the chart clearly as the game will be some tricky for tomorrow and most importantly don’t buy/sell based on these charts. Clearly mentioned the levels & directions for just observation and learning purpose.
Bank Nifty analysis for 12th march 2024It looks like the bank nifty is forming a head and shoulders patern. if it breaks the support level (47200 to 47300 range) downside, it may go to the next possible support (46300 to 46500 range) marked in the chart.
if it crosses the level 48200 upside, we may go for a bullish trade after forming a price action.
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
11 Mar ’24 — BankNifty breaks 47465, next SR 1000 points lowerBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
We have a change in stance on BN today, As soon we had a closing below 47465 we changed the stance from bullish to neutral. We fell 693pts ~ 1.45% today and the structure was pretty negative. BN never really tried to retrace the fall today, just had 1 minor rejection at the support at 11.23, but yielded by 11.55. The ease with which the support got broken got me thinking, what was the real bad news today? I remember seeing the Japan Nikkei trading with cuts of -2.3%. But other than that, I really dont remember reading any other bad news.
4mts chart
On the higher time frame, notice the depth of the RED candles till the support was broken. The single GREEN candle of 6th Mar 09.15 has been negated. Since we broke the support of 47465, the stance is now neutral. For tomorrow we wish to start with non-directional trades on BankNifty and go long if the 47465 resistance gets broken. To go short, BN will have to re-enter the bearish channel and that is like 1000pts away. If we were to fall that many points in a day, we are quite sure Nifty50 will also fall equivalently and most likely go bearish as well. Honestly, why would markets fall that much, what is the reason?
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 20165. Manually squared off the trades at 14.21 just when the markets started to get volatile.
Bank Nifty 12-03-2024 Analysis
Hello Traders, Welcome to SriTrader5121
_______________________________________
Overall view for the day.
Buy - with support of PDL / Strong- Resistance
Sell - with rejection of PDL / support
See the price action at our zones, take the trade according to your Risk - Reward.
Happy Learning and Trading – SriTrader5121
_______________________________________
Rules to fallow...
1) Wait for conformation.
2) See the price action at our zones.
3) Trade with Strict Stop Loss.
4) Trade with Small Quantity.
5) Take entries based on Support & Resistance Zones.
_____________________________________________________
Please take the trade according to the zones marked, with Risk-Reward.
This is not a Buy or Sell recommendation to anyone.
Take entries based on your own analysis and risk.
This is for education purpose and a helping hand to learn trading in live market.
NOTE: Trade with Strict Stop Loss. It may or may not hit all levels / Zones. So one can book profit / loss based on your risk-reward or considering price action at respective zone how it works near that zone.
I hope you all like my analysis. Follow me to get regular updates.
Please do share your thoughts in comment section.
Please Hit a LIKE, it motivates me to do analysis and do share with your trading friends.
Bank Nifty Small down trade .. for 12-03-2024Bank nifty after a sharp fall from today the market looks like its trying to go with negative side for few days as a small pull back ....
Look for level 47650 to test and show the weakness .. and then can trade for a low with small target .... can expect a market fall about 900 points ... mostly trade is for Expiry day movement ....
be carefull of the level 47000 and if market stucks there set as marginal profit zone ...
BANKNIFTY MATHEMATCIAL LEVELS FOR THIS EXPIRYThese Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only