Bank Nifty Analysis for 13th & 14th Expiry SpecialI have a bearish bias in Bank Nifty on a daily and a weekly timeframe purely based on the available liquidity pools on the sell side. Again this is purely based on price action and technical analysis using some ICT concepts. Fundamentals of underlying stocks, news and other factors may always override the technical analysis.
Let's see what happens!
#BankNifty #Index #Nifty
Bankniftytrend
16 Feb ’24 — BankNifty will have to support N50 next week for ⬆️BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
The move BankNifty made did not correlate with Nifty50 today. BN’s gap-up was sold into and then we recovered once the gap was closed. Yes, there was no selling pressure which was common to both. The straddles on BN were progressing better than expected when we had a quick surge and an equivalent fall between 13.31 and 14.11. We assume it may be connected with a news/event that broke about Paytm & selection of any of the banks for its payment settlements.
4mts chart
On the higher timeframe, you can notice how BN is making progress to its next resistance level of 47465. Since it is inside a descending (but not parallel) channel, it need not even break the resistance for a stance revision to bullish. All it has to do is take out the 47016 levels soon and break the upper end of the channel. Since Nifty50 has made its intention clear to go long, BankNifty willingly or not would have to support that cause. We wish to maintain a neutral stance till then and go bullish as and when the conditions specified are fulfilled.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a gain of 3835 points.
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 19 Feb 24As we have been discussing, Banknifty has a bullish nature for a couple of analyses. Now it's reaching near the resistance zone @46970.
Now, if we look at the chart:
The market has broken to the upside; also, the market is making a double bottom if we look at the 4H frame. 46300 was good resistance, which broke to the upside. Now, I am expecting it to provide good support.
If we look at the OI data:
Pcr = 1.10, which shows the market is bullish. However, the above side 46970 will provide good resistance, which is also confirmed by OI heavy CE writing at the 47000 level. MaxPain, for now, is 46500. Once it's broken to the upside, the path to 46970 will be clear.
I expect the market to be volatile in this zone, as per the historical data. Right now, at a double bottom neckline. I am expecting volatility in 46300-46970.
Reasons:
The last two times, the market fell sharply from this level.
Price > EMA indicates bullishness in the market.
RSI is showing bearish divergence. Some consolidation is required at this point.
OI data Pcr = 1.10 shows bullishness. 46500 is MaxPain, and 47000 shows heavy CE writing.
VWAP ≥ price, which indicates bullishness in upcoming sessions.
Verdict:
Bullish till 46970 level.
Plan of action:
Be aware of opening high; if the market gap-up, there is a high chance of range bound in 46500-46970. Go with an Iron Condor in the range 46500-46970.
Banknifty prediction for today live 15th FebI have been busy for the last two days. If you have been following my analysis, we marked a resistance line, which got a breakout yesterday, and after that, it gave a very nice bullish momentum.
Now, if we look at the chart:
The market is already in the breakout phase, but right now, it is sitting at the resistance zone that has been tested multiple times. There is a high probability that Banknifty will be continuing the bullish momentum. But 46100 will be providing good resistance once its broken bull's path is clear to 47000.
If we look at OI data:
PcR = 1.10, which shows the market is very bullish. 46000 has good CE writing, which might provide good resistance, which is also confirmed by Price action. As it's 1st day of the week, OI will not matter much.
FII and DII show bearish on Options, which might lead to some sideways days because, in the future, FII is bullish.
I am expecting the market to get sideways in the range of 45600-46100(color as Cyan). If it breaks 46100 to the upside, I am expecting more bullishness.
Reasons:
Price > EMAs, which shows the market is strong.
RSI > 60 shows good strength in the bulls.
OI data Pcr = 1.10 shows the bullish sign. which is also confirmed by the Price action breakout.
Price> VWAP, which shows the market is having strength.
Verdict:
sideways in the range 45600-46100
Bullish; if breaks 46100 to upside
Plan of action:
Case 1: Range selling in 45600-46100
Case 2: go bullish if it breaks 46100 to the upside.
Banknifty analysis prediction for tomorrow 12 Feb 24As we discussed in our last analysis, it's bearish behavior, but it took support at 45000 and turned bullish.
Now if we look at chart data:
the market is trading at a resistance trendline. Which has rejected the Price twice. It might reject it again. Also, the Price is at 200 EMA, which can provide a good resistance at this level of confluence.
Looking at the OI data:
Pcr = 0.86 shows the bullish nature of the market. 46000 shows Huge CE writing, which means it has heavy resistance. The lower side, 45000, is showing good PE writing, which means we are going to provide nice support at this level. We can also see in charts 4550045500-46000 is to be a sideways volatility range.
All possible scenarios have been marked on the chart according to their probability of occurrence. I expect bullishness .
Reasons:
Price > EMA(13); also trading at 200 EMA. (indecisive.)
Price is trading at a resistance level; either side will decide the direction of the market at that moment.
RSI > 60 shows good strength in the bulls.
OI data Pcr = 0.86 shows the bullish sign. which is confirmed by FII and DII data.
Price> VWAP, which shows the market is having strength.
Verdict:
Bullish
Plan of action:
observe the 15-minute candle and then go in as situations marked on the chart.
15 Feb ’24 — BankNifty has to scale above 47016 to go bullishBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty also does not get a stance revision today, but the progress it has made in the bullish direction is commendable. The first thing it did today was to defend the descending trendline (see encircled region). And from there it almost followed a steady 45-degree climb - showing strength. Except for the first 45 minutes, we did not have a selling pressure or a bear attack. It seems like the bears had thrown in the towel yesterday itself.
4mts chart
In the 63mts chart, BN’s ability to defend the support is second to none. The only reason it is stuck in the neutral zone is because of the bear attack it had on 17th Jan. We are almost getting to those levels now. BankNifty’s contribution is very crucial to help Nifty’s next move. Since N50 is waiting to go bullish, a mere push from BN will give a multiplier effect due to the weightage it carries. For tomorrow we wish to start the day with a neutral stance and go bullish only of 47016 trend line is getting broken.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a loss of Rs3190
#Banknifty directions and levels for FEB 15thBank Nifty is a little different from Nifty. The current pullback is violating the wave rule, so it might be in a leading diagonal. If it's a leading diagonal, then it won't take a sharp rally. If it opens with a gap-up, then it may reject around 78%, and then we can expect a minimum correction of 38%. If it breaks 38%, then we take a breakout short position and fix our target at 50 and 61%. This is also applicable for initial market rejection. Here, the trend reversal will occur only if it breaks yesterday's low; then only can we consider this a correction.
Bank Nifty Market Analysis - 15 Feb 2024Yesterday market went bullish, I was biased on bearish view but it went bullish. This is why market is unpredictable, However, market respected my support and resistance levels which helped me to take trade entry. Similarly, Today also I'm sharing my support and resistance levels for today 15 Feb 2024. I'm expecting a sideways or rangebound market today, be cautious in trading. This is my analysis not a buy/sell recommendation. You can take risks based on the support and resistance levels as target/stoploss levels.
Happy trading!
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14 Feb ’24 — BankNifty takes out the resistance and goes neutralBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty does the impossible today, the reason we are saying this is because, despite a UP day yesterday, BN was unable to get past the resistance of 45399. See what happened today - we opened gap-down and by 10.55 we were back at the resistance level of 45399. The rejection made sense then as the mood was still bearish and little we did know what the remainder of the day had in store. The elongated encircled region is when BN was still negotiating in and around the SR level. Once it got past that - the next test was at the purple descending trend line (which we drew yesterday). That was also kind of accurate as on 3 instances we had a contact.
4mts chart
The climb of 670pts from 14.07 to 14.39 made all the difference today. It drove our algo into a tailspin and ensured that we booked the highest intraday loss till now. You might already know most algos prefer to play straddle or strangles and today being the expiry day created more trouble. The calls when sold were damn cheap and when the stop loss got hit - it appreciated more than 100 to 200%. Yesterday we pointed out the unusual skew in the PUT and CALL premiums, the calls staying cheap. Today we fell victim to that.
63mts chart
We have another W pattern today and since the resistance is breached, it is a good sign for the bulls. Overall our stance is now revised to neutral from bearish. What is more interesting is that BN has a perfect at-par close with the last expiry i.e. 7th Feb. The first thing we will be looking out for tomorrow is to see if there is follow-up buying or whether what we witnessed today was just a blip.
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a loss of 11805.
BANKNIFTY MATHEMATICAL LEVELS FOR THIS EXPIRYThese Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only
#banknifty directions and levels for FEB 14Banknifty also has the same sentiment, and I don't know exactly where it will open. So, if it finds support at the immediate support level, we can expect a minor range market with some corrections. However, if it breaks the minor demand zone at 44885, then the correction will continue
Bank Nifty (Neowave Update)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
M1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
S1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everyone,
Welcome to Trading Idea, This is a short term forecast but trade always in direction of bigger cycles.
Any last minute update will be done on our tradingview live links.
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Thank you
Note-
## After this another resistance level is 45748.50 for confirmation of break out.
If price break again before breaking 45748.50 than SC2 is still developing using X wave otherwise we are in SC3 wave
Medium Term Forecast-
#Banknifty directions and level for FEB 13There are some corrective waves bending, so if the initial market declines, we can expect minor correction initially. After that, if it takes support around 44500 or the swing low, then we can expect a 23% to 38% pullback wave. On the other hand, if it consolidates or breaks that level solidly, then the correction will continue.
Alternate view: Banknifty also has an RSI divergence. So, if the gap-up sustains, then we can expect pullback continuation with minor consolidation.
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 13/02/2024The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 13-02-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
Bank Nifty Market Analysis - 13 Feb 2024Yesterday I published market analysis for Bank Nifty where the support and resistance acted perfectly within my level. Check out my yesterday's chart to decide.
Today, I'm sharing my support and resistance levels to trade today. Hope it's useful, please like and follow
12 Feb ’24 BankNifty breaks a support, stance changed - BEARISHBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
We expected BankNifty to stay neutral today after what it did in the last session. Just to recap, BN broke through the resistance of 45399 last session and ended the day near the highs. We were expecting that momentum to continue today also as Banks had no inherent weakness to start with. But what happened today was unexpected - the swing range was a whopping 1118pts ~ 2.44%. And today’s low took out the last session’s swing low as well.
4mts chart
If you notice the encircled region, once BN broke the support of 45399 - it attempted to go up but failed miserably. That was the exact phase where we understood that the Bears may overpower the Bulls. We fell 715 points ~ 64% right from those levels. So in case you got into the bearish stance late in the day - you would have still ended up the day in pretty good greenery.
63mts chart
44542 support level is quite near and BN tested 44633 levels ~ 91pts away. If the Bears are still in form tomorrow, we should expect the 44542 to be taken out in the forenoon session tomorrow. The next level in play would be the most important 44068 levels. We wish to start the day tomorrow with a bearish stance and take up short opportunities as and when it present itself.
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a loss of 2538 points.
#Banknifty Direction and levels for FEB 12Banknifty has a solid pullback. If the market opens with a gap-up, then we can expect rally continuation with minor consolidation. However, if the market opens with a gap-down or rejects around the immediate resistance (45898 to 46031), then we can expect a range market. Structurally, there is no indication of a significant correction.
09 Feb ’24 — BankNifty defends the 45399 level, boosting bulls BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty defends the 45399 level with so much ease today. After witnessing the rout yesterday, we seriously thought BN would take longer than usual to recover the lost ground. Do you remember the discussion we had about the 2 strong RED candles before breaking the 45399 levels yesterday? Today’s counter move made them look insignificant.
4mts chart
The intraday low was hit in the first candle itself and from that point, we had an intraday rally of 854pts ~ 1.91%. The closing was with so much strength and rightly so as once we broke through the 45399 resistance - BN bulls got so much hope & enthusiasm. Notice the encircled region and how we spent the time around the SR level before breaking out. The green candles were getting stronger with every iteration.
63mts chart
The last candle of today forms perfectly above the 45399 confirming the break. This nullifies yesterday’s fall and we are back into the neutral territory. For Monday we need to look for non-directional trades again and would only go short if the support breaks. To go LONG we have quite a distance to cover as just beating 46800 would not suffice.
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a gain of 217pts. If you look at the chart below - you can see how difficult it was for the system to handle the reversals today.
#banknifty directions and levels for FEB 9.Banknifty also experienced a sharp correction in the last session. Here, if the market breaks the previous day's low, then we can expect further correction. However, there's a demand zone, so if the market rejects there, we can expect a minimum of a 23% to 38% pullback wave. Alternatively, if the market breaks or consolidates in the demand zone, then the correction will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the initial market takes a sharp pullback, then it might consolidate between yesterday's low and the Fibonacci level of 38%. We can expect further pullback only if it breaks the 38% level."